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題名 Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Structural VARFIMA Models
作者 Tsay, Wen-Jen
蔡文禎
貢獻者 財政系
關鍵詞 Fractional cointegration; Structural VARFIMA; Durbin–Levinson algorithm
日期 2012.12
上傳時間 17-Apr-2014 16:25:36 (UTC+8)
摘要 This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of a class of structural vector autoregressive fractionally integrated moving-average (VARFIMA) models. The structural VARFIMA model includes the fractional cointegration model as one of its special cases. We show that the conditional likelihood Durbin–Levinson (CLDL) algorithm of Tsay (2010a) is a fast and reliable approach to estimate the long-run effects as well as the short- and longterm dynamics of a structural VARFIMA process simultaneously. In particular, the computational cost of the CLDL algorithm is much lower than that proposed in Sowell (1989) and Dueker and Startz (1998). We apply the CLDL method to the Congressional approval data of Durr et al. (1997) and find that the long-run effect of economic expectations on Congressional approval is at least 0.5718, which is over twice the estimate of 0.24 found in Table 2 of Box-Steffensmeier and Tomlinson (2000). This paper also tests the divided party government hypothesis with the CLDL algorithm.
關聯 Electoral Studie, 31(4), 852-860
資料來源 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2012.06.007
資料類型 article
dc.contributor 財政系en_US
dc.creator (作者) Tsay, Wen-Jenen_US
dc.creator (作者) 蔡文禎zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2012.12en_US
dc.date.accessioned 17-Apr-2014 16:25:36 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 17-Apr-2014 16:25:36 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 17-Apr-2014 16:25:36 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/65467-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of a class of structural vector autoregressive fractionally integrated moving-average (VARFIMA) models. The structural VARFIMA model includes the fractional cointegration model as one of its special cases. We show that the conditional likelihood Durbin–Levinson (CLDL) algorithm of Tsay (2010a) is a fast and reliable approach to estimate the long-run effects as well as the short- and longterm dynamics of a structural VARFIMA process simultaneously. In particular, the computational cost of the CLDL algorithm is much lower than that proposed in Sowell (1989) and Dueker and Startz (1998). We apply the CLDL method to the Congressional approval data of Durr et al. (1997) and find that the long-run effect of economic expectations on Congressional approval is at least 0.5718, which is over twice the estimate of 0.24 found in Table 2 of Box-Steffensmeier and Tomlinson (2000). This paper also tests the divided party government hypothesis with the CLDL algorithm.en_US
dc.format.extent 274011 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) Electoral Studie, 31(4), 852-860en_US
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2012.06.007en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Fractional cointegration; Structural VARFIMA; Durbin–Levinson algorithmen_US
dc.title (題名) Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Structural VARFIMA Modelsen_US
dc.type (資料類型) articleen