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題名 探索政治議題的敏感性程度:以深度訪談及列項實驗進行分析
Exploring the Sensitivity of Political Issues: Analysis with Depth Interview and Listed Experiment作者 蘇靖惠
Su, Ching-Hui貢獻者 蔡宗漢
蘇靖惠
Su, Ching-Hui關鍵詞 敏感性問題
列項實驗
深度訪談
反中情緒日期 2023 上傳時間 1-Sep-2023 15:37:05 (UTC+8) 摘要 在台灣,因特殊歷史記憶和文化脈絡,早期民眾避而不談與政治有關的議題,隨著民主化運動,理論上對於談論政治的行為應是更包容、多元的,卻看到一些跡象顯示現今的台灣社會無法接受與自己不同的意見。其中,大學生身為台灣的中堅份子,更是民主社會的未來菁英,他們接受著自由開放的大學教育,卻也深受人際網絡中的交叉壓力和大眾媒體影響。本文好奇台灣的大學生有無不敢向他人透露的政治想法,因此,使用網路調查研究大學生們是否會擔心讓他人知道「自己不支持執政的民進黨」、「喜歡中國族群及其文化」和「支持兩岸有更多的政治互動」的想法。本文使用深度訪談,用以了解大學生們認為有哪些是屬於政治性的敏感問題和使其感到敏感的原因,以探究在民主自由開放的今日,台灣的大學生仍存有哪些不敢訴說的政治敏感問題。在深度訪談的過程中,部分大學生表達擔心讓周遭親友知道自己的政治態度與其不同,搭乘大眾交通運輸時,也會擔心被旁人看到自己正在觀看中國短影音。根據網路問卷調查結果顯示,以上三個主題並不符合列項實驗中認定的敏感性問題,以二分類勝算對數模型檢測時,發現喜歡觀看中國短影音者,比起不喜歡的大學生,更擔心被他人知道;不支持民進黨題組並未具有統計上的顯著性,然支持國民黨的學生,相較於不支持者,更擔心被他人知道自己支持國民黨;最後,支持兩岸官員互訪的大學生,比起不支持者,也更擔心被他人知道自己支持兩岸官員互訪。 參考文獻 一、中文方淇、吳重禮,2021。〈社會距離與兩岸關係認知:臺灣民眾統獨立場的實證分析〉。《選舉研究》,28: 103-148。王甫昌,2008。〈族群政治議題在台灣民主化轉型中的角色〉。《臺灣民主季刊》,5: 89-140。王凱、甘孟玄,2022。〈線上社交圈中敏感性社會議題參與:沉默螺旋與社會資本影響關係之探索性研究〉。《中山管理評論》, 30: 367-408。左宗宏,2008。〈2004 年台灣總統大選傳統媒體,公眾與網路討論議題之關聯分析〉。《傳播與管理研究》,7: 73-106。吳乃德,1999。〈家庭社會化和意識型態:台灣選民政黨認同的世代差異〉。《台灣社會學研究》,3: 53-85。———,2005。〈麵包與愛情:初探台灣民眾民族認同的變動〉。《台灣政治學刊》,9: 5-39。———,2001。〈認同衝突和政治信任:現階段台灣族群政治的核心難題〉。《台灣政治學》,4: 75-118。吳重禮、崔曉倩,2010。〈族群,賦權與選舉評價:2004 年與 2008 年總統選舉省籍差異的實證分析〉。《臺灣民主季刊》,7: 137-82。吳重禮、許文賓,2003。〈誰是政黨認同者與獨立選民?以二○○一年台灣地區選民政黨認同的決定因素為例〉。《政治科學論叢》, 101-40。李冠成、楊婉瑩,2016。〈老台灣人Vs新台灣人:台灣人認同世代差異之初探〉。《台灣政治學刊》,20: 125-86。杜素豪,2004。〈投票意向問題不同類型項目無反應之分析:以2000年總統大選為例〉。《選舉研究》,11: 111-31。周應龍、盛杏湲,2005。〈選樣偏誤模型在選舉預測上的應用〉。《選舉研究》,12: 1-44。林彩玉、洪永泰、鄭宇庭,2004。〈抽樣調查中投票意向問題無反應因素之研究〉。《調查研究-方法與應用》,31-60。林啟耀,2014。〈訪員如何影響訪問績效?一個互動式的觀點〉。《台灣政治學刊》,18: 129-179。林濁水、梁文傑,1999。〈台灣政黨轉型與民眾統獨意向的變遷〉。《中國大陸研究》,42: 59-77。林繼文,2015。〈論述如何框限選擇?條件式統獨偏好對2012年台灣總統選舉的影響〉。《政治科學論叢》,55-90。侯佩君,2008,〈電話調查的「類拒訪」分析〉。《調查研究-方法與應用》,81-118。俞振華、涂志揚,2017。〈選舉預測:利用全國性調查推估區域立委選情〉。《東吳政治學報》,35(3): 71-120。洪永泰、黃永政,2000。〈台灣地區電話隨機撥號抽樣方法之研究〉。《選舉研究》,7: 173-84。張傳賢、黃紀,2011。〈政黨競爭與台灣族群認同與國家認同間的聯結〉。《台灣政治學刊》,15: 3-71。盛杏湲,2010。〈台灣選民政黨認同的穩定與變遷:定群追蹤資料的應用〉。《選舉研究》,17: 1-33。———,2006。〈問卷設計:一項對民意調查的挑戰〉。《研考雙月刊》,30: 49-61。———,2002。〈統獨議題與台灣選民的投票行為:一九九○年代的分析〉。《選舉研究》,9: 41-80。盛杏湲、周應龍,2008。〈選樣偏誤模型在調查研究中項目無反應問題的應用〉。《台灣政治學刊》,12: 147-83。盛杏湲、陳義彥,2003。〈政治分歧與政黨競爭:二○○一年立法委員選舉的分析〉。《選舉研究》,10: 7-40。許勝懋,2001。〈台北市選民的分裂投票行為:一九九八年市長選舉分析〉,《選舉研究》,8: 117-58。陳陸輝,2000。〈台灣選民政黨認同的持續與變遷〉。《選舉研究》,7: 109-41。———,2003。〈政治信任,施政表現與民眾對台灣民主的展望〉。《台灣政治學刊》,7: 149-88。———,2002。〈政治信任感與台灣地區選民投票行為〉。《選舉研究》,9: 65-84。———,2020。《民意調查》,台北:五南。陳陸輝、黃信豪,2007。〈社會化媒介,在學經驗與台灣大學生的政治功效意識和政治參與〉。《東亞研究》,38: 1-48。陳義彥、陳陸輝,2003。〈模稜兩可的態度還是不確定的未來:台灣民眾統獨觀的解析〉。《中國大陸研究》,46: 1-20。傅文成、謝奇任、邊明道,2019。〈以大數據分析取徑探究傳統媒體與社群媒體的議題設定與預示效果-以洪仲丘事件為例〉。《傳播與社會學刊》,99-131。曾憲立、洪永泰、朱斌妤、黃東益、謝翠娟,2018。〈多元民意調查方法的比較研究〉。《調查研究-方法與應用》,41: 87-111。游清鑫,2003。〈探索臺灣選民心目中理想的候選人:以二〇〇七年總統選舉為例〉。《東吳政治學報》,17: 93-120。游清鑫、蕭怡靖,2007。〈以新選民的政治態度論台灣民主政治的未來〉。《臺灣民主季刊》,4: 109-51。黃旻華,2006。〈態度量表的心理計量學分析:2003年Teds 統獨態度量表的研究〉。《選舉研究》,13: 43-85。邱垂正、童振源,2008。〈陳水扁政府與馬英九政府的中國戰略之比較與檢討〉。《戰略--臺灣國家安全政策評論》,1: 78-99。黃毅志,1997。〈問卷調查資料之再測信度:以台灣地區社會變遷調查為例〉。《調查研究》,205-42。黃囇莉,2007。〈M 型政黨Vs鐘型意識—台灣國族認同之意識型態及其心理基礎〉。《中華心理學刊》,49: 451-70。黃俊傑,2006。《臺灣意識與臺灣文化》,台北:國立臺灣大學出版中心。楊文山,1994。〈隨機問答在大型實地調查中的應用-以估計台灣地區賄選為例〉。中央研究院中山人文社會科學研究所。楊光,和鄭琹尹,2019。〈列項實驗與網路調查之結合:臺灣民眾對同性戀民代接受程度的探究〉。《選舉研究》,26(2): 23-52。楊孟麗,2011。〈訪問品質與訪問速度及完訪次序的關係〉。《調查研究-方法與應用》,47-89。劉正山、莊文忠,2013。〈項目無反應資料的多重插補分析〉。《臺灣選舉與民主化調查 (TEDS) 方法論之回顧與前瞻》,台北:五南出版。劉義周,1996。〈測不到的誤差:訪員執行訪問時的偏誤〉。《調查研究》,35-58。———,1985。〈調查研究中「不知道」選項問題之分析〉。《國立政治大學學報》,52: 65-90。劉嘉薇,2019。〈從線上到線下?臉書與大學生太陽花學運參與之研究〉。《中國行政評論》,25: 29-61。劉嘉薇、黃紀,2012。〈父母政黨偏好組合對大學生政黨偏好之影響-定群追蹤之研究〉。《臺灣民主季刊》,9: 37-84。莊文忠,2013。〈調查無反應的多層次分析:以2001年至2010年TEDS調查資料為例〉。《台灣選舉與民主化調查(TEDS)方法論之回顧與前瞻》,台北:五南。蔡奇霖,2010。〈別訪問我!我對政治沒興趣:主題效應與 Teds 高估投票率之研究〉。《選舉研究》,17: 135-75。鄭夙芬,2000。〈政治類調查研究中訪員錯誤類型之研究。〉。《選舉研究》,7: 143-91。———,2009。〈族群,認同與總統選舉投票抉擇〉。《選舉研究》,16: 23-29。黃紀,2013。《台灣選舉與民主化調查(TEDS)方法論之回顧與前瞻》,台北:五南。———,2016。〈調查研究設計〉。《民意調查研究》,台北:五南。賴世培、丁庭宇、、莫季雍,2005。《民意調查》,台北:國立空中大學。謝淑惠、杜素豪、李燊銘、王千文,2016。〈台灣2012年總統選舉隨機作答模式調查探討〉。《調查研究-方法與應用》, 81-109。關弘昌,2018。〈臺灣青年世代統獨與兩岸經貿交流態度之探索〉。《遠景基金會季刊》,19: 1-40。二、外文Allen H. 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國立政治大學
政治學系
108252005資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108252005 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 蔡宗漢 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) 蘇靖惠 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Su, Ching-Hui en_US dc.creator (作者) 蘇靖惠 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Su, Ching-Hui en_US dc.date (日期) 2023 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-Sep-2023 15:37:05 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-Sep-2023 15:37:05 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Sep-2023 15:37:05 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0108252005 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/147084 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 政治學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 108252005 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 在台灣,因特殊歷史記憶和文化脈絡,早期民眾避而不談與政治有關的議題,隨著民主化運動,理論上對於談論政治的行為應是更包容、多元的,卻看到一些跡象顯示現今的台灣社會無法接受與自己不同的意見。其中,大學生身為台灣的中堅份子,更是民主社會的未來菁英,他們接受著自由開放的大學教育,卻也深受人際網絡中的交叉壓力和大眾媒體影響。本文好奇台灣的大學生有無不敢向他人透露的政治想法,因此,使用網路調查研究大學生們是否會擔心讓他人知道「自己不支持執政的民進黨」、「喜歡中國族群及其文化」和「支持兩岸有更多的政治互動」的想法。本文使用深度訪談,用以了解大學生們認為有哪些是屬於政治性的敏感問題和使其感到敏感的原因,以探究在民主自由開放的今日,台灣的大學生仍存有哪些不敢訴說的政治敏感問題。在深度訪談的過程中,部分大學生表達擔心讓周遭親友知道自己的政治態度與其不同,搭乘大眾交通運輸時,也會擔心被旁人看到自己正在觀看中國短影音。根據網路問卷調查結果顯示,以上三個主題並不符合列項實驗中認定的敏感性問題,以二分類勝算對數模型檢測時,發現喜歡觀看中國短影音者,比起不喜歡的大學生,更擔心被他人知道;不支持民進黨題組並未具有統計上的顯著性,然支持國民黨的學生,相較於不支持者,更擔心被他人知道自己支持國民黨;最後,支持兩岸官員互訪的大學生,比起不支持者,也更擔心被他人知道自己支持兩岸官員互訪。 zh_TW dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章、緒論 1第一節、研究背景 1第二節、研究動機與目的 3第貳章、社會科學調查的敏感性問題及解決方法 7第一節、社會科學調查內的敏感性問題 7第二節、解決敏感性問題的方法 11第參章、台灣社會脈絡內的敏感問題 19第一節、既有的敏感問題 19第二節、台灣政治發展中的敏感問題 23第三節、大學生的政治敏感認知 26第肆章、研究問題與研究設計 30第一節、研究設計及方法 30第二節、研究架構 31第三節、操作變數與問卷設計 34第伍章、研究成果 38第一節、深度訪談研究成果 38第二節、列項實驗研究成果 48第三節、調查問卷之分析結果 59第陸章 結論 67參考資料 82附錄一、深度訪談問卷 100附錄二、列項實驗題問卷 101附錄三、深度訪談日期與時長 105 zh_TW dc.format.extent 1971584 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0108252005 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 敏感性問題 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 列項實驗 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 深度訪談 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 反中情緒 zh_TW dc.title (題名) 探索政治議題的敏感性程度:以深度訪談及列項實驗進行分析 zh_TW dc.title (題名) Exploring the Sensitivity of Political Issues: Analysis with Depth Interview and Listed Experiment en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、中文方淇、吳重禮,2021。〈社會距離與兩岸關係認知:臺灣民眾統獨立場的實證分析〉。《選舉研究》,28: 103-148。王甫昌,2008。〈族群政治議題在台灣民主化轉型中的角色〉。《臺灣民主季刊》,5: 89-140。王凱、甘孟玄,2022。〈線上社交圈中敏感性社會議題參與:沉默螺旋與社會資本影響關係之探索性研究〉。《中山管理評論》, 30: 367-408。左宗宏,2008。〈2004 年台灣總統大選傳統媒體,公眾與網路討論議題之關聯分析〉。《傳播與管理研究》,7: 73-106。吳乃德,1999。〈家庭社會化和意識型態:台灣選民政黨認同的世代差異〉。《台灣社會學研究》,3: 53-85。———,2005。〈麵包與愛情:初探台灣民眾民族認同的變動〉。《台灣政治學刊》,9: 5-39。———,2001。〈認同衝突和政治信任:現階段台灣族群政治的核心難題〉。《台灣政治學》,4: 75-118。吳重禮、崔曉倩,2010。〈族群,賦權與選舉評價:2004 年與 2008 年總統選舉省籍差異的實證分析〉。《臺灣民主季刊》,7: 137-82。吳重禮、許文賓,2003。〈誰是政黨認同者與獨立選民?以二○○一年台灣地區選民政黨認同的決定因素為例〉。《政治科學論叢》, 101-40。李冠成、楊婉瑩,2016。〈老台灣人Vs新台灣人:台灣人認同世代差異之初探〉。《台灣政治學刊》,20: 125-86。杜素豪,2004。〈投票意向問題不同類型項目無反應之分析:以2000年總統大選為例〉。《選舉研究》,11: 111-31。周應龍、盛杏湲,2005。〈選樣偏誤模型在選舉預測上的應用〉。《選舉研究》,12: 1-44。林彩玉、洪永泰、鄭宇庭,2004。〈抽樣調查中投票意向問題無反應因素之研究〉。《調查研究-方法與應用》,31-60。林啟耀,2014。〈訪員如何影響訪問績效?一個互動式的觀點〉。《台灣政治學刊》,18: 129-179。林濁水、梁文傑,1999。〈台灣政黨轉型與民眾統獨意向的變遷〉。《中國大陸研究》,42: 59-77。林繼文,2015。〈論述如何框限選擇?條件式統獨偏好對2012年台灣總統選舉的影響〉。《政治科學論叢》,55-90。侯佩君,2008,〈電話調查的「類拒訪」分析〉。《調查研究-方法與應用》,81-118。俞振華、涂志揚,2017。〈選舉預測:利用全國性調查推估區域立委選情〉。《東吳政治學報》,35(3): 71-120。洪永泰、黃永政,2000。〈台灣地區電話隨機撥號抽樣方法之研究〉。《選舉研究》,7: 173-84。張傳賢、黃紀,2011。〈政黨競爭與台灣族群認同與國家認同間的聯結〉。《台灣政治學刊》,15: 3-71。盛杏湲,2010。〈台灣選民政黨認同的穩定與變遷:定群追蹤資料的應用〉。《選舉研究》,17: 1-33。———,2006。〈問卷設計:一項對民意調查的挑戰〉。《研考雙月刊》,30: 49-61。———,2002。〈統獨議題與台灣選民的投票行為:一九九○年代的分析〉。《選舉研究》,9: 41-80。盛杏湲、周應龍,2008。〈選樣偏誤模型在調查研究中項目無反應問題的應用〉。《台灣政治學刊》,12: 147-83。盛杏湲、陳義彥,2003。〈政治分歧與政黨競爭:二○○一年立法委員選舉的分析〉。《選舉研究》,10: 7-40。許勝懋,2001。〈台北市選民的分裂投票行為:一九九八年市長選舉分析〉,《選舉研究》,8: 117-58。陳陸輝,2000。〈台灣選民政黨認同的持續與變遷〉。《選舉研究》,7: 109-41。———,2003。〈政治信任,施政表現與民眾對台灣民主的展望〉。《台灣政治學刊》,7: 149-88。———,2002。〈政治信任感與台灣地區選民投票行為〉。《選舉研究》,9: 65-84。———,2020。《民意調查》,台北:五南。陳陸輝、黃信豪,2007。〈社會化媒介,在學經驗與台灣大學生的政治功效意識和政治參與〉。《東亞研究》,38: 1-48。陳義彥、陳陸輝,2003。〈模稜兩可的態度還是不確定的未來:台灣民眾統獨觀的解析〉。《中國大陸研究》,46: 1-20。傅文成、謝奇任、邊明道,2019。〈以大數據分析取徑探究傳統媒體與社群媒體的議題設定與預示效果-以洪仲丘事件為例〉。《傳播與社會學刊》,99-131。曾憲立、洪永泰、朱斌妤、黃東益、謝翠娟,2018。〈多元民意調查方法的比較研究〉。《調查研究-方法與應用》,41: 87-111。游清鑫,2003。〈探索臺灣選民心目中理想的候選人:以二〇〇七年總統選舉為例〉。《東吳政治學報》,17: 93-120。游清鑫、蕭怡靖,2007。〈以新選民的政治態度論台灣民主政治的未來〉。《臺灣民主季刊》,4: 109-51。黃旻華,2006。〈態度量表的心理計量學分析:2003年Teds 統獨態度量表的研究〉。《選舉研究》,13: 43-85。邱垂正、童振源,2008。〈陳水扁政府與馬英九政府的中國戰略之比較與檢討〉。《戰略--臺灣國家安全政策評論》,1: 78-99。黃毅志,1997。〈問卷調查資料之再測信度:以台灣地區社會變遷調查為例〉。《調查研究》,205-42。黃囇莉,2007。〈M 型政黨Vs鐘型意識—台灣國族認同之意識型態及其心理基礎〉。《中華心理學刊》,49: 451-70。黃俊傑,2006。《臺灣意識與臺灣文化》,台北:國立臺灣大學出版中心。楊文山,1994。〈隨機問答在大型實地調查中的應用-以估計台灣地區賄選為例〉。中央研究院中山人文社會科學研究所。楊光,和鄭琹尹,2019。〈列項實驗與網路調查之結合:臺灣民眾對同性戀民代接受程度的探究〉。《選舉研究》,26(2): 23-52。楊孟麗,2011。〈訪問品質與訪問速度及完訪次序的關係〉。《調查研究-方法與應用》,47-89。劉正山、莊文忠,2013。〈項目無反應資料的多重插補分析〉。《臺灣選舉與民主化調查 (TEDS) 方法論之回顧與前瞻》,台北:五南出版。劉義周,1996。〈測不到的誤差:訪員執行訪問時的偏誤〉。《調查研究》,35-58。———,1985。〈調查研究中「不知道」選項問題之分析〉。《國立政治大學學報》,52: 65-90。劉嘉薇,2019。〈從線上到線下?臉書與大學生太陽花學運參與之研究〉。《中國行政評論》,25: 29-61。劉嘉薇、黃紀,2012。〈父母政黨偏好組合對大學生政黨偏好之影響-定群追蹤之研究〉。《臺灣民主季刊》,9: 37-84。莊文忠,2013。〈調查無反應的多層次分析:以2001年至2010年TEDS調查資料為例〉。《台灣選舉與民主化調查(TEDS)方法論之回顧與前瞻》,台北:五南。蔡奇霖,2010。〈別訪問我!我對政治沒興趣:主題效應與 Teds 高估投票率之研究〉。《選舉研究》,17: 135-75。鄭夙芬,2000。〈政治類調查研究中訪員錯誤類型之研究。〉。《選舉研究》,7: 143-91。———,2009。〈族群,認同與總統選舉投票抉擇〉。《選舉研究》,16: 23-29。黃紀,2013。《台灣選舉與民主化調查(TEDS)方法論之回顧與前瞻》,台北:五南。———,2016。〈調查研究設計〉。《民意調查研究》,台北:五南。賴世培、丁庭宇、、莫季雍,2005。《民意調查》,台北:國立空中大學。謝淑惠、杜素豪、李燊銘、王千文,2016。〈台灣2012年總統選舉隨機作答模式調查探討〉。《調查研究-方法與應用》, 81-109。關弘昌,2018。〈臺灣青年世代統獨與兩岸經貿交流態度之探索〉。《遠景基金會季刊》,19: 1-40。二、外文Allen H. 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