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題名 政治分析與研究方法:論2002年立法院行使考試院正副院長同意權之投票模式
其他題名 On Research Methodology and Political Analysis: A Cross-Level Inference of the Legislative Yuan`s Consent Vote to the Nominees of the President and Vice-President of the Examination Yuan in 2002
作者 黃紀;吳重禮
Huang, Chi
貢獻者 政治系
關鍵詞 研究方法 ; 跟層推論 ; 分裂投票 ; 一致投票 ; 立法院
research methodology ; cross-level(ecological) inference ; splitticket voting ; straight-ticket voting ; the Legislative Yuan
日期 2003
上傳時間 29-Jul-2014 10:38:55 (UTC+8)
摘要 在社會科學領域之中,「瞭解事實,還原真相」,為研究考必須釐清、但卻可能是甚為棘手的問題。本研究以二○○二年六月二十一日立法院對於考試院正、副院長行使同意權為分析案例,嘗試藉由量化與質化交互為用的「跟層推論」(cross-level inference)的分析與新聞媒體的質化訊息,還原立法院對於考試院正副院長行使同意權的實際面貌。基本上,相關推論結果甚為「穩定」(robust),儘管與若即政治人物所宣稱的情形,差距甚遠。在結論中,本文提出該研究方法對爾後學術研究的意涵。
Social scientists constantly face the challenge of recovering information from messy and/or limited data. This article advocates a backward-elimination approach to cross-level inference that takes full advantage of known auxiliary data to recover unobserved and yet crucial information. Through examining the controversial case of the Legislative Yuan’s Consent Vote to the Nominees of the President and Vice-President of the Examination Yuan on June 21,2002, we show how to solve the puzzle of “who abstained in the vice-president nominee’s consent vote” by inferring the voting patterns of each party’s legislators from aggregate vote counts and news reports. Our solution is quite robust to various assumed scenarios despite the contrary claims made by politicians and pundits. We thus conclude that political scientists can expand their academic landscape by making creative use of this rich arsenal of research methodology.
關聯 問題與研究, 42(1), 1-17
資料類型 article
dc.contributor 政治系en_US
dc.creator (作者) 黃紀;吳重禮zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Huang, Chien_US
dc.date (日期) 2003en_US
dc.date.accessioned 29-Jul-2014 10:38:55 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 29-Jul-2014 10:38:55 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 29-Jul-2014 10:38:55 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/67791-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 在社會科學領域之中,「瞭解事實,還原真相」,為研究考必須釐清、但卻可能是甚為棘手的問題。本研究以二○○二年六月二十一日立法院對於考試院正、副院長行使同意權為分析案例,嘗試藉由量化與質化交互為用的「跟層推論」(cross-level inference)的分析與新聞媒體的質化訊息,還原立法院對於考試院正副院長行使同意權的實際面貌。基本上,相關推論結果甚為「穩定」(robust),儘管與若即政治人物所宣稱的情形,差距甚遠。在結論中,本文提出該研究方法對爾後學術研究的意涵。en_US
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Social scientists constantly face the challenge of recovering information from messy and/or limited data. This article advocates a backward-elimination approach to cross-level inference that takes full advantage of known auxiliary data to recover unobserved and yet crucial information. Through examining the controversial case of the Legislative Yuan’s Consent Vote to the Nominees of the President and Vice-President of the Examination Yuan on June 21,2002, we show how to solve the puzzle of “who abstained in the vice-president nominee’s consent vote” by inferring the voting patterns of each party’s legislators from aggregate vote counts and news reports. Our solution is quite robust to various assumed scenarios despite the contrary claims made by politicians and pundits. We thus conclude that political scientists can expand their academic landscape by making creative use of this rich arsenal of research methodology.en_US
dc.format.extent 1179424 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) 問題與研究, 42(1), 1-17en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 研究方法 ; 跟層推論 ; 分裂投票 ; 一致投票 ; 立法院en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) research methodology ; cross-level(ecological) inference ; splitticket voting ; straight-ticket voting ; the Legislative Yuanen_US
dc.title (題名) 政治分析與研究方法:論2002年立法院行使考試院正副院長同意權之投票模式zh_TW
dc.title.alternative (其他題名) On Research Methodology and Political Analysis: A Cross-Level Inference of the Legislative Yuan`s Consent Vote to the Nominees of the President and Vice-President of the Examination Yuan in 2002en_US
dc.type (資料類型) articleen