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題名 Intraday technical analysis of individual stocks on the Tokyo Stock Exchange
作者 山本竜市
Yamamoto, Ryuichi
貢獻者 國貿系
關鍵詞 Technical analysis; Order-flow imbalance; Order-book imbalance; Intraday trading; Data snooping; Japanese stock market
日期 2012.11
上傳時間 30-Jun-2014 17:56:54 (UTC+8)
摘要 This paper conducts an intraday technical analysis of individual stocks listed on the Nikkei 225. In addition to the price-based technical rules popularly examined in the literature, we uniquely propose and statistically investigate technical rules that utilize information regarding (1) the order-flow imbalance and (2) the order-book imbalance. Technical analysis using the imbalance-based trading rules is motivated by the evidence presented first in this paper that short-term returns can be predicted from the information regarding the order-flow and order-book imbalances for more than half of Nikkei 225-listed stocks. However, we demonstrate that no strategies, including limit order trading where trading signals are derived from the order-book imbalance, beat the buy-and-hold strategy within our sample. The results imply that past prices and demand/supply imbalances do not contribute to profiting in intraday trading and that non-execution and picking-off risks are too large for limit order trading to be profitable in our sample.
關聯 Journal of Banking and Finance, 36(11), 3033-3047
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.07.006
dc.contributor 國貿系en_US
dc.creator (作者) 山本竜市zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Yamamoto, Ryuichien_US
dc.date (日期) 2012.11en_US
dc.date.accessioned 30-Jun-2014 17:56:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 30-Jun-2014 17:56:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 30-Jun-2014 17:56:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/67028-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper conducts an intraday technical analysis of individual stocks listed on the Nikkei 225. In addition to the price-based technical rules popularly examined in the literature, we uniquely propose and statistically investigate technical rules that utilize information regarding (1) the order-flow imbalance and (2) the order-book imbalance. Technical analysis using the imbalance-based trading rules is motivated by the evidence presented first in this paper that short-term returns can be predicted from the information regarding the order-flow and order-book imbalances for more than half of Nikkei 225-listed stocks. However, we demonstrate that no strategies, including limit order trading where trading signals are derived from the order-book imbalance, beat the buy-and-hold strategy within our sample. The results imply that past prices and demand/supply imbalances do not contribute to profiting in intraday trading and that non-execution and picking-off risks are too large for limit order trading to be profitable in our sample.en_US
dc.format.extent 272877 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) Journal of Banking and Finance, 36(11), 3033-3047en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Technical analysis; Order-flow imbalance; Order-book imbalance; Intraday trading; Data snooping; Japanese stock marketen_US
dc.title (題名) Intraday technical analysis of individual stocks on the Tokyo Stock Exchangeen_US
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.07.006-
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.07.006-