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題名 The role of web visitors, sales revenue and R&D expense in the pricing of Internet stocks
作者 曾博昇
Tseng, Po-Sheng
貢獻者 林宛瑩
Lin, Wan-Ying
曾博昇
Tseng, Po-Sheng
關鍵詞 網路公司
定價
網路瀏覽者
銷貨收入
研發費用
internet stocks
pricing
web visitors
sales revenue
R&D expense
日期 2003
上傳時間 11-Sep-2009 17:18:22 (UTC+8)
摘要 This study explores various drivers of Internet stock prices. This study extends the previous work on Internet stock valuation along two dimensions: (1) the separation of Internet firms into web-related and non-web-related groups. (2) the incorporation of consideration for the effect of Internet shakeout on value drivers identified in this study. The primary findings are as follows.
     First, this study finds evidence that contradicts the claims made by some analysts that web traffic metrics are no longer important. The findings show that web-traffic remains value-relevant to Internet stock price for the period Oct 1998 to May 2003.
     Second, this study documents evidence against the “common wisdom”, as represented in the business press, that traditional financial statement information has limited usefulness in pricing of Internet stocks. The variable “revenues” is significantly positively associated with the stock price in the pre- and post-shakeout period for all Internet firms.
     Third, consistent with prior research on other intangibles-intensive industries, this study finds that, in particular, product development (R&D) appears to be capitalized as assets by investors in their assessment of values of web firms during the testing period, including period subsequent to the industry shakeout in the spring of 2000. This research thus provides preliminary evidence of the value-relevance of R&D expense of the shakeout and maturation of the B2C Internet sector.
     Fourth, with respect to the inquiry of the potential effect of difference in web-traffic on the pricing of Internet stock, the empirical results demonstrate the importance of this consideration. The findings indicate that raw web-traffic variable is not value-relevant for non-web firms, while it is value-relevant for web firms.
     Finally, the market condition of Internet stocks appears to be influential in explaining the pricing of Internet share. The empirical result shows that the share prices of Internet stocks are higher before the market correction, when holding other variable as controlled.
參考文獻 American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA),
1994, Improving business reporting-A customer focus: Meeting the information needs of investors and creditors, New York, NY: AICPA.
Amir,E., and B. Lev. 1996. Value-relevance of nonfinancial information: The wireless communications industry, Journal of Accounting & Economics 22:3-30.
Cooper, M., O. Dimitrov, and R. P. Raghavendra. 2001. A rose.com by any other name, Journal of Finance 56(6): 352-369.
Demers, E., and B. Lev. 2001. A Rude Awakening: Internet Shakeout in 2000, Review of Accounting Studies 6: 331-359.
Demers, E., and K. Lewellen. 2003. The marketing role of IPOs:evidence from internet stocks, Journal of Financial Economics 68: 413–437.
Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB), 2001, Business and financial reporting: Challenges from the new economy, Norwalk, CT: FASB.
Gerstein, M. H., 1999. Sales growth leaders, Marketguide.com Research, 11/16/99.
Hall, B., 1993. New evidence on the impacts of research and development, Working paper, University of California, Berkeley.
Hand, J. R. M., 2000. Underpricing as marketing: the case of Internet IPOs, Working paper, UNC Chapel Hill.
Hand, J. R. M., 2001a. Profits, losses, and the non-linear pricing of Internet stocks, Working paper, UNC Chapel Hill.
Hand, J. R. M., 2001b. The Role of Book Income, Web Traffic, and Supply and Demand in the Pricing of U.S. Internet Stocks, European Finance Review 5: 295–317.
Herring Investor, 03/10/99. Parsing the price-to-sales ratio.
Jorion, P., and E. Talmor. 2000. Value relevance of financial and non-financial information in emerging industries: The changing role of web traffic data, Working Paper, University of California, Irvine.
Lev, B., 2001. Intangibles: Management, measurement, and reporting, Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution.
Lev, B., and T. Sougiannis. 1996. The capitalization, amortization, and value relevance of R&D, Journal of Accounting and Economics 21: 139-158.
Mairesse, J., and M. Sassfnou. 1991. R&D and productivity: A survey of econometric studies at the firm level, NBER Working paper no. 3666.
Meulbroek, L. K., 2000. Does risk matter? Corporate insider transactions in Internet firms, Working paper, Harvard Business School.
Perkins, A. B., and M.C. Perkins. 1999. The Internet Bubble: Inside the Overvalued World of High-Technology Stocks, Harper, New York, NY.
Rajgopal, S., M. Venkatachalam, and S. Kotha. 2000. The relevance of Web Traffic for Stock Prices of Internet Firms, Working Paper, University of Washington.
Rajgopal, S., M. Venkatachalam, and S. Kotha. 2003. The value of network adventages: The case of e-commerce firms, Journal of Accounting Research 41(March): 135-162.
Schultz, P., and M. Zaman. 2000. Do the individuals closest to Internet firms believe they are overvalued? Working paper, University of Notre Dame.
Schwartz, E. S., and M. Moon. 2000. Rational pricing of Internet companies, Financial Analysts Journal 56(3): 62–75.
Trueman, B., M. H. F. Wong, and X. J. Zhang. 2000. The Eyeballs have it: Searching for the Value in Internet Stocks, Journal of Accounting Research.
Trueman, B., M. H. F. Wong, and X. J. Zhang. 2001a. Back to basics: Forecasting the revenues of Internet firms, Review of Accounting Studies 6: 305-329.
Trueman, B., M. H. F. Wong, and X. J. Zhang. 2001b. Anomalous stock returns around Internet firms’ earnings announcements, Journal of Economics and Accounting 33(March): 114-140.
Wallman, S. 1995. The future of accounting and disclosure in an evolving world: The need for dramatic change, Accounting Horizons 9: 81-91.
Wallman, S. 1996. The future of accounting and financial reporting part 2: The colorized approach, Accounting Horizons 10: 138-149.
Wooley, S., 1999. Believe it or net, Virtual Investor, 1/27/99.
Wysocki, P. D., 1999. Cheap talk on the web: The determinants of postings on stock messageBoards, Working paper, University of Michigan Business School.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
會計研究所
90353005
92
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0090353005
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 林宛瑩zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Lin, Wan-Yingen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 曾博昇zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Tseng, Po-Shengen_US
dc.creator (作者) 曾博昇zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Tseng, Po-Shengen_US
dc.date (日期) 2003en_US
dc.date.accessioned 11-Sep-2009 17:18:22 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 11-Sep-2009 17:18:22 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-Sep-2009 17:18:22 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0090353005en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/30127-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 會計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 90353005zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study explores various drivers of Internet stock prices. This study extends the previous work on Internet stock valuation along two dimensions: (1) the separation of Internet firms into web-related and non-web-related groups. (2) the incorporation of consideration for the effect of Internet shakeout on value drivers identified in this study. The primary findings are as follows.
     First, this study finds evidence that contradicts the claims made by some analysts that web traffic metrics are no longer important. The findings show that web-traffic remains value-relevant to Internet stock price for the period Oct 1998 to May 2003.
     Second, this study documents evidence against the “common wisdom”, as represented in the business press, that traditional financial statement information has limited usefulness in pricing of Internet stocks. The variable “revenues” is significantly positively associated with the stock price in the pre- and post-shakeout period for all Internet firms.
     Third, consistent with prior research on other intangibles-intensive industries, this study finds that, in particular, product development (R&D) appears to be capitalized as assets by investors in their assessment of values of web firms during the testing period, including period subsequent to the industry shakeout in the spring of 2000. This research thus provides preliminary evidence of the value-relevance of R&D expense of the shakeout and maturation of the B2C Internet sector.
     Fourth, with respect to the inquiry of the potential effect of difference in web-traffic on the pricing of Internet stock, the empirical results demonstrate the importance of this consideration. The findings indicate that raw web-traffic variable is not value-relevant for non-web firms, while it is value-relevant for web firms.
     Finally, the market condition of Internet stocks appears to be influential in explaining the pricing of Internet share. The empirical result shows that the share prices of Internet stocks are higher before the market correction, when holding other variable as controlled.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 1. RESEARCH BACKGROUND AND MOTIVATIONS 1
     2. PRIOR RESEARCH REVIEW 6
     2.1. NETWORK ADVANTAGES 6
     2.2. THE PRICING OF INTERNET STOCKS 8
     3. THEORY AND HYPOTHESIS DEVELOPMENT 12
     3.1. THE VALUE-RELEVANCE OF NON-FINANCIAL INFORMATION (WEB VISITORS) 12
     3.2. THE VALUE-RELEVANCE OF FINANCIAL MEASURES (REVENUES AND R&D EXPENSES) 14
     3.2.1 The Value-Relevance of Revenues 14
     3.2.2 The Value-Relevance of R&D Expenses 15
     3.3 THE EFFECT OF INTERNET MARKET CORRECTION ON PRICING OF INTERNET STOCKS 15
     4. RESEARCH DESIGN 16
     4.1. RESEARCH SAMPLE AND DATA 17
     4.1.1 Research Sample 17
     4.1.2. Data sources 22
     4.1.2.1 Web Visitors data 22
     4.1.2.2 Financial Data (Revenues and R&D Expenses) and Stock Price Data 22
     4.2. EMPIRICAL MODEL 23
     4.3. VARIABLE DESCRIPTIONS AND MEASUREMENT 28
     5. EMPIRICAL RESULTS 30
     5.1. THE DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 30
     5.2. REGRESSION RESULTS 32
     6. CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSION 37
     6.1. THE ASSOCIATION BETWEEN PRICE AND WEB VISITORS (HYPOTHESIS H1 & H4) 37
     6.2. THE ASSOCIATION BETWEEN PRICE AND REVENUE (HYPOTHESIS H2 & H4) 37
     6.3. THE ASSOCIATION BETWEEN PRICE AND R&D EXPENSES (HYPOTHESIS H3 & H4) 38
     6.4 OTHER RELATED ISSUES 39
     6.5. SUMMARY OF CONCLUSIONS 39
     7. LIMITATIONS AND POSSIBLE EXTENSIONS 41
     7.1. STUDY LIMITATIONS 41
     7.2. POSSIBLE EXTENSIONS 41
     REFERENCES 43
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0090353005en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 網路公司zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 定價zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 網路瀏覽者zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 銷貨收入zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 研發費用zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) internet stocksen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) pricingen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) web visitorsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) sales revenueen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) R&D expenseen_US
dc.title (題名) The role of web visitors, sales revenue and R&D expense in the pricing of Internet stockszh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA),zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1994, Improving business reporting-A customer focus: Meeting the information needs of investors and creditors, New York, NY: AICPA.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Amir,E., and B. Lev. 1996. Value-relevance of nonfinancial information: The wireless communications industry, Journal of Accounting & Economics 22:3-30.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cooper, M., O. Dimitrov, and R. P. Raghavendra. 2001. A rose.com by any other name, Journal of Finance 56(6): 352-369.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Demers, E., and B. Lev. 2001. A Rude Awakening: Internet Shakeout in 2000, Review of Accounting Studies 6: 331-359.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Demers, E., and K. Lewellen. 2003. The marketing role of IPOs:evidence from internet stocks, Journal of Financial Economics 68: 413–437.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB), 2001, Business and financial reporting: Challenges from the new economy, Norwalk, CT: FASB.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gerstein, M. H., 1999. Sales growth leaders, Marketguide.com Research, 11/16/99.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hall, B., 1993. New evidence on the impacts of research and development, Working paper, University of California, Berkeley.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hand, J. R. M., 2000. Underpricing as marketing: the case of Internet IPOs, Working paper, UNC Chapel Hill.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hand, J. R. M., 2001a. Profits, losses, and the non-linear pricing of Internet stocks, Working paper, UNC Chapel Hill.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hand, J. R. M., 2001b. The Role of Book Income, Web Traffic, and Supply and Demand in the Pricing of U.S. Internet Stocks, European Finance Review 5: 295–317.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Herring Investor, 03/10/99. Parsing the price-to-sales ratio.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jorion, P., and E. Talmor. 2000. Value relevance of financial and non-financial information in emerging industries: The changing role of web traffic data, Working Paper, University of California, Irvine.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Lev, B., 2001. Intangibles: Management, measurement, and reporting, Washington, DC: The Brookings Institution.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Lev, B., and T. Sougiannis. 1996. The capitalization, amortization, and value relevance of R&D, Journal of Accounting and Economics 21: 139-158.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mairesse, J., and M. Sassfnou. 1991. R&D and productivity: A survey of econometric studies at the firm level, NBER Working paper no. 3666.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Meulbroek, L. K., 2000. Does risk matter? Corporate insider transactions in Internet firms, Working paper, Harvard Business School.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Perkins, A. B., and M.C. Perkins. 1999. The Internet Bubble: Inside the Overvalued World of High-Technology Stocks, Harper, New York, NY.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Rajgopal, S., M. Venkatachalam, and S. Kotha. 2000. The relevance of Web Traffic for Stock Prices of Internet Firms, Working Paper, University of Washington.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Rajgopal, S., M. Venkatachalam, and S. Kotha. 2003. The value of network adventages: The case of e-commerce firms, Journal of Accounting Research 41(March): 135-162.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Schultz, P., and M. Zaman. 2000. Do the individuals closest to Internet firms believe they are overvalued? Working paper, University of Notre Dame.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Schwartz, E. S., and M. Moon. 2000. Rational pricing of Internet companies, Financial Analysts Journal 56(3): 62–75.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Trueman, B., M. H. F. Wong, and X. J. Zhang. 2000. The Eyeballs have it: Searching for the Value in Internet Stocks, Journal of Accounting Research.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Trueman, B., M. H. F. Wong, and X. J. Zhang. 2001a. Back to basics: Forecasting the revenues of Internet firms, Review of Accounting Studies 6: 305-329.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Trueman, B., M. H. F. Wong, and X. J. Zhang. 2001b. Anomalous stock returns around Internet firms’ earnings announcements, Journal of Economics and Accounting 33(March): 114-140.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wallman, S. 1995. The future of accounting and disclosure in an evolving world: The need for dramatic change, Accounting Horizons 9: 81-91.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wallman, S. 1996. The future of accounting and financial reporting part 2: The colorized approach, Accounting Horizons 10: 138-149.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wooley, S., 1999. Believe it or net, Virtual Investor, 1/27/99.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wysocki, P. D., 1999. Cheap talk on the web: The determinants of postings on stock messageBoards, Working paper, University of Michigan Business School.zh_TW