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題名 金融發展對經濟成長的影響-動態追蹤資料門檻模型
其他題名 The Role of Financial Development to Economic Growth-Dynamic Panel Threshold Model
作者 Shen, Chung-Hua;Lin, Chang-Ping
沈中華;林昌平
貢獻者 經濟系
關鍵詞 經濟成長;金融發展;門檻迴歸;GMM估計法;追蹤資料
Economic Growth;Financial Development;Threshold Regression;GMM Estimation;Panel Data
日期 2009-07
上傳時間 6-Oct-2015 14:52:09 (UTC+8)
摘要 本文旨在探討於全球的架構下,各國金融發展對於經濟成長之關係爲何?並且進一步探討銀行發展及股市發展是否對經濟成長有不對稱效果。對於過去相關文獻無法獲得金融發展與經濟成長間一致的關係,我們懷疑應與金融發展與經濟成長間爲非線性關係有關。延伸Shen and Lee (2006)我們將探討是否於金融發展與經濟成長間存在著銀行的門檻效果,並提出兩個假說,第一是「blessing-in-low-regime」,即在低度銀行發展區域,金融發展對於經濟成長有正面影響。第二是「curse-in-high-regime」,即在高度銀行發展區域,金融發展對於經濟成長有負面影響。本文發展一個新的模型:動態追蹤資料門檻模型(dynamic panel threshold model, DPTM)是延伸Hansen (1999)的追蹤資料門檻模型(panel threshold model, PTM),認爲經濟成長會受到自己上一期變數所影響,結果指出就銀行發展對於經濟成長的影響而言,在低度銀行發展區域支持「blessing-in-low-regime」;在高度銀行發展區域支持「curse-in-high-regime」。反之,就股市發展對於經濟成長的影響,在低度銀行發展區域並不支持「blessing-in-low-regime」;在高度銀行發展區域亦不支持「curse-in-high-regime」。
This paper is aimed to investigate the asymmetric effect between financial development and the economic growth. Following Shen and Lee`s (2006) findings, we plan to examine whether the effect of financial development on the growth depends on the threshold variable of bank development. Our hypothesis is thus that the bank development is a blessing to economic growth at the low bank development regime but a curse at the high bank development regime. To examine this ”blessing-in-low-regime” and ”curse-in-high-regim” hypothesis, we develop a dynamic panel threshold model (DPTM) to test this hypothesis. The DPTM is a direct extension of the non-dynamic panel threshold model of Hansen (1999). We can conclude with that the effect of bank development on the growth support the hypothesis ”blessing-in-low-regime” and ”curse-in-high-regime” but the effect of stock market development on the growth does not.
關聯 經濟研究, 45(2), 143-188
資料類型 article
dc.contributor 經濟系
dc.creator (作者) Shen, Chung-Hua;Lin, Chang-Ping
dc.creator (作者) 沈中華;林昌平zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2009-07
dc.date.accessioned 6-Oct-2015 14:52:09 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 6-Oct-2015 14:52:09 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 6-Oct-2015 14:52:09 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/78864-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文旨在探討於全球的架構下,各國金融發展對於經濟成長之關係爲何?並且進一步探討銀行發展及股市發展是否對經濟成長有不對稱效果。對於過去相關文獻無法獲得金融發展與經濟成長間一致的關係,我們懷疑應與金融發展與經濟成長間爲非線性關係有關。延伸Shen and Lee (2006)我們將探討是否於金融發展與經濟成長間存在著銀行的門檻效果,並提出兩個假說,第一是「blessing-in-low-regime」,即在低度銀行發展區域,金融發展對於經濟成長有正面影響。第二是「curse-in-high-regime」,即在高度銀行發展區域,金融發展對於經濟成長有負面影響。本文發展一個新的模型:動態追蹤資料門檻模型(dynamic panel threshold model, DPTM)是延伸Hansen (1999)的追蹤資料門檻模型(panel threshold model, PTM),認爲經濟成長會受到自己上一期變數所影響,結果指出就銀行發展對於經濟成長的影響而言,在低度銀行發展區域支持「blessing-in-low-regime」;在高度銀行發展區域支持「curse-in-high-regime」。反之,就股市發展對於經濟成長的影響,在低度銀行發展區域並不支持「blessing-in-low-regime」;在高度銀行發展區域亦不支持「curse-in-high-regime」。
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper is aimed to investigate the asymmetric effect between financial development and the economic growth. Following Shen and Lee`s (2006) findings, we plan to examine whether the effect of financial development on the growth depends on the threshold variable of bank development. Our hypothesis is thus that the bank development is a blessing to economic growth at the low bank development regime but a curse at the high bank development regime. To examine this ”blessing-in-low-regime” and ”curse-in-high-regim” hypothesis, we develop a dynamic panel threshold model (DPTM) to test this hypothesis. The DPTM is a direct extension of the non-dynamic panel threshold model of Hansen (1999). We can conclude with that the effect of bank development on the growth support the hypothesis ”blessing-in-low-regime” and ”curse-in-high-regime” but the effect of stock market development on the growth does not.
dc.format.extent 459842 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) 經濟研究, 45(2), 143-188
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 經濟成長;金融發展;門檻迴歸;GMM估計法;追蹤資料
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Economic Growth;Financial Development;Threshold Regression;GMM Estimation;Panel Data
dc.title (題名) 金融發展對經濟成長的影響-動態追蹤資料門檻模型zh_TW
dc.title.alternative (其他題名) The Role of Financial Development to Economic Growth-Dynamic Panel Threshold Model
dc.type (資料類型) articleen