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題名 聚集經濟對經濟成長之影響-全球之實證分析
Agglomeration and economic growth: Cross-country evidence作者 曹書豪 貢獻者 陳心蘋
曹書豪關鍵詞 聚集經濟
都市化
經濟成長日期 2010 上傳時間 27-Jun-2013 16:05:35 (UTC+8) 摘要 本文研究了不同國家在不同所得的情況下,該國國內人口聚集的差異程度對於該國經濟成長是否帶來了不同的影響。在橫斷面的分析部分採用了普通最小平方法,在長期追蹤資料的部分則是採用了系統性動差法去估計。本文利用了都市化人口比例來衡量人口集中在都市的程度以及等級規模係數來衡量都市間人口多寡的差異程度。而本文的實證結果支持了Williamson假說:人口聚集只有在一國的開發程度達到某一個門檻之前才會對經濟產生助益,而這一個門檻根據本文的估計為人均所得為7100美元的時候。而另外本文的結果也得到了愈貧窮的國家,都市間人口發展愈不均衡的話將會帶來不利的影響。 參考文獻 一、英文文獻Ades, A.F. and E.L. Glaeser (1995),“Trade and circuses: Explaining urban giants,”Quarterly Journal of Economics 110 (1), 195–227.Arellano, M. and S.R. Bond(1991),“ Some tests of specification for panel data:Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations,” Review of Economic Studies 58 (2), 277–297.Arellano, M. and O. Bover(1995),“Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models,”Journal of Econometrics 68 (1), 29–52.Baldwin, R. and P. Martin(2004), “Agglomeration and regional growth,” In:Henderson, Vernon J., Thisse, Jacques-Francois , eds., Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, vol. 4: Cities and Geography. Elsevier, North-Holland.Barro, R. J. (1991) ,“Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 106, pp. 407-443.Barro, R. J. and J.W. Lee(1993),“International comparison of educational attainment,”Journal of Monetary Economics 32 (3), 363–394Bertinelli, L. and D. Black(2004),“ Urbanization and growth,”Journal of Urban Economics 56 (1), 80–96.Blundell, R. and S. Bond(1998), “ Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models,”Journal of Econometrics 87 (1), 115–143.Bond, S., A. Hoeffler and J. Temple(2001),“GMM estimation of empirical growth models,”CEPR Discussion Paper #3048.Bowsher, C.G.(2002),“On testing overidentifying restrictions in dynamic paneldata models,”Economics Letters 77 (2), 211–220.Bun, Maurice J.G. and F. Windmeijer (2009),“The weak instrument problem of the system GMM estimator in dynamic panel data models,” Econometrics Journal 12, 1-32.Fujita, M. and J.F. Thisse(2002),“Economics of Agglomeration: Cities, Industrial Location, and Regional Growth,”Cambridge University Press.Gallup, J.L., A.D. Mellinger and J.D. Sachs(1999),“Geography and economic development,”International Regional Science Review 22 (2), 179–232.Gallup, J.L., A.D. Mellinger and J.D. Sachs(2001),Geography database.Center for International Development at Harvard University (CID).Henderson, J.V.(2003),“The urbanization process and economic growth: The so-what question,”Journal of Economic Growth 8 (1), 47–71.Henderson, J.V. , Z. Shalizi and A.J. Venables( 2001) ,“Geography and development,” Journal of Economic Geography 1 (1), 81–105.Hohenberg, and M. Paul(2004),“The historical geography of European cities: An interpretative essay,” In: Henderson, J. Vernon, Thisse, Jacques-Francois , eds., Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, vol. 4: Cities and Geography. Elsevier, North-Holland.Hohenberg, M. Paul, Lees and L. Hollen(1985), “The Making of Urban Europe, 1000–1950,” Harvard University Press.Krugman, P. and R.L. Elizondo(1996),“Trade policy and the third world Metropolis,” Journal of Development Economics 49 (1), 137–150.Martin, P.(1999),“Public policies, regional inequalities and growth,” Journal of Public Economics 73 (1), 85–105.Martin, P. and G. Ottaviano(1999),“Growing locations: Industry location in a model of endogenous growth,”European Economic Review 43 (2), 281–302.Roodman, D.(2008),“A note on the theme of too many instruments,”Center for Global Development Working Paper #125. Washington DC.Rosenthal, S.S. and W.C. Strange(2001),“The determinants of agglomeration,”Journal of Urban Economics 50 (2), 191–229.Rosenthal, S.S. and W.C. Strange(2004),“Evidence on the nature and sources of agglomeration economies,”In: Henderson, J. Vernon, Thisse, Jacques-Francois (Eds.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, vol. 4. Elsevier.Sachs, J.D. and A. Warner (1995),“ Economic reform and the process of economic integration,”Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1995 (1), 1–95.Sala-i-Martin, X., G. Doppelhofer, and R.I. Miller(2004),“Determinants of long-term growth: A Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) approach,”American Economic Review 94 (4), 813–835.Temple, J.(1999),“The new growth evidence,”Journal of Economic Literature 37 (1), 112–156.Williamson, J.G.(1965),“Regional inequality and the process of national development,”Economic Development and Cultural Change 13 (4), 3–45.Windmeijer, F.(2005),“A finite sample correction for the variance of linear efficient two-step GMM estimators,”Journal of Econometrics 126 (1), 25–51.二、中文文獻陳伯中,(1991),〈經濟地理〉,《三民書局》。施鴻志,(2002),〈地區發展與管理〉,《建都文化出版》。薛益忠,(2006),〈都市地理學〉,《三民書局》。錢學陶,(1990),〈都市計劃學導論〉,《茂榮發行》。 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟學系
97258001
99資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097258001 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 陳心蘋 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) 曹書豪 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) 曹書豪 zh_TW dc.date (日期) 2010 en_US dc.date.accessioned 27-Jun-2013 16:05:35 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 27-Jun-2013 16:05:35 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 27-Jun-2013 16:05:35 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0097258001 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/58581 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 經濟學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 97258001 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 99 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文研究了不同國家在不同所得的情況下,該國國內人口聚集的差異程度對於該國經濟成長是否帶來了不同的影響。在橫斷面的分析部分採用了普通最小平方法,在長期追蹤資料的部分則是採用了系統性動差法去估計。本文利用了都市化人口比例來衡量人口集中在都市的程度以及等級規模係數來衡量都市間人口多寡的差異程度。而本文的實證結果支持了Williamson假說:人口聚集只有在一國的開發程度達到某一個門檻之前才會對經濟產生助益,而這一個門檻根據本文的估計為人均所得為7100美元的時候。而另外本文的結果也得到了愈貧窮的國家,都市間人口發展愈不均衡的話將會帶來不利的影響。 zh_TW dc.description.tableofcontents 目次 I表目錄 III圖目錄 IV第一章 緒論 1第一節 研究動機與目的 1第二節 本文架構與流程 3第二章 文獻回顧與聚集經濟之定義 4第一節 規模經濟與聚集經濟之概念 4第二節 冪次法則與等級規模係數之概念 7第三節 相關文獻回顧 9第三章 模型設定 13第一節 變數選擇 13第二節 橫斷面分析 14第三節 追蹤資料分析與系統性動差法 16第四節 過度認定檢定Sargan test 18第四章 實證分析與結果 19第一節 資料說明 19第二節 橫斷面分析(聚集變項:都市人口比例) 20第三節 橫斷面分析(聚集變項:等級規模係數) 31第四節 追蹤資料分析(聚集變項:都市人口比例) 39第五節 追蹤資料分析(聚集變項:等級規模係數) 43第五章 結論 47參考文獻 49附錄一 變數說明與資料來源 53附錄二 選用國家(依聚集變項選取不同) 54附錄三 等級規模係數(1970年與2010年) 56 zh_TW dc.format.extent 4037187 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.language.iso en_US - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097258001 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 聚集經濟 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 都市化 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 經濟成長 zh_TW dc.title (題名) 聚集經濟對經濟成長之影響-全球之實證分析 zh_TW dc.title (題名) Agglomeration and economic growth: Cross-country evidence en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、英文文獻Ades, A.F. and E.L. Glaeser (1995),“Trade and circuses: Explaining urban giants,”Quarterly Journal of Economics 110 (1), 195–227.Arellano, M. and S.R. Bond(1991),“ Some tests of specification for panel data:Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations,” Review of Economic Studies 58 (2), 277–297.Arellano, M. and O. Bover(1995),“Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models,”Journal of Econometrics 68 (1), 29–52.Baldwin, R. and P. Martin(2004), “Agglomeration and regional growth,” In:Henderson, Vernon J., Thisse, Jacques-Francois , eds., Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, vol. 4: Cities and Geography. Elsevier, North-Holland.Barro, R. J. (1991) ,“Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 106, pp. 407-443.Barro, R. J. and J.W. Lee(1993),“International comparison of educational attainment,”Journal of Monetary Economics 32 (3), 363–394Bertinelli, L. and D. Black(2004),“ Urbanization and growth,”Journal of Urban Economics 56 (1), 80–96.Blundell, R. and S. Bond(1998), “ Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models,”Journal of Econometrics 87 (1), 115–143.Bond, S., A. Hoeffler and J. Temple(2001),“GMM estimation of empirical growth models,”CEPR Discussion Paper #3048.Bowsher, C.G.(2002),“On testing overidentifying restrictions in dynamic paneldata models,”Economics Letters 77 (2), 211–220.Bun, Maurice J.G. and F. Windmeijer (2009),“The weak instrument problem of the system GMM estimator in dynamic panel data models,” Econometrics Journal 12, 1-32.Fujita, M. and J.F. Thisse(2002),“Economics of Agglomeration: Cities, Industrial Location, and Regional Growth,”Cambridge University Press.Gallup, J.L., A.D. Mellinger and J.D. Sachs(1999),“Geography and economic development,”International Regional Science Review 22 (2), 179–232.Gallup, J.L., A.D. Mellinger and J.D. Sachs(2001),Geography database.Center for International Development at Harvard University (CID).Henderson, J.V.(2003),“The urbanization process and economic growth: The so-what question,”Journal of Economic Growth 8 (1), 47–71.Henderson, J.V. , Z. Shalizi and A.J. Venables( 2001) ,“Geography and development,” Journal of Economic Geography 1 (1), 81–105.Hohenberg, and M. Paul(2004),“The historical geography of European cities: An interpretative essay,” In: Henderson, J. Vernon, Thisse, Jacques-Francois , eds., Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, vol. 4: Cities and Geography. Elsevier, North-Holland.Hohenberg, M. Paul, Lees and L. Hollen(1985), “The Making of Urban Europe, 1000–1950,” Harvard University Press.Krugman, P. and R.L. Elizondo(1996),“Trade policy and the third world Metropolis,” Journal of Development Economics 49 (1), 137–150.Martin, P.(1999),“Public policies, regional inequalities and growth,” Journal of Public Economics 73 (1), 85–105.Martin, P. and G. Ottaviano(1999),“Growing locations: Industry location in a model of endogenous growth,”European Economic Review 43 (2), 281–302.Roodman, D.(2008),“A note on the theme of too many instruments,”Center for Global Development Working Paper #125. Washington DC.Rosenthal, S.S. and W.C. Strange(2001),“The determinants of agglomeration,”Journal of Urban Economics 50 (2), 191–229.Rosenthal, S.S. and W.C. Strange(2004),“Evidence on the nature and sources of agglomeration economies,”In: Henderson, J. Vernon, Thisse, Jacques-Francois (Eds.), Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics, vol. 4. Elsevier.Sachs, J.D. and A. Warner (1995),“ Economic reform and the process of economic integration,”Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1995 (1), 1–95.Sala-i-Martin, X., G. Doppelhofer, and R.I. Miller(2004),“Determinants of long-term growth: A Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) approach,”American Economic Review 94 (4), 813–835.Temple, J.(1999),“The new growth evidence,”Journal of Economic Literature 37 (1), 112–156.Williamson, J.G.(1965),“Regional inequality and the process of national development,”Economic Development and Cultural Change 13 (4), 3–45.Windmeijer, F.(2005),“A finite sample correction for the variance of linear efficient two-step GMM estimators,”Journal of Econometrics 126 (1), 25–51.二、中文文獻陳伯中,(1991),〈經濟地理〉,《三民書局》。施鴻志,(2002),〈地區發展與管理〉,《建都文化出版》。薛益忠,(2006),〈都市地理學〉,《三民書局》。錢學陶,(1990),〈都市計劃學導論〉,《茂榮發行》。 zh_TW
