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題名 中國對台灣選舉和台灣回應演變的影響
China’s Evolving Influence over Taiwan’s Elections and Taiwanese Responses作者 楊文心
Borgwardt, Samuel Mark貢獻者 蔡中民
Tsai, Chung Min
楊文心
Samuel Mark Borgwardt關鍵詞 國民黨
民進黨
中國
台灣
KMT
DPP
China
Taiwan日期 2015 上傳時間 2-Dec-2015 17:03:42 (UTC+8) 摘要 於1980年代的後半幾年中國大陸對台灣的選舉影響開始演變。中國仍然秉持一個中國的原則，而且中國為了統一台灣不排除使用軍力。但是中國這幾年開始用跟之前不同的手段影響台灣的選舉。中國最近開始用經濟發展與自由貿易來試圖影響台灣的選舉。反過來說台灣的兩個政黨對中共的新手段亦有不同的立場。藍影認為中國對台灣來說是個機會，綠影則認為中國對台灣的民主是一個威脅。
Beginning with Taiwan’s transition to democracy in the late 1980s China’s influence over Taiwan has begun to evolve. China, although still maintaining the right to use military force, has transition to a more economic way of dealing with Taiwan. China attempts to influence Taiwanese voting behavior by offering economic incentives for closer relations with the Mainland. This change has resulted in both of Taiwan’s main political parties evolving their positions on China. The Kuomintang (KMT) views China as an opportunity and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) views China as a threat.Keywords: China, Taiwan, Kuomintang (KMT), Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)參考文獻 The 1992 Consensus: Foundation for Cross-Strait Peace and Stronger International Links, TaipeiEconomic and Cultural Office in Canada (2011, September 7) http://www.roc-taiwan.org/CA/ct.asp?xItem=219017&ctNode=150&mp=77&nowPage=4&pagesize=15 accessed May 29, 2015The Baoao Forum, One Small Step for Cross-Strait Dialogue, Zhongguo Shibao (China Times) Editorial (2008, April 8)Bendix, Reinhard (1977) Max Weber: an intellectual portrait University of California PressChen, Y.Y. (2005) The Evolution and Prospects of Cross-Strait Relations in the Chen Shui-Bian Administration, The Inistitute for Far Eastern StudiesCole, M.J. A plot against first time voters?, Ballots & Bullets | School of Politics & International Relations, University of Nottingham, (2012, January 10) http://nottspolitics.org/2012/01/10/a-plot-against-first-time-voters/ accessed May 29, 2015Cole, Michael J. (2015) Two Myths about Taiwan’s DPP that Need to be Laid to Rest, The Diplomat http://thediplomat.com/2015/08/two-myths-about-taiwans-dpp-that-need-to-be-laid-to-rest/ accessed online 10/05/2015DPP Cites Six Main Reasons for Loss, Taipei Times (2012, February 16) http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2012/02/16/2003525589/1 accessed May 29, 2015DPP: China has never wavered on its belligerence towards Taiwan, Official Democratic Progressive Party Website (2008, July 05) http://english.dpp.org.tw/dpp-china-has-never-wavered-on-its-belligerence-towards-taiwan/ accessed May 28, 2015Ding, A. S. (2013) Turning tension around in the Taiwan Strait; Taiwan Policy under Hu Jintao Stockholm International Peace Research InstituteECFA Signing Scheduled for June 29, Taiwan News (2010, June 25) http://www.etaiwannews.com/etn/news_content.php?id=1299089&lang=eng_news&cate_img=83.jpg&cate_rss=news_Politics_TAIWAN accessed May 24, 2015中選會公布第13任總統副總統及第8屆立法委員選舉選舉人數,” General Election Commission 中央選舉委員會, http://web.cec.gov.tw/files/15-1000-17863,c4133-1.php accessed May 14, 2015Guo, BG. (2003) Political Legitimacy and Taiwan’s Transition, Journal of Chinese Political Science, vol. 8, nos. 1 & 2Huang, D. WF.( 2012) Elections in Taiwan: Lessons from the Past, and Policy Issues for the New Administration, IEAS, Academic Sinica TaiwanKeng, S. and Schubert, G. (2010) Agents of Taiwan-China Unification? The Political Roles of Taiwanese Business People in the Process of Cross-Strait Integration, Asian Survey, Vol, 50, No. 2, pp. 287-310KMT, CCP Both See Their Home in China, Taipei Times (2013, October 21) http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/editorials/archives/2013/10/21/2003574998 accessed May 28, 2015Larus,E.F. (2012) Taiwan`s 2004 Presidential Election: Implications for Taiwan`s Politics and Relations with Mainland China, Virginia Review of Asian StudiesLu, Yan. (2001) Minjindang zhizheng yu haixia liang’an guanxi, Taiwan yanjiu, Peking, No. 3Matsuda, Y. (2004) PRC-Taiwan Relations under Chen Shui-bian’s Government: Continuity and Change Between the First and Second Terms, The Brookings InstituteNathan, A.J. (1996) China’s Goals in the Taiwan Strait, The China Journal, No, 36, p. 88President of Taiwan Is Re-elected, a Result That Is Likely to Please China, The New York Times, (2012, January 14) http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/15/world/asia/taiwan-presidential-election.html?_r=3&hp accessed March 30, 2015Risen, James. (1996) U.S. Warns China on Taiwan, Sends Warships to Area. Los Angeles Times, http://articles.latimes.com/1996-03-11/news/mn-45722_1_taiwan-strait accessed July 25, 2015Ross, R. S. (2000) The 1995-96 Taiwan Strait Confrontation: Coercion, Credibility, and the Use of Force International Security vol. 25, No. 2 Scobell, Andrew. Show of Force: The PLA and the 1995-1996 Taiwan Strait Crisis. http://iis-db.stanford.edu/pubs/10091/scobell.pdf accessed online June 28, 2015Spying Claim Against Taiwan’s President Ma Ying-jeou, The Guardian, (2012, January 3) http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jan/03/spying-claim-taiwan-president-election accessed May 30, 2015Taiwan Economy: Growth Update, 天下杂志 tianxia zazhi, http://english.cw.com.tw/article.do?action=show&id=12635 accessed May 27, 2015Taiwanese Citizens in China book their election flights, Want China Times (2012, January 4) http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20120104000071&cid=1501 accessed May 29, 2015Taiwan’s Election and Democratization Study http://teds.nccu.edu.tw/teds_plan/list.php?g_isn=63&g_tid=0&g_cid=9 accessed June 4, 2015Taiwan’s Election and Democratization Study http://teds.nccu.edu.tw/teds_plan/list.php?g_isn=63&g_tid=0&g_cid=9 accessed June 4, 2015Wu, Y.S. 吳玉山(1997)兩岸關係的理論詮釋 政治科學論叢第08期White Paper- The One-China Principle and the Taiwan Issue (2000), Taiwan Documents Project, http://www.taiwandocuments.org/white.htm accessed May 17, 2015Xu, Sh. Origin of the One China Principle, Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council PRC (2001, December 18h http://www.gwytb.gov.cn/en/Special/OneChinaPrinciple/201103/t20110317_1790075.htm accessed May 15, 2015Yu, T. (1997) Taiwanese Democracy Under Threat: Impact and Limit of Chinese Military Coercion. Pacific Affairs, Vol. 70, No. 1, PP 7-36九二共識,” 新華網, http://news.xinhuanet.com/tw/2006-04/05/content_4385932.htm accessed May 29, 2015分析稱蔡英文落敗關鍵因堅決否認九二共識.”敏捷新聞, http://cn.agile-news.com/news-555109.html accessed May 24, 2015兩岸與國際》最怕地動山搖的其實是習近平, Liberty Times (2015, May 15) http://talk.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/1317512 accessed May 16, 2015馬英九主張：兩岸統一、台灣未來兩岸人民共同決定！ma yingjiu zhuzhang: liangan tongyi, Taiwan welai liangan renmin gongtong jueding, http://www.hi-on.org.tw/bulletins.jsp?b_ID=113160 accessed June 29, 2015 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS)
102926026資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0102926026 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 蔡中民 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Tsai, Chung Min en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 楊文心 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Samuel Mark Borgwardt en_US dc.creator (作者) 楊文心 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Borgwardt, Samuel Mark en_US dc.date (日期) 2015 en_US dc.date.accessioned 2-Dec-2015 17:03:42 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 2-Dec-2015 17:03:42 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2-Dec-2015 17:03:42 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0102926026 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/79545 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS) zh_TW dc.description (描述) 102926026 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 於1980年代的後半幾年中國大陸對台灣的選舉影響開始演變。中國仍然秉持一個中國的原則，而且中國為了統一台灣不排除使用軍力。但是中國這幾年開始用跟之前不同的手段影響台灣的選舉。中國最近開始用經濟發展與自由貿易來試圖影響台灣的選舉。反過來說台灣的兩個政黨對中共的新手段亦有不同的立場。藍影認為中國對台灣來說是個機會，綠影則認為中國對台灣的民主是一個威脅。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) Beginning with Taiwan’s transition to democracy in the late 1980s China’s influence over Taiwan has begun to evolve. China, although still maintaining the right to use military force, has transition to a more economic way of dealing with Taiwan. China attempts to influence Taiwanese voting behavior by offering economic incentives for closer relations with the Mainland. This change has resulted in both of Taiwan’s main political parties evolving their positions on China. The Kuomintang (KMT) views China as an opportunity and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) views China as a threat.Keywords: China, Taiwan, Kuomintang (KMT), Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 1. Introduction Background………………………………………………………………………………..5 Purpose of Research……………………………………………………………………….7 Literature Review………………………………………………………………………….8 Research Hypothesis and Analytical Framework………………………………………....9 Election Case Study……………………………………………………………………...10 Conclusion..................................................................................................................…...112. China’s Influence on Taiwan’s Democracy and ElectionsChina’s One China Principle…………………………………………………………….13China’s Evolving Approach, Taiwan Responds…………………………………………16The Third Taiwan Straits Crisis…………………………………………….……………18 American and Taiwanese Response………………………………………………...……19China’s Continued Claim of Legitimacy……………………………………………...…213. Taiwan’s Political Parties The Democratic Progressive Party……………………………………………………….26Chen Shui-bian and China..........................................................................................…...27Business, Chen and China………………………………………………………………..29Beijing’s Response……………………………………………………………………….30Ma and the KMT………………………………………………………………………....32China: Threat or Opportunity?...........................................................................................33KMT: China is an Opportunity……………………………………………….………….354. The 2012 ElectionBackground……………………………………………………………………………....37The 1992 Consensus…………………………………………………………………..…38ECFA and Business………………………………………………………………...……42Business Pressure……………………………………………………………………...…45Internal DPP Factors, KMT Factors………………………………..……………………46Procedural Moves………………………………………………………………………..50TEDS Data National Identity…………………………………………………………….52The 1992 Consensus……………………………………………………………………..53ECFA…………………………………………………………………………………….54Personal Economic Situation………………………………………………………….…55Overall Impressions……………………………………………………………………...555. Conclusions zh_TW dc.format.extent 964349 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0102926026 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 國民黨 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 民進黨 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中國 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 台灣 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) KMT en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) DPP en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) China en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Taiwan en_US dc.title (題名) 中國對台灣選舉和台灣回應演變的影響 zh_TW dc.title (題名) China’s Evolving Influence over Taiwan’s Elections and Taiwanese Responses en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The 1992 Consensus: Foundation for Cross-Strait Peace and Stronger International Links, TaipeiEconomic and Cultural Office in Canada (2011, September 7) http://www.roc-taiwan.org/CA/ct.asp?xItem=219017&ctNode=150&mp=77&nowPage=4&pagesize=15 accessed May 29, 2015The Baoao Forum, One Small Step for Cross-Strait Dialogue, Zhongguo Shibao (China Times) Editorial (2008, April 8)Bendix, Reinhard (1977) Max Weber: an intellectual portrait University of California PressChen, Y.Y. (2005) The Evolution and Prospects of Cross-Strait Relations in the Chen Shui-Bian Administration, The Inistitute for Far Eastern StudiesCole, M.J. A plot against first time voters?, Ballots & Bullets | School of Politics & International Relations, University of Nottingham, (2012, January 10) http://nottspolitics.org/2012/01/10/a-plot-against-first-time-voters/ accessed May 29, 2015Cole, Michael J. (2015) Two Myths about Taiwan’s DPP that Need to be Laid to Rest, The Diplomat http://thediplomat.com/2015/08/two-myths-about-taiwans-dpp-that-need-to-be-laid-to-rest/ accessed online 10/05/2015DPP Cites Six Main Reasons for Loss, Taipei Times (2012, February 16) http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2012/02/16/2003525589/1 accessed May 29, 2015DPP: China has never wavered on its belligerence towards Taiwan, Official Democratic Progressive Party Website (2008, July 05) http://english.dpp.org.tw/dpp-china-has-never-wavered-on-its-belligerence-towards-taiwan/ accessed May 28, 2015Ding, A. S. (2013) Turning tension around in the Taiwan Strait; Taiwan Policy under Hu Jintao Stockholm International Peace Research InstituteECFA Signing Scheduled for June 29, Taiwan News (2010, June 25) http://www.etaiwannews.com/etn/news_content.php?id=1299089&lang=eng_news&cate_img=83.jpg&cate_rss=news_Politics_TAIWAN accessed May 24, 2015中選會公布第13任總統副總統及第8屆立法委員選舉選舉人數,” General Election Commission 中央選舉委員會, http://web.cec.gov.tw/files/15-1000-17863,c4133-1.php accessed May 14, 2015Guo, BG. (2003) Political Legitimacy and Taiwan’s Transition, Journal of Chinese Political Science, vol. 8, nos. 1 & 2Huang, D. WF.( 2012) Elections in Taiwan: Lessons from the Past, and Policy Issues for the New Administration, IEAS, Academic Sinica TaiwanKeng, S. and Schubert, G. (2010) Agents of Taiwan-China Unification? The Political Roles of Taiwanese Business People in the Process of Cross-Strait Integration, Asian Survey, Vol, 50, No. 2, pp. 287-310KMT, CCP Both See Their Home in China, Taipei Times (2013, October 21) http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/editorials/archives/2013/10/21/2003574998 accessed May 28, 2015Larus,E.F. (2012) Taiwan`s 2004 Presidential Election: Implications for Taiwan`s Politics and Relations with Mainland China, Virginia Review of Asian StudiesLu, Yan. (2001) Minjindang zhizheng yu haixia liang’an guanxi, Taiwan yanjiu, Peking, No. 3Matsuda, Y. (2004) PRC-Taiwan Relations under Chen Shui-bian’s Government: Continuity and Change Between the First and Second Terms, The Brookings InstituteNathan, A.J. (1996) China’s Goals in the Taiwan Strait, The China Journal, No, 36, p. 88President of Taiwan Is Re-elected, a Result That Is Likely to Please China, The New York Times, (2012, January 14) http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/15/world/asia/taiwan-presidential-election.html?_r=3&hp accessed March 30, 2015Risen, James. (1996) U.S. Warns China on Taiwan, Sends Warships to Area. Los Angeles Times, http://articles.latimes.com/1996-03-11/news/mn-45722_1_taiwan-strait accessed July 25, 2015Ross, R. S. (2000) The 1995-96 Taiwan Strait Confrontation: Coercion, Credibility, and the Use of Force International Security vol. 25, No. 2 Scobell, Andrew. Show of Force: The PLA and the 1995-1996 Taiwan Strait Crisis. http://iis-db.stanford.edu/pubs/10091/scobell.pdf accessed online June 28, 2015Spying Claim Against Taiwan’s President Ma Ying-jeou, The Guardian, (2012, January 3) http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/jan/03/spying-claim-taiwan-president-election accessed May 30, 2015Taiwan Economy: Growth Update, 天下杂志 tianxia zazhi, http://english.cw.com.tw/article.do?action=show&id=12635 accessed May 27, 2015Taiwanese Citizens in China book their election flights, Want China Times (2012, January 4) http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20120104000071&cid=1501 accessed May 29, 2015Taiwan’s Election and Democratization Study http://teds.nccu.edu.tw/teds_plan/list.php?g_isn=63&g_tid=0&g_cid=9 accessed June 4, 2015Taiwan’s Election and Democratization Study http://teds.nccu.edu.tw/teds_plan/list.php?g_isn=63&g_tid=0&g_cid=9 accessed June 4, 2015Wu, Y.S. 吳玉山(1997)兩岸關係的理論詮釋 政治科學論叢第08期White Paper- The One-China Principle and the Taiwan Issue (2000), Taiwan Documents Project, http://www.taiwandocuments.org/white.htm accessed May 17, 2015Xu, Sh. Origin of the One China Principle, Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council PRC (2001, December 18h http://www.gwytb.gov.cn/en/Special/OneChinaPrinciple/201103/t20110317_1790075.htm accessed May 15, 2015Yu, T. (1997) Taiwanese Democracy Under Threat: Impact and Limit of Chinese Military Coercion. Pacific Affairs, Vol. 70, No. 1, PP 7-36九二共識,” 新華網, http://news.xinhuanet.com/tw/2006-04/05/content_4385932.htm accessed May 29, 2015分析稱蔡英文落敗關鍵因堅決否認九二共識.”敏捷新聞, http://cn.agile-news.com/news-555109.html accessed May 24, 2015兩岸與國際》最怕地動山搖的其實是習近平, Liberty Times (2015, May 15) http://talk.ltn.com.tw/article/breakingnews/1317512 accessed May 16, 2015馬英九主張：兩岸統一、台灣未來兩岸人民共同決定！ma yingjiu zhuzhang: liangan tongyi, Taiwan welai liangan renmin gongtong jueding, http://www.hi-on.org.tw/bulletins.jsp?b_ID=113160 accessed June 29, 2015 zh_TW
