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題名 台北縣長候選人社會福利議題 德菲技巧評估與候選人得票率關聯性分析
Correlation Study of Voting Behavior of Taipei County Magistrate and Social Welfare Agenda-The Use of Delphi Technique
作者 楊孝濚
Yang, Shou-Jung
關鍵詞 社會福利議題 ; 德斐技巧 ; 沉默螺旋理論
Social Welfare ; Delphi Technique ; Silent Spring Theory
日期 1999-05
上傳時間 8-Nov-2017 11:34:12 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究是以議題〔議程〕設定理論和沉默螺旋理論來驗證出台北縣選民對六位台北縣縣長候選人的投票行為。本研究亦利用德斐技巧法來預測出台北縣選民的投票傾向,從本研究的發現之中,充分顯示不但議題成為台北縣選民的投票行為主要指標,本研究亦驗證出台北縣選民不願將本身選票作無意義的浪費,關鍵選票的轉移證實沈默螺旋理論成為決定勝負的關鍵理論,值得在未來研究中作更進一步的探討。本研究亦驗證德斐技巧法是有高度正確的預測性,未來研究可更廣泛運用。
Agenda Setting theory and Silent Spring theory along with other communication theories were used in this study to predict the voting patten among six candidates of Taipei county magistrate election.Delphi techniques was also used in this study to predict the final outcome of this election.The major finding of this study indicated the voters of Taipei county using agenda of six county major candidates as the majistrate consideration toward their voting behavior.The voters also involved deeply into election campaigns to allocated their votes toward one candidate to help this candidate to win the election.Silent Spring theory was proved in this Taipei county magistrate election in this study.
關聯 選舉研究 , 6(1) , 1-30
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.6612%2ftjes.1999.06.01.01-30
dc.creator (作者) 楊孝濚zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Yang, Shou-Jungen_US
dc.date (日期) 1999-05
dc.date.accessioned 8-Nov-2017 11:34:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 8-Nov-2017 11:34:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 8-Nov-2017 11:34:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/114492-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究是以議題〔議程〕設定理論和沉默螺旋理論來驗證出台北縣選民對六位台北縣縣長候選人的投票行為。本研究亦利用德斐技巧法來預測出台北縣選民的投票傾向,從本研究的發現之中,充分顯示不但議題成為台北縣選民的投票行為主要指標,本研究亦驗證出台北縣選民不願將本身選票作無意義的浪費,關鍵選票的轉移證實沈默螺旋理論成為決定勝負的關鍵理論,值得在未來研究中作更進一步的探討。本研究亦驗證德斐技巧法是有高度正確的預測性,未來研究可更廣泛運用。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Agenda Setting theory and Silent Spring theory along with other communication theories were used in this study to predict the voting patten among six candidates of Taipei county magistrate election.Delphi techniques was also used in this study to predict the final outcome of this election.The major finding of this study indicated the voters of Taipei county using agenda of six county major candidates as the majistrate consideration toward their voting behavior.The voters also involved deeply into election campaigns to allocated their votes toward one candidate to help this candidate to win the election.Silent Spring theory was proved in this Taipei county magistrate election in this study.en_US
dc.format.extent 1461577 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.relation (關聯) 選舉研究 , 6(1) , 1-30zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 社會福利議題 ; 德斐技巧 ; 沉默螺旋理論zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Social Welfare ; Delphi Technique ; Silent Spring Theoryen_US
dc.title (題名) 台北縣長候選人社會福利議題 德菲技巧評估與候選人得票率關聯性分析zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Correlation Study of Voting Behavior of Taipei County Magistrate and Social Welfare Agenda-The Use of Delphi Techniqueen_US
dc.type (資料類型) article
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.6612/tjes.1999.06.01.01-30
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.6612%2ftjes.1999.06.01.01-30