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題名 如何解釋貿易要素內涵假說
What explain factor content of trade prediction?作者 許宇慧
Hsu, Yu Huei貢獻者 王信實<br>李浩仲
許宇慧
Hsu,Yu Huei關鍵詞 貿易要素內涵
中間投入
貿易要素內涵假說
The Factor Contnet of Trade
intermediate inputs
Vanek prediction日期 2015 上傳時間 1-Mar-2016 10:50:41 (UTC+8) 摘要 本研究採用1995-2009年的WIOD 資料庫 World Input-Output Table(WIOT)、WIOD Socio Economic Accounts (SEAs)資料，將勞工使用教育程度分成三種技術勞工:高技術勞工、中技術勞工、低技術勞工與資本，五種要素的貿易要素內涵(Factor Content of Trade, FCT)，利用sign test檢測貿易要素內涵假說Vanek prediction，而不同於其他文獻，本文進一步討論貿易要素內涵假說Vanek prediction的sign test檢測結果與產業比例、貿易壁壘、國家地區別等因素之間的關聯性。實證結果為當討論貿易要素內涵時，將勞工要素使用教育程度細分，會與單一勞工要素有不同的影響，而地區的人力資本特性也是影響貿易要素內涵假說檢測結果之因素，美、歐洲相較於亞洲，對於勞工的貿易要素內涵假說檢測結果有正向的影響，區域性之經濟問題與貿易壁壘皆對於檢測結果有負向的影響，而供給面的附加價值中間投入使用量造成貿易要素內涵假說檢測結果正確性影響與預測有些許差異，此外，資本因要素特性移動自由性較高，不受到開放程度、做生意難易程度變數的影響，相反之，開放程度越高以及做生意難易度越容易，皆能增加勞工貿易要素內涵假說檢測結果的正確性；資本只易受到供給面影響，而勞工則供給面及需求面的因素皆會對其貿易要素內涵造成影響。 參考文獻 翁永和、陳添枝、劉碧珍 (2010)，《國際貿易理論與政策第三版》台北: 雙葉書廊。 Cassing, J., and Nishioka, S. (2015). Per capita income and the mystery of missing trade. Review of International Economics.Choi, Y.-S., and P. Krishna (2004). The factor content of bilateral trade: an empirical test. Journal of Political Economy 112, 887-914.Davis, D. R., and D. Weinstein (2001). An account of global factor trade. American Economic Review 91(5), 1423–1453.Erumban ,A, A,Gouma, R,Vries, G, Vries, K., and Timmer, M. (2012). WIOD Socio‐Economic Accounts (SEA): Sources and Methods. Groningen, April.Foster, N., and Stehrer, R. (2001). On the bilateral factor content of trade with traded intermediates.Lai, H., and Zhu, S. C. (2007). Technology, endowments, and the factor content of bilateral trade. Journal of International Economics, 71(2), 389-409.Leuven, E., Oosterbeek, H., and Van Ophem, H. (2004). Explaining international differences in male skill wage differentials by differences in demand and supply of skill*. The Economic Journal, 114(495), 466-486.Milner, C.R., Cabral, M., and Falvey, R. (2009). Does skill content explain total trade and intra-industry trade?*. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 71(5), 601-619Nishioka, S. (2012). International technology differences in production techniques: Implications for the factor content of trade. Journal of International Economics, 87(1), 98–104Reimer, J. J. (2006). Global production sharing and trade in the services of factors. Journal of International Economics, 68(2), 384-408.Stehrer, R. (2014). Does the Home Bias Explain Missing Trade in Factors? (No. 110). The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.Stone, S., Cepeda, R. C., and Jankowska, A. (2011). The Role of Factor Content in Trade: Have Changes in Factor Endowments Been Reflected in Trade Patterns and on Relative Wages? (No. 109). OECD Publishing.Trefler, D. (1995). The case of missing trade and other HOV mysteries. The American Economic Review, 1029–1046. Trefler, D., and S. Zhu (2010). The structure of factor content predictions. The Journal of International Economics, 82(2), 195–207.Zeddies, G (2013). Skill Content of Intra-European Trade Flows. European Journal of Comparative Economics, 10(1). 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟學系
102258028資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0102258028 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 王信實<br>李浩仲 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) 許宇慧 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Hsu,Yu Huei en_US dc.creator (作者) 許宇慧 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Hsu, Yu Huei en_US dc.date (日期) 2015 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-Mar-2016 10:50:41 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-Mar-2016 10:50:41 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Mar-2016 10:50:41 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0102258028 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/81575 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 經濟學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 102258028 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究採用1995-2009年的WIOD 資料庫 World Input-Output Table(WIOT)、WIOD Socio Economic Accounts (SEAs)資料，將勞工使用教育程度分成三種技術勞工:高技術勞工、中技術勞工、低技術勞工與資本，五種要素的貿易要素內涵(Factor Content of Trade, FCT)，利用sign test檢測貿易要素內涵假說Vanek prediction，而不同於其他文獻，本文進一步討論貿易要素內涵假說Vanek prediction的sign test檢測結果與產業比例、貿易壁壘、國家地區別等因素之間的關聯性。實證結果為當討論貿易要素內涵時，將勞工要素使用教育程度細分，會與單一勞工要素有不同的影響，而地區的人力資本特性也是影響貿易要素內涵假說檢測結果之因素，美、歐洲相較於亞洲，對於勞工的貿易要素內涵假說檢測結果有正向的影響，區域性之經濟問題與貿易壁壘皆對於檢測結果有負向的影響，而供給面的附加價值中間投入使用量造成貿易要素內涵假說檢測結果正確性影響與預測有些許差異，此外，資本因要素特性移動自由性較高，不受到開放程度、做生意難易程度變數的影響，相反之，開放程度越高以及做生意難易度越容易，皆能增加勞工貿易要素內涵假說檢測結果的正確性；資本只易受到供給面影響，而勞工則供給面及需求面的因素皆會對其貿易要素內涵造成影響。 zh_TW dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章、緒論 1第一節、前言 1第二節、文獻回顧 3第二章、資料描述 5第一節、資料來源 5第二節、敘述統計 7第三章、模型建立 11第一節、變數的定義11第二節、實證模型建立 12第四章、實證模型分析 16第一節、Testing Vanek prediction 16第二節、sign test 檢測結果討論 19第三節、迴歸實證模型 30第五章、結論與未來研究建議 34參考文獻 36附錄 38 zh_TW dc.format.extent 1331694 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0102258028 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 貿易要素內涵 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中間投入 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 貿易要素內涵假說 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) The Factor Contnet of Trade en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) intermediate inputs en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Vanek prediction en_US dc.title (題名) 如何解釋貿易要素內涵假說 zh_TW dc.title (題名) What explain factor content of trade prediction? en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 翁永和、陳添枝、劉碧珍 (2010)，《國際貿易理論與政策第三版》台北: 雙葉書廊。 Cassing, J., and Nishioka, S. (2015). Per capita income and the mystery of missing trade. Review of International Economics.Choi, Y.-S., and P. Krishna (2004). The factor content of bilateral trade: an empirical test. Journal of Political Economy 112, 887-914.Davis, D. R., and D. Weinstein (2001). An account of global factor trade. American Economic Review 91(5), 1423–1453.Erumban ,A, A,Gouma, R,Vries, G, Vries, K., and Timmer, M. (2012). WIOD Socio‐Economic Accounts (SEA): Sources and Methods. Groningen, April.Foster, N., and Stehrer, R. (2001). On the bilateral factor content of trade with traded intermediates.Lai, H., and Zhu, S. C. (2007). Technology, endowments, and the factor content of bilateral trade. Journal of International Economics, 71(2), 389-409.Leuven, E., Oosterbeek, H., and Van Ophem, H. (2004). Explaining international differences in male skill wage differentials by differences in demand and supply of skill*. The Economic Journal, 114(495), 466-486.Milner, C.R., Cabral, M., and Falvey, R. (2009). Does skill content explain total trade and intra-industry trade?*. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 71(5), 601-619Nishioka, S. (2012). International technology differences in production techniques: Implications for the factor content of trade. Journal of International Economics, 87(1), 98–104Reimer, J. J. (2006). Global production sharing and trade in the services of factors. Journal of International Economics, 68(2), 384-408.Stehrer, R. (2014). Does the Home Bias Explain Missing Trade in Factors? (No. 110). The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.Stone, S., Cepeda, R. C., and Jankowska, A. (2011). The Role of Factor Content in Trade: Have Changes in Factor Endowments Been Reflected in Trade Patterns and on Relative Wages? (No. 109). OECD Publishing.Trefler, D. (1995). The case of missing trade and other HOV mysteries. The American Economic Review, 1029–1046. Trefler, D., and S. Zhu (2010). The structure of factor content predictions. The Journal of International Economics, 82(2), 195–207.Zeddies, G (2013). Skill Content of Intra-European Trade Flows. European Journal of Comparative Economics, 10(1). zh_TW
