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題名 Inflation and economic growth in China: An empirical analysis
作者 Hwang, J.-T.;Wu, Ming-Jia
吳銘家
貢獻者 東亞所
關鍵詞 China; Growth; Inflation; Nonlinearity; Threshold effect
日期 2011-09
上傳時間 22-Jun-2015 15:55:30 (UTC+8)
摘要 Using official provincial data for gross provincial product, consumer price index and other explanatory variables from 1986 to 2006, the present paper investigates the nonlinear effects of inflation on economic growth in China. The main finding of the study is that the inflation threshold effect is highly significant and robust in China. Above the 2.50 percent threshold, every 1-percentage point increase in the inflation rate impedes economic growth by 0.61 percent; below this threshold, every 1-percentage point increase in the inflation rate stimulates growth by 0.53 percent. This indicates that high inflation harms economic growth, whereas moderate inflation benefits growth. We suggest that China should maintain a moderate inflation rate for long-run growth. © 2011 The Authors China & World Economy © 2011 Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
關聯 China and World Economy, 19(5), 67-84
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-124X.2011.01259.x
dc.contributor 東亞所
dc.creator (作者) Hwang, J.-T.;Wu, Ming-Jia
dc.creator (作者) 吳銘家zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2011-09
dc.date.accessioned 22-Jun-2015 15:55:30 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 22-Jun-2015 15:55:30 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 22-Jun-2015 15:55:30 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/76032-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Using official provincial data for gross provincial product, consumer price index and other explanatory variables from 1986 to 2006, the present paper investigates the nonlinear effects of inflation on economic growth in China. The main finding of the study is that the inflation threshold effect is highly significant and robust in China. Above the 2.50 percent threshold, every 1-percentage point increase in the inflation rate impedes economic growth by 0.61 percent; below this threshold, every 1-percentage point increase in the inflation rate stimulates growth by 0.53 percent. This indicates that high inflation harms economic growth, whereas moderate inflation benefits growth. We suggest that China should maintain a moderate inflation rate for long-run growth. © 2011 The Authors China & World Economy © 2011 Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
dc.format.extent 211781 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) China and World Economy, 19(5), 67-84
dc.subject (關鍵詞) China; Growth; Inflation; Nonlinearity; Threshold effect
dc.title (題名) Inflation and economic growth in China: An empirical analysis
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1111/j.1749-124X.2011.01259.x
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1749-124X.2011.01259.x