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題名 Combining conjoint analysis, scenario analysis, the Delphi method, and the innovation diffusion model to analyze the development of innovative products in Taiwan`s TV market
作者 Tseng, Fang-Mei;Lin, Ya-Ti;Yang, Shen-Chi
貢獻者 企管系
關鍵詞 Conjoint analysis;Scenario analysis;Innovative diffusion model;LED TV
日期 2012-10
上傳時間 24-Aug-2015 11:45:16 (UTC+8)
摘要 In science and technology industries, innovative products are launched rapidly, making the lifecycle of new products ever shorter. Thus, it is important that companies understand consumers` needs and consider expert opinion when analyzing the development of a new technology. However, no studies have combined these two perspectives with regard to the development of a new product. Therefore, this research combined conjoint analysis, scenario analysis, and the Delphi method with the innovative diffusion model to analyze the development of Taiwan`s TV market over the next 10 years. The results show that the outlook for demand for light-emitting diode (LED) TVs in Taiwan is very optimistic; sales of LED TVs will surpass sales of liquid crystal display TVs in 2015 in the optimistic scenario and in 2017 in the most likely scenario.
關聯 Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79(8), 1462-1473
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2012.04.022
dc.contributor 企管系
dc.creator (作者) Tseng, Fang-Mei;Lin, Ya-Ti;Yang, Shen-Chi
dc.date (日期) 2012-10
dc.date.accessioned 24-Aug-2015 11:45:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 24-Aug-2015 11:45:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 24-Aug-2015 11:45:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/77946-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) In science and technology industries, innovative products are launched rapidly, making the lifecycle of new products ever shorter. Thus, it is important that companies understand consumers` needs and consider expert opinion when analyzing the development of a new technology. However, no studies have combined these two perspectives with regard to the development of a new product. Therefore, this research combined conjoint analysis, scenario analysis, and the Delphi method with the innovative diffusion model to analyze the development of Taiwan`s TV market over the next 10 years. The results show that the outlook for demand for light-emitting diode (LED) TVs in Taiwan is very optimistic; sales of LED TVs will surpass sales of liquid crystal display TVs in 2015 in the optimistic scenario and in 2017 in the most likely scenario.
dc.format.extent 570845 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 79(8), 1462-1473
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Conjoint analysis;Scenario analysis;Innovative diffusion model;LED TV
dc.title (題名) Combining conjoint analysis, scenario analysis, the Delphi method, and the innovation diffusion model to analyze the development of innovative products in Taiwan`s TV market
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.04.022
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2012.04.022