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題名 我國政府實質支出數列的建立及分析
An Analysis of Government Real Expenditure in Taiwan作者 楊芯柔
Yang, Hsin Jo貢獻者 林其昂
Lin, Chi Ang
楊芯柔
Yang, Hsin Jo關鍵詞 政府規模
公共支出成長率
支出所得彈性
財政赤字
綠色支出
Government size
Public expenditure growth rate
Expenditure elasticity of income
Fiscal deficit
Green expenditure日期 2015 上傳時間 1-Apr-2016 10:39:59 (UTC+8) 摘要 財政代表著政府的財務施政狀況，我國從以往穩健經營的租稅國家逐步邁向債務國家，財政缺口日益擴大。本文透過觀察政府長期時間序列的年資料，將政府長期總支出區分成消耗性支出與移轉性支出，以五年為一個研究單位分析政府財政資金趨勢，藉由觀察名目與實質面向檢視政府規模大小，並探討公共支出成長率與支出所得彈性對財政赤字之關聯，最後簡述我國綠色支出概況。本文透過歸納與比較各個不同面向的支出情形，得到以下的研究： 一、在1967年至2011年間，政府規模呈現不增反減的狀態，尤其是實質政府規模縮減幅度遠遠超過名目規模。在政府資金轉移方面，政府消耗性支出及移轉性支出佔政府總支出的比重變動幅度不大，但趨勢已由政府消耗性支出項下的消費支出轉向投資性支出。 二、以政府所得彈性面觀察，長期政府支出與收入皆缺乏所得彈性，且收入成長不及支出成長，導致我國財政赤字嚴重，長期收支失衡現象。 參考文獻 中文部份邱正雄，(1999)。「當前財政狀況及未來努力方向」。《財政月刊》， 47，33-38。黃珮瑜(2001)。《我國政府之長期實質支出資料的建立與分析》。未出版 之碩士論文，國立政治大學，財政學研究所，台北。英文部分Alt, J. E. and K. A. Chrystal (1983), Political Economics, Berkeley, California: University of California Press.Aschauer, D. A. (2000), “Do States Optimize? Public Capital and Economic Growth,” The Annals of Regional Science, 34(3), 343-363.Beck, M. (1976), “The Expanding Public Sector: Some Contrary Evidence,” National Tax Journal, 29, 15-21.Beck, M. (1979a), “Inflation, Government Spending and Real Size of the Public Sector,” Atlantic Economics Journal, 7, 25-34.Beck, M. (1979b), “Estimating Changes in Real Size of the Public Sector,” Economics Letters, 2, 245-249.Beck, M. (1981), “On Measuring Public Sector Shares,” National Tax Journal, 34, 487-488.Beck, M. (1985), “Public Expenditure, Relative Prices, and Resources Allocation,” Public Finance, 40, 17-34.Berry, W.D. and D. Lowery (1984), “The Growing Cost of Government: A Test of Two Explanations,” Social Science Quarterly, 65, 735-749.Bird, R.M. (1982), “Closing the Scissors, or the Real Public Sector Has Two Sides,” National Tax Journal, 35, 477- 481.Eyraud, L. and B. Clements (2012), “Going Green,” Finance and Development, 49, 34-37.Fan, S., P. Hazell, and S. Thorat (2000), “Government Spending, Growth and Poverty in Rural India,” American Journal Agricultural Economics, 82(4), 1038-1051.Feldmann, H. (2010), “Government Size and Unemployment in Developing Countries,” Applied Economics Letters, 17, 289-292.Garand, J.C. (1989), “Measuring Government Size in the American States: Implications for Testing Models of Government Growth,” Social Science Quarterly, 70,487- 496.Garand, J.C. (1991), “Decomposing Real and deflated-based Government Growth: An Application to the American States,” Quality and Quantity, 25, 221-233.Handler, H., B. Koebel, P. Reiss, and M. Schratzenstaller (2005), “The Size and Performance of Public Sector Activities in Europe,” WIFO Working Paper, No 246.Heller, P.S. (1981), “Diverging Trends in the Shares of Nominal and Real Government Expenditure in GDP: Implications for Policy,” National Tax Journal, 34, 61- 74.Helms, L. J. (1985), “The Effect of State and Local Taxes on Economic Growth: A Time Series-cross Section Approach,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, 67, 574-582.Henrekson, M. (1993), “Wagner’s Law-A Spurious Relationship?” Public finance, 48, 406-415.HSBC (2009), “A Climate for Recovery: the Colour of Stimulus Goes Green,” HSBC Global Research, 2-47.Kolluri, B. R., M. J. Panik, and M. S. Wahab (2000), “Government Expenditure and Economic Growth: Evidence from G7 Countries,” Applied Economics, 32, 1059-1068.Light, P. C. (1999), The True Size of Government, Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press.Landau, D. (1983), “Government Expenditure and Economic Growth: A Cross-country Study,” Southern Economic Journal, 49, 783-792.Landau, D.L. (1985), “Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in the Developed Countries: 1952-76,” Public Choice, 47, 459-477.Lowery, D. and W.D. Berry (1983), “The Growth of Government in the United States: An Empirical Assessment of Competing Explanations,” American Journal of Political Science, 27, 665-694.Mahler, V.A. (1992), “Measuring Public Sector Size in the Advanced Market Economy Countries: the Problem of Deflators,” Social Indicators Research, 27, 311-325.Mofidi, A. and J. A. Stone (1990), “Do State and Local Taxes Affect Economic Growth?” The Review of Economics and Statistics, 72, 686-691.Rowley, C. K. and R. D. Tollison (1994), “Peacock and Wiseman on the Growth of Public Expenditure,” Public Choice, 78, 125-128.Samuelson, P. A. (1958), “Aspects of Public Expenditure Theories,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, 40, 332-338.Scully, G. W. (1991), Tax Rates, Tax Revenues and Economic Growth, NCPA Policy Report, No.98, Dallas, Texas: National Centre for Policy Analysis.United Nations Environment Programme (2010), “Green Economy: Driving a Green Economy through Public Finance and Fiscal Policy Reform,” UNEP Working Paper, v.1.Wahab, M. (2004), “Economic Growth and Government Expenditure: Evidence from A New Test Specification,” Applied Economics, 36, 2125-2135.World Economic Forum (2009), Green Investing: Towards a Clean Energy Infrastructure, Retrieved May, 23, 2015, from:http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_IV_GreenInvesting_Report_20 09.pdf.World Economic Forum (2011), The Global Competitiveness Report 2011-2012, Retrieved May, 3, 2015, from: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GCR_Report_2011-12.pdf.World Economic Forum (2014), The Global Competitiveness Report 2014-2015, Retrieved May, 3, 2015, from:http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport _2014-15.pdf.World bank (2007), Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth, Washington, DC: world bank. 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
財政學系
101255013資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0101255013 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 林其昂 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Lin, Chi Ang en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 楊芯柔 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Yang, Hsin Jo en_US dc.creator (作者) 楊芯柔 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Yang, Hsin Jo en_US dc.date (日期) 2015 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-Apr-2016 10:39:59 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-Apr-2016 10:39:59 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Apr-2016 10:39:59 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0101255013 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/83533 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 財政學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 101255013 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 財政代表著政府的財務施政狀況，我國從以往穩健經營的租稅國家逐步邁向債務國家，財政缺口日益擴大。本文透過觀察政府長期時間序列的年資料，將政府長期總支出區分成消耗性支出與移轉性支出，以五年為一個研究單位分析政府財政資金趨勢，藉由觀察名目與實質面向檢視政府規模大小，並探討公共支出成長率與支出所得彈性對財政赤字之關聯，最後簡述我國綠色支出概況。本文透過歸納與比較各個不同面向的支出情形，得到以下的研究： 一、在1967年至2011年間，政府規模呈現不增反減的狀態，尤其是實質政府規模縮減幅度遠遠超過名目規模。在政府資金轉移方面，政府消耗性支出及移轉性支出佔政府總支出的比重變動幅度不大，但趨勢已由政府消耗性支出項下的消費支出轉向投資性支出。 二、以政府所得彈性面觀察，長期政府支出與收入皆缺乏所得彈性，且收入成長不及支出成長，導致我國財政赤字嚴重，長期收支失衡現象。 zh_TW dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究動機 1 第二節 研究架構 3第二章 文獻回顧 5 第一節 探究政府支出與經濟之關聯性 6 第二節 衡量政府規模指標 9第三章 資料來源與整理 13 第一節 研究目標及範圍 13 第二節 研究資料整理過程 14 第三節 實質政府支出與平減指數 17 第四節 政府支出及收入之所得彈性 18第四章 政府支出數列之分析 19 第一節 政府名目與實質支出概況 19 第二節 政府消耗性支出與移轉性支出 21 第三節 公共支出的成長率 23第五章 政府規模與赤字之分析 27 第一節 政府規模變動情形 27 第二節 我國政府支出所得彈性 30 第三節 我國財政赤字危機 32第六章 結論與建議 37 第一節 研究總結 37 第二節 未來研究方向 38 參考文獻 40 zh_TW dc.format.extent 1369121 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0101255013 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 政府規模 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 公共支出成長率 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 支出所得彈性 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 財政赤字 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 綠色支出 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Government size en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Public expenditure growth rate en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Expenditure elasticity of income en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Fiscal deficit en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Green expenditure en_US dc.title (題名) 我國政府實質支出數列的建立及分析 zh_TW dc.title (題名) An Analysis of Government Real Expenditure in Taiwan en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文部份邱正雄，(1999)。「當前財政狀況及未來努力方向」。《財政月刊》， 47，33-38。黃珮瑜(2001)。《我國政府之長期實質支出資料的建立與分析》。未出版 之碩士論文，國立政治大學，財政學研究所，台北。英文部分Alt, J. E. and K. A. Chrystal (1983), Political Economics, Berkeley, California: University of California Press.Aschauer, D. A. (2000), “Do States Optimize? Public Capital and Economic Growth,” The Annals of Regional Science, 34(3), 343-363.Beck, M. (1976), “The Expanding Public Sector: Some Contrary Evidence,” National Tax Journal, 29, 15-21.Beck, M. (1979a), “Inflation, Government Spending and Real Size of the Public Sector,” Atlantic Economics Journal, 7, 25-34.Beck, M. (1979b), “Estimating Changes in Real Size of the Public Sector,” Economics Letters, 2, 245-249.Beck, M. (1981), “On Measuring Public Sector Shares,” National Tax Journal, 34, 487-488.Beck, M. (1985), “Public Expenditure, Relative Prices, and Resources Allocation,” Public Finance, 40, 17-34.Berry, W.D. and D. Lowery (1984), “The Growing Cost of Government: A Test of Two Explanations,” Social Science Quarterly, 65, 735-749.Bird, R.M. (1982), “Closing the Scissors, or the Real Public Sector Has Two Sides,” National Tax Journal, 35, 477- 481.Eyraud, L. and B. Clements (2012), “Going Green,” Finance and Development, 49, 34-37.Fan, S., P. Hazell, and S. Thorat (2000), “Government Spending, Growth and Poverty in Rural India,” American Journal Agricultural Economics, 82(4), 1038-1051.Feldmann, H. (2010), “Government Size and Unemployment in Developing Countries,” Applied Economics Letters, 17, 289-292.Garand, J.C. (1989), “Measuring Government Size in the American States: Implications for Testing Models of Government Growth,” Social Science Quarterly, 70,487- 496.Garand, J.C. (1991), “Decomposing Real and deflated-based Government Growth: An Application to the American States,” Quality and Quantity, 25, 221-233.Handler, H., B. Koebel, P. Reiss, and M. Schratzenstaller (2005), “The Size and Performance of Public Sector Activities in Europe,” WIFO Working Paper, No 246.Heller, P.S. (1981), “Diverging Trends in the Shares of Nominal and Real Government Expenditure in GDP: Implications for Policy,” National Tax Journal, 34, 61- 74.Helms, L. J. (1985), “The Effect of State and Local Taxes on Economic Growth: A Time Series-cross Section Approach,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, 67, 574-582.Henrekson, M. (1993), “Wagner’s Law-A Spurious Relationship?” Public finance, 48, 406-415.HSBC (2009), “A Climate for Recovery: the Colour of Stimulus Goes Green,” HSBC Global Research, 2-47.Kolluri, B. R., M. J. Panik, and M. S. Wahab (2000), “Government Expenditure and Economic Growth: Evidence from G7 Countries,” Applied Economics, 32, 1059-1068.Light, P. C. (1999), The True Size of Government, Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press.Landau, D. (1983), “Government Expenditure and Economic Growth: A Cross-country Study,” Southern Economic Journal, 49, 783-792.Landau, D.L. (1985), “Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in the Developed Countries: 1952-76,” Public Choice, 47, 459-477.Lowery, D. and W.D. Berry (1983), “The Growth of Government in the United States: An Empirical Assessment of Competing Explanations,” American Journal of Political Science, 27, 665-694.Mahler, V.A. (1992), “Measuring Public Sector Size in the Advanced Market Economy Countries: the Problem of Deflators,” Social Indicators Research, 27, 311-325.Mofidi, A. and J. A. Stone (1990), “Do State and Local Taxes Affect Economic Growth?” The Review of Economics and Statistics, 72, 686-691.Rowley, C. K. and R. D. Tollison (1994), “Peacock and Wiseman on the Growth of Public Expenditure,” Public Choice, 78, 125-128.Samuelson, P. A. (1958), “Aspects of Public Expenditure Theories,” The Review of Economics and Statistics, 40, 332-338.Scully, G. W. (1991), Tax Rates, Tax Revenues and Economic Growth, NCPA Policy Report, No.98, Dallas, Texas: National Centre for Policy Analysis.United Nations Environment Programme (2010), “Green Economy: Driving a Green Economy through Public Finance and Fiscal Policy Reform,” UNEP Working Paper, v.1.Wahab, M. (2004), “Economic Growth and Government Expenditure: Evidence from A New Test Specification,” Applied Economics, 36, 2125-2135.World Economic Forum (2009), Green Investing: Towards a Clean Energy Infrastructure, Retrieved May, 23, 2015, from:http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_IV_GreenInvesting_Report_20 09.pdf.World Economic Forum (2011), The Global Competitiveness Report 2011-2012, Retrieved May, 3, 2015, from: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GCR_Report_2011-12.pdf.World Economic Forum (2014), The Global Competitiveness Report 2014-2015, Retrieved May, 3, 2015, from:http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GlobalCompetitivenessReport _2014-15.pdf.World bank (2007), Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth, Washington, DC: world bank. zh_TW
