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題名 公共支出能創造生產力嗎?以中國製造業為例
Can productivity be created by public expenditure?
作者 董孟芸
Tung, Meng Yun
貢獻者 胡偉民
董孟芸
Tung, Meng Yun
關鍵詞 公共支出
生產力
Olley-Pakes 三階段模型
Public expenditure
Productivity
Olley-Pakes 3-Step Estimator
日期 2012
上傳時間 1-Oct-2013 11:57:48 (UTC+8)
摘要 本文利用 2001 到 2005 年規模以上中國製造業數據及縣級財政收支資料,研究公共支出對企業生產力的影響。首先以 Olley and Pakes (1996) 的三階段模型衡量生產力,進而結合 Aschauer (1989a) 模型研究公共支出對估計生產力的影響,發現在大多數的產業中,私有企業的生產力會高於國有企業的生產力,有鑑於國有企業與私有企業先天上的不同,因此分別研究政府增加公共支出對兩者企業生產力的影響。實證結果顯示,在私有企業的觀察值中,大多數的公共支出變數對生產力有顯著的影響,而在國有企業的樣本下,影響並不顯著,因此進一步在迴歸模型中加入對企業生產力高度相關的研究發展費用,發現研究發展費用對國有企業與私有企業生產力皆有顯著且正向的影響,並使大多數的公共支出轉為不顯著,顯示研究發展費用才是提升企業生產力最重要的因素,中國政府採用增加公共支出的擴張性財政政策對製造業生產力的影響不大。另外,加入研究發展費用後,國有企業的基礎建設支出對生產力有顯著的正向影響,在私有企業的觀察值中卻無此結果,證明了中國政府對國有企業扶植的注重。
參考文獻 中文部份
余淼杰 (2010) ,《中國貿易自由化與製造業企業生產率:來自企業層面的實證分析》,經濟研究 2011年 (12) ,頁97-110。
余淼杰 (2011) ,《企業出口前研發投入、出口及生產率進步—來自中國製造業企業的證據》,北京大學中國經濟研究中心討論稿。
吳蕙如 (1990) ,《政府公共投資與製造業生產力之關係─理論與實證》,政治大學財政研究所碩士論文。
吳濟華 (2010) ,《台灣地方政府公共支出效率衡量之實證研究》,行政暨政策學報第五十期,頁33-80。
孫遜 (2004) ,《資料包絡分析法 ─ 理論與應用》,台北:揚智文化出版。
馮智捷 (2000) ,《台灣公共投資對私部門經濟影響之研究》,台北大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。
賈瑞雪 (2011) ,《中國製造業企業生產率與資源誤置》,工作論文。
吳鴻鵬 (2007) ,《擠出還是擠入:公共投資對民間投資的影響》,世界經濟第二期,頁13-22。
尹貽林與盧晶 (2008),《我國公共投資對私人投資影響的經驗分析》,財經問題研究第三期。
劉溶滄與馬栓友 (2001) ,《赤字、國債與經濟增長關係的實證分析─兼評積極財政政策是否有擠出效應》,經濟研究第二期。
郭慶旺與越志耘 (1999) ,《論我國財政赤字的拉動效應》,財貿經濟第二期。

英文部分
Afonso, A. and M. S. Aubyn. (2005). “Non-parametric approaches to public education and health efficiency in OECD countries,” Journal of Applied Economics, 8:227-246.
Afonso, A. and S. Fernandes. (2006). “Measuring local government spending efficiency:Evidence for the Lisbon region,” Regional Studies, 40:39-53.
Afonso, A., S. Schuknecht, and V. Tanzi. (2005). “Public sector efficiency: An international comparison,” Public Choice, 321:321-347.
Aschauer, D. A. (1989). “Is Public Expenditure Productive ?,” Journal of Monetary Economics, 123(2):177-200.
Charnes, A., W. W.Cooper, and E. Rhodes. (1978). “Measuring the efficiency of decision making units,” European journal of operational research, 2(6):429-444.
Chen, Y., W. Hu and R. Szulga. (2013). “ The Tyranny of Numbers Revisited and the Case of China`s Manufacturing Growth: Factor Allocation, Structural Adjustment and Productivity Dynamics,” working paper.
Erenburg, S. J., and M. E. Wohar. (1996). “Public and private investment: Are there causal linkages,” Journal of Macroeconomics, 17(1):1-30.
Erden, L., and R. G. Holcombe. (2005). “The effects of public investment on private investment in developing economies,” Public Finance Review, 33(5):575-602.
Evans, Paul and Georgios Karras. (1994). “ Is Government Capital Produtivity ? Evidences from a Panel of Seven Countries ,” Journal of Macroeconomics, 16:271-279.
Farrell, M., (1957). “The Measurement of Productive Efficiency,” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A, General 120(3):253-281.
Flux, A. W. (1913). “ Gleanings from the Census of Production Report ,” Journal of the Royal StatisticalSociety, 76(6):557-598.
Gramlich, Edward M (1994). “Infrastructure Investment: A Review Essay,” Journal of Economic Literature, 32(3):1176-1196.
Hassan, S., Othman, Z., and Karim, M. Z. A. (2011). “Private and Public Investment in Malaysia: A Panel Time-series Analysis,” International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 1(4):199-210.
Hausman Jerry (1978). “Specification tests in econometrics,” Econometrica, 46 (6):1251-1271.
Levinsohn, J. and Petrin, A. (2003). “Estimating Production Functions Using Inputs to Control for Unobservables,” Review of Economic Studies, 70(2):317-342.
Munnell, Alicia H. (1990). “Why Has Productivity Growth Declined? Productivity and Public Investment,” New England Economic Review, 30:3-22.
Odedokun, M. O. (2006). “Relative effects of public versus private investment spending on economic efficiency and growth in developing countries,” Econometrica, 29(10):1325-1336.
Olaoye, A. O. (1985). “Total Factor Productivity Trends in Nigerian Manufacturing ,” Nigerian Journal of Economic and Social Studies, 27(3):317-345.
Olley, S., and Pakes, A. (1996). “The Dynamics of Productivity in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry,” Econometrica, 64(6):1263-1298.
Pakes, A. (1994). “Dynamic Structural Models, Problems and Prospects Part II: Mixed Continuous- Discrete Control Problems, and Market Interactions,” in Advances in Econometrics, 6(2):171-259.
Pereira, A. M. (2001). “On the effects of public investment on private investment: what crowds in what,” Public Finance Review, 29(1):3-25.
Perkins D. (1988). “ Reforming China’s Economic System,” Journal of Economic Literature, 26(2):601-645.
Ramirez, M. D. (2000). “The impact of public investment on private investment spending in Latin America: 1980–95,” Atlantic Economic Journal, 28(2):210-225.
Rayp, G. and N. V. D. Sijpe (2007). “Measuring and explaining government efficiency in developing countries,” Journal of Development Studies, 43(2):360-381.
Robert Ford and Pierre Poret (1991). “Infrastructure and Private-Sector Productivity,” OECD Working Paper, 26 P.ISBN.
Samuelson and Nordhaus. (1995). “Economics,” 15th edition, McGraw Hill, New York.
Tatom , John A (1991). “Public Capital and Private Sector Perfor-mance,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review:3-15.
Voss, G. M. (2002). “Public and private investment in the United States and Canada,” Economic Modelling, 19(4):641-664.
Yasar, M., Raciborski, R. and Poi, B. P. (2008). “Production function estimation in Stata using the Olley and Pakes method,” Stata Journal, 8:221-231.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
財政研究所
100255007
101
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0100255007
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 胡偉民zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 董孟芸zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Tung, Meng Yunen_US
dc.creator (作者) 董孟芸zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Tung, Meng Yunen_US
dc.date (日期) 2012en_US
dc.date.accessioned 1-Oct-2013 11:57:48 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 1-Oct-2013 11:57:48 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Oct-2013 11:57:48 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0100255007en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/61178-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 財政研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 100255007zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 101zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文利用 2001 到 2005 年規模以上中國製造業數據及縣級財政收支資料,研究公共支出對企業生產力的影響。首先以 Olley and Pakes (1996) 的三階段模型衡量生產力,進而結合 Aschauer (1989a) 模型研究公共支出對估計生產力的影響,發現在大多數的產業中,私有企業的生產力會高於國有企業的生產力,有鑑於國有企業與私有企業先天上的不同,因此分別研究政府增加公共支出對兩者企業生產力的影響。實證結果顯示,在私有企業的觀察值中,大多數的公共支出變數對生產力有顯著的影響,而在國有企業的樣本下,影響並不顯著,因此進一步在迴歸模型中加入對企業生產力高度相關的研究發展費用,發現研究發展費用對國有企業與私有企業生產力皆有顯著且正向的影響,並使大多數的公共支出轉為不顯著,顯示研究發展費用才是提升企業生產力最重要的因素,中國政府採用增加公共支出的擴張性財政政策對製造業生產力的影響不大。另外,加入研究發展費用後,國有企業的基礎建設支出對生產力有顯著的正向影響,在私有企業的觀察值中卻無此結果,證明了中國政府對國有企業扶植的注重。zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究背景 1
第二節 研究動機與目的 2
第三節 章節安排 3
第二章 文獻回顧 4
第一節 生產力的衡量方法 4
第二節 公共投資與生產力之相關文獻 7
第三章 中國擴張性財政政策 10
第一節 政策背景 10
第二節 政策實施要點 11
第三節 政策成效 13
第四章 研究方法 16
第一節 Olley-Pakes 三階段估計法 ( 3-Step Estimator ) 16
第二節 Aschauer公共支出與生產力關係模型 21
第五章 實證估計結果 24
第一節 資料來源及變數定義說明 24
第二節 變數敘述統計 32
第三節 生產力的估計 36
第四節 公共支出對生產力影響之實證結果 39
第五節 研究發展費用對生產力的影響 42
第六章 結論與建議 45
第一節 結論 45
第二節 建議 46
參 考 文 獻 48
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 3697449 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0100255007en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 公共支出zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 生產力zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Olley-Pakes 三階段模型zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Public expenditureen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Productivityen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Olley-Pakes 3-Step Estimatoren_US
dc.title (題名) 公共支出能創造生產力嗎?以中國製造業為例zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Can productivity be created by public expenditure?en_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文部份
余淼杰 (2010) ,《中國貿易自由化與製造業企業生產率:來自企業層面的實證分析》,經濟研究 2011年 (12) ,頁97-110。
余淼杰 (2011) ,《企業出口前研發投入、出口及生產率進步—來自中國製造業企業的證據》,北京大學中國經濟研究中心討論稿。
吳蕙如 (1990) ,《政府公共投資與製造業生產力之關係─理論與實證》,政治大學財政研究所碩士論文。
吳濟華 (2010) ,《台灣地方政府公共支出效率衡量之實證研究》,行政暨政策學報第五十期,頁33-80。
孫遜 (2004) ,《資料包絡分析法 ─ 理論與應用》,台北:揚智文化出版。
馮智捷 (2000) ,《台灣公共投資對私部門經濟影響之研究》,台北大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。
賈瑞雪 (2011) ,《中國製造業企業生產率與資源誤置》,工作論文。
吳鴻鵬 (2007) ,《擠出還是擠入:公共投資對民間投資的影響》,世界經濟第二期,頁13-22。
尹貽林與盧晶 (2008),《我國公共投資對私人投資影響的經驗分析》,財經問題研究第三期。
劉溶滄與馬栓友 (2001) ,《赤字、國債與經濟增長關係的實證分析─兼評積極財政政策是否有擠出效應》,經濟研究第二期。
郭慶旺與越志耘 (1999) ,《論我國財政赤字的拉動效應》,財貿經濟第二期。

英文部分
Afonso, A. and M. S. Aubyn. (2005). “Non-parametric approaches to public education and health efficiency in OECD countries,” Journal of Applied Economics, 8:227-246.
Afonso, A. and S. Fernandes. (2006). “Measuring local government spending efficiency:Evidence for the Lisbon region,” Regional Studies, 40:39-53.
Afonso, A., S. Schuknecht, and V. Tanzi. (2005). “Public sector efficiency: An international comparison,” Public Choice, 321:321-347.
Aschauer, D. A. (1989). “Is Public Expenditure Productive ?,” Journal of Monetary Economics, 123(2):177-200.
Charnes, A., W. W.Cooper, and E. Rhodes. (1978). “Measuring the efficiency of decision making units,” European journal of operational research, 2(6):429-444.
Chen, Y., W. Hu and R. Szulga. (2013). “ The Tyranny of Numbers Revisited and the Case of China`s Manufacturing Growth: Factor Allocation, Structural Adjustment and Productivity Dynamics,” working paper.
Erenburg, S. J., and M. E. Wohar. (1996). “Public and private investment: Are there causal linkages,” Journal of Macroeconomics, 17(1):1-30.
Erden, L., and R. G. Holcombe. (2005). “The effects of public investment on private investment in developing economies,” Public Finance Review, 33(5):575-602.
Evans, Paul and Georgios Karras. (1994). “ Is Government Capital Produtivity ? Evidences from a Panel of Seven Countries ,” Journal of Macroeconomics, 16:271-279.
Farrell, M., (1957). “The Measurement of Productive Efficiency,” Journal of the Royal Statistical Society A, General 120(3):253-281.
Flux, A. W. (1913). “ Gleanings from the Census of Production Report ,” Journal of the Royal StatisticalSociety, 76(6):557-598.
Gramlich, Edward M (1994). “Infrastructure Investment: A Review Essay,” Journal of Economic Literature, 32(3):1176-1196.
Hassan, S., Othman, Z., and Karim, M. Z. A. (2011). “Private and Public Investment in Malaysia: A Panel Time-series Analysis,” International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 1(4):199-210.
Hausman Jerry (1978). “Specification tests in econometrics,” Econometrica, 46 (6):1251-1271.
Levinsohn, J. and Petrin, A. (2003). “Estimating Production Functions Using Inputs to Control for Unobservables,” Review of Economic Studies, 70(2):317-342.
Munnell, Alicia H. (1990). “Why Has Productivity Growth Declined? Productivity and Public Investment,” New England Economic Review, 30:3-22.
Odedokun, M. O. (2006). “Relative effects of public versus private investment spending on economic efficiency and growth in developing countries,” Econometrica, 29(10):1325-1336.
Olaoye, A. O. (1985). “Total Factor Productivity Trends in Nigerian Manufacturing ,” Nigerian Journal of Economic and Social Studies, 27(3):317-345.
Olley, S., and Pakes, A. (1996). “The Dynamics of Productivity in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry,” Econometrica, 64(6):1263-1298.
Pakes, A. (1994). “Dynamic Structural Models, Problems and Prospects Part II: Mixed Continuous- Discrete Control Problems, and Market Interactions,” in Advances in Econometrics, 6(2):171-259.
Pereira, A. M. (2001). “On the effects of public investment on private investment: what crowds in what,” Public Finance Review, 29(1):3-25.
Perkins D. (1988). “ Reforming China’s Economic System,” Journal of Economic Literature, 26(2):601-645.
Ramirez, M. D. (2000). “The impact of public investment on private investment spending in Latin America: 1980–95,” Atlantic Economic Journal, 28(2):210-225.
Rayp, G. and N. V. D. Sijpe (2007). “Measuring and explaining government efficiency in developing countries,” Journal of Development Studies, 43(2):360-381.
Robert Ford and Pierre Poret (1991). “Infrastructure and Private-Sector Productivity,” OECD Working Paper, 26 P.ISBN.
Samuelson and Nordhaus. (1995). “Economics,” 15th edition, McGraw Hill, New York.
Tatom , John A (1991). “Public Capital and Private Sector Perfor-mance,” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review:3-15.
Voss, G. M. (2002). “Public and private investment in the United States and Canada,” Economic Modelling, 19(4):641-664.
Yasar, M., Raciborski, R. and Poi, B. P. (2008). “Production function estimation in Stata using the Olley and Pakes method,” Stata Journal, 8:221-231.
zh_TW