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題名 影響高鐵旅次使用之交通政策因子中期分析 --高鐵車站區位可及性、地區交通系統面向
Intermediate-Term Impact Analysis of Location of High-Speed Rail Station and Local Transportation on HSR Trips作者 鍾佾芯
Chung, Yi Hsin貢獻者 蔡育新
Tsai, Yu Hsin
鍾佾芯
Chung, Yi Hsin關鍵詞 高鐵
高鐵車站區位
地方接駁運輸系統
旅次
多階層模型
High-Speed Rail
Location of HSR station
Local transportation
Trips
Hierarchical Linear Model(HLM)日期 2016 上傳時間 1-Mar-2016 10:48:17 (UTC+8) 摘要 近年來,高鐵的使用情形為許多已興建或尚在評估是否興建高鐵的國家之重要議題之一,尤其對於政府及投資、營運者而言,高鐵之使用情形可能影響高鐵之營運狀況。另外針對影響高鐵使用情形之可能因素,過去研究指出高鐵使用情形可能受到其他交通運輸系統、乘客之個人與家戶社會經濟背景、旅次性質、及高鐵車站之區位等因素影響。其中地方運輸系統及高鐵車站區位之相關內容著墨較少,且由於臺灣高鐵至今已營運八年,可作為研究高鐵使用情形之機會,故本研究針對高鐵車站區位可及性及地方接駁型運輸系統發展情形,對於高鐵之使用情形是否造成影響進行分析。高鐵車站區位可及性代表旅次起訖點與高鐵車站之間的距離,另一方面,地方接駁型運輸系統發展情形是指地區內之運輸系統之特性、接駁型運輸系統之發展情形,包含捷運系統、公車系統、鐵路系統等。本研究針對前述兩者,對於是否影響高鐵作為旅次主要運具為研究目的。本研究透過於臺灣高鐵車站進行問卷調查,取得高鐵旅次之相關資料,並配合其他交通運輸系統之相關資料,分析可能影響高鐵作為旅次主要運具之因素。其中,主要針對高鐵車站區位可及性及地方接駁型運輸系統特性,對於高鐵作為旅次主要運具之選擇進行分析。高鐵車站區位可及性之相關變數包含旅次端點與高鐵車站之距離、旅行時間等;地方接駁型運輸系統之相關變數則包括捷運系統、行經高鐵車站之公車與快捷公車系統、鐵路系統等之特性;另外,亦針對乘客社會經濟背景之相關變數進行分析,例如年齡、性別、所得、私有運具擁有程度等。本研究是以多階層模式之二元羅吉斯模型作為分析方法,針對高鐵車站區位可急性及地方接駁型運輸系統,對於乘客選擇以高鐵作為旅次主要運具是否具有影響進行分析。實證分析結果顯示,高鐵車站可及性越高者,旅次中選擇使用高鐵之可能性越大;地方運輸系統發展良好,則乘客選擇以高鐵作為旅次主要運具之機率越大。此外,由於不同空間尺度以及旅次端點特性之影響,對於地方接駁運輸系統之於高鐵作為主要運具之選擇亦可能造成影響。
High-Speed Rail (HSR) are currently operative in 14 countries throughout the world, and there are still many countries evaluating whether to construct it or not. One of the issues they considered is the attractiveness of HSR to travelers. Previous research has indicated that other travel modes, such as railway or planes, might have influence on travelers’ choices of whether to choose HSR as the main travel mode. Moreover, it is said that the social and economics background of HSR passengers, trip characteristic, and the characteristic of HSR will also influence HSR trips. The purpose of this study is to analyse the impact of the location of HSR station and local transportation on the mode choice of HSR. To examine the related effects on the mode choice of HSR, we applied a Hierarchical Linear Model (HLM) to analyse the affect of the location of HSR station and local transportation. In addition, the main data of this study is from the survey we collected at eight HSR stations during August 11th to 17th in 2014. The survey is mainly about the trip characteristic of the passengers of HSR, including the trip origins and destinations in detail, the choice of the access and egress mode and also their time consuming, and other characteristic of the HSR trips. The results indicate that the location of HSR station will influence the passengers of HSR on the main travel mode choice. And suggest that as HSR stations locate in the city, the higher possibility will the passengers choose HSR as the main travel mode .In other words, the accessibility to the HSR stations will have an impact on the mode choice of HSR. Futhermore, on the circumstances of different spatial scale, as long as the development of the local transportation is better, there might be higher possibility that passengers will choose HSR as the main travel mode.參考文獻 中文參考文獻凌瑞賢,2009,『運輸規劃原理與實務』二版,臺北市:鼎漢國際工程顧問股份有限公司。溫福星,邱皓政,2011,『多層次模式方法論:階層線性模式的關鍵問題與試解』初版,新北市:αβγ實驗室。王濟川、郭志剛,2003,『Logistic迴歸模型-方法及應用』初版,臺北市:五南圖書初版股份有限公司。臺灣高鐵網站(2015,十二月),各高鐵站轉乘服務地圖及大事紀:http://www.thsrc.com.tw/index.html?force=1交通部高速鐵路工程局(2015,一月),計畫簡介:http://www.hsr.gov.tw/晨晰統計公司官網(2015,十二月),HLM學習心得分享(1)(2)(3):http://dasanlin888.pixnet.net/blog/post/34469408揚士賢,2011,「以活動理論為基礎之家戶活動產生與成員指派模型-以臺北都會區為例」,中原大學土木工程學系博士學位論文:桃園。英文參考文獻Andersson, D.E., Shyr, O.F., and Lee, A., 2012, “The successes and failures of a key transportation link: accessibility effects of Taiwan’s high-speed rail”, The Annals of Regional Science 48(1):203-233.Boarnet, M.G., and Sarmiento, S., 1998, “Can land-use policy really affect travel behavior? 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國立政治大學
地政學系
102257013資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0102257013 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 蔡育新 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Tsai, Yu Hsin en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 鍾佾芯 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Chung, Yi Hsin en_US dc.creator (作者) 鍾佾芯 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Chung, Yi Hsin en_US dc.date (日期) 2016 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-Mar-2016 10:48:17 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-Mar-2016 10:48:17 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Mar-2016 10:48:17 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0102257013 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/81564 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 地政學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 102257013 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 近年來,高鐵的使用情形為許多已興建或尚在評估是否興建高鐵的國家之重要議題之一,尤其對於政府及投資、營運者而言,高鐵之使用情形可能影響高鐵之營運狀況。另外針對影響高鐵使用情形之可能因素,過去研究指出高鐵使用情形可能受到其他交通運輸系統、乘客之個人與家戶社會經濟背景、旅次性質、及高鐵車站之區位等因素影響。其中地方運輸系統及高鐵車站區位之相關內容著墨較少,且由於臺灣高鐵至今已營運八年,可作為研究高鐵使用情形之機會,故本研究針對高鐵車站區位可及性及地方接駁型運輸系統發展情形,對於高鐵之使用情形是否造成影響進行分析。高鐵車站區位可及性代表旅次起訖點與高鐵車站之間的距離,另一方面,地方接駁型運輸系統發展情形是指地區內之運輸系統之特性、接駁型運輸系統之發展情形,包含捷運系統、公車系統、鐵路系統等。本研究針對前述兩者,對於是否影響高鐵作為旅次主要運具為研究目的。本研究透過於臺灣高鐵車站進行問卷調查,取得高鐵旅次之相關資料,並配合其他交通運輸系統之相關資料,分析可能影響高鐵作為旅次主要運具之因素。其中,主要針對高鐵車站區位可及性及地方接駁型運輸系統特性,對於高鐵作為旅次主要運具之選擇進行分析。高鐵車站區位可及性之相關變數包含旅次端點與高鐵車站之距離、旅行時間等;地方接駁型運輸系統之相關變數則包括捷運系統、行經高鐵車站之公車與快捷公車系統、鐵路系統等之特性;另外,亦針對乘客社會經濟背景之相關變數進行分析,例如年齡、性別、所得、私有運具擁有程度等。本研究是以多階層模式之二元羅吉斯模型作為分析方法,針對高鐵車站區位可急性及地方接駁型運輸系統,對於乘客選擇以高鐵作為旅次主要運具是否具有影響進行分析。實證分析結果顯示,高鐵車站可及性越高者,旅次中選擇使用高鐵之可能性越大;地方運輸系統發展良好,則乘客選擇以高鐵作為旅次主要運具之機率越大。此外,由於不同空間尺度以及旅次端點特性之影響,對於地方接駁運輸系統之於高鐵作為主要運具之選擇亦可能造成影響。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) High-Speed Rail (HSR) are currently operative in 14 countries throughout the world, and there are still many countries evaluating whether to construct it or not. One of the issues they considered is the attractiveness of HSR to travelers. Previous research has indicated that other travel modes, such as railway or planes, might have influence on travelers’ choices of whether to choose HSR as the main travel mode. Moreover, it is said that the social and economics background of HSR passengers, trip characteristic, and the characteristic of HSR will also influence HSR trips. The purpose of this study is to analyse the impact of the location of HSR station and local transportation on the mode choice of HSR. To examine the related effects on the mode choice of HSR, we applied a Hierarchical Linear Model (HLM) to analyse the affect of the location of HSR station and local transportation. In addition, the main data of this study is from the survey we collected at eight HSR stations during August 11th to 17th in 2014. The survey is mainly about the trip characteristic of the passengers of HSR, including the trip origins and destinations in detail, the choice of the access and egress mode and also their time consuming, and other characteristic of the HSR trips. The results indicate that the location of HSR station will influence the passengers of HSR on the main travel mode choice. And suggest that as HSR stations locate in the city, the higher possibility will the passengers choose HSR as the main travel mode .In other words, the accessibility to the HSR stations will have an impact on the mode choice of HSR. Futhermore, on the circumstances of different spatial scale, as long as the development of the local transportation is better, there might be higher possibility that passengers will choose HSR as the main travel mode. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1第一節 研究動機與目的 1第二節 研究內容 4第三節 研究方法與架構 6第二章 文獻回顧 9第一節 交通行為之影響因素 9第二節 以高鐵為主之交通行為 14第三章 研究設計 27第一節 研究模式 27第二節 資料來源 41第四章 實證分析 57第一節 敘述性統計分析 57第二節 高鐵運具選擇與其影響因素間之一對一關聯性分析 72第三節 高鐵運具選擇分析-以高鐵為主要運輸工具 91第四節 假說驗證 97第五章 結論與建議 101第一節 結論 101第二節 研究限制與建議 102參考文獻 105附錄 113 zh_TW dc.format.extent 3026124 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0102257013 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 高鐵 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 高鐵車站區位 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 地方接駁運輸系統 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 旅次 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 多階層模型 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) High-Speed Rail en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Location of HSR station en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Local transportation en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Trips en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Hierarchical Linear Model(HLM) en_US dc.title (題名) 影響高鐵旅次使用之交通政策因子中期分析 --高鐵車站區位可及性、地區交通系統面向 zh_TW dc.title (題名) Intermediate-Term Impact Analysis of Location of High-Speed Rail Station and Local Transportation on HSR Trips en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文參考文獻凌瑞賢,2009,『運輸規劃原理與實務』二版,臺北市:鼎漢國際工程顧問股份有限公司。溫福星,邱皓政,2011,『多層次模式方法論:階層線性模式的關鍵問題與試解』初版,新北市:αβγ實驗室。王濟川、郭志剛,2003,『Logistic迴歸模型-方法及應用』初版,臺北市:五南圖書初版股份有限公司。臺灣高鐵網站(2015,十二月),各高鐵站轉乘服務地圖及大事紀:http://www.thsrc.com.tw/index.html?force=1交通部高速鐵路工程局(2015,一月),計畫簡介:http://www.hsr.gov.tw/晨晰統計公司官網(2015,十二月),HLM學習心得分享(1)(2)(3):http://dasanlin888.pixnet.net/blog/post/34469408揚士賢,2011,「以活動理論為基礎之家戶活動產生與成員指派模型-以臺北都會區為例」,中原大學土木工程學系博士學位論文:桃園。英文參考文獻Andersson, D.E., Shyr, O.F., and Lee, A., 2012, “The successes and failures of a key transportation link: accessibility effects of Taiwan’s high-speed rail”, The Annals of Regional Science 48(1):203-233.Boarnet, M.G., and Sarmiento, S., 1998, “Can land-use policy really affect travel behavior? 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