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題名 GARCH, jumps and permanent and transitory components of volatility: the case of the Taiwan exchange rate
作者 Shen, Chung-Hua;Chen, Shyh-wei
沈中華
貢獻者 金融系
關鍵詞 Component,model in volatiltiy; GARCH; Jump
日期 2004
上傳時間 23-Mar-2015 18:19:22 (UTC+8)
摘要 This paper investigates whether there are three distinctive features in financial asset prices, that is, time-varying conditional volatility, jumps and the component factors of volatility. It adopts a component-GARCH-Jump, which can efficiently capture the three features simultaneously. Our results demonstrate,that the three features exist in the Taiwan exchange rate. Besides time-varying conditional volatility, our model identifies 172 jumps between 5 January 1988 and 21 March 2003. The empirical evidence shows that the permanent,component,of the conditional variance is a relatively smooth movement,except for a fairly sharp shift which began in 1997. This means,that the effect of the Asian crisis shock might very well have exerted not only a transitory jump effect, but also a permanent effect on Taiwan’s exchange rate.
關聯 Mathematics and Computers in Simulation , 67(3), 201-216
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2004.06.006
dc.contributor 金融系
dc.creator (作者) Shen, Chung-Hua;Chen, Shyh-wei
dc.creator (作者) 沈中華zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2004
dc.date.accessioned 23-Mar-2015 18:19:22 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 23-Mar-2015 18:19:22 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 23-Mar-2015 18:19:22 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/73960-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper investigates whether there are three distinctive features in financial asset prices, that is, time-varying conditional volatility, jumps and the component factors of volatility. It adopts a component-GARCH-Jump, which can efficiently capture the three features simultaneously. Our results demonstrate,that the three features exist in the Taiwan exchange rate. Besides time-varying conditional volatility, our model identifies 172 jumps between 5 January 1988 and 21 March 2003. The empirical evidence shows that the permanent,component,of the conditional variance is a relatively smooth movement,except for a fairly sharp shift which began in 1997. This means,that the effect of the Asian crisis shock might very well have exerted not only a transitory jump effect, but also a permanent effect on Taiwan’s exchange rate.
dc.format.extent 267755 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) Mathematics and Computers in Simulation , 67(3), 201-216
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Component,model in volatiltiy; GARCH; Jump
dc.title (題名) GARCH, jumps and permanent and transitory components of volatility: the case of the Taiwan exchange rate
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1016/j.matcom.2004.06.006en_US
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2004.06.006en_US