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TitleInnovation Diffusion: Mobile Telephony Adoption in China
Creator柳卸林;吳豐祥;朱文伶
Liu, Xielin;Wu, Feng-Shang;Chu, Wen-Lin
Contributor科管所
Key WordsInnovation diffusion;mobile communications;mobile telephony
Date2009-06
Date Issued25-Mar-2014 17:00:12 (UTC+8)
SummaryThe rapid diffusion of mobile telephony is an important subject in diffusion studies of innovation. This study attempts to learn how mobile telephony diffuses in China, which has the most mobile telephone subscribers worldwide, in terms of the appropriate growth model and forces driving the diffusion. To identify the appropriate growth model, this study compares the fitness and forecasting ability of three conventional models — the Logistic, Bass, and Gompertz models. The determinants of the diffusion rate are then analyzed based on the most appropriate model. Empirical results, based on data for mobile telephone subscribers in China for 1986–2007, indicate that the Gompertz model performs best. Moreover, the four determinants for the diffusion rate are: number of fixed-line telephone subscribers, the low cost of mobile handsets, pre-paid service and the personal handy-phone system (PHS) service.
RelationInternational Journal of Innovation Management, 13(2), 1-26
Typearticle
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S1363919609002285
dc.contributor 科管所en_US
dc.creator (作者) 柳卸林;吳豐祥;朱文伶zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Liu, Xielin;Wu, Feng-Shang;Chu, Wen-Linen_US
dc.date (日期) 2009-06en_US
dc.date.accessioned 25-Mar-2014 17:00:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 25-Mar-2014 17:00:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 25-Mar-2014 17:00:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/64893-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The rapid diffusion of mobile telephony is an important subject in diffusion studies of innovation. This study attempts to learn how mobile telephony diffuses in China, which has the most mobile telephone subscribers worldwide, in terms of the appropriate growth model and forces driving the diffusion. To identify the appropriate growth model, this study compares the fitness and forecasting ability of three conventional models — the Logistic, Bass, and Gompertz models. The determinants of the diffusion rate are then analyzed based on the most appropriate model. Empirical results, based on data for mobile telephone subscribers in China for 1986–2007, indicate that the Gompertz model performs best. Moreover, the four determinants for the diffusion rate are: number of fixed-line telephone subscribers, the low cost of mobile handsets, pre-paid service and the personal handy-phone system (PHS) service.en_US
dc.format.extent 310458 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) International Journal of Innovation Management, 13(2), 1-26en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Innovation diffusion;mobile communications;mobile telephonyen_US
dc.title (題名) Innovation Diffusion: Mobile Telephony Adoption in Chinaen_US
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1142/S1363919609002285en_US
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S1363919609002285en_US