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題名 A Markov Regime-Switching ARMA Approach for Hedging Stock Indices.
作者 蔡文禎
Chen, Chao-Chun ; Tsay, Wen-Jen
貢獻者 財政系
日期 2011.02
上傳時間 17-Apr-2014 16:25:48 (UTC+8)
摘要 This study considers the hedging effectiveness of applying the N-state Markov regime-switching autoregressive moving-average (MRS-ARMA) model to the S&P-500 and FTSE-100 markets. The distinguishing feature of this study is to incorporate the observations of serially correlated stock returns into the hedging analysis. To resolve the problem of NT possible routes induced by the presence of MA parameters associated with the algorithm of Hamilton JD (1989) and a sample of size T, we propose an algorithm by combining the ideas of Hamilton JD (1989) and Gray SF (1996). We nd that the hedging performances of the three proposed MRS-MA(1) strategies herein are superior to their corresponding MRS counterparts considered in Alizadeh A and Nomikos N (2004) over the out-of-sample periods, even when we realistically track the transaction costs generated from rebalancing the hedged portfolios.
關聯 Journal of Futures Markets, 31(2), 165-191
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/fut.20465
dc.contributor 財政系en_US
dc.creator (作者) 蔡文禎zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Chen, Chao-Chun ; Tsay, Wen-Jenen_US
dc.date (日期) 2011.02en_US
dc.date.accessioned 17-Apr-2014 16:25:48 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 17-Apr-2014 16:25:48 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 17-Apr-2014 16:25:48 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/65468-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study considers the hedging effectiveness of applying the N-state Markov regime-switching autoregressive moving-average (MRS-ARMA) model to the S&P-500 and FTSE-100 markets. The distinguishing feature of this study is to incorporate the observations of serially correlated stock returns into the hedging analysis. To resolve the problem of NT possible routes induced by the presence of MA parameters associated with the algorithm of Hamilton JD (1989) and a sample of size T, we propose an algorithm by combining the ideas of Hamilton JD (1989) and Gray SF (1996). We nd that the hedging performances of the three proposed MRS-MA(1) strategies herein are superior to their corresponding MRS counterparts considered in Alizadeh A and Nomikos N (2004) over the out-of-sample periods, even when we realistically track the transaction costs generated from rebalancing the hedged portfolios.en_US
dc.format.extent 294999 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) Journal of Futures Markets, 31(2), 165-191en_US
dc.title (題名) A Markov Regime-Switching ARMA Approach for Hedging Stock Indices.en_US
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1002/fut.20465en_US
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/fut.20465 en_US