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題名 Empirical study of the local government deficit, land finance and real estate markets in China
作者 Pan J.-N., Huang J.-T., Chiang T.-F.
黃智聰
貢獻者 財政系
關鍵詞 Local government deficit; Land finance; Real estate; China; Panel smooth transition regression model
日期 2015-02
上傳時間 25-Mar-2015 10:15:42 (UTC+8)
摘要 The purpose of this study is to explore an important issue concerning the relationship among the local government deficit, land finance and real estate markets in China. This study uses a panel data of 30 provinces in China during 1999–2010 to estimate the panel smooth transition regression model. Since the estimated transition threshold value is 14.62, provinces with the ratio of fiscal deficits to GDP of greater than 14.62% are categorized as in the high fiscal difficulty (HFD) regime. Otherwise they are in the low fiscal difficulty (LFD) regime. The primary finding of this study is that the land leasing fee has a significantly positive influence on the total value of commodity buildings sold in the LFD regime. In addition, the local fiscal deficit has a significantly positive impact on the real estate market in the LFD regime, but this impact turns to be negative in the HFD regime.
關聯 China Economic Review,32,57-67
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2014.11.003
dc.contributor 財政系
dc.creator (作者) Pan J.-N., Huang J.-T., Chiang T.-F.
dc.creator (作者) 黃智聰zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2015-02
dc.date.accessioned 25-Mar-2015 10:15:42 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 25-Mar-2015 10:15:42 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 25-Mar-2015 10:15:42 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/74027-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The purpose of this study is to explore an important issue concerning the relationship among the local government deficit, land finance and real estate markets in China. This study uses a panel data of 30 provinces in China during 1999–2010 to estimate the panel smooth transition regression model. Since the estimated transition threshold value is 14.62, provinces with the ratio of fiscal deficits to GDP of greater than 14.62% are categorized as in the high fiscal difficulty (HFD) regime. Otherwise they are in the low fiscal difficulty (LFD) regime. The primary finding of this study is that the land leasing fee has a significantly positive influence on the total value of commodity buildings sold in the LFD regime. In addition, the local fiscal deficit has a significantly positive impact on the real estate market in the LFD regime, but this impact turns to be negative in the HFD regime.
dc.format.extent 480038 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) China Economic Review,32,57-67
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Local government deficit; Land finance; Real estate; China; Panel smooth transition regression model
dc.title (題名) Empirical study of the local government deficit, land finance and real estate markets in China
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1016/j.chieco.2014.11.003en_US
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2014.11.003en_US