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題名 俄羅斯與阿根廷經濟轉型之比較研究
作者 張芝寧
JYNING, CHANG
貢獻者 吳玉山
YU-SHAN, YU
張芝寧
JYNING, CHANG
關鍵詞 俄羅斯經濟
阿根廷經濟
俄羅斯
阿根廷
葉爾欽
RUSSIAN ECONOMY
ARGENTINA ECONOMY
YELTSIN
PUTIN
ALFONSIN
日期 2003
上傳時間 17-Sep-2009 17:42:53 (UTC+8)
摘要 俄羅斯與阿根廷的經濟改革在「華盛頓共識」下揭開了序幕。1991年蘇聯解體後,俄羅斯的政治由一黨專政走向多元的民主,而經濟體制也從過去的社會主義所有制轉向市場經濟體制發展。相對阿根廷則是在1983年軍政府的威權官僚統治被推翻後,開始施行民主政治。而國內的經濟也在1984年開始從過度干預的市場向自由放任的資本主義市場移動。但在兩國國內經濟改革的過程中,國會及西方國際金融組織的影響為經濟改革帶來莫大的變數。因此本文旨在透過剖析國會、國家政府、和西方國際金融組織三者之間的互動與關係,分析穩定化經濟政策的產出、施行的過程、及所帶來的結果。本文也著重地探討和穩定化相互關連與影響的通貨膨脹與西方外援這兩個因素,探究權力均衡、穩定化、通貨膨脹、經濟表現、與西方外援對俄羅斯與阿根廷國家經濟轉型過程所產生的影響。
本論文主要採用國會、國家政府、與西方國際金融組織,權力均衡的研究途徑,透過選舉週期與經改週期的因素影響,探討俄羅斯與阿根廷經濟轉型的過程與發展。因為受到上述三邊角力的影響,穩定化(stabilization)成了國內經濟改革最主要的問題,因此本文著重在經濟改革穩定化層面的發展,及與穩定化息息相關,相互影響的因素-通貨膨脹與西方外援,提出更進一步的剖析。在這樣的架構下,本論文第一章除了說明研究動機與目的、研究架構、章節安排外,還介紹與研究題目相關的文獻,並指出過去文獻的優缺點,以做為論文研究之基礎。第二章敘述俄羅斯與阿根廷經濟改革前的歷史背景,探討前蘇聯與阿根廷軍政府為之後經濟改革所留下的伏筆;第三章闡述俄羅斯與阿根廷經濟轉型穩定化之成效、透過國內政治週期對兩國國家領導人:葉爾欽(Boris Yeltsin)、普欽(Vladimir Putin)、阿芳辛(Raúl Alfonsín)、美能(Carlos Menem)、與德拉魯阿(Fernando De la Rua)所產生的影響為論述的焦點;第四章則論述通貨膨脹與西方外援對兩國國內經濟改革的相互影響,並指出它們在穩定化政策執行下的表現,及如何再次回歸影響到穩定化制程的發展;第五章為結論。
本論文所得到的結論是國會、國家政府、與國際金融組織的權力均衡決定了俄羅斯與阿根廷國家經濟轉型穩定化的走向,而穩定的經濟政策是帶動國家經濟成長的關鍵。目前在普欽強勢的帶領之下,俄羅斯已逐漸擺脫金融風暴的陰霾,而阿根廷在新總統基什內爾(Nestor Kirchner)的領導下,是否有辦法帶領阿根廷的經濟走向復甦與成長,還有待時間的考驗。
Under the “Washington consensus”, Russia and Argentina have started their economic transition. The collapse of the Soviet Union has led Russia from one-party dictatorship to plural democracy in politics and from socialistic ownership to free-market system in economy. In contrast in 1983, after the demolition of Argentina Military Dictatorship Bureaucratic authoritarianism regime, the country started to apply democracy. And soon, in 1984, Argentina’s economy started to move from over control market toward free individual capitalism market. However, in the economic reform process of both countries, the Parliament and Western International Financial Organizations have brought immense impact on their economic transitions. Therefore, this thesis is aimed to understand the interactive relationships among Parliament, Government, and Western International Organizations, and also to study the formulation of the economic stabilization programs, the application process, and the conclusion. Also, in the thesis we will discuss inflation and western aid factors that have close relationship and mutual influences with the stabilization programs, so to find out the impacts and the developments brought by balance of power, stabilization, inflation, economic performance, and western aids in the process of economic transition.
In this thesis, we adopt the Parliament, Government, and Western International Organizations’ balance of power as the research approach, through the impact of election’s cycle and economic transition’s cycle, we discuss the process and developments of Russian and Argentina’s economic transition. Because the influences brought by above authorities, stabilization becomes the most important concern for countries which are performing economic transition. As so, the thesis is focused on stabilization sphere, and the factors of inflation and western aids that brought mutual influences to stabilization. Under this framework, the first chapter includes the research motives and objectives, the research framework, chapter arrangements, and the advantages and disadvantages of relevant literature. The second chapter describes Russian and Argentina’s historical background before the economic transition, and we also analyze the hints left by the Soviet Union and Argentina military government. The third one, we focus on the effects of stabilization program in Russian and Argentina economic transition, through the interaction of election’s cycle and both countries’ leader: Boris Yeltsin, Vladimir Putin, Raúl Alfonsín, Carlos Menem, Fernando De la Rua. The fourth chapter analyzes the interaction among inflation and western aids with country’s economic transition, we also point out the inflation and western aids’ performances under different periods of stabilization program, and how they come back to influence the formulation of the stabilization program. The fifth one is the conclusion.
We come to conclusion that the balance of power among the Parliament, Government, and Western International Organizations decide the tendency of Russian and Argentina’s economic stabilization, and the key to bring the country economic growth is to settle a stable economic policy. Now, under Putin’s strong leadership, Russian has started to get over from the shadow of 1998 crisis. But Argentina with the guidance of the new president Nestor Kirchner, whether the country will be lead to a revival and growth way or not, it will still remain under the question.
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五. 網站
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Murillo, Maria Victoria. 2001. Labor Unions, Partisan Coalitions, and Market Reforms in Latin America. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
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Nelson,Lynn D. and Irina Y. Kuzes. 1994. Property to the People: The Struggle for Radical Economic Reform in Russia. New York: M.E. Sharpe.
Powers, Nancy R. 2001. Grassroots Expectations of Democracy and Economy : Argentina in Comparative Perspective. Pittsburgh, Pa.: University of Pittsburgh Press.
Remington, Thomas F. 1999. Politics in Russia. New York: Longman.
Rozman, Gilbert. 1991. “The East Asian Region in Comparative Perspective.” in Gelbert Rozman, ed., The East Asian Region: Confucian Heritage and Its Modern Adaptation. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.
Rudolph, James D. 1985. Argentina: a Country Study. United States: The Secretary of the Army.
Sachs, Jeffrey D. 1990. Developing Country Debt and Economic Performance Vol.2 Country Studies: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Mexico. USA: Chicago University Press.
Smith, Gordon B. 1992. Soviet Politics: Struggling with Change. Hampshire: Macmillan.
Steele, Jonathan. 1994. Eternal Russian: Yeltsin, Gorbachev, and the Mirage of Democracy. USA: Harvard University Press.
Tedesco, Laura. 1999. Democracy in Argentina: Hope and Disillusion. London: FRANK CASS Publishers.
Tulchin, Joseph S. with Allison M. Garland. 1998. Argentina: the Challenges of Modernization. USA: S.R. Books.
Valdivieso, Luis M. 1998. Macroeconomic Development in the Baltics, Russian and Other Countries of the Former Soviet Union, 1992-1997. Washington DC: IMF.
White, Stephen, Alex Pravda, and Zvi Gitelman. 2001. Developments in Russian Politics 5. Durham: Duke University Press.
Winiecki, Jan. 1991. Resistance to Change in Soviet Economic System:a Property Right Approach. London: Routledge.
二. 期刊
Aslund, Andres. 1989. “Soviet and Chinese Reforms--Why They Must Be Different.” The World Today, 45(11): 188-191.
Brus, Wlodzimierz. 1993. “Marketization and Democratization: the Sino-Soviet Divergence.” Cambridge Journal of Economics, 17(4): 423-440.
Dehejia, Vivek H. 1996. “Shock Therapy VS. Gradualism.” Easter Economic Journal, 22(4): 425-431.
Fischer, Stanley, Ratna Sahay, and Carlos A. Vegh. 1996. “Stabilization and Growth in Transition Economies: The Early Experience.” Journal of Economic Perspective 10(2): 67-86.
Gomulka, Stanislaw. 1995. “The IMF-Supported Programs of Poland and Russia, 1990-1994: Principles, Errors, and Results.” Journal of Comparative Economics, 20: 316-346.
McKinnon, Ronald I. 1994. “Gradual versus Liberalization in Socialist Economics.” In Proceedings of the World Bank Annual Conference on Development Economics. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.
Slay, Ben. 1994. “Rapid versus Gradual Economic Transition.” RFE/RL Research Report, 3(31): 31-42.
Wu, Yu-Shan and Tsai-Wei Sun. 1998. “Four Faces of Vietnamese Communism: Small Countries’ Institutional Choice under Hegemony.” Communist and Post-Communist Studies, 31(4): 381-399.
三. 網站
Bank of Finland. 2003. “Russian Economy: The Month in Review 6.2003. ” (http://www.bof.fi/bofit/fin/4ruec/pdf03/ruec0603.pdf).
Camdessus, Michael. 1998. “Russian and the IMF: Meeting the Challenges of an Emerging Market and Transition Economy.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/speeches/1998/040198.htm).
Camdessus, Michael. 1999. “Russian: In Search of a Vision to Revitalize Reform.” (http://www.imf.org/externail/np/speeches/1999/061699.htm).
Camdessus, Michael. 1995. “Russian’s Transformation Efforts at a Turning Point.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/mds/1995/mds9505.htm).
Camdessus, Michel . 1996. “Russia: Stabilization and Reform.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/mds/1996/mds9604.htm).
Camdessus, Michel. 1995. “IMF Approves Stand-by Credit for Russia.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/1995/pr9521.htm).
Camdessus, Michel. 1999. “IMF`s Camdessus Reviews Status of Russian Program.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/nb/1999/nb9981.htm).
Graham, Carol and Masson, Paul. 2003. “Between Politics and Economics: The IMF and Argentina.” (http://content.ebsco.com/fulltext.asp?wasp=e2wlyjyhlg2p69xrkc3u&ext=.pdf).
IMF, 1998. “Russian Authorities and IMF Reach Understandings on 1998 Economic Policy Statement.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/nb/1998/nb9820.htm).
IMF, 1999. “Argentina Policy Memorandum.” (http://www.imf.org/external/NP/LOI/1999/011199.htm).
IMF, 1999. “IMF Approves Stand-By Credit for Russia.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/1999/pr9935.htm).
IMF, 2003, “Russian Federation: Statistical Appendix.” (http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2003/cr03145.pdf).
Jei Corporation, “Daily Russian Roubles Rate against US Dollar.” Jei Corporation Home Page. (http://www.jeico.com/cnc57rus.html).
Latin Focus, (http://www.latin-focus.com/countries/argentina/argeisum.htm).
Latin Focus, (http://www.latin-focus.com/spanish/countries/argentina/arginter.htm).
Latin Focus, (http://www.latin-focus.com/spanish/countries/argentina/argeiexternal.htm).
Latin Focus, (http://www.latin-focus.com/countries/argentina/argeisum.htm).
Mahon, James E. Jr., and Javier Corrales. 2002. “Pegged for Failure? Argentina’s Crisis.” (http://content.ebsco.com/fulltext.asp?wasp=e2wlyjyhlg2p69xrkc3u&ext=.pdf).
Millar, James R. 2000. “Can Putin Jump-Start Russian’s Stalled Economy?” (http://content.ebsco.com/fulltext.asp?wasp=lp3lyjygvn31btm3ng86&ext=.pdf).
Millar, James R. “The Russian Economy: Putin’s Pause.” (http://content.ebsco.com/fulltext.asp?wasp=56we0cgmeg4vww4b0v56&ext=.pdf).
Political Database of the Americas, (http://www.georgetown.edu/pdba/Elecdata/Arg/cong83.html).
Political Database of the Americas, (http://www.georgetown.edu/pdba/Elecdata/Arg/cong85.html).
Political Database of the Americas, (http://www.georgetown.edu/pdba/Elecdata/Arg/cong89.html).
Political Database of America, (http://www.georgetown.edu/pdba/Elecdata/Arg/Pres99.html).
Starr, Pamela K. 2003. “Argentina: Anatomy of a Crisis Foretold.” (http://content.ebsco.com/fulltext.asp?wasp=3duf6u8j3d4quk5a68fk&ext=.pdf).
World Bank, “World Bank Approves First-Ever Policy Based Guarantee For $US250 million to Argentina.” (http://www.worldbank.org).
World Bank, (http://www.worldbank.org/htm/extdr/offrep/lac/ar2.htm).
World Bank, “Statistical Appendix: External Liabilities and Assets,” (http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/gdf2003/statappendix/externalliabilitiesandassets.pdf).
俄文與西班牙文部分
一. 書籍
Basualdo, Eduardo, Mirta Botzman, Teresa Doti, Roberto Feletti, Beatriz Fontana, Marcela Jauregui, Artemio Lopez y Claudio Lozano. 1991. Panorama Previo a las Elecciones de 1991-“La Evolucio□n del Plan Cavallo (1991選舉預景-卡瓦洛計劃的演進). ” Bs. As.: Universidad de Buenos Aires.
Cavallo, Domingo. 1997. El Peso de la Verdad- Un Impulso a la Tranferencia en la Argentina de los 90 (真實的披索-一個90年代推動阿根廷移動的動力). Bs. As.: Planeta.
Chudnovsky, Daniel. 1996. Los Limites de la Apertura (開放的限度). Bs. As.: Alianza Editorial.
Conesa, Eduardo. 2000. Que□ Pasa en la Economi□a Argentina (阿根廷的經濟怎麼了). Bs. As.: Ed.Macchi.
De la Balze, Feipe A.M. 1993. Reforma y Convergencia Ensayos sobre la Transfomacio□n de la Economi□a Argentina (改革與匯集阿根廷經濟轉型試驗). Bs. As.: Editiones Manantial SRL.
Fundación de Investigaciones Economicas Latinoamericanas. Consejo Empresario Argentino. 1991. Argentina: La Reforma Econo□mica 1989-1991 Balance y Perspectives (阿根廷:1989-1991經濟改革平衡與遠景). Bs. As.: Editiones Manantial SRL.
Iazzetta, Osvaldo. 1996. Las Privatizaciones en Brasil y Argentina: una Aproximacio□n desde la Te□cnica y la Poli□tica (巴西與阿根廷的私有化:方法與政治概論). Rosario: Homo Sapiens Ediciones.
Mednikov, V. V. & Т. А. Makhovikova. 1997. Ekonomika Rossii Put□ Reforma 1917-1995gg (俄羅斯1917-1995年經濟改革). Sankt-Peterburg: Sankt-Peterburgskii Universitet Ekonomiki i Finansov.
Muchnik, Daniel. 1998. Argentina Modelo : de la Furia a la Resignacion- Economia y Politica entre 1973-1998 (阿根廷模式:從狂暴到屈服~1973年到1998年之間的經濟與政治). Buenos Aires: Manantial SRL.
Nhaux, Enrique. 1993. Menem-Cavallo: el Poder Mediterraneo (美能─卡瓦落:地中海的勢力). Buenos Aires: Corregidor.
Schuarzer, Jorge. 1996. La Industria que Supimos Conseguir (在我們認知下可尋得的產業). Bs. As. : Ed. Planeta.
Vasena, Adalbert Krieger. 1998. La Economi□a Argentina en la De□cada de 90 Perspectiva para el Siglo XXI (阿根廷90年代的經濟與對21世紀的遠景). Bs. As.: Academia Nacional de Ciencias Economicas.
二. 期刊
Ekonomika i Zhizni (經濟與生活), 14(1993).
Voprosy Ekonomiki (經濟問題), 4(1992).
三. 報紙
Clarín, 27 May 1984, p. 2.
Clarín, 2000. “Apoyo del FMI al plan, en el momento justo (國際貨幣基金會對計劃的支持,在正好的時間點上)” 17 May (http://old.clarin.com/diario/2000/05/17/e-00315.htm).
Clarín, 2002. 7 January (http://old.clarin.com/diario/2002/01/07/index_diario.html).
Izvestiya, 23 Dec. 1995, p. 4.
Rossiiskaya Gazeta, 15 Dec. 1991.
Rossiiskaya Gazeta, 5 May 1993, p. 3.
四. 網站
1999 Russian Parliament Election Results, (www.rferl.org/elections/russia99results/index.html).
Bank Rossii (俄羅斯銀行), various issues, (http://www.cbr.ru/main.asp).
CEI, Centro de Economía International Home Page (國際經濟中心) (http://cei.mrecic.gov.ar/html/estadistica.htm).
ECONOLINK, (http://www.econolink.com.ar/).
Escudé, Carlos, Andrés Cisneros. 2000. “Historia de las Relaciones Exteriores Argentinas-Capítulo 55 - Endeudamiento externo y crisis económica (1983-1989) (阿根廷對外歷史-55章-國內債務與經濟危機(1983-1989)).” (http://www.argentina-rree.com/11/11-075.htm).
Escudé, Carlos, Andrés Cisneros. 2000. “Historia de las Relaciones Exteriores Argentinas-Capítulo 55 - Endeudamiento externo y crisis económica (1983-1989).” (http://www.argentina-rree.com/11/11-076.htm).
Escudé, Carlos, Andrés Cisneros. 2000. “Historia de las Relaciones Exteriores Argentinas-Capítulo 55 - Endeudamiento externo y crisis económica (1983-1989).” (http://www.argentina-rree.com/11/11-080.htm).
Mira, Pablo. 2002. “Los Hechos de la Convertibilidad: Mitos y Realidades (匯率政策的成果:神話與現實).” (http://www.lainsignia.org/2002/noviembre/ibe_126.htm).
ODG, “Síntesis de la Evolucio□n de la Deuda Externa Argentina (阿根廷外債演進概論).” (http://www.redisseny.debtwatch.org/cast/docs/observatoris/psud/evolucion_deuda_arg1.pdf).
ODG, Observatorio de la Deuda en la Globalizacio□n Home Page (全球外債的觀察). 2002. “Base de Datos sobre Argentina (阿根廷基本資料).” (http://www.redisseny.debtwatch.org/cast/observatorios/psud/continguts/argentina.xls).
ODG, Observatorio de la Deuda en la Globalizacio□n Home Page (全球外債的觀察). (http://www.debtwatch.org/cast/).
Teijerio, Mario. “Una Vez Mas, la Política Fiscal (又再一次,財政赤字).” CISLE-Centro de Investigaciones Sobre la Libre Empresa, A.C., (http://www.cisle.org.mx/Publicaciones/politicafiscal.htm).
Todo lo que Quiere Saber sobre Argentina (所有你想知道有關於阿根廷的事), (http://www.todo-argentina.net/historia/democracia/menem/index.htm).
Vybory (選擇) 1999-2000, (http://www.nns.ru/Elect-99).
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
俄羅斯研究所
88263009
92
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0088263009
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 吳玉山zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor YU-SHAN, YUen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 張芝寧zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) JYNING, CHANGen_US
dc.creator (作者) 張芝寧zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) JYNING, CHANGen_US
dc.date (日期) 2003en_US
dc.date.accessioned 17-Sep-2009 17:42:53 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 17-Sep-2009 17:42:53 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 17-Sep-2009 17:42:53 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0088263009en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33620-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 俄羅斯研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 88263009zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 俄羅斯與阿根廷的經濟改革在「華盛頓共識」下揭開了序幕。1991年蘇聯解體後,俄羅斯的政治由一黨專政走向多元的民主,而經濟體制也從過去的社會主義所有制轉向市場經濟體制發展。相對阿根廷則是在1983年軍政府的威權官僚統治被推翻後,開始施行民主政治。而國內的經濟也在1984年開始從過度干預的市場向自由放任的資本主義市場移動。但在兩國國內經濟改革的過程中,國會及西方國際金融組織的影響為經濟改革帶來莫大的變數。因此本文旨在透過剖析國會、國家政府、和西方國際金融組織三者之間的互動與關係,分析穩定化經濟政策的產出、施行的過程、及所帶來的結果。本文也著重地探討和穩定化相互關連與影響的通貨膨脹與西方外援這兩個因素,探究權力均衡、穩定化、通貨膨脹、經濟表現、與西方外援對俄羅斯與阿根廷國家經濟轉型過程所產生的影響。
本論文主要採用國會、國家政府、與西方國際金融組織,權力均衡的研究途徑,透過選舉週期與經改週期的因素影響,探討俄羅斯與阿根廷經濟轉型的過程與發展。因為受到上述三邊角力的影響,穩定化(stabilization)成了國內經濟改革最主要的問題,因此本文著重在經濟改革穩定化層面的發展,及與穩定化息息相關,相互影響的因素-通貨膨脹與西方外援,提出更進一步的剖析。在這樣的架構下,本論文第一章除了說明研究動機與目的、研究架構、章節安排外,還介紹與研究題目相關的文獻,並指出過去文獻的優缺點,以做為論文研究之基礎。第二章敘述俄羅斯與阿根廷經濟改革前的歷史背景,探討前蘇聯與阿根廷軍政府為之後經濟改革所留下的伏筆;第三章闡述俄羅斯與阿根廷經濟轉型穩定化之成效、透過國內政治週期對兩國國家領導人:葉爾欽(Boris Yeltsin)、普欽(Vladimir Putin)、阿芳辛(Raúl Alfonsín)、美能(Carlos Menem)、與德拉魯阿(Fernando De la Rua)所產生的影響為論述的焦點;第四章則論述通貨膨脹與西方外援對兩國國內經濟改革的相互影響,並指出它們在穩定化政策執行下的表現,及如何再次回歸影響到穩定化制程的發展;第五章為結論。
本論文所得到的結論是國會、國家政府、與國際金融組織的權力均衡決定了俄羅斯與阿根廷國家經濟轉型穩定化的走向,而穩定的經濟政策是帶動國家經濟成長的關鍵。目前在普欽強勢的帶領之下,俄羅斯已逐漸擺脫金融風暴的陰霾,而阿根廷在新總統基什內爾(Nestor Kirchner)的領導下,是否有辦法帶領阿根廷的經濟走向復甦與成長,還有待時間的考驗。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Under the “Washington consensus”, Russia and Argentina have started their economic transition. The collapse of the Soviet Union has led Russia from one-party dictatorship to plural democracy in politics and from socialistic ownership to free-market system in economy. In contrast in 1983, after the demolition of Argentina Military Dictatorship Bureaucratic authoritarianism regime, the country started to apply democracy. And soon, in 1984, Argentina’s economy started to move from over control market toward free individual capitalism market. However, in the economic reform process of both countries, the Parliament and Western International Financial Organizations have brought immense impact on their economic transitions. Therefore, this thesis is aimed to understand the interactive relationships among Parliament, Government, and Western International Organizations, and also to study the formulation of the economic stabilization programs, the application process, and the conclusion. Also, in the thesis we will discuss inflation and western aid factors that have close relationship and mutual influences with the stabilization programs, so to find out the impacts and the developments brought by balance of power, stabilization, inflation, economic performance, and western aids in the process of economic transition.
In this thesis, we adopt the Parliament, Government, and Western International Organizations’ balance of power as the research approach, through the impact of election’s cycle and economic transition’s cycle, we discuss the process and developments of Russian and Argentina’s economic transition. Because the influences brought by above authorities, stabilization becomes the most important concern for countries which are performing economic transition. As so, the thesis is focused on stabilization sphere, and the factors of inflation and western aids that brought mutual influences to stabilization. Under this framework, the first chapter includes the research motives and objectives, the research framework, chapter arrangements, and the advantages and disadvantages of relevant literature. The second chapter describes Russian and Argentina’s historical background before the economic transition, and we also analyze the hints left by the Soviet Union and Argentina military government. The third one, we focus on the effects of stabilization program in Russian and Argentina economic transition, through the interaction of election’s cycle and both countries’ leader: Boris Yeltsin, Vladimir Putin, Raúl Alfonsín, Carlos Menem, Fernando De la Rua. The fourth chapter analyzes the interaction among inflation and western aids with country’s economic transition, we also point out the inflation and western aids’ performances under different periods of stabilization program, and how they come back to influence the formulation of the stabilization program. The fifth one is the conclusion.
We come to conclusion that the balance of power among the Parliament, Government, and Western International Organizations decide the tendency of Russian and Argentina’s economic stabilization, and the key to bring the country economic growth is to settle a stable economic policy. Now, under Putin’s strong leadership, Russian has started to get over from the shadow of 1998 crisis. But Argentina with the guidance of the new president Nestor Kirchner, whether the country will be lead to a revival and growth way or not, it will still remain under the question.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 導論………………………………………………………1
第一節 研究動機、目的與範圍……………………………………..1
第二節 文獻分析………………………………………………………9
第三節 分析架構…………………….…………….………….……..18
第四節 章節安排……………………………………………….…….20

第二章 俄羅斯與阿根廷經濟轉型前的歷史背景…………..21
第一節 俄羅斯與阿根廷改革前的背景……………………………22
第二節 俄羅斯與阿根廷經濟轉型前的國內經濟………………..29
小結…………………………………………………………..39

第三章 俄羅斯與阿根廷經濟轉型穩定化之成效…………..41
第一節 俄羅斯國家領導人與國內經濟穩定化之成效
~以國內政治週期論述之…………………………….…..45
第二節 阿根廷國家領導人與國內經濟穩定化之成效
~以國內政治週期論述之………………………………...69
小結…………………………………………………………..102

第四章 通貨膨脹、西方外援與國內經濟轉型的相互關係103
第一節 通貨膨脹與國內經濟轉型的相互關係…………………104
第二節 西方外援與國內經濟轉型的相互關係…………………122
小結…………………………………………………………149
第五章 結論……………………………………………………150
附錄 阿根廷政治經濟大事年表(1983~2003)………………160
參考書目………………………………………………………..168
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dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0088263009en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 俄羅斯經濟zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 阿根廷經濟zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 俄羅斯zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 阿根廷zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 葉爾欽zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) RUSSIAN ECONOMYen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) ARGENTINA ECONOMYen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) YELTSINen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) PUTINen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) ALFONSINen_US
dc.title (題名) 俄羅斯與阿根廷經濟轉型之比較研究zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文參考書目zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一. 書籍zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Manuel Alacantara Saez著,熊建成,洪惠紋譯,1998, 拉丁美洲政治體制 Sistema Politico de America Latina,台北: 國立編譯館。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Samuel P. Huntington著,劉軍寧譯,1994,第三波:二十世紀末的民主化浪潮 (The Third Wave: Democratization in the late twentieth century.),台北:五南。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 戈巴契夫(Mikhail Gorbachev)著,陸宗璇譯,1989,大翻修:蘇俄的未來,台北:黎明。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 戈巴契夫著,譚天譯,2001,俄羅斯的教訓,台北:貓頭鷹。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王愛珠,1991,蘇聯東歐經濟改革概論,台北:水牛。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王耀生,1997,新制度主義,台北:揚智文化。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 伊慶耀,1994,蘇維埃帝國的消亡,台北:五南。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 庄起善,2000,俄羅斯經濟轉軌研究,上海:復旦大學出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳玉山,1996,遠離社會主義:中國大陸、蘇聯和波蘭的經濟轉型,台北:正中書局。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳玉山,1998,共產世界的變遷-四個共黨政權的比較,台北:東大。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳玉山,2000,俄羅斯轉型1992-1999-一個政治經濟學的分析,台北:五南。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 周全等編著,2002,21世紀的俄羅斯經濟發展戰略,北京:中國城市出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 保羅·艾爾德曼(Paul Erman)著,霍達文譯。1998。匯率拔河賽(Tug of War: Today’s Global)。台北縣:中國生產力。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 施建新,王俊文主編,2001,今日俄羅斯市場,北京:中國對外經濟貿易出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 烏留卡耶夫(Aleksei Valentinovich Uryukaev)著,石天等譯,2000,期待危機:俄羅斯經濟改革的過程與矛盾,北京:經濟科學出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 索羅斯(George Soros)著;聯合報編譯組譯,1998,全球資本主義危機(The Crisis of Global Capitalism),台北:聯經出版事業公司。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 婁芳,2000,俄羅斯經濟改革透視-從 “休克療法”到 “國家發展戰略”,上海:上海財經大學出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 畢英賢主編,1994,俄羅斯,台北:政治大學國際關係研究中心。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陸國俊,金計初主編,1997,拉丁美洲資本主義發展,北京:人民出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陶德·布希霍茲(Todd G. Buchholz)著,吳四明譯,2002,經濟學的第一堂課(From Here to Economy),台北:先覺。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 程恩富,李新,朱富強著,2002,經濟改革思危-東歐俄羅斯經濟學,北京:當代中國出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 馮紹雷,1997,制度變遷與對外關係-1992年以來的俄羅斯,上海:上海人民出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 楊世雄,2001,馬克思的經濟哲學-中共的社會主義市場經濟 ,台北:五南。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 葉自成,周良,田永祥,路曉君主編,2000,俄羅斯政壇風雲人物,哈爾濱:黑龍江人民出版社出版。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 道格拉斯•諾斯(Douglass North)著,劉瑞華譯,1994,制度、制度變遷與經濟成就,台北:時報文化。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 齊墨,1991,新權威主義:對中國大陸未來命運的論爭,台北:唐山出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 蔡金魁,1997,東歐:轉軌中的市場經濟,北京:武漢。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 韓立華,2001,俄羅斯和東歐中亞國家年鑑,北京:當代世界出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 關雪凌,2002,俄羅斯轉型期的經濟危機,北京:中國經濟出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 二. 期刊zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) В·F·普加喬夫,А·К·皮捷林著,馮憲,吳求仁譯,1996,「對反通貨膨脹經濟政策的各种方案的分析」,國外財經 4:21-31。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 丁冰,2002,「新自由主義與阿根廷金融危機」,北京行政學院學報 6:37-42。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 伊慶耀,1987,「戈巴契夫執政後的蘇聯」,問題與研究 26, 11, 8:22-32。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 俞思念,崔啟明,1997,「俄羅斯私有化進程評析」,科學社會主義1:64-68。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 周家高,1994,「阿根廷政府以立法推動經濟改革」,環渤海經濟猓望6:46。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 宋曉平,1998,「1997年阿根廷經濟進一步恢復並獲得快速增長」,拉丁美洲研究 2:8-10。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 宋曉平,1996,「梅內姆的拉美洲經濟一體化思想和阿根廷的經濟發展」,拉丁美洲研究 4:19-23+46。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 宋曉平,2000,「阿根廷經濟政治形勢述評」,拉丁美洲研究 2:39-41。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 宋曉平,2002,「阿根廷陷入經濟和社會危機」,拉丁美洲研究 1:15-19。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張晶,1994,「俄羅斯通貨膨脹為何壓不下來?」,中國物價 6:22-24。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張磊,榮蓉,2002,「為什麼阿根廷的美元化進程最終失敗?」,中國外匯管理 11:14-15。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 方旭飛,2002,「阿根廷經濟形勢惡化的症結何在?」,拉丁美洲研究 1:20-25+64。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 智效和,1995,「俄羅斯國有企業私有化新階段的政策調整」,經濟科學 1:66-73。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 曉章,1995,「阿根廷的經濟改革與中阿關係」,拉丁美洲研究 6, 11:37-41。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 曹廷清,1996,「俄羅斯經濟形勢及未來前景淺析」,俄情雜誌 5, 5:5-13。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 朱曉中,1997,「俄羅斯與中東歐國家的外債問題」,東歐中亞研究 4:48-56。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李中海,2002,「俄羅斯外債:經濟增長背景下的隱憂」,東歐中亞研究 4:36-40。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李金紅,雷國新,2002,「制度分析的回歸與演進」,江西社會科學 9:5-8。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 歐陽承新,1995,「俄羅斯經濟改革困局的成因」,經濟前瞻 7:66-73。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 潘石,1995,「俄羅斯治理通貨膨脹的對策與績效評析 」,世界經濟 5:20-23。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王定士,2001,「俄羅斯金融寡頭在民主化與經濟改革的角色:1992-1999」,俄羅斯學報 1:11-60。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王承宗,1994,「俄羅斯經濟改革現況」,問題與研究 33, 7:11-27。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王承宗,1998,「俄羅斯經濟概況與發展前景」,問題與研究 37, 2:37-54+91。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王承宗,1988,「蘇聯共產黨第十九次黨代表會議研析」,問題與研究27, 12, 9:12-21。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王酈久,劉桂玲,蔣莉,2002,「普京要走經濟強國之路」,現代國際關係 4:3-8。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 畢英賢,1990,「蘇聯的民主化與政治體制改革」,問題與研究29, 7, 4:1-11。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 畢英賢,1989,「一九八八年蘇聯政經改革與難題」,問題與研究 28, 6, 3:20-22。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 盛世良,2003,「普京執政三年:成績、問題和前景」,當代世界與社會主義 1:82-86。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 羅文東,2002,「普京的改革思維」,企業改革與管理 10:37-38。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 薩公強,1993,「俄羅斯國營企業私有化述評」,問題與研究 32, 3:55-68。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 許新,2000,「普京經濟政策的第三條道路」,東歐中亞市場研究 3:3-8。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 許湘濤,1996,「俄羅斯的政治發展1990~1996」,問題與研究 35, 12:29-58。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 趙小姝,1999,「俄羅斯的外債」,東歐中亞市場研究 11:8-12。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 趙東波,2001,「俄羅斯私有化改革評析」,長白學刊1:79-81。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 趙龍庚,2002,「俄羅斯邁入普京新時代」,和平與發展 2:1-4。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳進安,1993,「阿根廷經濟概況」,中國商銀月刊 12, 2:1-5。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳進安,1996,「阿根廷經濟概況」,中國商銀月刊 12, 2:1-5。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陸南泉,2001,「俄羅斯努力擺脫外債困境」,瞭望 16:56-57。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 馬里歐·I·布萊赫爾,(2002)「搏擊金融風暴的斗士——阿根廷央行行長馬里奧•I•布萊赫爾」,銀行家6:122-125。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃星群,1994,「阿根廷經濟呈穩定上升趨勢」,拉丁美洲研究 1:42-45。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 三. 論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王宗德,2003,捷克與斯洛伐克經濟體制轉型比較(1990-2001),嘉義:私立南華大學歐洲研究所。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王金雄,1998,論俄羅斯的聯邦經濟改革,台北:國立大學俄羅斯研究所。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張瀚心,2001,IMF的援俄計劃與俄羅斯政經發展關係之研究 (1992-1999),台北:國立政治大學俄羅斯研究所。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 四. 報紙zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 大紀元 (6 August 2002), http://www.epochtimes.com/b5/2/8/6/n206607.htm.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 俄羅斯報 (23 Jan. 1993): 3。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 俄羅斯報 (26 Jan. 1994)。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 「俄最新統計數字顯示:居民收入增長速度加快」,俄羅斯龍報,http://www.rulb.com/e-10-81.htm。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 「俄羅斯全力阻止盧布下滑貶」,經濟日報 (29 Aug. 1998), http://udndata.com/library。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 「普京的俄羅斯復興之夢」,新華社 (9 June 2003), http://big5.xinhuanet.com/gate/big5/news.xinhuanet.com/world/2003-06/09/content_910684.htm。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 「當前俄羅斯經濟分析」,今日經濟季刊 327, 9 (1998), http://www.moea.gov.tw/~ecobook/ecotoday/et372/b6.htm。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 五. 網站zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 「阿根廷經濟部長宣佈新的經濟振興方案」,國際貿易局即時商情,http://www.trade.gov.tw/trade2002/trade_type_list.asp。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 「當前俄羅斯經濟分析」,今日經濟季刊 327, 9 (1998), http://www.moea.gov.tw/~ecobook/ecotoday/et372/b6.htm。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 楊偉中,「誰該為阿根廷危機負責」, http://linkage.ngo.org.tw/worldeconomic&glbalization/globalization/agitinacrisis.htm。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 楊麗明,「阿經濟不振十余年」,人民網 (21 Dec. 2001), http://www.people.com.cn/BIG5/guoji/23/88/20011221/632141.html。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 英文參考書目zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一. 書籍zh_TW
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dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Sachs, Jeffrey D. 1990. Developing Country Debt and Economic Performance Vol.2 Country Studies: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Mexico. USA: Chicago University Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Smith, Gordon B. 1992. Soviet Politics: Struggling with Change. Hampshire: Macmillan.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Steele, Jonathan. 1994. Eternal Russian: Yeltsin, Gorbachev, and the Mirage of Democracy. USA: Harvard University Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Tedesco, Laura. 1999. Democracy in Argentina: Hope and Disillusion. London: FRANK CASS Publishers.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Tulchin, Joseph S. with Allison M. Garland. 1998. Argentina: the Challenges of Modernization. USA: S.R. Books.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Valdivieso, Luis M. 1998. Macroeconomic Development in the Baltics, Russian and Other Countries of the Former Soviet Union, 1992-1997. Washington DC: IMF.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) White, Stephen, Alex Pravda, and Zvi Gitelman. 2001. Developments in Russian Politics 5. Durham: Duke University Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Winiecki, Jan. 1991. Resistance to Change in Soviet Economic System:a Property Right Approach. London: Routledge.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 二. 期刊zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Aslund, Andres. 1989. “Soviet and Chinese Reforms--Why They Must Be Different.” The World Today, 45(11): 188-191.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Brus, Wlodzimierz. 1993. “Marketization and Democratization: the Sino-Soviet Divergence.” Cambridge Journal of Economics, 17(4): 423-440.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dehejia, Vivek H. 1996. “Shock Therapy VS. Gradualism.” Easter Economic Journal, 22(4): 425-431.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Fischer, Stanley, Ratna Sahay, and Carlos A. Vegh. 1996. “Stabilization and Growth in Transition Economies: The Early Experience.” Journal of Economic Perspective 10(2): 67-86.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gomulka, Stanislaw. 1995. “The IMF-Supported Programs of Poland and Russia, 1990-1994: Principles, Errors, and Results.” Journal of Comparative Economics, 20: 316-346.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) McKinnon, Ronald I. 1994. “Gradual versus Liberalization in Socialist Economics.” In Proceedings of the World Bank Annual Conference on Development Economics. Washington, D.C.: The World Bank.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Slay, Ben. 1994. “Rapid versus Gradual Economic Transition.” RFE/RL Research Report, 3(31): 31-42.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wu, Yu-Shan and Tsai-Wei Sun. 1998. “Four Faces of Vietnamese Communism: Small Countries’ Institutional Choice under Hegemony.” Communist and Post-Communist Studies, 31(4): 381-399.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 三. 網站zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bank of Finland. 2003. “Russian Economy: The Month in Review 6.2003. ” (http://www.bof.fi/bofit/fin/4ruec/pdf03/ruec0603.pdf).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Camdessus, Michael. 1998. “Russian and the IMF: Meeting the Challenges of an Emerging Market and Transition Economy.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/speeches/1998/040198.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Camdessus, Michael. 1999. “Russian: In Search of a Vision to Revitalize Reform.” (http://www.imf.org/externail/np/speeches/1999/061699.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Camdessus, Michael. 1995. “Russian’s Transformation Efforts at a Turning Point.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/mds/1995/mds9505.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Camdessus, Michel . 1996. “Russia: Stabilization and Reform.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/mds/1996/mds9604.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Camdessus, Michel. 1995. “IMF Approves Stand-by Credit for Russia.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/1995/pr9521.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Camdessus, Michel. 1999. “IMF`s Camdessus Reviews Status of Russian Program.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/nb/1999/nb9981.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Graham, Carol and Masson, Paul. 2003. “Between Politics and Economics: The IMF and Argentina.” (http://content.ebsco.com/fulltext.asp?wasp=e2wlyjyhlg2p69xrkc3u&ext=.pdf).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) IMF, 1998. “Russian Authorities and IMF Reach Understandings on 1998 Economic Policy Statement.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/nb/1998/nb9820.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) IMF, 1999. “Argentina Policy Memorandum.” (http://www.imf.org/external/NP/LOI/1999/011199.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) IMF, 1999. “IMF Approves Stand-By Credit for Russia.” (http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/1999/pr9935.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) IMF, 2003, “Russian Federation: Statistical Appendix.” (http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2003/cr03145.pdf).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jei Corporation, “Daily Russian Roubles Rate against US Dollar.” Jei Corporation Home Page. (http://www.jeico.com/cnc57rus.html).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Latin Focus, (http://www.latin-focus.com/countries/argentina/argeisum.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Latin Focus, (http://www.latin-focus.com/spanish/countries/argentina/arginter.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Latin Focus, (http://www.latin-focus.com/spanish/countries/argentina/argeiexternal.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Latin Focus, (http://www.latin-focus.com/countries/argentina/argeisum.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mahon, James E. Jr., and Javier Corrales. 2002. “Pegged for Failure? Argentina’s Crisis.” (http://content.ebsco.com/fulltext.asp?wasp=e2wlyjyhlg2p69xrkc3u&ext=.pdf).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Millar, James R. 2000. “Can Putin Jump-Start Russian’s Stalled Economy?” (http://content.ebsco.com/fulltext.asp?wasp=lp3lyjygvn31btm3ng86&ext=.pdf).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Millar, James R. “The Russian Economy: Putin’s Pause.” (http://content.ebsco.com/fulltext.asp?wasp=56we0cgmeg4vww4b0v56&ext=.pdf).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Political Database of the Americas, (http://www.georgetown.edu/pdba/Elecdata/Arg/cong83.html).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Political Database of the Americas, (http://www.georgetown.edu/pdba/Elecdata/Arg/cong85.html).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Political Database of the Americas, (http://www.georgetown.edu/pdba/Elecdata/Arg/cong89.html).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Political Database of America, (http://www.georgetown.edu/pdba/Elecdata/Arg/Pres99.html).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Starr, Pamela K. 2003. “Argentina: Anatomy of a Crisis Foretold.” (http://content.ebsco.com/fulltext.asp?wasp=3duf6u8j3d4quk5a68fk&ext=.pdf).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) World Bank, “World Bank Approves First-Ever Policy Based Guarantee For $US250 million to Argentina.” (http://www.worldbank.org).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) World Bank, (http://www.worldbank.org/htm/extdr/offrep/lac/ar2.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) World Bank, “Statistical Appendix: External Liabilities and Assets,” (http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/gdf2003/statappendix/externalliabilitiesandassets.pdf).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 俄文與西班牙文部分zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一. 書籍zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Basualdo, Eduardo, Mirta Botzman, Teresa Doti, Roberto Feletti, Beatriz Fontana, Marcela Jauregui, Artemio Lopez y Claudio Lozano. 1991. Panorama Previo a las Elecciones de 1991-“La Evolucio□n del Plan Cavallo (1991選舉預景-卡瓦洛計劃的演進). ” Bs. As.: Universidad de Buenos Aires.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cavallo, Domingo. 1997. El Peso de la Verdad- Un Impulso a la Tranferencia en la Argentina de los 90 (真實的披索-一個90年代推動阿根廷移動的動力). Bs. As.: Planeta.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chudnovsky, Daniel. 1996. Los Limites de la Apertura (開放的限度). Bs. As.: Alianza Editorial.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Conesa, Eduardo. 2000. Que□ Pasa en la Economi□a Argentina (阿根廷的經濟怎麼了). Bs. As.: Ed.Macchi.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) De la Balze, Feipe A.M. 1993. Reforma y Convergencia Ensayos sobre la Transfomacio□n de la Economi□a Argentina (改革與匯集阿根廷經濟轉型試驗). Bs. As.: Editiones Manantial SRL.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Fundación de Investigaciones Economicas Latinoamericanas. Consejo Empresario Argentino. 1991. Argentina: La Reforma Econo□mica 1989-1991 Balance y Perspectives (阿根廷:1989-1991經濟改革平衡與遠景). Bs. As.: Editiones Manantial SRL.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Iazzetta, Osvaldo. 1996. Las Privatizaciones en Brasil y Argentina: una Aproximacio□n desde la Te□cnica y la Poli□tica (巴西與阿根廷的私有化:方法與政治概論). Rosario: Homo Sapiens Ediciones.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mednikov, V. V. & Т. А. Makhovikova. 1997. Ekonomika Rossii Put□ Reforma 1917-1995gg (俄羅斯1917-1995年經濟改革). Sankt-Peterburg: Sankt-Peterburgskii Universitet Ekonomiki i Finansov.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Muchnik, Daniel. 1998. Argentina Modelo : de la Furia a la Resignacion- Economia y Politica entre 1973-1998 (阿根廷模式:從狂暴到屈服~1973年到1998年之間的經濟與政治). Buenos Aires: Manantial SRL.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Nhaux, Enrique. 1993. Menem-Cavallo: el Poder Mediterraneo (美能─卡瓦落:地中海的勢力). Buenos Aires: Corregidor.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Schuarzer, Jorge. 1996. La Industria que Supimos Conseguir (在我們認知下可尋得的產業). Bs. As. : Ed. Planeta.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Vasena, Adalbert Krieger. 1998. La Economi□a Argentina en la De□cada de 90 Perspectiva para el Siglo XXI (阿根廷90年代的經濟與對21世紀的遠景). Bs. As.: Academia Nacional de Ciencias Economicas.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 二. 期刊zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ekonomika i Zhizni (經濟與生活), 14(1993).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Voprosy Ekonomiki (經濟問題), 4(1992).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 三. 報紙zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Clarín, 27 May 1984, p. 2.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Clarín, 2000. “Apoyo del FMI al plan, en el momento justo (國際貨幣基金會對計劃的支持,在正好的時間點上)” 17 May (http://old.clarin.com/diario/2000/05/17/e-00315.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Clarín, 2002. 7 January (http://old.clarin.com/diario/2002/01/07/index_diario.html).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Izvestiya, 23 Dec. 1995, p. 4.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Rossiiskaya Gazeta, 15 Dec. 1991.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Rossiiskaya Gazeta, 5 May 1993, p. 3.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 四. 網站zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1999 Russian Parliament Election Results, (www.rferl.org/elections/russia99results/index.html).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bank Rossii (俄羅斯銀行), various issues, (http://www.cbr.ru/main.asp).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) CEI, Centro de Economía International Home Page (國際經濟中心) (http://cei.mrecic.gov.ar/html/estadistica.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) ECONOLINK, (http://www.econolink.com.ar/).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Escudé, Carlos, Andrés Cisneros. 2000. “Historia de las Relaciones Exteriores Argentinas-Capítulo 55 - Endeudamiento externo y crisis económica (1983-1989) (阿根廷對外歷史-55章-國內債務與經濟危機(1983-1989)).” (http://www.argentina-rree.com/11/11-075.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Escudé, Carlos, Andrés Cisneros. 2000. “Historia de las Relaciones Exteriores Argentinas-Capítulo 55 - Endeudamiento externo y crisis económica (1983-1989).” (http://www.argentina-rree.com/11/11-076.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Escudé, Carlos, Andrés Cisneros. 2000. “Historia de las Relaciones Exteriores Argentinas-Capítulo 55 - Endeudamiento externo y crisis económica (1983-1989).” (http://www.argentina-rree.com/11/11-080.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mira, Pablo. 2002. “Los Hechos de la Convertibilidad: Mitos y Realidades (匯率政策的成果:神話與現實).” (http://www.lainsignia.org/2002/noviembre/ibe_126.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) ODG, “Síntesis de la Evolucio□n de la Deuda Externa Argentina (阿根廷外債演進概論).” (http://www.redisseny.debtwatch.org/cast/docs/observatoris/psud/evolucion_deuda_arg1.pdf).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) ODG, Observatorio de la Deuda en la Globalizacio□n Home Page (全球外債的觀察). 2002. “Base de Datos sobre Argentina (阿根廷基本資料).” (http://www.redisseny.debtwatch.org/cast/observatorios/psud/continguts/argentina.xls).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) ODG, Observatorio de la Deuda en la Globalizacio□n Home Page (全球外債的觀察). (http://www.debtwatch.org/cast/).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Teijerio, Mario. “Una Vez Mas, la Política Fiscal (又再一次,財政赤字).” CISLE-Centro de Investigaciones Sobre la Libre Empresa, A.C., (http://www.cisle.org.mx/Publicaciones/politicafiscal.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Todo lo que Quiere Saber sobre Argentina (所有你想知道有關於阿根廷的事), (http://www.todo-argentina.net/historia/democracia/menem/index.htm).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Vybory (選擇) 1999-2000, (http://www.nns.ru/Elect-99).zh_TW