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題名 上市公司本益比與盈餘管理關聯性之研究
作者 鄭巧枚
Jeng, Chaio-May
貢獻者 郭弘卿
Kuo, Horng-Ching
鄭巧枚
Jeng, Chaio-May
關鍵詞 本益比
盈餘管理
Price-Earnings Ratio
Earnings Management
日期 2005
上傳時間 18-Sep-2009 09:11:33 (UTC+8)
摘要 本益比有資訊內涵存在 (Basu , 1977),為投資人做投資決策時所廣泛使用。Lev (1992) 認為,本益比發生變動,或是公司本益比與產業平均數存在持續性差異,即顯示公司價值有錯誤評價之可能,因此,本研究將樣本分為三組,透過迴歸分析探討83年至90年間上市公司中,本益比持續性地高於(低於)產業平均數的公司,是否進行盈餘管理,以及相較於其他公司,其盈餘持續性與價格攸關性如何。研究結果發現,本益比持續性地高於產業平均數的公司,其盈餘管理行為並不明顯;本益比持續性地低於產業平均數的公司,確實會進行盈餘管理,使得盈餘持續性較差,但有較好的盈餘價值攸關性。
There are information in Price-Earnings(PE) ratio so that many investors use it for making decisions. Changing in PE ratio , or PE ratio different from the average of industry over time ,will suggest to managers the possibility of misvaluation. Therefore, the study divides the samples to three parts, using regression analysis to investigate if the firms with PE ratio continuously higher (or lower) than the industry average number will use managerial discretion to proceed earnings management. Besides, comparing to other firms, the two sample companies will have what kinds of characteristics of earnings .
The result indicate that the firms with PE ratio higher than industry average number, their earnings management behavior is not obvious. On the contrary, the firms with PE ratio lower than industry average number indeed proceed earnings management, inducing worse earnings persistence and better value relevance of earnings.
參考文獻 ㄧ、中文部分
王脩斐,1996,盈餘管理偵測模型之評估,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。
祝豪傑,1998,台灣上市公司益本比與超額報酬關係之研究,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。
連靜仙,1993,新上市公司盈餘管理之研究,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。
吳貞樺,2000,新上市公司上市前後盈餘管理與蜜月期異常報酬之探討,國立中正大學財務金融系未出版碩士論文。
吳家宜,2000,股利政策與盈餘品質關聯性之研究,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。
莊雅惠,2004,盈餘時間型態、盈餘品質與股價關聯性之研究,天主教輔仁大學會計系未出版碩士論文。
張文瀞,2003,本益比變動與盈餘管理,當代會計,第四卷第一期(5月):29-56。
張文瀞、周玲臺、林修葳,2003,內部人持股連續變動公司之盈餘管理行為特性,會計評論,第37期(7月):53-83。
張至善,2001,首度上市公司盈餘管理與股價關聯性之研究,國立政治大學企業管理系未出版碩士論文。
張智怡,2001,公司成長機會、高階經理人獎酬與盈餘管理之關聯性研究,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。
黃浩平,1995,影響台灣上市公司益本比與市場價值因素之研究,國立政治大學企業管理系未出版碩士論文。
游正雍,2000,本益比效應實證研究,貨幣觀測與信用平等,第22期(3月):34-37。
游升志,1999,以本益比法預測股價之實證研究。國立暨南國際大學經濟系未出版碩士論文。
楊陳松,1997,盈餘與股價關係模型之比較研究,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。
劉敏欣,1995,上市公司應計項目與盈餘操縱及股票報酬關聯性之研究,國立台灣大學會計系未出版碩士論文。
劉博文,1996,盈餘品質分析法,國立政治大學財務管理學系未出版碩士論文。
劉賢修,1994,應計項目操縱對盈餘反應係數之實證研究,國立台灣大學會計系未出版碩士論文。
謝秋華,2002,透過本益比之相對Mean-reverting現象進行盈餘管理模型之評比,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。
韓孝君,1995,本益比:會計盈餘及現金流量,國立中正大學會計系未出版碩士論文。
二、英文部分
Ajinkya , B. , and M. Gift.1984. Corporate managements’ earnings forecasts and symmetrical adjustments of market expectations. Journal of Accounting Research 22(Autumn) : 425-444.
Ball, R., and P. Brown. 1968. An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers. Journal of Accounting Research 6 (Autumn) : 159-178.
Basu , S. 1977. Investment performance of common stock in relation to their price-earnings ratios: a test of the efficient market hypothesis. Journal of Finance 32: 663-682.
Basu , S. 1983. The relationship between earnings’ yield ,market value and return for NYSE common stocks: further evidence. Journal of Financial Economics 12:129-156.
Bartov, E., F. A. Gul, and J.S.L. Tusi.2001.Discretionary-accruals models and audit qualifications. Journal of Accounting and Economic 30 : 421-452.
Beaver, W. H. 1970.The time series behavior of earnings. Journal of Accounting Research 8(June/September) :319-346.
Beaver, W. H. and D. Morse. 1978. What determines price-earnings ratios? Financial Analysts Journal 34 (July-August) : 65-76.
Bernstein, L. 1993. Financial Statement Analysis. 5th ed. Homewood, IL: Irwin.
Collins, D., M. Pincus and H. Xie. 1999. Equity valuation and negative earnings: the role of book value of equity. The Accounting Review 74(January) : 29-61.
DeAngelo, L E.1986.Accounting number as market valuation substitutes : study of management buyouts of public stockholders. The Accounting Review 61(July) : 400-420.
Dechow, P.M., and R. Sioan.1991.Executive incentives and the horizon problem: an empirical investigation. Journal of Accounting and Economics14:51-89.
DeFond, M., and J. Jiambalvo . 1994. Debt covenant violation and the manipulation of accruals. Journal of Accounting & Economics 17 (January):145-176.
Degeorge, F., J. Patel, and R. Zeckhauser.1999.Earnings management to exceed thresholds. Journal of Business 72:1-33.
Easton,P.1998.Discussion:Valuation of permanent,transitory,and price-irrelevant components of reported earnings. Journal of Accounting , Auditing and Finance: 337-349.
Freeman, R., J. Ohlson, and S. Penman. 1982. Book rate-of-return and prediction of earnings changes: an empirical investigation. Journal of Accounting Research 20 (Autumn):3-42.
Healy , P. M. 1985. The impact of bonus schemes on the selection of accounting principles. Journal of Accounting & Economics 7 : 85-107 .
Healy ,P.M.,and J.M. Wahlen.1999. A review of the earnings management literature and its implications for standard setting. Accounting Horizons 13 (December):1-11.
Jones, J.1991.Earnings management during import relief investigations. Journal of Accounting Research (Autumn):193-228.
Kormendi, R., and R.Lipe.1987. Earnings innovation, earnings persistence, and stock return . Journal of Business 60:323-345.
Lev, B.1992.Information disclosure strategy. California Management Review
(Summer):9-32.
Penman, S. H. 2001. Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill.
Penman, S. H., and X. J. Zhang. 2002. Accounting conservatism, the quality of earnings, and stock returns .The Accounting Review 77(Aprial):237-264.
Sloan,R.1996.Do stock prices fully reflect information in accruals and cash flows about future earnings? The Accounting Review 71(July):289-315.
Subramanyam,K.R.1996.The pricing of discretionary accruals. Journal of Accounting & Economics 22:249-281.
Watts,R.and J.Zimmerman.1986.Positive Accounting Theory.Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs ,NJ.
Xie,H.2001. The mispricing of abcdrmal accruals. The Accounting Review76(July):357-3
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
會計研究所
92353018
94
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923530181
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 郭弘卿zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Kuo, Horng-Chingen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 鄭巧枚zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Jeng, Chaio-Mayen_US
dc.creator (作者) 鄭巧枚zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Jeng, Chaio-Mayen_US
dc.date (日期) 2005en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-Sep-2009 09:11:33 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-Sep-2009 09:11:33 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-Sep-2009 09:11:33 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0923530181en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/34269-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 會計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92353018zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本益比有資訊內涵存在 (Basu , 1977),為投資人做投資決策時所廣泛使用。Lev (1992) 認為,本益比發生變動,或是公司本益比與產業平均數存在持續性差異,即顯示公司價值有錯誤評價之可能,因此,本研究將樣本分為三組,透過迴歸分析探討83年至90年間上市公司中,本益比持續性地高於(低於)產業平均數的公司,是否進行盈餘管理,以及相較於其他公司,其盈餘持續性與價格攸關性如何。研究結果發現,本益比持續性地高於產業平均數的公司,其盈餘管理行為並不明顯;本益比持續性地低於產業平均數的公司,確實會進行盈餘管理,使得盈餘持續性較差,但有較好的盈餘價值攸關性。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) There are information in Price-Earnings(PE) ratio so that many investors use it for making decisions. Changing in PE ratio , or PE ratio different from the average of industry over time ,will suggest to managers the possibility of misvaluation. Therefore, the study divides the samples to three parts, using regression analysis to investigate if the firms with PE ratio continuously higher (or lower) than the industry average number will use managerial discretion to proceed earnings management. Besides, comparing to other firms, the two sample companies will have what kinds of characteristics of earnings .
The result indicate that the firms with PE ratio higher than industry average number, their earnings management behavior is not obvious. On the contrary, the firms with PE ratio lower than industry average number indeed proceed earnings management, inducing worse earnings persistence and better value relevance of earnings.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論……………………………………………………………...1
第一節 研究動機與目的………………………………………………...1
第二節 研究問題………………………………………………………...3
第三節 研究架構與流程………………………………………………...4

第二章 文獻探討………………………………………………………...6
第一節 盈餘管理之相關文獻…………………………………………...6
第二節 盈餘品質之相關文獻………………………............... 11
第三節 本益比之相關文獻....................................15

第三章 研究方法. ……………………………………………………..19
第一節 觀念性架構…………………………………………………….19
第二節 研究假說……………………………………………………….19
第三節 變數之衡量與定義…………………………………………….22
第四節 樣本選取、研究期間與資料來源…………………………….25
第五節 資料分析方法………………………………………………….28

第四章 實證結果……………………………………………………….33
第一節 敘述性統計及績效變化分析………………………………….33
第二節 相關係數檢定.......................................42
第三節 盈餘管理之特性.....................................49

第五章 結論、研究限制與建議
第一節 研究結論.......................................60
第二節 研究限制.......................................61
第三節 後續研究建議...................................62

參考文獻……………………..………………………………………….63
zh_TW
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923530181en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 本益比zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 盈餘管理zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Price-Earnings Ratioen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Earnings Managementen_US
dc.title (題名) 上市公司本益比與盈餘管理關聯性之研究zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) ㄧ、中文部分zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王脩斐,1996,盈餘管理偵測模型之評估,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 祝豪傑,1998,台灣上市公司益本比與超額報酬關係之研究,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 連靜仙,1993,新上市公司盈餘管理之研究,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳貞樺,2000,新上市公司上市前後盈餘管理與蜜月期異常報酬之探討,國立中正大學財務金融系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳家宜,2000,股利政策與盈餘品質關聯性之研究,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 莊雅惠,2004,盈餘時間型態、盈餘品質與股價關聯性之研究,天主教輔仁大學會計系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張文瀞,2003,本益比變動與盈餘管理,當代會計,第四卷第一期(5月):29-56。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張文瀞、周玲臺、林修葳,2003,內部人持股連續變動公司之盈餘管理行為特性,會計評論,第37期(7月):53-83。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張至善,2001,首度上市公司盈餘管理與股價關聯性之研究,國立政治大學企業管理系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張智怡,2001,公司成長機會、高階經理人獎酬與盈餘管理之關聯性研究,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃浩平,1995,影響台灣上市公司益本比與市場價值因素之研究,國立政治大學企業管理系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 游正雍,2000,本益比效應實證研究,貨幣觀測與信用平等,第22期(3月):34-37。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 游升志,1999,以本益比法預測股價之實證研究。國立暨南國際大學經濟系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 楊陳松,1997,盈餘與股價關係模型之比較研究,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 劉敏欣,1995,上市公司應計項目與盈餘操縱及股票報酬關聯性之研究,國立台灣大學會計系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 劉博文,1996,盈餘品質分析法,國立政治大學財務管理學系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 劉賢修,1994,應計項目操縱對盈餘反應係數之實證研究,國立台灣大學會計系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 謝秋華,2002,透過本益比之相對Mean-reverting現象進行盈餘管理模型之評比,國立政治大學會計系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 韓孝君,1995,本益比:會計盈餘及現金流量,國立中正大學會計系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 二、英文部分zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ajinkya , B. , and M. Gift.1984. Corporate managements’ earnings forecasts and symmetrical adjustments of market expectations. Journal of Accounting Research 22(Autumn) : 425-444.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ball, R., and P. Brown. 1968. An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers. Journal of Accounting Research 6 (Autumn) : 159-178.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Basu , S. 1977. Investment performance of common stock in relation to their price-earnings ratios: a test of the efficient market hypothesis. Journal of Finance 32: 663-682.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Basu , S. 1983. The relationship between earnings’ yield ,market value and return for NYSE common stocks: further evidence. Journal of Financial Economics 12:129-156.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bartov, E., F. A. Gul, and J.S.L. Tusi.2001.Discretionary-accruals models and audit qualifications. Journal of Accounting and Economic 30 : 421-452.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Beaver, W. H. 1970.The time series behavior of earnings. Journal of Accounting Research 8(June/September) :319-346.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Beaver, W. H. and D. Morse. 1978. What determines price-earnings ratios? Financial Analysts Journal 34 (July-August) : 65-76.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bernstein, L. 1993. Financial Statement Analysis. 5th ed. Homewood, IL: Irwin.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Collins, D., M. Pincus and H. Xie. 1999. Equity valuation and negative earnings: the role of book value of equity. The Accounting Review 74(January) : 29-61.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) DeAngelo, L E.1986.Accounting number as market valuation substitutes : study of management buyouts of public stockholders. The Accounting Review 61(July) : 400-420.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dechow, P.M., and R. Sioan.1991.Executive incentives and the horizon problem: an empirical investigation. Journal of Accounting and Economics14:51-89.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) DeFond, M., and J. Jiambalvo . 1994. Debt covenant violation and the manipulation of accruals. Journal of Accounting & Economics 17 (January):145-176.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Degeorge, F., J. Patel, and R. Zeckhauser.1999.Earnings management to exceed thresholds. Journal of Business 72:1-33.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Easton,P.1998.Discussion:Valuation of permanent,transitory,and price-irrelevant components of reported earnings. Journal of Accounting , Auditing and Finance: 337-349.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Freeman, R., J. Ohlson, and S. Penman. 1982. Book rate-of-return and prediction of earnings changes: an empirical investigation. Journal of Accounting Research 20 (Autumn):3-42.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Healy , P. M. 1985. The impact of bonus schemes on the selection of accounting principles. Journal of Accounting & Economics 7 : 85-107 .zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Healy ,P.M.,and J.M. Wahlen.1999. A review of the earnings management literature and its implications for standard setting. Accounting Horizons 13 (December):1-11.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jones, J.1991.Earnings management during import relief investigations. Journal of Accounting Research (Autumn):193-228.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kormendi, R., and R.Lipe.1987. Earnings innovation, earnings persistence, and stock return . Journal of Business 60:323-345.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Lev, B.1992.Information disclosure strategy. California Management Reviewzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) (Summer):9-32.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Penman, S. H. 2001. Financial Statement Analysis and Security Valuation. New York, NY: McGraw-Hill.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Penman, S. H., and X. J. Zhang. 2002. Accounting conservatism, the quality of earnings, and stock returns .The Accounting Review 77(Aprial):237-264.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Sloan,R.1996.Do stock prices fully reflect information in accruals and cash flows about future earnings? The Accounting Review 71(July):289-315.zh_TW
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