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題名 The volatility structure of oil futures market returns: an empirical investigation
作者 廖四郎
Lian, Yu-Min;Liao, Szu-Lang
貢獻者 金融系
日期 2015
上傳時間 21-Mar-2016 15:46:34 (UTC+8)
摘要 In this study, it is investigated the impact of suddenly structural breaks on estimated GARCH-type models with normal and heavy-tailed distributions for daily oil futures market returns. More specifically, the multiple structural breaks in return variance over the whole sample period are detected by the Inclán-Tiao’s algorithm. The estimated results of the ICSS AR-GARCH models show that the volatility persistence decreases dramatically after controlling for such discrete breakpoints. The changing oil futures risk can be best captured by the ICSS AR-EGARCH-GED model. Specifically, the comparison of the in-sample model evaluation champions the AR-EGARCH-t model over competing models within each identified sub-period.
關聯 Investment Management and Financial Innovations, Vol.12, No.2, 16-25
資料類型 article
dc.contributor 金融系
dc.creator (作者) 廖四郎zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Lian, Yu-Min;Liao, Szu-Lang
dc.date (日期) 2015
dc.date.accessioned 21-Mar-2016 15:46:34 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 21-Mar-2016 15:46:34 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 21-Mar-2016 15:46:34 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/82755-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) In this study, it is investigated the impact of suddenly structural breaks on estimated GARCH-type models with normal and heavy-tailed distributions for daily oil futures market returns. More specifically, the multiple structural breaks in return variance over the whole sample period are detected by the Inclán-Tiao’s algorithm. The estimated results of the ICSS AR-GARCH models show that the volatility persistence decreases dramatically after controlling for such discrete breakpoints. The changing oil futures risk can be best captured by the ICSS AR-EGARCH-GED model. Specifically, the comparison of the in-sample model evaluation champions the AR-EGARCH-t model over competing models within each identified sub-period.
dc.format.extent 160 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.relation (關聯) Investment Management and Financial Innovations, Vol.12, No.2, 16-25
dc.title (題名) The volatility structure of oil futures market returns: an empirical investigation
dc.type (資料類型) article