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題名 Strategic Clarity and Taiwanese Citizens’ Confidence in the US Security Commitment
作者 鄭夙芬
Cheng, Su-feng;Wang, T.Y.
貢獻者 選研中心
關鍵詞 strategic ambiguity; strategic clarity; Ukraine; panel analysis; Taiwan
日期 2024-01
上傳時間 30-Nov-2023 15:08:16 (UTC+8)
摘要 President Biden’s remarks that his administration is willing to get involved militarily to defend Taiwan appear to be a significant deviation from Washington’s long-standing policy of “strategic ambiguity.” Critics warn that such a clear pledge is likely to bolster Taiwanese citizens’ confidence in America’s defense commitment, which may encourage Taipei’s pursuit of independence. This study uses deterrence theory with panel survey data to examine this argument. The results support critics’ concerns that Biden’s security pledges have increased Taiwanese citizens’ confidence in Washington’s security assurance. However, the public’s overall confidence declined between 2021 and 2022, which can be attributed to the shifting views of pro-independence citizens due to their concern about a Chinese leadership emboldened by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. After witnessing America’s security assistance to Ukraine, independence supporters may have recognized the uncertain nature of Washington’s security commitment and adjusted their expectations.
關聯 Asian Survey, Vol.64, No.1, pp.54-78
資料類型 article
DOI https://doi.org/10.1525/as.2023.2017828
dc.contributor 選研中心-
dc.creator (作者) 鄭夙芬-
dc.creator (作者) Cheng, Su-feng;Wang, T.Y.-
dc.date (日期) 2024-01-
dc.date.accessioned 30-Nov-2023 15:08:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 30-Nov-2023 15:08:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 30-Nov-2023 15:08:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/148402-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) President Biden’s remarks that his administration is willing to get involved militarily to defend Taiwan appear to be a significant deviation from Washington’s long-standing policy of “strategic ambiguity.” Critics warn that such a clear pledge is likely to bolster Taiwanese citizens’ confidence in America’s defense commitment, which may encourage Taipei’s pursuit of independence. This study uses deterrence theory with panel survey data to examine this argument. The results support critics’ concerns that Biden’s security pledges have increased Taiwanese citizens’ confidence in Washington’s security assurance. However, the public’s overall confidence declined between 2021 and 2022, which can be attributed to the shifting views of pro-independence citizens due to their concern about a Chinese leadership emboldened by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. After witnessing America’s security assistance to Ukraine, independence supporters may have recognized the uncertain nature of Washington’s security commitment and adjusted their expectations.-
dc.format.extent 103 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.relation (關聯) Asian Survey, Vol.64, No.1, pp.54-78-
dc.subject (關鍵詞) strategic ambiguity; strategic clarity; Ukraine; panel analysis; Taiwan-
dc.title (題名) Strategic Clarity and Taiwanese Citizens’ Confidence in the US Security Commitment-
dc.type (資料類型) article-
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1525/as.2023.2017828-
dc.doi.uri (DOI) https://doi.org/10.1525/as.2023.2017828-