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題名 投資臺灣意願的影響因素: 以陸資來臺投資為例
The Determinants of the Willingness to Increase Foreign Direct Investment in Taiwan: An Empirical Evidence of Mainland China Enterprises
作者 周達剛
Chou, Ta Kang
貢獻者 翁永和
Weng, Yung Ho
周達剛
Chou, Ta Kang
關鍵詞 對外直接投資
陸資企業
投資意願
自由貿易協定
Intention of Foreign Direct Investment
Mainland China Enterprises
Regional Integration
Free Trade Agreement
日期 2016
上傳時間 1-Jul-2016 15:28:12 (UTC+8)
摘要 近年來隨著全球區域經濟整合風氣興起,各國以一系列地自由貿易協定談判開啟序曲,身為世界對外投資要角的兩岸政府,自然不可能缺席。我國自2009年始開放陸資企業至我國進行投資,並於隔年正式簽署兩岸經濟合作架構協議(Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement, ECFA),區域經濟整合不可逆之趨勢可見一斑。
本研究以2013年中187家在我國投資之陸資企業為對象,利用Probit與Tobit等兩種模型,分別以企業特性、對外投資動機、對外投資遭遇障礙以及自由貿易協定等四大構面,探討陸資企業在我國增加投資意願及投資程度高低的決定因素。經過實證研究發現,「運用臺灣營運管理模式」、「配合客戶或上下游廠商」與「自由貿易協定」等3項變數同為影響陸資企業在臺增資意願與程度的重要影響因素;此外「拓展臺灣市場」與「建構兩岸分工體系」等兩項變數為額外影響陸資企業增資意願之決定因素,顯示陸資企業在決定於我國增資時,會同時考量市場動機與資源配置策略;而在增資程度決策時,較偏重資源效率面向。
本研究亦使用自由貿易協定作為調節變數,經過實證研究結果,「自由貿易協定」確實具有調節效果;「政治穩定程度的障礙」為共同影響陸資企業在臺增加投資意願與程度的重要影響因素,而「獲利情形」為額外影響陸資企業增資意願之決定因素,可見自由貿易協定對於陸資企業在我國增加投資意願與增資程度確實具有關鍵影響力。
Along with the conception of the regional integration thrives around the world, every country starts to negotiate about signing the free trade agreements. As important roles of conducting foreign direct investment, both of Republic of China and People Republic of China won’t be absent in this big game for sure. The enterprises of Mainland China were permitted to do FDI in Taiwan since 2009, and we had Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement next year. It meant that regional integration is an indefensible trend on Earth.
This thesis examines the determinants of Mainland China enterprises conducting FDI in Taiwan, not only including whether to increase the amount of the investment, but also promote the degree of the FDI. Through the empirical result, the mode of executing Taiwanese enterprises, moving out with the cooperating firm, and signing the free trade agreements of goods and service, are the common determinants of increasing investment in Taiwan for Mainland China enterprises. Moreover, exploring Taiwan market and building the cooperating framework cross the Taiwan Strait are the additional significant factors of willing to increase FDI for China enterprises. We found there was a vigorous effect of free trade agreement over the intention of raising FDI in our country, so we used FTA factor to play the moderating role between independent variables and the willing to enlarge FDI. In eventually, we did confirm that FTA has moderator effect on promoting FDI in Taiwan for China enterprises.
參考文獻 中文部分
柴慶春與胡添雨(2012),「中國對外直接投資的貿易效應研究─基於對東盟和歐盟投资的差異性的考察」,《世界經濟研究》,6,64-69。
曹海濤與葉日崧(2008),「中國大陸企業海外直接投資之分析」,《中國大陸研究》,51(1),31-63。
陳德昇(2004),「臺商大陸投資經濟意涵與策略佈局取向」,《展望與探索》,2(9),18-34。
楊書菲(2013),《投資趨勢分析與研究-臺灣吸引外人投資策略研究》,臺北:經濟部投資審議委員會。
劉碧珍、陳添枝與翁永和(2005),《國際貿易理論與政策(第二版)》,臺北市:雙葉書廊。
英文部分
Adhikary, B.K. (2011), “FDI, trade openness, capital formation, and economic growth in Bangladesh: A linkage analysis,” International Journal of Business and Management, 6(1), 16-28.
Baggs, J. (2005), “Firm survival and exit in response to trade liberalization,” Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d`économique, 38(4), 1364-1383.
Baron, R. M., and Kenny, D. A. (1986), “The moderator–mediator variable distinction in social psychological research: Conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations,” Journal of personality and social psychology, 51(6), 1173-1182.
Blomström, M., Kokko, A., and Mucchielli, J. L. (2003), The Economics of Foreign Direct Investment Incentives, Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 37-60.
Buckley P. J. and Casson M. C. (1976), A Long-run Theory of the Multinational Enterprise, Buckley, P. J. and Casson, M. C. (eds), The Future of the Multinational Enterprise, London: Macmillan, 32-65.
Buckley, P. J., Cross, A. R., Tan, H., Voss, H., and Liu, X. (2006), “An investigation of recent trends in Chinese outward direct investment and some implications for theory,” Centre for International Business University of Leeds Working Paper.
Bunyaratavej, K., Hahn, E. D., and Doh, J. P. (2008), “Multinational investment and host country development: Location efficiencies for services offshoring,” Journal of World Business, 43(2), 227-242.
Busse, M. (2004), “Transnational corporations and repression of political rights and civil liberties: An empirical analysis,” Kyklos, 57(1), 45-65.
Busse, M., and Hefeker, C. (2007), “Political risk, institutions and foreign direct investment,” European Journal of Political Economy, 23(2), 397-415.
Caves, R.E. (1971), “International corporations: the industrial economics of foreign investment,” Economica, 38(149), 1-27.
Caves, R.E. (1996), Multinational Enterprise and Economic Analysis, Second Edition. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Chakrabarti, A. (2001), “The determinants of foreign direct investments: Sensitivity analyses of cross-country regressions,” Kyklos, 54(1), 89-114.
Chang, S. J., and Rhee, J. H. (2011), “Rapid FDI expansion and firm performance,” Journal of International Business Studies, 42(8), 979-994.
Chen, T. J., and Ku, Y. H. (2000), “The effect of foreign direct investment on firm growth: the case of Taiwan’s manufacturers,” Japan and the World Economy, 12(2), 153-172.
Chow, P. C., and Ciuriak, D. (2012), “The FTA music is playing in Asia: After ECFA, will Taiwan join the dance?” The International Trade Journal, 26(1), 61-75.
Chuang, Y. C. (2011, April), “ECFA and its implications for East Asian economic integration,” The International Trade Journal, 26(1), 61-75.
Deng, P. (2004), “Outward investment by Chinese MNCs: Motivations and implications,” Business Horizons, 47(3), 8-16.
Doh, J. P., Jones, G. K., Teegen, H., and Mudambi, R. (2005), “Foreign research and development and host country environment: An empirical examination of U.S. international R&D,” Management International Review, 25(2), 121–154
Dunning, J. H. (1980), “Toward an eclectic theory of international production:Some empirical tests,” Journal of International Business Studies, 11, 9-31.
Dunning, J. H. (1993), Multinational Enterprises and the Global Economy, Workingham: Addison-Wesley Publishing Company INC.
Franco, C., Rentocchini, F., and Marzetti, G. V. (2010), “Why do firms invest abroad? An analysis of the motives underlying foreign direct investments,” IUP Journal of International Business Law, 9(1), 42-65.
Ferragina, A., Pittiglio, R., and Reganati, F. (2009), “The impact of FDI on firm survival in Italy (No. 35),” FIW Working Paper.
Gao, H. S. (2011), “China`s strategy for free trade agreements: Political battle in the name of trade,” Asian Regional Workshop on Free Trade Agreements: Towards Inclusive Trade Policies in Post-crisis Asia, 8-9 December, Bangkok. , 1. Research Collection School of Law.
Groh, A. P., and Wich, M. (2012), “Emerging economies` attraction of foreign direct investment,” Emerging Markets Review, 13(2), 210-229.
Hailu, Z. A. (2010), “Impact of foreign direct investment on trade of African countries.” International Journal of Economics and Finance, 2(3), 122.
Hejazi, W., and Safarian, A. E. (2005), “NAFTA Effects and the Level of Development.” Journal of Business Research, 58(12), 1741-1749.
Henisz, W. (2000), “The institutional environment for multinational investment,” Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, 16(2), 334–364.
Hoadley, S., and Yang, J. (2007), “China`s cross-regional FTA initiatives: Towards comprehensive national power,” Pacific Affairs, 80(2), 327-348.
Hsu, J. Y. (2010), “Economic integration and the cross‐Taiwan Strait reconciliation,” Inter‐Asia Cultural Studies, 11(1), 136-143.
Hymer, S. (1976), “The International Operations of National firms: A Study of Direct Foreign Investment,” Ph.D. Thesis, Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Jadhav, P. (2012), “Determinants of foreign direct investment in BRICS economies: Analysis of economic, institutional and political factor,” Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 37, 5-14.
Jun, K., and Singh, H. (1996), “The determinants of foreign direct investment in developing countries.” Transnational Corporations, 5(2), 67–105.
Kling, G., Baten, J., and Labuske, K. (2011), “FDI of German companies during globalization and deglobalization,” Open Economies Review, 22(2), 247-270.
Le Hoang Ba Huyen. (2015), “Determinant of the factors affecting foreign direct investment (FDI) flow to Thanh Hoa province in Vietnam,” Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 172, 26-33.
Loungani, P., Mody, A. and Razin, A. (2002), “The global disconnect: The role of transactional distance and scale economies in gravity equations,” Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 49(5), 526-543.
Russeeuw, P. (1997), “Estimating the determinants of financial performance of very small service firms,” Conference Proceedings of USASBE—United States Association for Small Business and Entrepreneurship, San Francisco, California.
Schwab, K. (Ed.). (2015), The global competitiveness report 2015-2016, Geneva: World Economic Forum.
Serrasqueiro, Z. S., and Nunes, P. M. (2008), “Performance and size: Empirical evidence from Portuguese SMEs,” Small Business Economics, 31(2), 195-217.
Smith, A. (1776). The Wealth of Nations. Edited by E. Cannon. London: Methuen, 1961.
Taylor, R. (2002), “Globalization strategies of Chinese companies: Current developments and future prospects,” Asian Business amd Management, 1(2), 209-225.
United Nations (2015), World Investment Report, 2015: Reforming International Investment Governance, New York and Geneva: United Nations.
Urata, S. (2002), “Globalization and the growth in free trade agreements,” Asia Pacific Review, 9(1), 20-32.
Vernon, R. (1966), “International investment and international trade in the product cycle,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 80(2), 190-207.
Viner, J. (1950), The Customs Union Issue New York: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Wang, P., Alba, J. D., and Park, D. (2013), “Determinants of different modes of FDI: Firm-level evidence from Japanese FDI into the US,” Open Economies Review, 24(3), 425-446.
World Bank (2015), Doing Business 2016: Measuring Regulatory Quality and Efficiency, Washington, DC: World Bank.
Zhang, Y. (2003), China`s Emerging Global Businesses: Political Economy and Institutional Investigations, Palgrave Macmillan: Basingstoke.
Zhou, Y., and Lall, S. (2005), “The impact of China’s FDI surge on FDI in South-East Asia: Panel data analysis for 1986-2001,” Transnational Corporations, 14(1), 41-65.
網站資料
行政院主計總處,「總體統計資料庫網頁」,2015年1月21日,取自
http://statdb.dgbas.gov.tw/pxweb/dialog/statfile9L.asp
經濟部投資審議委員會,「公司國外投資處理辦法」,2015年1月21日,取自http://www.moeaic.gov.tw/system_external/ctlr?PRO=LawsLoad&id=71
經濟部中小企業處,「中小企業認定標準」,2015年1月23日,取自http://www.moeasmea.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=672&ctNode=214
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
行政管理碩士學程
103921056
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0103921056
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 翁永和zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Weng, Yung Hoen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 周達剛zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Chou, Ta Kangen_US
dc.creator (作者) 周達剛zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Chou, Ta Kangen_US
dc.date (日期) 2016en_US
dc.date.accessioned 1-Jul-2016 15:28:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 1-Jul-2016 15:28:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Jul-2016 15:28:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0103921056en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/98656-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 行政管理碩士學程zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 103921056zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 近年來隨著全球區域經濟整合風氣興起,各國以一系列地自由貿易協定談判開啟序曲,身為世界對外投資要角的兩岸政府,自然不可能缺席。我國自2009年始開放陸資企業至我國進行投資,並於隔年正式簽署兩岸經濟合作架構協議(Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement, ECFA),區域經濟整合不可逆之趨勢可見一斑。
本研究以2013年中187家在我國投資之陸資企業為對象,利用Probit與Tobit等兩種模型,分別以企業特性、對外投資動機、對外投資遭遇障礙以及自由貿易協定等四大構面,探討陸資企業在我國增加投資意願及投資程度高低的決定因素。經過實證研究發現,「運用臺灣營運管理模式」、「配合客戶或上下游廠商」與「自由貿易協定」等3項變數同為影響陸資企業在臺增資意願與程度的重要影響因素;此外「拓展臺灣市場」與「建構兩岸分工體系」等兩項變數為額外影響陸資企業增資意願之決定因素,顯示陸資企業在決定於我國增資時,會同時考量市場動機與資源配置策略;而在增資程度決策時,較偏重資源效率面向。
本研究亦使用自由貿易協定作為調節變數,經過實證研究結果,「自由貿易協定」確實具有調節效果;「政治穩定程度的障礙」為共同影響陸資企業在臺增加投資意願與程度的重要影響因素,而「獲利情形」為額外影響陸資企業增資意願之決定因素,可見自由貿易協定對於陸資企業在我國增加投資意願與增資程度確實具有關鍵影響力。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Along with the conception of the regional integration thrives around the world, every country starts to negotiate about signing the free trade agreements. As important roles of conducting foreign direct investment, both of Republic of China and People Republic of China won’t be absent in this big game for sure. The enterprises of Mainland China were permitted to do FDI in Taiwan since 2009, and we had Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement next year. It meant that regional integration is an indefensible trend on Earth.
This thesis examines the determinants of Mainland China enterprises conducting FDI in Taiwan, not only including whether to increase the amount of the investment, but also promote the degree of the FDI. Through the empirical result, the mode of executing Taiwanese enterprises, moving out with the cooperating firm, and signing the free trade agreements of goods and service, are the common determinants of increasing investment in Taiwan for Mainland China enterprises. Moreover, exploring Taiwan market and building the cooperating framework cross the Taiwan Strait are the additional significant factors of willing to increase FDI for China enterprises. We found there was a vigorous effect of free trade agreement over the intention of raising FDI in our country, so we used FTA factor to play the moderating role between independent variables and the willing to enlarge FDI. In eventually, we did confirm that FTA has moderator effect on promoting FDI in Taiwan for China enterprises.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 研究範圍 3
第三節 研究架構 3
第二章 文獻回顧 5
第一節 對外投資定義與理論 5
第二節 投資意願定義與理論 8
第三節 對外投資與投資意願間之影響因素 9
第三章 對外投資之現況統計 20
第一節 資料來源 21
第二節 資料特性分析 21
第四章 實證模型設定 26
第一節 變數說明及預期影響方向 26
第二節 實證模型的建立 33
第五章 實證研究 38
第一節 實證變數的基本統計量 38
第二節 實證模型A-Probit模型實證結果 40
第三節 實證模型A-Pobit模型邊際效果 50
第四節 實證模型B-Tobit模型實證結果 54
第六章 結論與建議 59
參考文獻 65
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 2412015 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0103921056en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 對外直接投資zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 陸資企業zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 投資意願zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 自由貿易協定zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Intention of Foreign Direct Investmenten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Mainland China Enterprisesen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Regional Integrationen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Free Trade Agreementen_US
dc.title (題名) 投資臺灣意願的影響因素: 以陸資來臺投資為例zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The Determinants of the Willingness to Increase Foreign Direct Investment in Taiwan: An Empirical Evidence of Mainland China Enterprisesen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文部分
柴慶春與胡添雨(2012),「中國對外直接投資的貿易效應研究─基於對東盟和歐盟投资的差異性的考察」,《世界經濟研究》,6,64-69。
曹海濤與葉日崧(2008),「中國大陸企業海外直接投資之分析」,《中國大陸研究》,51(1),31-63。
陳德昇(2004),「臺商大陸投資經濟意涵與策略佈局取向」,《展望與探索》,2(9),18-34。
楊書菲(2013),《投資趨勢分析與研究-臺灣吸引外人投資策略研究》,臺北:經濟部投資審議委員會。
劉碧珍、陳添枝與翁永和(2005),《國際貿易理論與政策(第二版)》,臺北市:雙葉書廊。
英文部分
Adhikary, B.K. (2011), “FDI, trade openness, capital formation, and economic growth in Bangladesh: A linkage analysis,” International Journal of Business and Management, 6(1), 16-28.
Baggs, J. (2005), “Firm survival and exit in response to trade liberalization,” Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d`économique, 38(4), 1364-1383.
Baron, R. M., and Kenny, D. A. (1986), “The moderator–mediator variable distinction in social psychological research: Conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations,” Journal of personality and social psychology, 51(6), 1173-1182.
Blomström, M., Kokko, A., and Mucchielli, J. L. (2003), The Economics of Foreign Direct Investment Incentives, Springer Berlin Heidelberg, 37-60.
Buckley P. J. and Casson M. C. (1976), A Long-run Theory of the Multinational Enterprise, Buckley, P. J. and Casson, M. C. (eds), The Future of the Multinational Enterprise, London: Macmillan, 32-65.
Buckley, P. J., Cross, A. R., Tan, H., Voss, H., and Liu, X. (2006), “An investigation of recent trends in Chinese outward direct investment and some implications for theory,” Centre for International Business University of Leeds Working Paper.
Bunyaratavej, K., Hahn, E. D., and Doh, J. P. (2008), “Multinational investment and host country development: Location efficiencies for services offshoring,” Journal of World Business, 43(2), 227-242.
Busse, M. (2004), “Transnational corporations and repression of political rights and civil liberties: An empirical analysis,” Kyklos, 57(1), 45-65.
Busse, M., and Hefeker, C. (2007), “Political risk, institutions and foreign direct investment,” European Journal of Political Economy, 23(2), 397-415.
Caves, R.E. (1971), “International corporations: the industrial economics of foreign investment,” Economica, 38(149), 1-27.
Caves, R.E. (1996), Multinational Enterprise and Economic Analysis, Second Edition. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Chakrabarti, A. (2001), “The determinants of foreign direct investments: Sensitivity analyses of cross-country regressions,” Kyklos, 54(1), 89-114.
Chang, S. J., and Rhee, J. H. (2011), “Rapid FDI expansion and firm performance,” Journal of International Business Studies, 42(8), 979-994.
Chen, T. J., and Ku, Y. H. (2000), “The effect of foreign direct investment on firm growth: the case of Taiwan’s manufacturers,” Japan and the World Economy, 12(2), 153-172.
Chow, P. C., and Ciuriak, D. (2012), “The FTA music is playing in Asia: After ECFA, will Taiwan join the dance?” The International Trade Journal, 26(1), 61-75.
Chuang, Y. C. (2011, April), “ECFA and its implications for East Asian economic integration,” The International Trade Journal, 26(1), 61-75.
Deng, P. (2004), “Outward investment by Chinese MNCs: Motivations and implications,” Business Horizons, 47(3), 8-16.
Doh, J. P., Jones, G. K., Teegen, H., and Mudambi, R. (2005), “Foreign research and development and host country environment: An empirical examination of U.S. international R&D,” Management International Review, 25(2), 121–154
Dunning, J. H. (1980), “Toward an eclectic theory of international production:Some empirical tests,” Journal of International Business Studies, 11, 9-31.
Dunning, J. H. (1993), Multinational Enterprises and the Global Economy, Workingham: Addison-Wesley Publishing Company INC.
Franco, C., Rentocchini, F., and Marzetti, G. V. (2010), “Why do firms invest abroad? An analysis of the motives underlying foreign direct investments,” IUP Journal of International Business Law, 9(1), 42-65.
Ferragina, A., Pittiglio, R., and Reganati, F. (2009), “The impact of FDI on firm survival in Italy (No. 35),” FIW Working Paper.
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網站資料
行政院主計總處,「總體統計資料庫網頁」,2015年1月21日,取自
http://statdb.dgbas.gov.tw/pxweb/dialog/statfile9L.asp
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經濟部中小企業處,「中小企業認定標準」,2015年1月23日,取自http://www.moeasmea.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=672&ctNode=214
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