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題名 前南斯拉夫各國族群衝突事件數量多寡原因之探討
Investigating the Variation of the Number of Ethnic Conflicts among the Former-Yugoslavia Countries
作者 蔡秉勲
Tsai, Ping-Hsun
貢獻者 薛健吾
Hsueh, Chien-Wu
蔡秉勲
Tsai, Ping-Hsun
關鍵詞 南斯拉夫
族群衝突
民族主義
布林函數
Yugoslavia
ethnic conflict
nationalism
Boolean analysis
日期 2022
上傳時間 1-Aug-2022 18:44:01 (UTC+8)
摘要 南斯拉夫於1990年代解體並先後獨立出七個國家。然而，同樣是自南斯拉夫獨立且都有潛在族群衝突問題的前南各國，為何斯洛維尼亞、克羅埃西亞、科索沃及蒙特內哥羅等四國在獨立之後的族群衝突事件較少，而北馬其頓、塞爾維亞和波赫等三國在獨立之後的族群衝突事件較多。文獻中的研究雖然豐富，但大多僅限於針對某些特定國家或特定因素的分析，迄今尚未有一個較為通則性的解釋。本文根據文獻的建議，篩選出「該國族群間的經濟是否平等」、「該國少數族群在代議機構中的代表性是否足夠」、「該國少數族群的人口比例是否」以及「該國對少數族群的法律保障是否完善」等四個較為重要的系統性變數進行布林函數分析，並且發現「該國族群間的經濟是否平等」是影響前南各國族群衝突多寡的最關鍵原因。
A total of seven states were split from Yugoslavia after the breakup in the 1990s. Despite having potential ethnic conflicts in all states that succeeded Yugoslavia, why do Slovenia, Croatia, Kosovo, and Montenegro have fewer ethnic conflicts while North Macedonia, Serbia, and Bosnia have more ethnic conflicts? While there are plenty of previous studies about ethnic conflicts, most of them focus on analysis of certain countries or factors without any nomothetic explanation. By suggestions of the literatures, this thesis selects “economic equality among ethnic groups”, “representation of minorities in representative institution”, “proportion of minority population” and “legal assurance to minorities” as four significant systemic variables in Boolean analysis. This thesis concludes that the level of economic equality between ethnic groups is the key factor affecting the quantity of ethnic conflicts among those states.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
俄羅斯研究所
109263006
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109263006
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 薛健吾zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Hsueh, Chien-Wuen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 蔡秉勲zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Tsai, Ping-Hsunen_US
dc.creator (作者) 蔡秉勲zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Tsai, Ping-Hsunen_US
dc.date (日期) 2022en_US
dc.date.accessioned 1-Aug-2022 18:44:01 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 1-Aug-2022 18:44:01 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Aug-2022 18:44:01 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0109263006en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/141322-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 俄羅斯研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 109263006zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 南斯拉夫於1990年代解體並先後獨立出七個國家。然而，同樣是自南斯拉夫獨立且都有潛在族群衝突問題的前南各國，為何斯洛維尼亞、克羅埃西亞、科索沃及蒙特內哥羅等四國在獨立之後的族群衝突事件較少，而北馬其頓、塞爾維亞和波赫等三國在獨立之後的族群衝突事件較多。文獻中的研究雖然豐富，但大多僅限於針對某些特定國家或特定因素的分析，迄今尚未有一個較為通則性的解釋。本文根據文獻的建議，篩選出「該國族群間的經濟是否平等」、「該國少數族群在代議機構中的代表性是否足夠」、「該國少數族群的人口比例是否」以及「該國對少數族群的法律保障是否完善」等四個較為重要的系統性變數進行布林函數分析，並且發現「該國族群間的經濟是否平等」是影響前南各國族群衝突多寡的最關鍵原因。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) A total of seven states were split from Yugoslavia after the breakup in the 1990s. Despite having potential ethnic conflicts in all states that succeeded Yugoslavia, why do Slovenia, Croatia, Kosovo, and Montenegro have fewer ethnic conflicts while North Macedonia, Serbia, and Bosnia have more ethnic conflicts? While there are plenty of previous studies about ethnic conflicts, most of them focus on analysis of certain countries or factors without any nomothetic explanation. By suggestions of the literatures, this thesis selects “economic equality among ethnic groups”, “representation of minorities in representative institution”, “proportion of minority population” and “legal assurance to minorities” as four significant systemic variables in Boolean analysis. This thesis concludes that the level of economic equality between ethnic groups is the key factor affecting the quantity of ethnic conflicts among those states.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 研究問題 2
第三節　過去相關文獻簡介回顧 7
一、南斯拉夫解體前後的族群衝突 7
二、過去的研究尚未回答之問題 10
第四節 研究方法 12
第五節 研究範圍與限制 13
一、研究範圍 13
二、研究限制 13
第六節、章節安排 14
第二章　名詞釋義、南斯拉夫各族歷史探討與文獻分析 15
第一節 名詞釋義 15
第二節　南斯拉夫統一前的各族歷史 16
一、塞爾維亞族 16
二、克羅埃西亞族 19
三、斯洛維尼亞族 21
四、波士尼亞克族 22
五、蒙特內哥羅族 22
六、馬其頓族 23
七、阿爾巴尼亞族 24
八、小結 24
第三節 南斯拉夫作為共同體的成立與解體 25
一、南斯拉夫成立的背景 25
二、南斯拉夫內部的爭端 26
三、南斯拉夫的裂解 28
四、前南斯拉夫各國的現況 31
第四節 過去對於前南各國族群衝突程度差異的解釋 42
一、南斯拉夫解體前的族群衝突解釋 42
二、南斯拉夫解體後各國族群衝突的解釋 43
第五節 過去研究的不足之處 51
第六節 本文的論點 57
第三章　研究設計 61
第一節 設計陳述與研究前提 61
第二節　實證命題 65
一、自變數選取 66
二、研究方法與數據 81
第三節 小結 93
第四章　族群衝突次數少的國家：斯洛維尼亞、克羅埃西亞、科索沃和蒙特內哥羅 95
第一節　斯洛維尼亞 95
一、與境內的「南斯拉夫族」關係 95
二、與境內其他族群的關係 97
三、族群衝突少的原因 98
四、小結 100
第二節　克羅埃西亞 100
一、與境內塞族的關係 100
二、與境內其他族群的關係 106
三、族群衝突多轉少的原因 107
四、小結 109
第三節 科索沃 109
一、與境內塞族的關係 109
二、與境內其他族群的關係 114
三、族群衝突數量少的原因 114
四、與公式的比較 115
五、小結 116
第四節 蒙特內哥羅 116
一、與境內塞族的關係 117
二、與其他少數族群的關係 120
三、族群衝突數量少的原因 123
四、與公式的比較 126
五、小結 126
第五節　本章小結 127
第五章　族群衝突次數多的國家：北馬其頓、塞爾維亞和波赫 129
第一節　北馬其頓 129
一、與境內阿族的關係 130
二、與境內其他族群的關係 132
三、北馬其頓族群衝突從多轉少的原因 133
四、與公式的比較 134
五、小結 135
第二節　塞爾維亞 136
一、與境內各主要少數族群的關係 136
二、與境內其他族群的關係 148
三、族群衝突由多至少的原因 149
四、與公式的比較 151
五、小結 151
第三節　波赫 152
一、與境內各主要族群的關係 154
二、與境內其他族群關係 162
三、波赫衝突由多轉少 163
四、與公式的比較 164
五、小結 165
第四節　本章小結 166
第六章　結論 167
參考書目 171		zh_TW
dc.format.extent 2403240 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0109263006en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 南斯拉夫zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 族群衝突zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 民族主義zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 布林函數zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Yugoslaviaen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) ethnic conflicten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) nationalismen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Boolean analysisen_US
dc.title (題名) 前南斯拉夫各國族群衝突事件數量多寡原因之探討zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Investigating the Variation of the Number of Ethnic Conflicts among the Former-Yugoslavia Countriesen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen_US
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文參考文獻：
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dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.6814/NCCU202201031en_US