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題名 短期利率、股票風險貼水與市場擇時績效---台灣股市之探討
其他題名 Short-Term Rates, Equity Risk Premium and Market Timing---The Case of Taiwan
作者 徐燕山
貢獻者 財務管理學系
關鍵詞 風險貼水;市場擇時;股票市場;短期利率;市場績效;台灣
Risk premium;Market timing;Stock market;Short-term rate;Market performance;Taiwan
日期 1999
上傳時間 10-Sep-2014 17:47:49 (UTC+8)
摘要 本文分別探討短期利率與預期權益證卷溢酬在市場擇時上的績效。研究結果顯示,短期利率或預期權益證卷溢酬均具有相當的市場變動預測能力,短期利率在短期投資期間(三個月、六個月或九個月)的預測表現較佳,而預期權益證卷溢酬則在一年投資期間的預測上表現較佳;然而,整合這兩種預測工具卻無法提高市場預測能力。
This paper examines the market timing abilities in terms of short-term interest rate and expected equity risk premium. The empirical results show that both the short-term rate and expected equity risk premium possess forecasting abilities. The expected equity risk premium has better forecasting abilities for one-year investment horizon, while the short-term rate has better performance in the short-term investment horizons. The combining index through integrating the short-term rate and expected equity risk premium does not outperform either the short-term rate or the expected equity risk premium in market forecasting.
關聯 行政院國家科學委員會
計畫編號NSC88-2416-H004-002
資料類型 report
dc.contributor 財務管理學系en_US
dc.creator (作者) 徐燕山zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 1999en_US
dc.date.accessioned 10-Sep-2014 17:47:49 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 10-Sep-2014 17:47:49 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 10-Sep-2014 17:47:49 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/69772-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文分別探討短期利率與預期權益證卷溢酬在市場擇時上的績效。研究結果顯示,短期利率或預期權益證卷溢酬均具有相當的市場變動預測能力,短期利率在短期投資期間(三個月、六個月或九個月)的預測表現較佳,而預期權益證卷溢酬則在一年投資期間的預測上表現較佳;然而,整合這兩種預測工具卻無法提高市場預測能力。en_US
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper examines the market timing abilities in terms of short-term interest rate and expected equity risk premium. The empirical results show that both the short-term rate and expected equity risk premium possess forecasting abilities. The expected equity risk premium has better forecasting abilities for one-year investment horizon, while the short-term rate has better performance in the short-term investment horizons. The combining index through integrating the short-term rate and expected equity risk premium does not outperform either the short-term rate or the expected equity risk premium in market forecasting.en_US
dc.format.extent 135 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) 行政院國家科學委員會en_US
dc.relation (關聯) 計畫編號NSC88-2416-H004-002en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 風險貼水;市場擇時;股票市場;短期利率;市場績效;台灣en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Risk premium;Market timing;Stock market;Short-term rate;Market performance;Taiwanen_US
dc.title (題名) 短期利率、股票風險貼水與市場擇時績效---台灣股市之探討zh_TW
dc.title.alternative (其他題名) Short-Term Rates, Equity Risk Premium and Market Timing---The Case of Taiwanen_US
dc.type (資料類型) reporten