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題名 Monetary Policy and the Bank Lending Channel: Evidence of Taiwan
作者 吳仲強
Wu, Chung-Chiang
貢獻者 朱美麗
吳仲強
Wu, Chung-Chiang
關鍵詞 Bank Lending Channel
Credit Channel
Monetary Policy
Open Economy
日期 2004
上傳時間 14-Sep-2009 13:32:32 (UTC+8)
摘要 Most theoretical and empirical literatures have investigated the credit channel of monetary transmission in a closed economy. However, when Taiwan becomes financially more internationalized, little literature can provide economic implication for the credit-channel effect of a monetary policy to the case of Taiwan. Therefore we set up a model with the credit market under an open economy to study the credit channel-effect of monetary policy with the inclusion of foreign assets and debts in the bank’s balance sheet. The main conclusion in our theoretical model is that the effect of a tight monetary policy on bank loans will be reduced in an open economy; furthermore, such effect may make bank loans increase after a contractionary monetary policy. Besides, the empirical evidence also shows that bank loans increase after a contractionary monetary policy with the data of Taiwan.
參考文獻 Bernanke, B. S. and A. S. Blinder (1988), “Credit, Money, and Aggregate Demand,” American Economic Review, 78, 435-439.
Bernanke, B. S. and A. S. Blinder (1992), “The Federal Funds Rate and the Channels of Monetary Transmission,” American Economic Review, 82, 901-921.
Bernanke, B. S. and M. Gertler (1995), “Inside the Black Box: The Credit Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission,” Journal of Economic Perspective, 9, 27-48.
Chen, Y. D. (2000), “A Brief Introduction to the Interest Rate Target Policy and Its Transmission Mechanism of Central Bank of China,” Central Bank of China Quarterly Bulletin, 22, 81-94. (in Chinese)
Cheng, H. P. (2004), “A Study on the Credit Transmission Mechanism of the Monetary Policy in Taiwan,” Master Thesis, Graduate School of Economics National Cheng Chi University. (in Chinese)
Chiades, P. and L. Gambacorta (2004), “The Bernanke and Blinder Model in an Open Economy: the Italian Case,” German Economic Review, 5, 1-34.
Chiu, L. C. (2000), “A Study on the Transmission Mechanism of the Monetary Policy-From the Role of Bank Loans,” Master Thesis, Graduate School of International Economics National Chung Cheng University. (in Chinese)
Chuang, W. R. and L. L. Cheng (1991), “An Empirical Study on Money, Credit, and Economic Activities in Taiwan,” Bank of Taiwan Quarterly Bulletin, 42, 188-209. (in Chinese)
Dickey, D.A. and W. A. Fuller (1979) “Distribution of Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 427-431.
Dickey, D.A. and W. A. Fuller (1981) “Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root,” Econometrica, 49, 1057-1072.
Hülsewig, O., P. Winker, and A. Worms (2002), “Bank Lending in the Transmission of Monetary Policy: A VECM Analysis for Germany,” International University in Germany Working Paper, No. 08.
Godfrey, L. (1978), “Testing against General Autoregressive and Moving Average Error Models When the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables,” Econometrica, 46, 1293-1302.
Godfrey, L. (1978), “Testing for Higher Order Serial Correlation in Regression Equations When the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables,” Econometrica, 46, 1303-13102.
Gonzalo, J. (1994), “Five Alternative Methods of Estimating Long-run Equilibrium Relationships,” Journal of Econometrics, 60, 203-233.
Johansen, S. (1988), “Statistical Analysis of Cointegation Vectors,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, 231-254.
Johansen, S. and K. Juselius (1990), “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration-with Applications to the Demand for Money,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52, 169-220.
Johansen, S. (1991), “Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegrating Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models,” Economitrica, 59, 1551-1580.
Kakes, J. (2000), “Identifying the Mechanism: Is There A Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Transmission in the Netherlands?” Applied Economics Letters, 7, 63-67.
Kashyap, A. K. and J. C. Stein (1995), “The Impact of Monetary Policy on Bank Balance Sheets,” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 42, 151-195.
Kashyap, A. K. and J. C. Stein (2000), “What Do a Million Observations on Banks Say about the Transmission of Monetary Policy?” American Economic Review, 90, 407-428.
Kashyap, A. K., J. C. Stein, and D. W. Wilcox (1993), “Monetary Policy and Credit Conditions: Evidence from the Composition of External Finance,” American Economic Review, 83, 78-98.
Kishan, R. P. and T. P. Opiela (2000), “Bank Size, Bank Capital, and the Bank Lending Channel,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 32, 121-141.
Lee, R. C. (1989), “The Rrole of Money and Bank Credit in the Monetary Policy Target-with the Selective Credit Control,” Central Bank of China Quarterly Bulletin, 11, 55-70. (in Chinese)
Ljung, G. M. and G. E. P. Box (1978), “On a Measure of Lack of Fit in Time Series Models,” Biometrika, 65, 297-303.
Mishkin, F. S. (1995), “Symposium on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism,” Journal of Economic Perspective, 9, 3-10.
Mundell, R. A. (1963), “Capital Mobility and Stabilization Policy under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rate,” The Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science, 29, 475-485.
Phillips, P. C. B. and P. Perron (1988), “Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression,” Biometrika, 75, 335-346.
Pill, H. (1997), “Bank Behaviour and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy: the Case of Spain,” Graduate School of Business Administration Harvard University.
Wang, S. W. (1994), “The Monetary Policy and the Credit Condition: An Empirical Study on Taiwan,” Master Thesis, Graduate School of Finance Tam Kang University. (in Chinese)
Wu, Y. J. (2004), “An Empirical Study on Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy in Taiwan,” Central Bank of China Quarterly Bulletin, 26, 33-68. (in Chinese)
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟研究所
92258014
93
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922580141
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 朱美麗zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 吳仲強zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Wu, Chung-Chiangen_US
dc.creator (作者) 吳仲強zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Wu, Chung-Chiangen_US
dc.date (日期) 2004en_US
dc.date.accessioned 14-Sep-2009 13:32:32 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 14-Sep-2009 13:32:32 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 14-Sep-2009 13:32:32 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0922580141en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/32268-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 經濟研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92258014zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 93zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Most theoretical and empirical literatures have investigated the credit channel of monetary transmission in a closed economy. However, when Taiwan becomes financially more internationalized, little literature can provide economic implication for the credit-channel effect of a monetary policy to the case of Taiwan. Therefore we set up a model with the credit market under an open economy to study the credit channel-effect of monetary policy with the inclusion of foreign assets and debts in the bank’s balance sheet. The main conclusion in our theoretical model is that the effect of a tight monetary policy on bank loans will be reduced in an open economy; furthermore, such effect may make bank loans increase after a contractionary monetary policy. Besides, the empirical evidence also shows that bank loans increase after a contractionary monetary policy with the data of Taiwan.zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents Chapter 1 Introduction 1
     Chapter 2 The Model 7
     Chapter 3 Empirical Evidence 12
     3.1 Data and Empirical Approach 12
     3.2 Empirical Analysis and Results 13
     3.2.1 Bank Loans, the Exchange Rate, and the Interest Rate 14
     3.2.2 Securities, the Exchange Rate, and the Interest Rate 18
     3.2.3 Foreign Assets, the Exchange Rate, and the Interest Rate 20
     3.2.4 Foreign Debts, the Exchange Rate, and the Interest Rate 21
     Chapter 4 Conclusions 24
     References 26
     
     Tables
     Table 1 Unit Root Tests 14
     Table 2 Residual Misspecification Tests for VAR Models 15
     Table 3 Tests for the Number of Cointegrating Vectors 15
     Table 4 Coefficient Tests for the Equation of Bank Loans 16
     Table 5 Residual Misspecification Tests for VAR Models 18
     Table 6 Tests for the Number of Cointegrating Vectors 18
     Table 7 Coefficient Tests for the Equation of Securities 19
     Table 8 Residual Misspecification Tests for VAR Models 20
     Table 9 Tests for the Number of Cointegrating Vectors 20
     Table 10 Coefficient Tests for the Equation of Foreign Assets 21
     Table 11 Residual Misspecification Tests for VAR Models 22
     Table 12 Tests for the Number of Cointegrating Vectors 22
     Table 13 Coefficient Tests for the Equation of Foreign Debts 23
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922580141en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Bank Lending Channelen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Credit Channelen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Monetary Policyen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Open Economyen_US
dc.title (題名) Monetary Policy and the Bank Lending Channel: Evidence of Taiwanzh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bernanke, B. S. and A. S. Blinder (1988), “Credit, Money, and Aggregate Demand,” American Economic Review, 78, 435-439.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bernanke, B. S. and A. S. Blinder (1992), “The Federal Funds Rate and the Channels of Monetary Transmission,” American Economic Review, 82, 901-921.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bernanke, B. S. and M. Gertler (1995), “Inside the Black Box: The Credit Channel of Monetary Policy Transmission,” Journal of Economic Perspective, 9, 27-48.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chen, Y. D. (2000), “A Brief Introduction to the Interest Rate Target Policy and Its Transmission Mechanism of Central Bank of China,” Central Bank of China Quarterly Bulletin, 22, 81-94. (in Chinese)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cheng, H. P. (2004), “A Study on the Credit Transmission Mechanism of the Monetary Policy in Taiwan,” Master Thesis, Graduate School of Economics National Cheng Chi University. (in Chinese)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chiades, P. and L. Gambacorta (2004), “The Bernanke and Blinder Model in an Open Economy: the Italian Case,” German Economic Review, 5, 1-34.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chiu, L. C. (2000), “A Study on the Transmission Mechanism of the Monetary Policy-From the Role of Bank Loans,” Master Thesis, Graduate School of International Economics National Chung Cheng University. (in Chinese)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chuang, W. R. and L. L. Cheng (1991), “An Empirical Study on Money, Credit, and Economic Activities in Taiwan,” Bank of Taiwan Quarterly Bulletin, 42, 188-209. (in Chinese)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dickey, D.A. and W. A. Fuller (1979) “Distribution of Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74, 427-431.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dickey, D.A. and W. A. Fuller (1981) “Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root,” Econometrica, 49, 1057-1072.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hülsewig, O., P. Winker, and A. Worms (2002), “Bank Lending in the Transmission of Monetary Policy: A VECM Analysis for Germany,” International University in Germany Working Paper, No. 08.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Godfrey, L. (1978), “Testing against General Autoregressive and Moving Average Error Models When the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables,” Econometrica, 46, 1293-1302.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Godfrey, L. (1978), “Testing for Higher Order Serial Correlation in Regression Equations When the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables,” Econometrica, 46, 1303-13102.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gonzalo, J. (1994), “Five Alternative Methods of Estimating Long-run Equilibrium Relationships,” Journal of Econometrics, 60, 203-233.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Johansen, S. (1988), “Statistical Analysis of Cointegation Vectors,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, 231-254.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Johansen, S. and K. Juselius (1990), “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration-with Applications to the Demand for Money,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52, 169-220.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Johansen, S. (1991), “Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegrating Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models,” Economitrica, 59, 1551-1580.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kakes, J. (2000), “Identifying the Mechanism: Is There A Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Transmission in the Netherlands?” Applied Economics Letters, 7, 63-67.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kashyap, A. K. and J. C. Stein (1995), “The Impact of Monetary Policy on Bank Balance Sheets,” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 42, 151-195.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kashyap, A. K. and J. C. Stein (2000), “What Do a Million Observations on Banks Say about the Transmission of Monetary Policy?” American Economic Review, 90, 407-428.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kashyap, A. K., J. C. Stein, and D. W. Wilcox (1993), “Monetary Policy and Credit Conditions: Evidence from the Composition of External Finance,” American Economic Review, 83, 78-98.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kishan, R. P. and T. P. Opiela (2000), “Bank Size, Bank Capital, and the Bank Lending Channel,” Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 32, 121-141.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Lee, R. C. (1989), “The Rrole of Money and Bank Credit in the Monetary Policy Target-with the Selective Credit Control,” Central Bank of China Quarterly Bulletin, 11, 55-70. (in Chinese)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ljung, G. M. and G. E. P. Box (1978), “On a Measure of Lack of Fit in Time Series Models,” Biometrika, 65, 297-303.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mishkin, F. S. (1995), “Symposium on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism,” Journal of Economic Perspective, 9, 3-10.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mundell, R. A. (1963), “Capital Mobility and Stabilization Policy under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rate,” The Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science, 29, 475-485.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Phillips, P. C. B. and P. Perron (1988), “Testing for a Unit Root in Time Series Regression,” Biometrika, 75, 335-346.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Pill, H. (1997), “Bank Behaviour and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy: the Case of Spain,” Graduate School of Business Administration Harvard University.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wang, S. W. (1994), “The Monetary Policy and the Credit Condition: An Empirical Study on Taiwan,” Master Thesis, Graduate School of Finance Tam Kang University. (in Chinese)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wu, Y. J. (2004), “An Empirical Study on Transmission Mechanisms of Monetary Policy in Taiwan,” Central Bank of China Quarterly Bulletin, 26, 33-68. (in Chinese)zh_TW