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題名 Asymmetric Volatility of House Prices in the UK
作者 陳明吉
I-Chun Tsai;Ming-Chi Chen
貢獻者 財管系
關鍵詞 Real estate;Prices;Cyclical demand;Residential property;United Kingdom
日期 2009
上傳時間 14-Nov-2014 18:23:32 (UTC+8)
摘要 Purpose– The purpose of this paper is to show an indication that the asymmetric volatility between house price movement may account for the defensiveness of the housing market.Design/methodology/approach– First the UK nation‐wide house price data from the last quarter (Q4) of 1955 to the last quarter of 2005 are used and then the most suitable mean and variance equations to estimate the conditional heteroscedasticity volatilities of the returns of house prices are selected. Second, a variable that examines the leverage effect of volatility is incorporated into the model. The GJR‐GARCH model is used.Findings– The results of the empirical test show that while the lagged innovations are negatively correlated with housing return, that is when there is bad news, the current volatility of housing return might decline.Research limitations/implications– The results indicate that the volatilities between house prices moving up and moving down are asymmetric.Practical implications– The results show that there is a defensive effect in the UK housing market during the data periods used.Originality/value– Although several articles have documented that there is heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation in the volatilities of real estate prices, few of those papers have noted one of the most important advantages of the housing market, its defensiveness, from the viewpoint of volatile behavior.
關聯 Property Management, 27(2), 80-90
資料類型 article
dc.contributor 財管系en_US
dc.creator (作者) 陳明吉zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) I-Chun Tsai;Ming-Chi Chenen_US
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 14-Nov-2014 18:23:32 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 14-Nov-2014 18:23:32 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 14-Nov-2014 18:23:32 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/71494-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Purpose– The purpose of this paper is to show an indication that the asymmetric volatility between house price movement may account for the defensiveness of the housing market.Design/methodology/approach– First the UK nation‐wide house price data from the last quarter (Q4) of 1955 to the last quarter of 2005 are used and then the most suitable mean and variance equations to estimate the conditional heteroscedasticity volatilities of the returns of house prices are selected. Second, a variable that examines the leverage effect of volatility is incorporated into the model. The GJR‐GARCH model is used.Findings– The results of the empirical test show that while the lagged innovations are negatively correlated with housing return, that is when there is bad news, the current volatility of housing return might decline.Research limitations/implications– The results indicate that the volatilities between house prices moving up and moving down are asymmetric.Practical implications– The results show that there is a defensive effect in the UK housing market during the data periods used.Originality/value– Although several articles have documented that there is heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation in the volatilities of real estate prices, few of those papers have noted one of the most important advantages of the housing market, its defensiveness, from the viewpoint of volatile behavior.en_US
dc.format.extent 290971 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) Property Management, 27(2), 80-90en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Real estate;Prices;Cyclical demand;Residential property;United Kingdomen_US
dc.title (題名) Asymmetric Volatility of House Prices in the UKen_US
dc.type (資料類型) articleen