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題名 住宅負擔能力、自備款資金與消費行為關係之研究
The Study of Relationship among Housing Affordability, Buy-House Down Payment and Consumption Behavior
作者 王景澤
Wang, Ching Tse
貢獻者 林秋瑾
Lin, Vickey Chiu Chin
王景澤
Wang,Ching Tse
關鍵詞 住宅負擔能力
購屋自備款資金來源
消費行為
居住行為
生活行為
Housing Affordability
Buy-House Down Payment
Consumption Behavior
Lifestyle Behaviors
Residential Behaviors
日期 2015
上傳時間 17-Aug-2015 14:15:10 (UTC+8)
摘要 近年來,國內房價飆漲,自民國93年以來國內房價所得比自民國93年第1季為4.7倍成長至民國103年第1季為7.51倍,尤其台北市自民國93年第1季為6.14倍成長至民國103年第1季為14.6倍最為嚴重,住宅負擔能力成為社會大眾所關注之議題。本文探討住宅負擔能力與購屋自備款資金來源種類互動關係,以及房價或租金負擔與消費行為間關聯性。
對於購屋自備款資金來源與負擔能力,由二元羅吉斯特迴歸模型分析不同購屋自備款資金來源選擇與負擔能力之關係,再採複迴歸模型分析購屋自備款資金來源對購屋負擔能力造成之影響。透過二元羅吉斯特迴歸模型分析,在購屋自備款資金來源無須或須償還選擇中,以不同購屋者選擇之有顯著影響因子分別為購屋區位、家戶月所得、貸款負擔率。複迴歸模型分析影響貸款負擔率,顯著影響因子分別為購屋區位、購屋面積、家戶月所得、購屋決策者年齡、購屋自備款資金來源。
另外,房價或租金負擔與消費行為關聯性分析,本文將消費行為分為居住及生活行為,以複迴歸模型分析影響因子,再以次數分配分析減少生活支出項目及影響程度,發現因購屋或租屋支出,而減少生活支出項目,相同支出為基本日常開支、休閒娛樂(如旅遊)等2項;不同支出項目,購屋者為減少投資理財及儲蓄,租屋者以購物及奢侈品支出減少,兩者消費行為不同,購屋者較重視投資理財及儲蓄;然由影響程度大小觀察,得知租屋者影響程度較大,其經濟能力通常較差。
In recent few years, the housing price grows rapidly. Since 2004, the growth of housing price was 470% in the first quarter of 2004 and 751% in the first quarter of 2014. In Taipei city, the growth of housing price was 614% in the first quarter of 2004, and it was the worst with growth rate of 1460% in the first quarter of 2014. Therefore, the ability of mortgage loan is the top focusing topic around the country. In our study we discusses the association of the ability of mortgage loan and the source of down payment; the association between housing price versus buying consumption behavior and rental fee versus buying consumption behavior.

In our study, we discuss three topics. First, the association of the ability of mortgage loan and the source of down payment is analyzed by using logistic regression. In the logistic regression, the response variable is the down payment with or without second mortgage. The significant variables for impacting the sources of down payment are the location of house, the monthly income of household, the percentage of mortgage loan to household income. Second, the impact of mortgage loan is analyzed by multivariate regression. In multivariate regression for the impacting of mortgage loan, the significant variables are the location of house, the size of house, the monthly income of household, the age of housing buyer, and the source of down payment.

Third, housing price or rent burdens associated with consumption behavior analysis,This article will be divided into residential consumption behavior and lifestyle behaviors. The analyzing methods are multiple regression and frequency distribution analysis. The most important finding is that people with mortgage loan or rental fee have lower down their living expense. The same expenditures for these two groups (homeowner and renter) are grocery expenditures and entertainment expenditures. The difference expenditures are the reduction of investment and savings for homeowners; the reduction of shopping expenditures and purchasing luxury products for renter. The buying powers are different between homeowners and renters. The homeowners are more focus on the investments and savings. However, the buying power has more impact for renters, who have poor economic status.
參考文獻 一、中文部分
1.朱柔若,2000,『社會研究方法:質化與量化取向』,台北:揚智文化。
2.卓至柔,2012,「以住宅負擔能力角度衡量購屋負擔差距機率–台北都會區家戶為例–」,成功大學都市計劃學系碩士論文:台南。
3.林建華,2001,「承租戶租金負擔能力之分析-台北地區及台南地區之比較」,成功大學都市計劃學系碩士論文:台南。
4.林秋瑾、黃佩玲,1995,「住宅價格與總體經濟變數關係之研究-以向量自我迴歸模式(VAR)進行實證」,『國立政治大學學報』,71(下):143-159。
5.林家興,2002,「應用『華人家庭動態資料庫』建立台灣家戶之住宅權屬選擇模型」,成功大學都市計劃學系碩士論文:台南。
6.林萬億,2003,「論我國的社會住宅政策與社會照顧的結合」,『國家政策季刊』
7.花敬群; 林秋瑾(2014) "102年度「辦理房價負擔能力資訊統計分析與發布」,"內政部營建署委託資訊服務案成果報告。
8.高國峰,2000,「台北市合理房價之研究-從住宅負擔能力之角度分析」,政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:台北。
9.張金鶚,2000,「台灣地區合理房價之研究」,行政院國家科學委員會委託研究報告。
10.張金鶚、高國峰、林秋瑾,2001,「台北市合理房價-需求面分析」,『住宅學報』,10(1):51-66。
11.張金鶚; 林秋瑾; 周美伶; 周芳妮(2011) "99 年度「住宅需求動向調查」,"內政部營建署委託資訊服務案成果報告。
12.張金鶚; 林秋瑾; 周美伶; 周芳妮(2012) "100年度「住宅需求動向調查」,"內政部營建署委託資訊服務案成果報告。
13.張金鶚; 林秋瑾; 周美伶; 周芳妮(2013) "101年度「住宅需求動向調查」,"內政部營建署委託資訊服務案成果報告。
14.曹証鈞,2009,「購屋負擔能力與住宅政策-以臺北市為例」,政治大學財政研究所碩士論文:台北。
15.紹凱揚,2012,「自備款來源對購屋負擔與購屋行為關係之研究」,玄奘大學財務金融學系碩士論文:台北。
16.陳明吉、蔡怡純、張金鶚,2003,「住宅負擔能力惡化之再檢視-台北市住宅市場分析」,『台大管理論叢(TSSCI)』,14(1):47-78。
17.陳慧敏,1992,「由住宅負擔能力與補貼公平探討我國購屋貸款制度」,政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:台北。
18.陳慧敏、張金鶚,1993,「由購屋能力與補貼公平探討我國購屋貸款制度」,『臺灣土地金融季刊』,30(1):19-28。
19.彭建文、蔡怡純,2012,「住宅負擔能力與住宅自有率之長期關係─追蹤資料共整合分析應用」,『住宅學報』,21(1):1-27。
20.彭建文; 林秋瑾;周美伶; 周芳妮(2014) "102年度「住宅需求動向調查」,"內政部營建署委託資訊服務案成果報告。
21.曾平毅,1994,「都會區擁屋力之研究」,交通大學交通運輸研究所博士論文:新竹。
22.鄧依萍,2003,「台灣地區房屋購買力指數分析與家戶特徵對購屋能力影響之研究」,政治大學財務管理研究所碩士論文:台北。
23.鄧依萍、姜堯民,2004,『房屋購買力指數計算及其影響因訴分析』,2004中華民國住宅學會論文集。
24.薛立敏,1995,「房價過高問題的本質及解決方式之探討」,『住宅學報』,3卷:111-113。
25.薛立敏,1996,「房價、購屋能力、擁屋行為與住宅自有率關係之探討」,行政院國家科學委員會委託研究報告。
26.謝博明,2006,「台灣家庭所得與住宅消費之分配與變動:1980-2000」,『住宅學報』,15(1):59-78。
二、英文部分
1.Bourassa, S. C. (1996), “Measuring the Affordability of Home-ownership, Urban Studies, 33(10) pp.1867-1877.
2.Bramley, G. (1990), “Access, Affordability and Housing Need, Paper Presented at ESRC Housing Studies Conference University of Surrey, September 1990, Mimeograph, SAUS University of Bristol.
3.Gan, Q. & Hill R. J. (2009), “Measuring Housing Affordability: LookingBeyond the Median, Journal of Housing Economics, 18(2):pp.115-125.
4.Lerman, D. L., & Reeder W. J. (1987), “The affordability of adequate housing, AREUEA Journal, Vol.15, pp.389-404.
5.Lin, V.C.C., Hua, J.C. & Huang, S. J. (2013),“The Impacts Study on Housing Affordability and Consumption Behavior by Sources of Buy-House Down payment, Paper Presented at The 2013 AsRES International Conference, June 28-July 1,2013, Kyoto,Japan.
6.Moore, D. J. (1991), “Homeownership Affordability Series Forcasting theProbability of Homeownership: A Cross-Sectional Regression Analysis,”Journal of Housing Research, Vol.2, 2, pp.125-143.
7.Murray, M. S. (1997), “Low-Income Rentr Housing: Another View of the Tough Choice,” Journal of Housing Research, Vol.8, 1, pp.27-51.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
地政學系碩士在職專班
98923021
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098923021
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 林秋瑾zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Lin, Vickey Chiu Chinen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 王景澤zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Wang,Ching Tseen_US
dc.creator (作者) 王景澤zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Wang, Ching Tseen_US
dc.date (日期) 2015en_US
dc.date.accessioned 17-Aug-2015 14:15:10 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 17-Aug-2015 14:15:10 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 17-Aug-2015 14:15:10 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0098923021en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/77594-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 地政學系碩士在職專班zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98923021zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 近年來,國內房價飆漲,自民國93年以來國內房價所得比自民國93年第1季為4.7倍成長至民國103年第1季為7.51倍,尤其台北市自民國93年第1季為6.14倍成長至民國103年第1季為14.6倍最為嚴重,住宅負擔能力成為社會大眾所關注之議題。本文探討住宅負擔能力與購屋自備款資金來源種類互動關係,以及房價或租金負擔與消費行為間關聯性。
對於購屋自備款資金來源與負擔能力,由二元羅吉斯特迴歸模型分析不同購屋自備款資金來源選擇與負擔能力之關係,再採複迴歸模型分析購屋自備款資金來源對購屋負擔能力造成之影響。透過二元羅吉斯特迴歸模型分析,在購屋自備款資金來源無須或須償還選擇中,以不同購屋者選擇之有顯著影響因子分別為購屋區位、家戶月所得、貸款負擔率。複迴歸模型分析影響貸款負擔率,顯著影響因子分別為購屋區位、購屋面積、家戶月所得、購屋決策者年齡、購屋自備款資金來源。
另外,房價或租金負擔與消費行為關聯性分析,本文將消費行為分為居住及生活行為,以複迴歸模型分析影響因子,再以次數分配分析減少生活支出項目及影響程度,發現因購屋或租屋支出,而減少生活支出項目,相同支出為基本日常開支、休閒娛樂(如旅遊)等2項;不同支出項目,購屋者為減少投資理財及儲蓄,租屋者以購物及奢侈品支出減少,兩者消費行為不同,購屋者較重視投資理財及儲蓄;然由影響程度大小觀察,得知租屋者影響程度較大,其經濟能力通常較差。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) In recent few years, the housing price grows rapidly. Since 2004, the growth of housing price was 470% in the first quarter of 2004 and 751% in the first quarter of 2014. In Taipei city, the growth of housing price was 614% in the first quarter of 2004, and it was the worst with growth rate of 1460% in the first quarter of 2014. Therefore, the ability of mortgage loan is the top focusing topic around the country. In our study we discusses the association of the ability of mortgage loan and the source of down payment; the association between housing price versus buying consumption behavior and rental fee versus buying consumption behavior.

In our study, we discuss three topics. First, the association of the ability of mortgage loan and the source of down payment is analyzed by using logistic regression. In the logistic regression, the response variable is the down payment with or without second mortgage. The significant variables for impacting the sources of down payment are the location of house, the monthly income of household, the percentage of mortgage loan to household income. Second, the impact of mortgage loan is analyzed by multivariate regression. In multivariate regression for the impacting of mortgage loan, the significant variables are the location of house, the size of house, the monthly income of household, the age of housing buyer, and the source of down payment.

Third, housing price or rent burdens associated with consumption behavior analysis,This article will be divided into residential consumption behavior and lifestyle behaviors. The analyzing methods are multiple regression and frequency distribution analysis. The most important finding is that people with mortgage loan or rental fee have lower down their living expense. The same expenditures for these two groups (homeowner and renter) are grocery expenditures and entertainment expenditures. The difference expenditures are the reduction of investment and savings for homeowners; the reduction of shopping expenditures and purchasing luxury products for renter. The buying powers are different between homeowners and renters. The homeowners are more focus on the investments and savings. However, the buying power has more impact for renters, who have poor economic status.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與問題 1
第二節 研究目的與方法 3
第三節 研究範圍與限制 4
第四節 研究架構與流程 5
第二章 文獻回顧 7
第一節 住宅負擔能力之定義 7
第二節 國內房價高漲及負擔能力議題 12
第三節 影響住宅負擔能力之因素 14
第四節 小結 17
第三章 現況分析與研究設計 19
第一節 購屋負擔能力現況分析 19
第二節 租屋負擔能力現況分析 24
第三節 研究設計與資料說明 30
第四章 實證分析 33
第一節 資金來源與負擔能力實證分析 33
第二節 購屋負擔能力與居住、生活行為實證分析 59
第三節 租金負擔能力與居住、生活行為實證分析 67
第五章 結論與建議 75
第一節 結 論 75
第二節 建議 77
參考文獻 78
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 1414346 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098923021en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 住宅負擔能力zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 購屋自備款資金來源zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 消費行為zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 居住行為zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 生活行為zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Housing Affordabilityen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Buy-House Down Paymenten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Consumption Behavioren_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Lifestyle Behaviorsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Residential Behaviorsen_US
dc.title (題名) 住宅負擔能力、自備款資金與消費行為關係之研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The Study of Relationship among Housing Affordability, Buy-House Down Payment and Consumption Behavioren_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、中文部分
1.朱柔若,2000,『社會研究方法:質化與量化取向』,台北:揚智文化。
2.卓至柔,2012,「以住宅負擔能力角度衡量購屋負擔差距機率–台北都會區家戶為例–」,成功大學都市計劃學系碩士論文:台南。
3.林建華,2001,「承租戶租金負擔能力之分析-台北地區及台南地區之比較」,成功大學都市計劃學系碩士論文:台南。
4.林秋瑾、黃佩玲,1995,「住宅價格與總體經濟變數關係之研究-以向量自我迴歸模式(VAR)進行實證」,『國立政治大學學報』,71(下):143-159。
5.林家興,2002,「應用『華人家庭動態資料庫』建立台灣家戶之住宅權屬選擇模型」,成功大學都市計劃學系碩士論文:台南。
6.林萬億,2003,「論我國的社會住宅政策與社會照顧的結合」,『國家政策季刊』
7.花敬群; 林秋瑾(2014) "102年度「辦理房價負擔能力資訊統計分析與發布」,"內政部營建署委託資訊服務案成果報告。
8.高國峰,2000,「台北市合理房價之研究-從住宅負擔能力之角度分析」,政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:台北。
9.張金鶚,2000,「台灣地區合理房價之研究」,行政院國家科學委員會委託研究報告。
10.張金鶚、高國峰、林秋瑾,2001,「台北市合理房價-需求面分析」,『住宅學報』,10(1):51-66。
11.張金鶚; 林秋瑾; 周美伶; 周芳妮(2011) "99 年度「住宅需求動向調查」,"內政部營建署委託資訊服務案成果報告。
12.張金鶚; 林秋瑾; 周美伶; 周芳妮(2012) "100年度「住宅需求動向調查」,"內政部營建署委託資訊服務案成果報告。
13.張金鶚; 林秋瑾; 周美伶; 周芳妮(2013) "101年度「住宅需求動向調查」,"內政部營建署委託資訊服務案成果報告。
14.曹証鈞,2009,「購屋負擔能力與住宅政策-以臺北市為例」,政治大學財政研究所碩士論文:台北。
15.紹凱揚,2012,「自備款來源對購屋負擔與購屋行為關係之研究」,玄奘大學財務金融學系碩士論文:台北。
16.陳明吉、蔡怡純、張金鶚,2003,「住宅負擔能力惡化之再檢視-台北市住宅市場分析」,『台大管理論叢(TSSCI)』,14(1):47-78。
17.陳慧敏,1992,「由住宅負擔能力與補貼公平探討我國購屋貸款制度」,政治大學地政研究所碩士論文:台北。
18.陳慧敏、張金鶚,1993,「由購屋能力與補貼公平探討我國購屋貸款制度」,『臺灣土地金融季刊』,30(1):19-28。
19.彭建文、蔡怡純,2012,「住宅負擔能力與住宅自有率之長期關係─追蹤資料共整合分析應用」,『住宅學報』,21(1):1-27。
20.彭建文; 林秋瑾;周美伶; 周芳妮(2014) "102年度「住宅需求動向調查」,"內政部營建署委託資訊服務案成果報告。
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二、英文部分
1.Bourassa, S. C. (1996), “Measuring the Affordability of Home-ownership, Urban Studies, 33(10) pp.1867-1877.
2.Bramley, G. (1990), “Access, Affordability and Housing Need, Paper Presented at ESRC Housing Studies Conference University of Surrey, September 1990, Mimeograph, SAUS University of Bristol.
3.Gan, Q. & Hill R. J. (2009), “Measuring Housing Affordability: LookingBeyond the Median, Journal of Housing Economics, 18(2):pp.115-125.
4.Lerman, D. L., & Reeder W. J. (1987), “The affordability of adequate housing, AREUEA Journal, Vol.15, pp.389-404.
5.Lin, V.C.C., Hua, J.C. & Huang, S. J. (2013),“The Impacts Study on Housing Affordability and Consumption Behavior by Sources of Buy-House Down payment, Paper Presented at The 2013 AsRES International Conference, June 28-July 1,2013, Kyoto,Japan.
6.Moore, D. J. (1991), “Homeownership Affordability Series Forcasting theProbability of Homeownership: A Cross-Sectional Regression Analysis,”Journal of Housing Research, Vol.2, 2, pp.125-143.
7.Murray, M. S. (1997), “Low-Income Rentr Housing: Another View of the Tough Choice,” Journal of Housing Research, Vol.8, 1, pp.27-51.
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