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題名 Economic Determinates of Default Risks and Their Impacts on Credit Derivative Pricing
作者 廖四郎
LIAO,SZU-LANG ;CHANG,JUI-JANE
貢獻者 金融系
日期 2010.11
上傳時間 11-Nov-2013 09:39:00 (UTC+8)
摘要 This study constructs a credit derivative pricing model using economic fundamentals to evaluate CDX indices and quantify the relationship between credit conditions and the economic environment. Instead of selecting specific economic variables, numerous economic and financial variables have been condensed into a few explanatory factors to summarize the noisy economic system. The impacts on default intensity processes are then examined based on no-arbitrage pricing constraints. The approximated results show that economic factors indicated credit problems even before the recent subprime mortgage crisis, and economic fundamentals strongly influenced credit conditions. Testing of out-of-sample data shows that credit evolution can be identified by dynamic explanatory factors. Consequently, the factor-based pricing model can either facilitate the evaluation of default probabilities or manage default risks more effectively by quantifying the relationship between economic environment and credit conditions.
關聯 Journal of Futures Markets, 30(11) , 1058-1081
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/fut.20453
dc.contributor 金融系en_US
dc.creator (作者) 廖四郎zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) LIAO,SZU-LANG ;CHANG,JUI-JANE-
dc.date (日期) 2010.11en_US
dc.date.accessioned 11-Nov-2013 09:39:00 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 11-Nov-2013 09:39:00 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-Nov-2013 09:39:00 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/61557-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study constructs a credit derivative pricing model using economic fundamentals to evaluate CDX indices and quantify the relationship between credit conditions and the economic environment. Instead of selecting specific economic variables, numerous economic and financial variables have been condensed into a few explanatory factors to summarize the noisy economic system. The impacts on default intensity processes are then examined based on no-arbitrage pricing constraints. The approximated results show that economic factors indicated credit problems even before the recent subprime mortgage crisis, and economic fundamentals strongly influenced credit conditions. Testing of out-of-sample data shows that credit evolution can be identified by dynamic explanatory factors. Consequently, the factor-based pricing model can either facilitate the evaluation of default probabilities or manage default risks more effectively by quantifying the relationship between economic environment and credit conditions.en_US
dc.format.extent 318600 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) Journal of Futures Markets, 30(11) , 1058-1081en_US
dc.title (題名) Economic Determinates of Default Risks and Their Impacts on Credit Derivative Pricingen_US
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1002/fut.20453en_US
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/fut.20453en_US