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題名 地方政府施政滿意度對當地房價的影響之實證研究
An Empirical Study on the Impact of Administrative Satisfaction in Local Governments on Local Housing Prices作者 吳姵萱
Wu, Pei-Syuan貢獻者 吳文傑
吳姵萱
Wu, Pei-Syuan關鍵詞 施政滿意度
房價
房價成長率
Administrative satisfaction
Housing prices
Housing price growth rate日期 2023 上傳時間 1-Sep-2023 16:08:00 (UTC+8) 摘要 本文使用臺灣各縣市2013年至2021年共九年期間內政部不動產資訊平台的資料，旨在研究影響我國各縣市當地房價與房價成長率的因素，並將關注焦點著重於分析地方政府施政滿意度與當地房價之間的關係。為了解決房價和施政滿意度的內生性問題，本文使用兩階段工具變數法，發現施政滿意度對於房價為正向顯著影響，顯示施政滿意度越高會使房價越高，理由是當一地的施政滿意度越高，表示當地的經濟、環境、文教等各項指標表現皆良好，吸引越多人口進入，增加當地房屋的需求，並進一步提高當地的房價。最後本文也將被解釋變數改為房價成長率，結果呈現施政滿意度及性別比皆對房價成長率為正向顯著影響，故得出施政滿意度越高，背後隱含當地的各項指標皆完善，越多人口選擇遷入，房價升高的同時一併帶動當地的房價成長率上升。
This study uses data of Ministry of the Interior Real Estate Information Platform from various counties and cities in Taiwan from 2013 to 2021, spanning a period of nine years. The aim is to investigate the factors that influence local house prices and their growth rates in our country. The focus is specifically on analyzing the relationship between administrative satisfaction in local governments and house prices.To address the endogeneity issue between house prices and administrative satisfaction in local governments, this study uses a two-stage instrumental variable approach. It finds that government satisfaction has a significant positive effect on house prices. This suggests that higher administrative satisfaction in local governments leads to higher house prices. The rationale is that when the administrative satisfaction in local governments is higher, it indicates better performance in various indicators such as the economy, environment, education, etc., which attracts more population to move in and increases the demand for housing, thus further driving up local house prices. Lastly, this study also examines the house price growth rate as the dependent variable and finds that government satisfaction and gender ratio both have a significant positive effect on the growth rate. Therefore, higher government satisfaction implies better performance across various indicators, leading to more population migration and higher house prices, accompanied by an increase in the house price growth rate in the local area.參考文獻 包正豪. (2013). 人格特質與施政滿意度：以馬英九總統為個案的探索性研究 [Personality Attributes and Popularity: A Case Study of President Ma`s Popularity]. 法政學報(25), 1-26.白瑋華. (2005). 總統施政評價的影響因素探討-一個貫時性與橫斷性共同資料的分析 東吳大學]. 台北市.何英揚. (2020). 香港歷任特首施政滿意度之影響性研究 1997-2019 (Publication Number 2020年) 國立臺灣師範大學]. AiritiLibrary.吳柏冀. (2019). 選民生活品質與地方首長得票率之分析 國立高雄科技大學]. 高雄市.呂宜庭. (2019). 施政績效與媒體報導對地方首長施政滿意度之影響-以我國各縣市為例 國立臺北大學]. 新北市.张星星. (2020). 性别失衡对房价的影响研究——基于我国 31 个省级面板数据的分析. 中国物价.杨舒文. (2017). 基于特征价格模型的房价研究 浙江大学].林怡君. (2017). 台灣房價的決定因素 國立高雄大學]. 高雄市.林修全. (2013). 影響總統施政滿意度因素之研究：2000-2012 (Publication Number 2013年) 國立臺灣大學]. AiritiLibrary.林祐毅. (2020). 地方政治與人口對房價之影響：分量與區分迴歸的發現 國立中山大學]. 高雄市.林融生. (2019). 人口結構與都會區房價決定因素之研究 國立臺灣大學]. 台北市.柯慧玉. (2021). 中国人口结构对房价影响研究 安徽财经大学].孫金城. (2017). 政策對大台北都會區房價影響 —以實價登錄為例 大葉大學]. 彰化縣.徐梦洁、张周青. (2015). 城市教育设施对住房价格的影响——以南京市为例. 开发研究(5), 99-104.張碧倫. (2016). 我國地方政府施政滿意度與財政支出結構之研究 國立高雄應用科技大學]. 高雄市.陳玗君. (2021). 空氣汙染對房地產價格的影響-台灣之實證研究 National Central University].彭建文、張金鶚. (2000). 總體經濟對房地產景氣影響之研究. 國家科學委員會研究彙刊: 人文及社會科學, 10(3), P330-343.曾淑眞. (2019). 我國地方政府財政支出、施政績效指標與施政滿意度關聯性之實證研究 國立高雄科技大學]. 高雄市.黃元杰. (2017). 犯罪地圖政策公佈對房價之探討-以台北市為例 (PublicationNumber 2017年) 國立臺灣大學]. AiritiLibrary.黃泰霖. 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The Impact of Demographic Structure on Housing Prices: Evidence from Macau. 2017 International Conference on Economics, Finance and Statistics (ICEFS 2017),Zeng, S., Zhang, X., Wang, X., & Zeng, G. (2019). Population aging, household savings and asset prices: a study based on urban commercial housing prices. Sustainability, 11(11), 3194.Zou, G., Lai, Z., Li, Y., Liu, X., & Li, W. (2022). Exploring the nonlinear impact of air pollution on housing prices: A machine learning approach. Economics of Transportation, 31, 100272. 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
財政學系
110255003資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110255003 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 吳文傑 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) 吳姵萱 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Wu, Pei-Syuan en_US dc.creator (作者) 吳姵萱 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Wu, Pei-Syuan en_US dc.date (日期) 2023 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-Sep-2023 16:08:00 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-Sep-2023 16:08:00 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Sep-2023 16:08:00 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0110255003 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/147214 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 財政學系 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 110255003 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文使用臺灣各縣市2013年至2021年共九年期間內政部不動產資訊平台的資料，旨在研究影響我國各縣市當地房價與房價成長率的因素，並將關注焦點著重於分析地方政府施政滿意度與當地房價之間的關係。為了解決房價和施政滿意度的內生性問題，本文使用兩階段工具變數法，發現施政滿意度對於房價為正向顯著影響，顯示施政滿意度越高會使房價越高，理由是當一地的施政滿意度越高，表示當地的經濟、環境、文教等各項指標表現皆良好，吸引越多人口進入，增加當地房屋的需求，並進一步提高當地的房價。最後本文也將被解釋變數改為房價成長率，結果呈現施政滿意度及性別比皆對房價成長率為正向顯著影響，故得出施政滿意度越高，背後隱含當地的各項指標皆完善，越多人口選擇遷入，房價升高的同時一併帶動當地的房價成長率上升。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study uses data of Ministry of the Interior Real Estate Information Platform from various counties and cities in Taiwan from 2013 to 2021, spanning a period of nine years. The aim is to investigate the factors that influence local house prices and their growth rates in our country. The focus is specifically on analyzing the relationship between administrative satisfaction in local governments and house prices.To address the endogeneity issue between house prices and administrative satisfaction in local governments, this study uses a two-stage instrumental variable approach. It finds that government satisfaction has a significant positive effect on house prices. This suggests that higher administrative satisfaction in local governments leads to higher house prices. The rationale is that when the administrative satisfaction in local governments is higher, it indicates better performance in various indicators such as the economy, environment, education, etc., which attracts more population to move in and increases the demand for housing, thus further driving up local house prices. Lastly, this study also examines the house price growth rate as the dependent variable and finds that government satisfaction and gender ratio both have a significant positive effect on the growth rate. Therefore, higher government satisfaction implies better performance across various indicators, leading to more population migration and higher house prices, accompanied by an increase in the house price growth rate in the local area. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1第一節 研究動機及目的 1第二節 研究方法及範圍 3第三節 研究限制 4第四節 研究流程 5第二章 文獻回顧 7第一節 影響房價的相關文獻 7第二節 影響施政滿意度的相關文獻 22第三章 研究方法 30第一節 假說建立 30第二節 模型設定 31第三節 變數選取與預期符號 38第四章 敘述性統計 45第一節 各縣市買賣契約價格概況 45第二節 解釋變數的敘述統計 47第三節 施政滿意度與買賣契約平均單價的關係 52第五章 實證分析結果 54第一節 相關係數結果 54第二節 實證結果 56第三節 Hausman 檢定 73第六章 結論與建議 74參考文獻 76 zh_TW dc.format.extent 4680863 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0110255003 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 施政滿意度 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 房價 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 房價成長率 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Administrative satisfaction en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Housing prices en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Housing price growth rate en_US dc.title (題名) 地方政府施政滿意度對當地房價的影響之實證研究 zh_TW dc.title (題名) An Empirical Study on the Impact of Administrative Satisfaction in Local Governments on Local Housing Prices en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 包正豪. (2013). 人格特質與施政滿意度：以馬英九總統為個案的探索性研究 [Personality Attributes and Popularity: A Case Study of President Ma`s Popularity]. 法政學報(25), 1-26.白瑋華. (2005). 總統施政評價的影響因素探討-一個貫時性與橫斷性共同資料的分析 東吳大學]. 台北市.何英揚. (2020). 香港歷任特首施政滿意度之影響性研究 1997-2019 (Publication Number 2020年) 國立臺灣師範大學]. AiritiLibrary.吳柏冀. (2019). 選民生活品質與地方首長得票率之分析 國立高雄科技大學]. 高雄市.呂宜庭. (2019). 施政績效與媒體報導對地方首長施政滿意度之影響-以我國各縣市為例 國立臺北大學]. 新北市.张星星. (2020). 性别失衡对房价的影响研究——基于我国 31 个省级面板数据的分析. 中国物价.杨舒文. (2017). 基于特征价格模型的房价研究 浙江大学].林怡君. (2017). 台灣房價的決定因素 國立高雄大學]. 高雄市.林修全. (2013). 影響總統施政滿意度因素之研究：2000-2012 (Publication Number 2013年) 國立臺灣大學]. AiritiLibrary.林祐毅. (2020). 地方政治與人口對房價之影響：分量與區分迴歸的發現 國立中山大學]. 高雄市.林融生. (2019). 人口結構與都會區房價決定因素之研究 國立臺灣大學]. 台北市.柯慧玉. (2021). 中国人口结构对房价影响研究 安徽财经大学].孫金城. (2017). 政策對大台北都會區房價影響 —以實價登錄為例 大葉大學]. 彰化縣.徐梦洁、张周青. (2015). 城市教育设施对住房价格的影响——以南京市为例. 开发研究(5), 99-104.張碧倫. (2016). 我國地方政府施政滿意度與財政支出結構之研究 國立高雄應用科技大學]. 高雄市.陳玗君. (2021). 空氣汙染對房地產價格的影響-台灣之實證研究 National Central University].彭建文、張金鶚. 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