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題名 Value Investing and Technical Analysis in Taiwan Stock Market
作者 林信助;張興華
Ko, Kuan-Cheng ; Lin, Shinn-Juh ; Su, Hsiang-Ju ; Chang, Hsing-Hua
貢獻者 國貿系
關鍵詞 Book-to-market effect; Value investing; Technical analysis; Moving average; Taiwan stock market
日期 2014.01
上傳時間 6-Jan-2014 15:40:50 (UTC+8)
摘要 Unlike the U.S. and most developed countries, Taiwan stock market has been widely documented to have no value premium. Prior studies on the value premium typically adopt a conventional approach proposed by Fama and French (1992), which suggests a buy-and-hold strategy with annual rebalancing. We argue that a sophisticated investor can do better (obtain higher returns) than a simple buy-and-hold strategy by timing the market with the help of some technical analysis. Specifically, we show that an application of a moving average timing strategy to portfolios sorted by book-to-market (BM) ratios could generate higher returns than the buy-and-hold strategy. Using common stocks listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE), we confirm that the moving average timing strategy does substantially outperform the buy-and-hold strategy. Taking advantage of this observation, we propose a zero-cost portfolio constructed by buying the highest BM portfolio, and short-selling the lowest BM portfolio based on trading signals issued by the moving average rule, and demonstrate that such a new investment strategy can produce significantly positive returns. Robustness of results obtained in this paper is further verified and consolidated by extending the empirical study with a different currency, alternative lag lengths, transaction cost, subperiod analysis, business cycles and market timing.
關聯 Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,26,14-36
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2013.10.004
dc.contributor 國貿系en_US
dc.creator (作者) 林信助;張興華zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Ko, Kuan-Cheng ; Lin, Shinn-Juh ; Su, Hsiang-Ju ; Chang, Hsing-Huaen_US
dc.date (日期) 2014.01en_US
dc.date.accessioned 6-Jan-2014 15:40:50 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 6-Jan-2014 15:40:50 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 6-Jan-2014 15:40:50 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/63305-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Unlike the U.S. and most developed countries, Taiwan stock market has been widely documented to have no value premium. Prior studies on the value premium typically adopt a conventional approach proposed by Fama and French (1992), which suggests a buy-and-hold strategy with annual rebalancing. We argue that a sophisticated investor can do better (obtain higher returns) than a simple buy-and-hold strategy by timing the market with the help of some technical analysis. Specifically, we show that an application of a moving average timing strategy to portfolios sorted by book-to-market (BM) ratios could generate higher returns than the buy-and-hold strategy. Using common stocks listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE), we confirm that the moving average timing strategy does substantially outperform the buy-and-hold strategy. Taking advantage of this observation, we propose a zero-cost portfolio constructed by buying the highest BM portfolio, and short-selling the lowest BM portfolio based on trading signals issued by the moving average rule, and demonstrate that such a new investment strategy can produce significantly positive returns. Robustness of results obtained in this paper is further verified and consolidated by extending the empirical study with a different currency, alternative lag lengths, transaction cost, subperiod analysis, business cycles and market timing.-
dc.format.extent 130 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) Pacific-Basin Finance Journal,26,14-36en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Book-to-market effect; Value investing; Technical analysis; Moving average; Taiwan stock marketen_US
dc.title (題名) Value Investing and Technical Analysis in Taiwan Stock Marketen_US
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1016/j.pacfin.2013.10.004en_US
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2013.10.004en_US