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題名 決定台灣薪資成長因素的探討
An investigation on the determination factors on the labor wage in Taiwan作者 林佳雯 貢獻者 林祖嘉
林佳雯關鍵詞 薪資
薪資成長停滯
薪資決定因素
物價
失業率
勞工保險
基本工資
名目放款利率
非經常性薪資
對外投資金額
人力派遣業日期 2011 上傳時間 30-Oct-2012 11:09:35 (UTC+8) 摘要 近十年來，台灣出現薪資成長停滯的現象，實質薪資更是停留在十年前的水準，究竟是什麼原因使得台灣薪資無法向上提升，是本研究所要討論的重點。 本文利用台灣1980年1月到2011年12月共384筆月資料，以普通最小平方法(Ordinary Least Square, OLS)進行迴歸估計，找出顯著影響台灣薪資成長的因素，實證結果發現消費者物價、名目放款利率、失業率、就業人數、人力派遣業員工人數、平均勞工保險投保薪資站平均經常性薪資比重、基本工資、非經常性薪資以及對外投資金額對於台灣的薪資有顯著的影響。本文並根據過去的數據資料，發現進十年來因為物價上漲吃掉名目薪資上漲的幅度，使得實質薪資倒退到十年前的水準；另一方面，由於失業率對於薪資是顯著負向的影響，而自1997亞洲金融風暴開始，台灣失業率節節攀升，因此近十年來相對較高的失業率是使得薪資無法成長的重要原因。本研究結果也發現，雇主對於勞工保險的沉重負擔、實質基本工資停滯並未給予勞工實質的保障，以及名目放款利率大幅下跌、非經常性薪資及對外投資金額快速增加、人力派遣業快速成長等因素，亦是使得台灣近十年來薪資都不漲的原因。 除了針對全國的薪資影響因素做討論之外，本文也針對工業部門、製造業、服務業部門以及金融保險業的薪資影響因素進行實證分析。實證結果發現，消費者物價指數、失業率、平均勞工保險投保薪資佔平均經常性薪資比重等變數對於工業部門、製造業、服務業部門以及金融保險業的薪資都有顯著影響。 參考文獻 王少平、涂正革、李子奈(2001),「預期增廣的菲利浦曲線及其對中國適用性 檢驗」,《中國社會科學》,第四卷,頁76-84。江豐富(2006),「外勞引進對本國勞工失業、職業選擇及薪資之影響」,《台 灣經濟預測與政策》,頁69-111,台北:中央研究院經濟研究所。江豐富(2007),「2007年基本工資調整對經濟影響之初探」,《台灣勞工季 刊》,第8期,頁74-82。呂曜志(2007),「淺談最低工資的政策效益-從薪資制度、組織理論與全球化 切入」,《台灣經濟研究月刊》,第30卷,第6期,頁75-80。吳惠林(1999),「八十七年基本工資經濟效果評估」,行政院勞委會委託研 究。李宜(2008),「台灣勞動市場與薪資所得」,《經濟前瞻》, 第118期,頁36- 44。李靜洵(2009),「台灣的教育報酬率-兼論高教擴張之影響」,碩士論文,清華 大學經濟研究所。林祖嘉(2011),「歐債問題何時了?」,《貿易雜誌》,第246期,頁6-7。林晉勗(2008),「委外代工、國際分工對貿易傳遞效果及母國工資不均度之影 響」,博士論文,國立政治大學經濟研究所。 邱麗芳(2003),「台灣地區大學教育報酬率時間變化趨勢之分析」，碩士論 文，中央大學產業經濟研究所。周信佑(2008),「實質薪資負成長，政府不應無作為」,國家政策研究基金會 國政評論。周闖、張世偉(2009),「中國城鎮居民的勞動供給行為－倒s型勞動供給曲線 在中國城鎮勞動力市場上的實證檢驗」,《財經科學》,第260期,頁56- 64。陳坤銘(2007),「引進外籍勞工對台灣經濟影響之再分析」,《中山人文社會 科學期刊》,第15卷,第1期,頁1-26。陳紹倫(2010),「高等教育擴張對大學畢業生薪資生產力之影響」,碩士論文, 台北大學經濟研究所。許瓊瑤(2005),「對外直接投資對工資不均等的影響」,碩士論文,國立政治大 學經濟研究所。喬笙(2005),「貨幣M1、投資、工資與物價波動關係實證分析」,《中國物 價》,第8卷,頁20-23。黃于玲、張一穗、陳建名、苗坤齡(2006),「近年來受雇員工薪資變動狀況分 析」,《主計月刊》, 第612期,頁68-75。黃仁德(1995),「台灣地區基本工資對勞動市場的衝擊效果評估」,《勞資關 係論叢》,第3期,頁29-56。黃慈嫺(2003),「製造業委外代工與對外投資對生產力與工資之影響-台灣得 實證分析」,碩士論文,國立中原大學國際貿易研究所。詹建隆(2011),「以勞動生產力解析台灣薪資問題之成因」,《台灣經濟研究 月刊》, 第34卷, 第9期,頁112-120。葉懿倫(2011),「經濟成長，薪資不漲，理由何在?從經濟成長構成觀點分 析」, 《台灣經濟研究月刊》, 第34卷, 第9期,頁103-111。蔡昌言(2004),「經濟全球化對台灣勞工權益之影響-以勞工薪資變化為例 (1980-2000)」,《台灣民主季刊》,第1卷,第3期,頁131-164。蔡敏仁(2008),「國際化與工資不均:分量迴歸分析」,碩士論文,國立暨南國 際大學經濟學系研究所。鄭宇容(2008),「中國薪資與物價的關聯性分析」,碩士論文,國立東華大學國 際經濟研究所。賴建宇(2010),「薪水不漲的十大荒謬」,《天下雜誌》,第457期,頁58-66。韓穎、馬萍、馮艷(2009),「遼寧省勞動供給與需求預測研究」，《東北大學 學報》，第11卷,第3期,頁226-229。蘇儀品(2004),「對大陸直接投資與台灣工資差異」,碩士論文,淡江大學產業 經濟研究所。Aaronson, D.(2001), "Price Pass-Through and the Minimum Wage," Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.83, No.1, 158-169.Ashenfelter, O. ,and D. 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Swiss Evidence," Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics,Vol.143, No.1, 67-92. 描述 碩士
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經濟學系
99258013
100資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0099258013 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 林祖嘉 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) 林佳雯 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) 林佳雯 zh_TW dc.date (日期) 2011 en_US dc.date.accessioned 30-Oct-2012 11:09:35 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 30-Oct-2012 11:09:35 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 30-Oct-2012 11:09:35 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0099258013 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/54478 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 經濟學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 99258013 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 100 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 近十年來，台灣出現薪資成長停滯的現象，實質薪資更是停留在十年前的水準，究竟是什麼原因使得台灣薪資無法向上提升，是本研究所要討論的重點。 本文利用台灣1980年1月到2011年12月共384筆月資料，以普通最小平方法(Ordinary Least Square, OLS)進行迴歸估計，找出顯著影響台灣薪資成長的因素，實證結果發現消費者物價、名目放款利率、失業率、就業人數、人力派遣業員工人數、平均勞工保險投保薪資站平均經常性薪資比重、基本工資、非經常性薪資以及對外投資金額對於台灣的薪資有顯著的影響。本文並根據過去的數據資料，發現進十年來因為物價上漲吃掉名目薪資上漲的幅度，使得實質薪資倒退到十年前的水準；另一方面，由於失業率對於薪資是顯著負向的影響，而自1997亞洲金融風暴開始，台灣失業率節節攀升，因此近十年來相對較高的失業率是使得薪資無法成長的重要原因。本研究結果也發現，雇主對於勞工保險的沉重負擔、實質基本工資停滯並未給予勞工實質的保障，以及名目放款利率大幅下跌、非經常性薪資及對外投資金額快速增加、人力派遣業快速成長等因素，亦是使得台灣近十年來薪資都不漲的原因。 除了針對全國的薪資影響因素做討論之外，本文也針對工業部門、製造業、服務業部門以及金融保險業的薪資影響因素進行實證分析。實證結果發現，消費者物價指數、失業率、平均勞工保險投保薪資佔平均經常性薪資比重等變數對於工業部門、製造業、服務業部門以及金融保險業的薪資都有顯著影響。 zh_TW dc.description.tableofcontents 摘要.................................................iAbstract............................................ii目錄.................................................iii表目錄...............................................iv圖目錄...............................................v第一章 前言...........................................1第二章 薪資影響因素的相關文獻回顧.......................4第一節 開放外勞對薪資的影響............................4第二節 教育擴張政策對薪資的影響.........................5第三節 全球化對薪資帶來的影響...........................6第四節 總體經濟因素對薪資的影響.........................12第五節 最低工資對薪資的影響.............................13第三章 薪資決定因素的理論模型...........................15第一節 古典學派的勞動市場模型...........................15第二節 均衡薪資方程式..................................16第四章 資料說明與敘述統計...............................25第一節 資料與變數說明..................................25第二節 敘述統計說明....................................30附錄 重要變數敘述統計表.................................42第五章 薪資影響因素的實證分析............................45第一節 全國經常性薪資決定因素的實證結果..................45第二節 工業部門經常性薪資決定因素的實證結果...............51第三節 製造業經常性薪資決定因素的實證結果.................56第四節 服務業部門經常性薪資決定因素的實證結果.............59第五節 金融保險業經常性薪資決定因素的實證結果.............63第六章 結論與建議.....................................69第一節 薪資決定因素的實證結論...........................69第二節 未來研究方向的建議...............................74參考文獻...............................................76 zh_TW dc.language.iso en_US - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0099258013 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 薪資 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 薪資成長停滯 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 薪資決定因素 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 物價 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 失業率 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 勞工保險 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 基本工資 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 名目放款利率 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 非經常性薪資 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 對外投資金額 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 人力派遣業 zh_TW dc.title (題名) 決定台灣薪資成長因素的探討 zh_TW dc.title (題名) An investigation on the determination factors on the labor wage in Taiwan en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王少平、涂正革、李子奈(2001),「預期增廣的菲利浦曲線及其對中國適用性 檢驗」,《中國社會科學》,第四卷,頁76-84。江豐富(2006),「外勞引進對本國勞工失業、職業選擇及薪資之影響」,《台 灣經濟預測與政策》,頁69-111,台北:中央研究院經濟研究所。江豐富(2007),「2007年基本工資調整對經濟影響之初探」,《台灣勞工季 刊》,第8期,頁74-82。呂曜志(2007),「淺談最低工資的政策效益-從薪資制度、組織理論與全球化 切入」,《台灣經濟研究月刊》,第30卷,第6期,頁75-80。吳惠林(1999),「八十七年基本工資經濟效果評估」,行政院勞委會委託研 究。李宜(2008),「台灣勞動市場與薪資所得」,《經濟前瞻》, 第118期,頁36- 44。李靜洵(2009),「台灣的教育報酬率-兼論高教擴張之影響」,碩士論文,清華 大學經濟研究所。林祖嘉(2011),「歐債問題何時了?」,《貿易雜誌》,第246期,頁6-7。林晉勗(2008),「委外代工、國際分工對貿易傳遞效果及母國工資不均度之影 響」,博士論文,國立政治大學經濟研究所。 邱麗芳(2003),「台灣地區大學教育報酬率時間變化趨勢之分析」，碩士論 文，中央大學產業經濟研究所。周信佑(2008),「實質薪資負成長，政府不應無作為」,國家政策研究基金會 國政評論。周闖、張世偉(2009),「中國城鎮居民的勞動供給行為－倒s型勞動供給曲線 在中國城鎮勞動力市場上的實證檢驗」,《財經科學》,第260期,頁56- 64。陳坤銘(2007),「引進外籍勞工對台灣經濟影響之再分析」,《中山人文社會 科學期刊》,第15卷,第1期,頁1-26。陳紹倫(2010),「高等教育擴張對大學畢業生薪資生產力之影響」,碩士論文, 台北大學經濟研究所。許瓊瑤(2005),「對外直接投資對工資不均等的影響」,碩士論文,國立政治大 學經濟研究所。喬笙(2005),「貨幣M1、投資、工資與物價波動關係實證分析」,《中國物 價》,第8卷,頁20-23。黃于玲、張一穗、陳建名、苗坤齡(2006),「近年來受雇員工薪資變動狀況分 析」,《主計月刊》, 第612期,頁68-75。黃仁德(1995),「台灣地區基本工資對勞動市場的衝擊效果評估」,《勞資關 係論叢》,第3期,頁29-56。黃慈嫺(2003),「製造業委外代工與對外投資對生產力與工資之影響-台灣得 實證分析」,碩士論文,國立中原大學國際貿易研究所。詹建隆(2011),「以勞動生產力解析台灣薪資問題之成因」,《台灣經濟研究 月刊》, 第34卷, 第9期,頁112-120。葉懿倫(2011),「經濟成長，薪資不漲，理由何在?從經濟成長構成觀點分 析」, 《台灣經濟研究月刊》, 第34卷, 第9期,頁103-111。蔡昌言(2004),「經濟全球化對台灣勞工權益之影響-以勞工薪資變化為例 (1980-2000)」,《台灣民主季刊》,第1卷,第3期,頁131-164。蔡敏仁(2008),「國際化與工資不均:分量迴歸分析」,碩士論文,國立暨南國 際大學經濟學系研究所。鄭宇容(2008),「中國薪資與物價的關聯性分析」,碩士論文,國立東華大學國 際經濟研究所。賴建宇(2010),「薪水不漲的十大荒謬」,《天下雜誌》,第457期,頁58-66。韓穎、馬萍、馮艷(2009),「遼寧省勞動供給與需求預測研究」，《東北大學 學報》，第11卷,第3期,頁226-229。蘇儀品(2004),「對大陸直接投資與台灣工資差異」,碩士論文,淡江大學產業 經濟研究所。Aaronson, D.(2001), "Price Pass-Through and the Minimum Wage," Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol.83, No.1, 158-169.Ashenfelter, O. ,and D. 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