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題名 Is the Honeymoon Effect Valid in the Presence of Both Exchange Rate and Output Expectations? A Graphical Analysis
作者 Lai,Ching-chong;Fang,Chung-rou
貢獻者 政大經濟系
關鍵詞 Exchange rate target zones;Exchange-rate expectations;New Keynesian model;Output expectations
日期 2012-01
上傳時間 16-Sep-2013 17:35:39 (UTC+8)
摘要 This paper sets up a modified Mundell-type economy embodying a New Keynesian “forward-looking” exchange-rate and output expectations, and develops a graphical exposition to explain the conflicting outcome between Krugman`s (1991) prediction and the empirical observations in the regime of exchange rate target zones. We find that Krugman`s (1991) honeymoon effects stem from his emphasis on exchange-rate expectations. If both exchange-rate expectations and output expectations are brought into the picture, they will then generate two conflicting effects to the realization of the nominal exchange rate, and hence the honeymoon effect may not exist.
關聯 International Review of Economics and Finance, 21(1), 140-146
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2011.05.008
dc.contributor 政大經濟系en_US
dc.creator (作者) Lai,Ching-chong;Fang,Chung-rouen_US
dc.date (日期) 2012-01en_US
dc.date.accessioned 16-Sep-2013 17:35:39 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 16-Sep-2013 17:35:39 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 16-Sep-2013 17:35:39 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/60966-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper sets up a modified Mundell-type economy embodying a New Keynesian “forward-looking” exchange-rate and output expectations, and develops a graphical exposition to explain the conflicting outcome between Krugman`s (1991) prediction and the empirical observations in the regime of exchange rate target zones. We find that Krugman`s (1991) honeymoon effects stem from his emphasis on exchange-rate expectations. If both exchange-rate expectations and output expectations are brought into the picture, they will then generate two conflicting effects to the realization of the nominal exchange rate, and hence the honeymoon effect may not exist.en_US
dc.format.extent 216935 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) International Review of Economics and Finance, 21(1), 140-146en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Exchange rate target zones;Exchange-rate expectations;New Keynesian model;Output expectationsen_US
dc.title (題名) Is the Honeymoon Effect Valid in the Presence of Both Exchange Rate and Output Expectations? A Graphical Analysisen_US
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1016/j.iref.2011.05.008en_US
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2011.05.008en_US