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題名 The Effects of Credit Channel in a Small Open Economy with Perfect Capital Mobility
作者 劉俊麟
LIU, CHUN LIN
貢獻者 朱美麗
劉俊麟
LIU, CHUN LIN
關鍵詞 Credit Channel
Bank Lending Channel
Credit Market
Open Economy
日期 2005
上傳時間 14-Sep-2009 13:32:39 (UTC+8)
摘要 The credit channel literature has made great strides in recent years, however, much of the literature to date has focused largely on the closed economy. Even some of the literatures are in a framework of an open economy, they only concentrate on the fixed or a quasi-fixed exchange rate regime. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to complete the theoretical framework by extending the Bernanke and Blinder model to the case of an open economy under a floating exchange rate regime. We find that the exchange rates puzzle takes place in our model when the influence from credit channels is very significant. We further to compare the credit channel effects under different models. Moreover, we adopt a cointegration analysis to study the credit channel effect, and the empirical evidences show that the credit channels exist in Taiwan for the sample period during November 1991 to January 2005.
參考文獻 Abrams, B. A. and F. R. Settle (2003), “Do Fixed Exchange Rates Fetter Monetary Policy? A Credit View,” Department of Economics Alfred Lerner College of Business & Economics University of Delaware, Working Paper, No. 2003-09, pp. 1-17.
Bernanke, B. S. (1983), “Non-monetary Effects of the Financial Crisis in the Propagation of the Great Depression,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 100, pp. 1047-1077.
Bernanke, B. S. and S. A. Blinder (1988), “Is it Money or Credit, or Both, or Neither? Credit, Money, and Aggregate Demand,” American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, Vol.78, pp. 435-440.
Bernanke, B. S. and S. A. Blinder (1992), “The Federal Fund Rate and the Channels of Monetary Transmission,” American Economic Review, Vol. 82, pp. 901-921.
Morris, C. and Sellon, Jr. (1995), “Bank Lending and Monetary Policy: Evidence on a Credit Channel,” Economic Review, Vol. 80, pp. 60-75.
Chiades, P. and L. Gambacorta (2004), “The Bernanke and Blinder Model in an open economy: The Italian Case,” German Economic Review, Vol. 5, pp. 1-34.
Cheng, H. P., (2004), “A Study on the Credit Transmission Mechanism of the Monetary Policy in Taiwan,” Master Thesis, Graduate School of Economics National Cheng Chi University. (in Chinese)
Dickey, D.A. and Fuller, W.A. (1979), “Distribution of Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 49, pp. 427-431.
Dickey, D.A. and Fuller, W.A. (1981), “Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root, Econometrica, Vol. 49, pp. 1057-1072.
Dornbusch, R (1976), “Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics,” The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 84, pp. 1161-1176.
Friedman, M. and A. J. Schwartz (1963), “A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960,” Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.
Godfrey, L. (1978), “Testing Against General Autoregressive and Moving Average Error Models when the Regressors Iinclude Lagged Dependent Variables,” Econometrica, Vol. 46, pp. 1293-1302.
Godfrey, L. (1978), “Testing for Higher Order Serial Correlation in Regression Equations when the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables,” Econometrica, Vol. 46, pp. 1303-1310.
Gonzalo, J (1994), “Five Alternative Methods of Estimating Long-run Equilibrium Relationships,” Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 60, pp. 203-233.
Huang (2003), “Evidence of A Bank Lending Channel in the UK,” Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 27, pp. 491-510.
Johansen, S. (1988), “Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 12, pp. 231-254.
Johansen, S. and K. Juselius (1990), “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration-with Applications to the Demand for Money,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 52, pp. 169-220.
Johansen, S. (1991), “Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegrating Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models,” Econometrica, Vol. 59, pp. 1551-1580.
Johansen, S. and K. Juselius (1992), “Testing Structural Hypotheses in a Multivariate Cointegration Analysis of the PPP and the UIP for UK,” Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 53, pp. 211-244.
Kashyap, A. K. and J. C. Stein (1995), “The Impact of Monetary Policy on Bank Balance Sheets,” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Vol. 42, pp. 151-159.
Kashyap, A. K., J. C. Stein and D. W. Wilcox (1993), “Monetary Policy and Credit Conditions: Evidence from the Composition of External Finance,” American Economic Review, Vol. 83, pp. 78-98.
Kishan, R. P. and T. P. Opiela (2000), “Bank Size, Bank Capital, and the Bank Lending Channel,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol. 32, pp. 122-141.
Krugman, P. R. and M. Obstfeld, (1997), International Economics: Theory and Policy. New York: Addison-Wesley.
Ljung, G. M. and G. E. P. Box (1978), “On a Measure of Lack of Fit in Time Series Models,” Biometrika, Vol. 67, pp. 297-303.
Mundell, R. A. (1963), “Capital Mobility and Stablization Policy under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates,” Canadian Journal of Economics, Vol. 15, pp. 87-103.
Pill, H. (1997), “Bank Behaviour and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy: the Case of Spain,” Graduate School of Business Administration Harvard University.
Wang, S. W. (1994), “The Monetary Policy And the Credit Condition-an Empirical Study on Taiwan,” Master Thesis, Graduate School of Finance Tam Kang University. (in Chinese).
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟研究所
92258017
94
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922580171
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 朱美麗zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 劉俊麟zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) LIU, CHUN LINen_US
dc.creator (作者) 劉俊麟zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) LIU, CHUN LINen_US
dc.date (日期) 2005en_US
dc.date.accessioned 14-Sep-2009 13:32:39 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 14-Sep-2009 13:32:39 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 14-Sep-2009 13:32:39 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0922580171en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/32269-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 經濟研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92258017zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The credit channel literature has made great strides in recent years, however, much of the literature to date has focused largely on the closed economy. Even some of the literatures are in a framework of an open economy, they only concentrate on the fixed or a quasi-fixed exchange rate regime. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to complete the theoretical framework by extending the Bernanke and Blinder model to the case of an open economy under a floating exchange rate regime. We find that the exchange rates puzzle takes place in our model when the influence from credit channels is very significant. We further to compare the credit channel effects under different models. Moreover, we adopt a cointegration analysis to study the credit channel effect, and the empirical evidences show that the credit channels exist in Taiwan for the sample period during November 1991 to January 2005.zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents Chapter 1 Introduction 1
     Chapter 2 Literature Review 3
     Chapter 3 The Extended Bernanke and Blinder Model 7
     3.1 The Model 7
     3.2 Graphical Representation 12
     Chapter 4 Monetary Policy under Flexible Exchange Rates 14
     4.1 The Case with Significant Influence Generating from the Credit Channel 15
     4.2 The Case with Insignificant Influence Generating from the Credit Channel 16
     4.3 Comparison of Monetary Policy 17
     Chapter 5 Preliminary Empirical Analysis 19
     5.1 Data 19
     5.2 Empirical Results 20
     Chapter 6 Conclusion and Suggestions 26
     Reference 27
     Appendix 31
     
     TABLES
     Table 1 Unit root tests 20
     Table 2 Residual Misspecification Tests for VAR Model 22
     Table 3 Tests for the Number of Cointegrating Vectors of Exchange Rate and Reserve 23
     Table 4 Coefficient Tests of the Reserves 24
     
     FIGURES
     Figure 1 The CC-LM-BP model with perfect capital mobility 13
     Figure 2 The case with significant influence from the credit channel 16
     Figure 3 The case with insignificant influence from the credit channel 17
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922580171en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Credit Channelen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Bank Lending Channelen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Credit Marketen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Open Economyen_US
dc.title (題名) The Effects of Credit Channel in a Small Open Economy with Perfect Capital Mobilityzh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Abrams, B. A. and F. R. Settle (2003), “Do Fixed Exchange Rates Fetter Monetary Policy? A Credit View,” Department of Economics Alfred Lerner College of Business & Economics University of Delaware, Working Paper, No. 2003-09, pp. 1-17.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bernanke, B. S. (1983), “Non-monetary Effects of the Financial Crisis in the Propagation of the Great Depression,” Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 100, pp. 1047-1077.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bernanke, B. S. and S. A. Blinder (1988), “Is it Money or Credit, or Both, or Neither? Credit, Money, and Aggregate Demand,” American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, Vol.78, pp. 435-440.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bernanke, B. S. and S. A. Blinder (1992), “The Federal Fund Rate and the Channels of Monetary Transmission,” American Economic Review, Vol. 82, pp. 901-921.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Morris, C. and Sellon, Jr. (1995), “Bank Lending and Monetary Policy: Evidence on a Credit Channel,” Economic Review, Vol. 80, pp. 60-75.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chiades, P. and L. Gambacorta (2004), “The Bernanke and Blinder Model in an open economy: The Italian Case,” German Economic Review, Vol. 5, pp. 1-34.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cheng, H. P., (2004), “A Study on the Credit Transmission Mechanism of the Monetary Policy in Taiwan,” Master Thesis, Graduate School of Economics National Cheng Chi University. (in Chinese)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dickey, D.A. and Fuller, W.A. (1979), “Distribution of Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, Vol. 49, pp. 427-431.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dickey, D.A. and Fuller, W.A. (1981), “Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root, Econometrica, Vol. 49, pp. 1057-1072.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dornbusch, R (1976), “Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics,” The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 84, pp. 1161-1176.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Friedman, M. and A. J. Schwartz (1963), “A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960,” Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Godfrey, L. (1978), “Testing Against General Autoregressive and Moving Average Error Models when the Regressors Iinclude Lagged Dependent Variables,” Econometrica, Vol. 46, pp. 1293-1302.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Godfrey, L. (1978), “Testing for Higher Order Serial Correlation in Regression Equations when the Regressors Include Lagged Dependent Variables,” Econometrica, Vol. 46, pp. 1303-1310.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gonzalo, J (1994), “Five Alternative Methods of Estimating Long-run Equilibrium Relationships,” Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 60, pp. 203-233.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Huang (2003), “Evidence of A Bank Lending Channel in the UK,” Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 27, pp. 491-510.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Johansen, S. (1988), “Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 12, pp. 231-254.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Johansen, S. and K. Juselius (1990), “Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration-with Applications to the Demand for Money,” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 52, pp. 169-220.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Johansen, S. (1991), “Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegrating Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models,” Econometrica, Vol. 59, pp. 1551-1580.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Johansen, S. and K. Juselius (1992), “Testing Structural Hypotheses in a Multivariate Cointegration Analysis of the PPP and the UIP for UK,” Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 53, pp. 211-244.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kashyap, A. K. and J. C. Stein (1995), “The Impact of Monetary Policy on Bank Balance Sheets,” Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Vol. 42, pp. 151-159.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kashyap, A. K., J. C. Stein and D. W. Wilcox (1993), “Monetary Policy and Credit Conditions: Evidence from the Composition of External Finance,” American Economic Review, Vol. 83, pp. 78-98.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kishan, R. P. and T. P. Opiela (2000), “Bank Size, Bank Capital, and the Bank Lending Channel,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol. 32, pp. 122-141.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Krugman, P. R. and M. Obstfeld, (1997), International Economics: Theory and Policy. New York: Addison-Wesley.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ljung, G. M. and G. E. P. Box (1978), “On a Measure of Lack of Fit in Time Series Models,” Biometrika, Vol. 67, pp. 297-303.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mundell, R. A. (1963), “Capital Mobility and Stablization Policy under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates,” Canadian Journal of Economics, Vol. 15, pp. 87-103.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Pill, H. (1997), “Bank Behaviour and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy: the Case of Spain,” Graduate School of Business Administration Harvard University.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wang, S. W. (1994), “The Monetary Policy And the Credit Condition-an Empirical Study on Taiwan,” Master Thesis, Graduate School of Finance Tam Kang University. (in Chinese).zh_TW