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題名 Valuation of Catastrophe Equity Puts with Markov-Modulated Poisson Processes
作者 Chang, C. C.;Lin, S. K.;Yu, M. T.
林士貴
貢獻者 金融系
日期 2011.06
上傳時間 27-Mar-2014 10:00:56 (UTC+8)
摘要 We derive the pricing formula for catastrophe equity put options (CatEPuts) by assuming catastrophic events follow a Markov Modulated Poisson process (MMPP) whose intensity varies according to the change of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) signal. U.S. hurricanes events from 1960 to 2007 show that the CatEPuts pricing errors under the MMPP(2) are smaller than the PP by 30 percent to 66 percent. The scenario analysis indicates that the MMPP outperforms the exponential growth pattern (EG) if the hurricane intensity is the AMO signal, whereas the EG may outperform the MMPP if the future climate is warming rapidly.
關聯 Journal of Risk and Insurance,78(2), 447-473
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6975.2010.01385.x
dc.contributor 金融系en_US
dc.creator (作者) Chang, C. C.;Lin, S. K.;Yu, M. T.en_US
dc.creator (作者) 林士貴-
dc.date (日期) 2011.06en_US
dc.date.accessioned 27-Mar-2014 10:00:56 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 27-Mar-2014 10:00:56 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 27-Mar-2014 10:00:56 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/64938-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) We derive the pricing formula for catastrophe equity put options (CatEPuts) by assuming catastrophic events follow a Markov Modulated Poisson process (MMPP) whose intensity varies according to the change of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) signal. U.S. hurricanes events from 1960 to 2007 show that the CatEPuts pricing errors under the MMPP(2) are smaller than the PP by 30 percent to 66 percent. The scenario analysis indicates that the MMPP outperforms the exponential growth pattern (EG) if the hurricane intensity is the AMO signal, whereas the EG may outperform the MMPP if the future climate is warming rapidly.en_US
dc.format.extent 325291 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) Journal of Risk and Insurance,78(2), 447-473en_US
dc.title (題名) Valuation of Catastrophe Equity Puts with Markov-Modulated Poisson Processesen_US
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1111/j.1539-6975.2010.01385.xen_US
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1539-6975.2010.01385.xen_US