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題名 中國對外直接投資影響因素之研究
Determinants of China`s outward foreign direct investment
作者 林淑靜
Lin, Shu-Ching
貢獻者 黃智聰
Huang, Jr Tsung
林淑靜
Lin, Shu-Ching
關鍵詞 中國
對外直接投資
固定效果模型
China
Outward Foreign Direct Investment
Fixed-effect Model
日期 2008
上傳時間 14-Sep-2009 12:41:54 (UTC+8)
摘要 經過30年的經濟改革,中國已成為國際直接投資的熱門地區。聯合國貿易發展委員會(UNCTAD)的報告中也指出,中國在2007年僅次於美國,成為全球吸引外資金額第二高的國家。然而,隨著中國總體國力大增,近幾年來,中國對外直接投資的腳步也加緊了起來。外資的流入不但促進了中國的經濟成長,也給中國企業學習如何對外直接投資,提供了絕佳的機會。
     
     相較於中國吸引外資方面(Inward FDI)的研究,中國對外直接投資(Outward FDI)的議題較少引起研究者注意。然而,中國對外直接投資對於全球經濟有其重要性,研究影響中國對外直接投資因素更具有理論與實質意義,因為中國既投資於未開發國家和開發中國家,也同時在已開發國家中投資,這是一般後進國家少有的特質。因此,本研究將利用2003-2007年中國各省市地區對外直接投資的追蹤資料(panel data),搭配固定效果模型(fixed effect model)的估計,希望透過本研究分析影響中國對外直接投資的決定因素。
     
     實證結果發現,影響中國對外直接投資的決定因素中,顯著的變數有各省市國內生產毛額、各省市每人國內生產毛額、各省市職工平均工資、各省市國有企業產值佔工業總產值比,以及工業總產值佔國內生產毛額比。而其餘的變數如各省市貿易開放程度、匯率與借款利率皆不顯著,反映了其皆非中國對外直接投資時所考量的決定因素。不過,整體來說中國對外直接投資有逐年成長的趨勢。
參考文獻 一、中文文獻
中國經濟年鑑編輯委員會(2003-2007),《中國經濟年鑑》,北京:經濟管理出版社。
中華人民共和國商務部(2003-2007),《中國對外直接投資統計公報》,北京:中華人民共和國商務部。
中華人民共和國國家統計局(2003-2007),《中國工業經濟統計年鑑》,北京:中國統計出版社。
中華人民共和國國家統計局(2003-2007),《中國統計年鑑》,北京:中國統計出版社。
中華人民共和國國國家統計局,http://www.stats.gov.cn/。
中華人民共和國國國家發展和改革委員會,http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/wzly/wstz/wstzgk。
占明珍(2005),「海外上市潮現象之戰略思考」,科技與管理,2005(2),頁93-95。
李國雄(2005),《中國石油的併購戰略》,中國時報,8月27日。
林彩梅(1994),《多國籍企業論》,五南出版社。
林惠玲(2002)「對外投資對國內投資的影響-台灣製造業的實證研究」,金融投資與經濟發展-紀念梁國樹教授第六屆學術研討會論文集,台灣大學經濟學系,179-212。
俞淮深(1999),跨世紀我國企業跨國經營的若干思考,山東對外經貿,1999年第6期。
柯清雲(1993),《台商赴海外投資動機及進入策略之關係研究—以東南亞及大陸地區為例》,成功大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。
洪麗春(1991),《我國對外投資政策之研究》,行政院經濟建設委員會。
梁菁、李幫義(2005),「中國企業在對外投資中的產業選擇」,《投資縱論》,2005(1),頁148-149。
郭永興(2003),《中國家電產業的成長與全球化策略」,《香港社會科學學報》,春/夏季號,頁127-158。
楊永兵(2005),「關於當前中國企業對外直接投資的問題研究」,《集團經濟研究》,23期。
董本軍(2005),「中國超大型國企海外上市,喜多?憂多?」,國際融資,2005(3),頁23-27。
趙春明(2004),《我國對外直接投資的產業選擇》,人民網學習時報http://www.china.org.cn/chinese/zhuanti/xxsb/546732.htm。
劉碧珍(2005),「對外投資、海外生產對國內研發、勞工僱用與薪資的影響」,經濟部委託研究報告。
盧映西、肖平(2004),「淺析中國企業對外投資的區域選擇和行業前景」,《江蘇商論》,2004(1),頁31-33。
聯合國貿易發展委員會(2008),《2008年世界投資報告》,http://www.unctad.org/Templates/webflyer.asp?docid=10502&intItemID=2068&lang=1。
二、英文文獻
Ajami, Raid A. and Ran BarNiv (1984), “Utilising Economic Indicators in Explaining Foreign Investment in the US.” Management International Review, 24(4), 16-26.
Aliber, Robert Z. (1970), A Theory of Direct Foreign Investment. in Kindleberger, C. P. (ed.) The International Corporation. Cambridge Mass: MIT Press.
Barney, J.B. (1991), Firm Resources and Sustained Competitive Advantage, Journal of Management Science, 1991.
Barrell, Ray and Nigel Pain (1996), “An Econometric Analysis of US Foreign Direct Investment.” Review of Economics and Statistics, 78(2), 200-207.
Bergsten, F.C., T. Horst, and T.H. Moran(1978), American Multinationals and American Interests, Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution.
Blais, J. P. (1975), A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation of Canadian and British Direct Foreign Investment in Manufacturing in the United States. Ph.D. Dissertation. Pittsburgh : University of Pittsburgh.
Blomstrom M., Gunnar Fors, and Robert E. Lipsey (1997), “Foreign Direct Investment and Employment: Home Country Experience in the United States and Sweden.” The Economic Journal, 107, Issue 445, 1787-1797.
Blomstrom, M, and A. Kokko (1994), “Home Country Effects of Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from Sweden,” NBER Working Paper No. 4639.
Bluestone, B., and B. Harrison (1982), The Deindustrialization of America. New York: Basic Books.
Buckley, P. and M. Cassons (1976), The Future of Multinational Enterprises. Lodon: Macmillan.
Chen, Tain-Jy, and Ying-Hua Ku (2000), “The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment on Firm Growth: The Case of Taiwan`s Manufacturers,” Japan and the World Economy, 12, 153-172.
Constantin, C. (2005), “China’s Conception of Energy Security: Sources and International Impact,” The Centre of International Relations, http://www.iir.ubc.ca/Papers/Constantin-WP43.pdf.
Culem, Claudy G. (1988), “The Locational Determinant of Direct Foreign Investment Among Industrialised Countries.” European Economic Review, 32(2), 885-904.
Cushman, David (1985), “Real Exchange Rate Risk, Expectations, and the Level of Direct Investment.” Review of Economics and Statistics, 67(2), 197-308.
Dunning, J. (1993), Multinational Enterprises and the Global Economy. Workingham, England and Reading, Mass: Addison Wesley.
Feenstra, R.C. and Gordon H. Hanson (1996), “Foreign Investment, outsourcing and relative wages,” G.M. Grossman and D.A. Irwin, eds. Political Economy of Trade Policy: Assays in Honor of Jagdish Bhagwait (MIT Press, Cambridge), 89-127.
Frank, R.H., and R.T. Freeman (1978), Distributional Consequences of Direct Foreign Investment, New York: Academic Press.
Fredriksson, P. G., J. A. List and D. L. Millimet (2003), “Bureaucratic Corruption, Environmental Policy and Inbound US FDI: Theory and Evidence,” Journal of Public Economics, 87, 1407-1430.
Froot, Kenneth A. and Jeremy Stein (1991), “Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment: An Imperfect Capital Markets Approach.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(4), 1191-1217.
Glickman, N.J., and D.P. Woodward, (1989), The New Competitors: How Foreign Investors Are Changing the U.S. Economy. New York: Basic Books.
Grosse, Robert and Len J. Trevino (1996), “Foreign Direct Investment in the United States: An Analysis by Country of Origin.” Journal of International Business Studies, 27(1), 139-155.
Horst, Thomas (1974),“American Exports and Foreign Direct Investments,” Harvard Institute of Economic Research, Discussion Paper No. 362.
Hymer, S. (1976), The International Operations of National Firms. Cambridge, MIT press.
Kim, June-Dong, and In-Soo Kang (1997), “Outward FDI and Exports: The Case of South Korea and Japan,”Journal of Asian Economics, 8(1), 39-51.
Kim, W.S. and E.O. Lyn (1987), “Foreign Direct Investment in U.S. Manufacturing Industries,” Journal of International Business Studies,” 18, 53-66.
Kumar, Nagesh (1994), “Determinants of Export Orientation of Foreign Production by US Multinational: an Inter-Country Analysis,” Journal of International Business Studies, 25(1), 141-156.
Lipsey, R.E., E.D. Ramstetter, and M. Blomström (2000), “Outward FDI and Parent Exports and Employment: Japan, The United States, and Sweden,” NBER Working Paper No. 7623.
Lipsey, Robert E. (1994), “Outward Direct Investment and the U.S. Economy,” NBER Working Paper, 4691.
Liu, Xiaming, Haiyan Song, Yingqi Wei, and Peter Romilly (1997), “Country Characteristics and Foreign Direct Investment in China: A Panel Data Analysis.” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 133(2), 313-329.
Lucus, Robert E. B. (1993), “On the Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from East and Southeast Asia,” World Development, 21(3), 391-406.
Moon, Hwy-Chang and Thomas W. Roehl (1993), “An Imbalance Theory of Foreign Direct Investment,” Multinational Business Review, 1(1), pp. 5565.
Moore, Michael O. (1993), “Determinants of German Manufacturing Direct Investment: 1980-1988.” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 129(1), 120-138.
Mucchielli, Jean Louis, and P. Saucier (1997),“European Industrial Relocations in Low Wage Countries: Policy and Theory Debates,” In Multinational Firms and International Relocation (ed. by Buckley P.J., Mucchielli J.L.), Cheltenham, Edward Elgar, 5-33.
Ng. L. F. and Chyau Tuan (1997), “Evolving Outward Investment, Industrial Concentration, and Technology Change: Implications for Post-1997 Hong Kong,” Journal of Asian Economics, 18 (2), 315-332.
Pain, Nigel (1997), “Continental Drift: European Integration and the Location of UK Foreign Direct Investment.” Manchester School Supplement, 65, 94-117.
Pitelis, Christos (1996), “Effect Demand, Outward Investment and the (Theory of) Transnational Corporation: An Empirical Investigation.” Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 43(2), 192-206.
Svensson, L.E.O., (1993),“The Simplest Test of Inflation Target Credibility,” NBER Working Paper No. 4604.
Swedenborg, B. (1979), The Multinational Operations of Swedish Firms: An Analysis of Determinants and Effects. Ann Arbor, Mich: University Microfilms International.
Vernon, R. (1966), “International Investment and International Trade in the Product Trade.” Quarterly journal of Economics, 80, 190-207.
Walia, T. S. (1976), An Empirical Evaluation of Selected Theories of Foreign Direct Investment by U.S. Based Multinational Corporations, Ph.D. Dissertation. New York: New York University.
Wang, Zhen-Quan and Nigel J. Swain (1995), “The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Transforming Economics: Empirical Evidence from Hungary and China.” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 131(2), 359-382.
Wei, Yingqi and Xiaming Liu (2001), Foreign Direct Investment in China: Determinants and Impact, Cheltenham, Glos, U.K.; Northampton, Mass: Edward Elgar, c2001.
Wheeler, David and Ashoka Mody (1992), “International Investment Location Decisions: the Case of U.S. Firms,” Journal of International Economics, 33(1-2), 57-76.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
行政管理碩士學程
96921019
97
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0096921019
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 黃智聰zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Huang, Jr Tsungen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 林淑靜zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Lin, Shu-Chingen_US
dc.creator (作者) 林淑靜zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Lin, Shu-Chingen_US
dc.date (日期) 2008en_US
dc.date.accessioned 14-Sep-2009 12:41:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 14-Sep-2009 12:41:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 14-Sep-2009 12:41:54 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0096921019en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/31995-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 行政管理碩士學程zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 96921019zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 97zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 經過30年的經濟改革,中國已成為國際直接投資的熱門地區。聯合國貿易發展委員會(UNCTAD)的報告中也指出,中國在2007年僅次於美國,成為全球吸引外資金額第二高的國家。然而,隨著中國總體國力大增,近幾年來,中國對外直接投資的腳步也加緊了起來。外資的流入不但促進了中國的經濟成長,也給中國企業學習如何對外直接投資,提供了絕佳的機會。
     
     相較於中國吸引外資方面(Inward FDI)的研究,中國對外直接投資(Outward FDI)的議題較少引起研究者注意。然而,中國對外直接投資對於全球經濟有其重要性,研究影響中國對外直接投資因素更具有理論與實質意義,因為中國既投資於未開發國家和開發中國家,也同時在已開發國家中投資,這是一般後進國家少有的特質。因此,本研究將利用2003-2007年中國各省市地區對外直接投資的追蹤資料(panel data),搭配固定效果模型(fixed effect model)的估計,希望透過本研究分析影響中國對外直接投資的決定因素。
     
     實證結果發現,影響中國對外直接投資的決定因素中,顯著的變數有各省市國內生產毛額、各省市每人國內生產毛額、各省市職工平均工資、各省市國有企業產值佔工業總產值比,以及工業總產值佔國內生產毛額比。而其餘的變數如各省市貿易開放程度、匯率與借款利率皆不顯著,反映了其皆非中國對外直接投資時所考量的決定因素。不過,整體來說中國對外直接投資有逐年成長的趨勢。
zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 ……………………………………………………1
     
     第一節 研究背景與目的…………………………………………1
     第二節 研究架構與流程…………………………………………8
     
     第二章 文獻回顧 ………………………………………………10
     
     第一節 對外直接投資理論 ……………………………………10
     第二節 對外直接投資對母國影響之實證文獻 ………………13
     第三節 中國對外直接投資之相關文獻 ………………………21
     第四節 本章小結 ………………………………………………25
     
     第三章 中國對外直接投資概況及投資模式 …………………27
     
     第一節 中國對外直接投資的發展歷程 ………………………27
     第二節 中國對外直接投資的現況分析 ………………………30
     第三節 中國對外直接投資的模式 ……………………………38
     第四節 本章小結 ………………………………………………42
     
     第四章 研究設計 ………………………………………………44
     
     第一節 資料來源與實證模型 …………………………………44
     第二節 變數說明與假設 ………………………………………47
     第三節 本章小結 ………………………………………………51
     
     第五章 實證結果與模型檢驗 …………………………………53
     
     第一節 實證結果分析 …………………………………………53
     第二節 實證模型正確性之檢定 ………………………………57
     第三節 本章小結 ………………………………………………59
     
     第六章 結論與建議 ……………………………………………61
     
     第一節 結論 ……………………………………………………61
     第二節 政策意涵 ………………………………………………63
     
     參考文獻 …………………………………………………………66
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0096921019en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中國zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 對外直接投資zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 固定效果模型zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Chinaen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Outward Foreign Direct Investmenten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Fixed-effect Modelen_US
dc.title (題名) 中國對外直接投資影響因素之研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Determinants of China`s outward foreign direct investmenten_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、中文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中國經濟年鑑編輯委員會(2003-2007),《中國經濟年鑑》,北京:經濟管理出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中華人民共和國商務部(2003-2007),《中國對外直接投資統計公報》,北京:中華人民共和國商務部。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中華人民共和國國家統計局(2003-2007),《中國工業經濟統計年鑑》,北京:中國統計出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中華人民共和國國家統計局(2003-2007),《中國統計年鑑》,北京:中國統計出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中華人民共和國國國家統計局,http://www.stats.gov.cn/。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中華人民共和國國國家發展和改革委員會,http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/wzly/wstz/wstzgk。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 占明珍(2005),「海外上市潮現象之戰略思考」,科技與管理,2005(2),頁93-95。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李國雄(2005),《中國石油的併購戰略》,中國時報,8月27日。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林彩梅(1994),《多國籍企業論》,五南出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林惠玲(2002)「對外投資對國內投資的影響-台灣製造業的實證研究」,金融投資與經濟發展-紀念梁國樹教授第六屆學術研討會論文集,台灣大學經濟學系,179-212。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 俞淮深(1999),跨世紀我國企業跨國經營的若干思考,山東對外經貿,1999年第6期。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 柯清雲(1993),《台商赴海外投資動機及進入策略之關係研究—以東南亞及大陸地區為例》,成功大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 洪麗春(1991),《我國對外投資政策之研究》,行政院經濟建設委員會。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 梁菁、李幫義(2005),「中國企業在對外投資中的產業選擇」,《投資縱論》,2005(1),頁148-149。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 郭永興(2003),《中國家電產業的成長與全球化策略」,《香港社會科學學報》,春/夏季號,頁127-158。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 楊永兵(2005),「關於當前中國企業對外直接投資的問題研究」,《集團經濟研究》,23期。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 董本軍(2005),「中國超大型國企海外上市,喜多?憂多?」,國際融資,2005(3),頁23-27。zh_TW
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