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題名 喬治亞(2003)、烏克蘭(2004)與吉爾吉斯(2005)政權替換之研究
A Study of Regime Change in Georgia(2003), Ukraine(2004) and Kyrgyzstan(2005)
作者 王正廷
Wang, Cheng Ting
貢獻者 林永芳
Lin, Yung Fang
王正廷
Wang, Cheng Ting
關鍵詞 政權替換
競爭選舉
喬治亞
烏克蘭
吉爾吉斯
regime change
competitive election
Georgia
Ukraine
Kyrgyzstan
日期 2007
上傳時間 17-Sep-2009 17:43:33 (UTC+8)
摘要 本文目的在於探討喬治亞、烏克蘭與吉爾吉斯等三國，其政權替換的經過。政權替換為什麼會發生？這三個國家政權替換發生的情況有何不同？而反對勢力又是如何出現？一些共同的成功因素在個別國家有無程度上的不同？經由文獻回顧，作者指出這一波政權替換發生的主要因素：選舉競爭性的來源、反對勢力與政權正當性危機的出現、外國影響與獲得資訊能力。

本文認為這三個國家在面臨不同的背景條件與政治環境之下，透過選舉的舉行，使各個國家出現不同的反對勢力起源，形成對當權者的挑戰。而選舉舞弊造成統治者的正當性危機，加上在不同程度的資訊獲得能力影響下的群眾示威，導致政權危在旦夕。最後，示威群眾的策略與統治者的個人決斷，促成了政權替換。
The purpose of this study is to explore the process of regime change in Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan. Why did regime change happen? What are the differences between these three cases? How did the opposition emerge? Did the common factors of successful regime change have varied degree in each country? Through a literature review, the author points out the main factors of this wave of regime change: the source of election competitiveness, the emergence of opposition vis-à-vis the regime legitimacy crisis, and foreign influence of information accessibility.

The thesis argues that the elections held in these three countries with different backgrounds and political environments contributed to various origins of opposition forces against the authorities. Electoral frauds led to the crisis of regime legitimacy. In addition, under the influence of different level of information accessibility, public demonstration put the ruling regime into an imminent crisis. Finally, the strategies of mass protest and the incumbents’ decisions resulted in regime change.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
俄羅斯研究所
94263005
96
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094263005
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 林永芳zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Lin, Yung Fangen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 王正廷zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Wang, Cheng Tingen_US
dc.creator (作者) 王正廷zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Wang, Cheng Tingen_US
dc.date (日期) 2007en_US
dc.date.accessioned 17-Sep-2009 17:43:33 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 17-Sep-2009 17:43:33 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 17-Sep-2009 17:43:33 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0094263005en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33625-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 俄羅斯研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94263005zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 96zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文目的在於探討喬治亞、烏克蘭與吉爾吉斯等三國，其政權替換的經過。政權替換為什麼會發生？這三個國家政權替換發生的情況有何不同？而反對勢力又是如何出現？一些共同的成功因素在個別國家有無程度上的不同？經由文獻回顧，作者指出這一波政權替換發生的主要因素：選舉競爭性的來源、反對勢力與政權正當性危機的出現、外國影響與獲得資訊能力。

本文認為這三個國家在面臨不同的背景條件與政治環境之下，透過選舉的舉行，使各個國家出現不同的反對勢力起源，形成對當權者的挑戰。而選舉舞弊造成統治者的正當性危機，加上在不同程度的資訊獲得能力影響下的群眾示威，導致政權危在旦夕。最後，示威群眾的策略與統治者的個人決斷，促成了政權替換。		zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The purpose of this study is to explore the process of regime change in Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan. Why did regime change happen? What are the differences between these three cases? How did the opposition emerge? Did the common factors of successful regime change have varied degree in each country? Through a literature review, the author points out the main factors of this wave of regime change: the source of election competitiveness, the emergence of opposition vis-à-vis the regime legitimacy crisis, and foreign influence of information accessibility.

The thesis argues that the elections held in these three countries with different backgrounds and political environments contributed to various origins of opposition forces against the authorities. Electoral frauds led to the crisis of regime legitimacy. In addition, under the influence of different level of information accessibility, public demonstration put the ruling regime into an imminent crisis. Finally, the strategies of mass protest and the incumbents’ decisions resulted in regime change.		en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論..................................................................................................................1
第一節 研究動機與目的......................................................................................2
第二節 研究範圍、研究途徑與研究方法、研究限制..........................................3
第三節 文獻述評................................................................................................12
第四節 研究架構與章節安排............................................................................20

第二章 政治競爭：選舉與政治環境..........................................................................29
第一節 喬治亞的競爭選舉................................................................................29
第二節 烏克蘭的競爭選舉................................................................................36
第三節 吉爾吉斯的競爭選舉............................................................................46
第四節 小結........................................................................................................52

第三章 政治競爭性的改變與政權替換....................................................................54
第一節 喬治亞：多數執政黨的分裂..................................................................54第二節 烏克蘭：議會政黨光譜的兩極化..........................................................62
第三節 吉爾吉斯：地方氏族勢力的反撲..........................................................72
第四節 小結........................................................................................................77

第四章 群眾動員：選舉舞弊與獲得資訊能力..........................................................79
第一節 選舉舞弊與媒體環境............................................................................79
第二節 獨立媒體的角色....................................................................................84
第三節 外國影響的作用....................................................................................89
第四節 小結........................................................................................................96

第五章 結論................................................................................................................99
第一節 研究發現................................................................................................99
第二節 未來研究議題......................................................................................103

參考文獻....................................................................................................................108		zh_TW
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dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094263005en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 政權替換zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 競爭選舉zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 喬治亞zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 烏克蘭zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 吉爾吉斯zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) regime changeen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) competitive electionen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Georgiaen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Ukraineen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Kyrgyzstanen_US
dc.title (題名) 喬治亞(2003)、烏克蘭(2004)與吉爾吉斯(2005)政權替換之研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) A Study of Regime Change in Georgia(2003), Ukraine(2004) and Kyrgyzstan(2005)en_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
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