學術產出-Periodical Articles

Article View/Open

Publication Export

Google ScholarTM

政大圖書館

Citation Infomation

題名 THE USE OF HIGH FREQUENCY DATA TO IMPROVE MACROECONOMETRIC FORECAST
作者 Shen, Chung-Hua;LIOU, RUEY-WAN
沈中華
貢獻者 金融系
日期 1996
上傳時間 30-Mar-2015 12:02:08 (UTC+8)
摘要 Monthly measurements generally provide valuable information for future economic movements. This study demonstrates how the high frequency data, through a subset of variables in the monthly model, can be pooled in a systematic way via the quarterly econometric model as well as improve the forecasting accuracy. Three monthly models, VAR, BVAR, and ARIMA are used to capture the monthly information. Single-and tow-quarter-ahead forecasts are combined with the monthly data. Results obtained by using the modified Taiwan government quarterly model indicate the potential for significant reductions in root mean squared errors over the one-quarter-ahead forecasts. However, the gain appears to be of less relevance for the longer-term forecast horizon.
關聯 International Economic Journal , vol. 10, no. 2, pp. 65-83
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10168739600000020
dc.contributor 金融系
dc.creator (作者) Shen, Chung-Hua;LIOU, RUEY-WAN
dc.creator (作者) 沈中華zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 1996
dc.date.accessioned 30-Mar-2015 12:02:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 30-Mar-2015 12:02:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 30-Mar-2015 12:02:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/74185-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Monthly measurements generally provide valuable information for future economic movements. This study demonstrates how the high frequency data, through a subset of variables in the monthly model, can be pooled in a systematic way via the quarterly econometric model as well as improve the forecasting accuracy. Three monthly models, VAR, BVAR, and ARIMA are used to capture the monthly information. Single-and tow-quarter-ahead forecasts are combined with the monthly data. Results obtained by using the modified Taiwan government quarterly model indicate the potential for significant reductions in root mean squared errors over the one-quarter-ahead forecasts. However, the gain appears to be of less relevance for the longer-term forecast horizon.
dc.format.extent 137 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.relation (關聯) International Economic Journal , vol. 10, no. 2, pp. 65-83
dc.title (題名) THE USE OF HIGH FREQUENCY DATA TO IMPROVE MACROECONOMETRIC FORECAST
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1080/10168739600000020en_US
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10168739600000020 en_US