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題名 步出校門,踏上紅地毯--台灣女性離開教育場域後的初婚可能性
The probability of women`s first marriage after finishing the education
作者 楊立偉
貢獻者 林佳瑩
楊立偉
關鍵詞 存活分析
初婚可能性
教育擴張
晚婚
suvival analysis
probability of first marriage
hazard rate
日期 2009
上傳時間 4-Sep-2013 09:58:04 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究欲以存活分析方式了解女性在結束最高學歷後,逐年進入初婚的可能性。台灣女性的初婚狀況在1980年後,逐漸由普遍成婚轉為遲婚、甚至不婚,尤其以高等教育女性的晚婚現象最為嚴重。一般來說,年輕的在學女性由於尚未具備獨立成家的經濟能力,進入初婚的比例相當的低。因此要等到結束最高學歷後才會進入初婚市場、考慮進入初婚。然而女性的初婚可能性會受到年齡帶來的社會規範與壓力影響,年齡越長,潛在的結婚對象也就越少,進入初婚的可能性越低。本研究想了解因為就學延後結束最高學歷年齡,而延遲進入初婚市場年齡的女性,她們的初婚可能性會有什麼變化?初婚可能性的年齡模式又是如何?透過存活分析,本研究結果發現:一、初婚可能性的分布形狀主要受到年齡影響,不同教育程度的分布形狀沒有明顯差異。二、進入初婚的年齡受到結束最高學歷時的年齡影響,結束最高學歷的年齡越晚,越晚進入初婚。三、受高等教育的女性在剛結束最高學歷教育後三年間進入婚姻的可能性,較未受高等教育的女性高。四、不論何種教育程度,初婚可能性將於30歲左右一致地下降,顯示女性進入初婚的可能性仍受到適婚年齡的限制。五、越晚近出生的女性,初婚可能性越低。最晚近出生的女性,初婚可能性不論教育程度呈現普遍皆低的狀態。
This study foucuses on the women who were born in 1960-1980 in Taiwan and demonstrates the probability of these women`s first marriage after finishing their highest educational degrees. In Taiwan, after 1980, women`s marital status gradually changes from general married become delayed, or even not married. The marital situations of women who have higher education are in particular serious. Because young women in the school do not have independent economic ability, they do not consider entering first marriage untill they have completed highest educational degrees. However, due to the age norm and social pressure, women`s probability of entering into first marriage will decline when they grow older. This study intends to figure out what the probabilitiy of women`s first marriage is when they delay the timing of entering into the marriage market due to prolonging the years of education. Through survival analysis, this study found that: First, women`s age determines the main shape of the probability distribution of the age at first marriage no matter what educational degrees they have. Second, women`s age at first marriage is mainly affected by the age of her finishing highest education. Third, the probability of first marriage of the women who have higher educational degrees is higher than the others in the first five years after finishing education. Fourth, no matter what level of educational degrees, the hazard rate of entering into first marriage will decline rapidly after 30-year-old. Fifth, the more recent birth cohort is the lower the probability of first marriage no mater what educational degrees they have.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
社會學研究所
96254014
98
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0962540141
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 林佳瑩zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 楊立偉zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 楊立偉zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 4-Sep-2013 09:58:04 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 4-Sep-2013 09:58:04 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 4-Sep-2013 09:58:04 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0962540141en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/59953-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 社會學研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 96254014zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究欲以存活分析方式了解女性在結束最高學歷後,逐年進入初婚的可能性。台灣女性的初婚狀況在1980年後,逐漸由普遍成婚轉為遲婚、甚至不婚,尤其以高等教育女性的晚婚現象最為嚴重。一般來說,年輕的在學女性由於尚未具備獨立成家的經濟能力,進入初婚的比例相當的低。因此要等到結束最高學歷後才會進入初婚市場、考慮進入初婚。然而女性的初婚可能性會受到年齡帶來的社會規範與壓力影響,年齡越長,潛在的結婚對象也就越少,進入初婚的可能性越低。本研究想了解因為就學延後結束最高學歷年齡,而延遲進入初婚市場年齡的女性,她們的初婚可能性會有什麼變化?初婚可能性的年齡模式又是如何?透過存活分析,本研究結果發現:一、初婚可能性的分布形狀主要受到年齡影響,不同教育程度的分布形狀沒有明顯差異。二、進入初婚的年齡受到結束最高學歷時的年齡影響,結束最高學歷的年齡越晚,越晚進入初婚。三、受高等教育的女性在剛結束最高學歷教育後三年間進入婚姻的可能性,較未受高等教育的女性高。四、不論何種教育程度,初婚可能性將於30歲左右一致地下降,顯示女性進入初婚的可能性仍受到適婚年齡的限制。五、越晚近出生的女性,初婚可能性越低。最晚近出生的女性,初婚可能性不論教育程度呈現普遍皆低的狀態。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study foucuses on the women who were born in 1960-1980 in Taiwan and demonstrates the probability of these women`s first marriage after finishing their highest educational degrees. In Taiwan, after 1980, women`s marital status gradually changes from general married become delayed, or even not married. The marital situations of women who have higher education are in particular serious. Because young women in the school do not have independent economic ability, they do not consider entering first marriage untill they have completed highest educational degrees. However, due to the age norm and social pressure, women`s probability of entering into first marriage will decline when they grow older. This study intends to figure out what the probabilitiy of women`s first marriage is when they delay the timing of entering into the marriage market due to prolonging the years of education. Through survival analysis, this study found that: First, women`s age determines the main shape of the probability distribution of the age at first marriage no matter what educational degrees they have. Second, women`s age at first marriage is mainly affected by the age of her finishing highest education. Third, the probability of first marriage of the women who have higher educational degrees is higher than the others in the first five years after finishing education. Fourth, no matter what level of educational degrees, the hazard rate of entering into first marriage will decline rapidly after 30-year-old. Fifth, the more recent birth cohort is the lower the probability of first marriage no mater what educational degrees they have.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 誌謝
     摘要
     目次
     圖次 13
     表次 15
     第壹章 研究背景與問題 17
     第一節、源起 17
     第二節、研究背景與問題 19
     第貳章 文獻回顧與探討 25
     第一節、台灣女性婚姻變遷 25
     第二節、初婚可能性年齡模式 27
     第三節、教育與初婚年齡模式 34
     第四節、小結 40
     第参章 研究設計 43
     第一節、研究設計 43
     第二節、資料來源 47
     第三節、研究方法 53
     第肆章 研究結果 57
     第一節、台灣地區曾婚女性之初婚年齡分布模式 57
     第二節、台灣女性結束最高學歷年齡對初婚可能性之影響 59
     第三節、台灣女性教育程度與進入初婚的年齡 62
     第四節、教育程度對台灣女性結束最高學歷後初婚可能性之影響 66
     誌謝
     摘要
     目次
     圖次 13
     表次 15
     第壹章 研究背景與問題 17
     第一節、源起 17
     第二節、研究背景與問題 19
     第貳章 文獻回顧與探討 25
     第一節、台灣女性婚姻變遷 25
     第二節、初婚可能性年齡模式 27
     第三節、教育與初婚年齡模式 34
     第四節、小結 40
     第参章 研究設計 43
     第一節、研究設計 43
     第二節、資料來源 47
     第三節、研究方法 53
     第肆章 研究結果 57
     第一節、台灣地區曾婚女性之初婚年齡分布模式 57
     第二節、台灣女性結束最高學歷年齡對初婚可能性之影響 59
     第三節、台灣女性教育程度與進入初婚的年齡 62
     第四節、教育程度對台灣女性結束最高學歷後初婚可能性之影響 66
      
     第五節、台灣女性結束最高學歷後逐年進入初婚的比例 69
     第六節、年齡對不同教育程度的台灣女性初婚可能性之影響 71
     第五章 結論與建議 75
     第一節、結論 75
     第二節、研究限制 77
     第三節、建議 78
     參考文獻 79
     附錄A 年齡別畢業人數推算方式 85
     附錄B 年齡別畢業人數比例推算方式 87
     附錄C 婦女婚育調查及畢業年齡資料合併方式 89
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 1896232 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0962540141en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 存活分析zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 初婚可能性zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 教育擴張zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 晚婚zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) suvival analysisen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) probability of first marriageen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) hazard rateen_US
dc.title (題名) 步出校門,踏上紅地毯--台灣女性離開教育場域後的初婚可能性zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The probability of women`s first marriage after finishing the educationen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文部份
     
     中央研究院社會學研究所(1996)台灣社會變遷基本調查。
     
     行政院主計處(1976-2006)人力資源調查。
     
     行政院主計處(1990、2000)戶口及住宅普查。
     
     行政院主計處(1979-2006)婦女婚育與就業調查。
     
     教育部統計處(1971-2007)教育統計。
     
     教育部統計處(2009)各級學校學生數--按年別及性別分。
     http://www.edu.tw/files/site_content/B0013/100-1.xls(取用日期:2009年12月5日)。
     
     教育部統計處(2009)歷年校數,教師,職員,班級,學生及畢業生數(39~98學年度)。
     http://www.edu.tw/files/site_content/b0013/seriesdata.xls(取用日期:2009年12月5日)。
     
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