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題名 企業海外擴張與風險之關聯性研究
作者 劉少縈
貢獻者 譚丹琪
劉少縈
日期 2002
上傳時間 8-Dec-2010 01:52:14 (UTC+8)
摘要   台灣加入WTO後,國際化已經成為不得不然的趨勢,企業國際多角化有的是為了求生存,有的是想降低成本以獲得更高的報酬,公司在海外擴張時雖享有規模經濟、範疇經濟、學習曲線、租稅利益、研發或製造的改進、建立組織優勢的好處,但好處不一定會實現,而且會面臨到不同國家間匯率風險、政治風險、文化差異、法令差異、資訊不對稱以及代理問題,所以企業在國際化時有收益也有成本,究竟國際化會使的公司營運風險上升或下降?是否有干擾變數會影響公司國際多角化與營運風險的關係,這是本研究要探討的主題。
       本研究在相關的文獻探討後,以公司的營運特性以及國際化策略兩個層面,來探討企業國際多角化與風險的關係,並提出6個假設,首先先看公司國際多角化與公司營運風險是否有相關,公司的負債比例和公司的營運風險是否為正向關係,再來看公司的負債比例、研發支出比例、到開發中國家投資比例、國際化涉入程度對公司國際化與營運風險之關係的影響。
       本研究以日本製造業有從事海外擴張活動的廠商為例,來進行實證研究,研究期間為1996年到2000年,去除貿易公司和資料不全的樣本,最後剩下288家廠商,資料分析方法是採回歸分析,以公司的資產報酬的變異作為迴歸分析的依變項,公司國際化程度、負債比例為自變項,而公司的研發支出比例、負債比例、到開發中國家投資的擴張程度、國際化涉入程度會與國際化程度有調節關係,公司規模與公司年齡為控制變數,來探討國際多角化與公司營運風險的關係。
       研究結果顯示公司的負債比例會增加公司的營運風險,這是因為公司的負債比例越高,破產風險越大,公司的營運風險也會增加,而公司的規模和年齡越大,公司的營運風險則越小,公司的負債比例會使得公司國際多角化對營運風險的影響降低,所以當公司的負債比例較多時,可以利用不同國家間匯率、租稅的差異,來達到減少利息支出或是節稅的效果。公司去開發中國家擴張的比例要適中,才能使公司國際化對營運風險的影響降到最小,如此利用彼此景氣循環的不同、產品及要素市場的差異,來增加公司營運彈性以及分散風險。而當企業在負債比例、到開發中國家投資比例為0的情況下,公司國際多角化對營運風險有正向的顯著影響。
參考文獻 中文文獻
1.于卓民,國際企業:環境與管理,台北:華泰出版社,民國89年9月。
2.王健聰,許溪南,〝台灣多國籍企業財務績效與財務特性之實證研究〞,國立成功大學學報第三十四卷人文社會篇,民國88年,頁143-165。
3.吳青松,國際企業管理:理論與實務,台北:智勝書局,民國88年。
4.曹殿宏,〝國際多角化對企業經營績效的影響研究〞,政治大學國際貿易研究所未出版碩士論文,民國83年6月。
5.陳昭維,〝企業對外投資與系統風險影響之研究〞,國立交通大學科技管理研究所未出版碩士論文,民國86年6月。
6.許勝武,〝美國單國籍與多國籍企業之財務績效、結構暨風險探討〞,國立成功大學會計研究所未出版碩士論文,民國90年6月。
7.廖芳群,〝多國籍與單國籍企業在財務績效暨風險之探討〞,國立成功大學會計研究所未出版碩士論文,民國86年6月。
8.鄭學淵,〝我國上市公司-多國籍與單國籍企業在財務績效暨風險之探討〞,國立成功大學會計研究所未出版碩士論文,民國89年6月。
英文文獻
1.Agmon, T., and Lessard, D. (1977). Investor recognition of corporate international diversification. Journal of Finance, 32:1049-1055.
2.Amit, R. and Wernerfelt, B. (1990). Why do firms reduce business risk? Academy of Management Review, 33: 520-533.
3.Barkema, H. G., Bell, John H. J. and Pennings, J. M. (1996). Foreign entry, cultural barriers, and learning. Strategic management Journal, 17: 151-161.
4.Bartov, E., Bodnar, G., and Kaul, A. (1996). Exchange rate variability and the riskiness of US multinational firms: evidence from the breakdown of Bretton Woods. Journal of Financial Economics, 42: 105-132.
5.Bane, W. T., and Neubauer, F. (1981). Diversification and the failure of new foreign activities, Strategic Management Journal, 2(3): 219-233.
6.Bowman, E. H. (1980). A risk/return paradox for strategic management. Sloan Management Review, 21: 17-31.
7.Burgman, Todd. (1996). An empirical examination of multinational capital structure. Journal of International Business Studies, 27: 553-70.
8.Campa, J. M. (1994). Multinational investment under uncertainty in the chemical processing industries, Journal of International Business studies, 3: 557-575.
9.Cave, R. E. (1982). Multinational enterprise and economic analysis. Cambridge University Press.
10.Cave, R.E. and Mehra, S. K. (1986). Competition in global Industries, Boston: Harvard Business School Press.
11.Collins, J. M. (1990). A market performance comparison of U.S. firms active in domestic, developed and developing country. Journal of International Business studies, 2: 271-287.
12.Czinkota, M. R., Rivoli, P., and Ronkainen, I .A. (1992). International Business, Chicago: Dryden Press.
13.Dumas, B., and Solnik, B. (1991). The world price of risk, Working paper, Group HEC.
14.Dunning, J. H. (1993). The Globalization of Business, New York: Routledge.
15.Eun, C., and Resnick B. (1988). Exchange rate uncertainty, forward contracts, and international portfolio selection. Journal of finance, 43:197-215.
16.Fatemi, A. M. (1984). Shareholders benefits from corporate international diversification, Journal of Finance, 39: 1325-1344.
17.Geringer, J., Beamish, P. and daCostra, R. (1989). Diversification strategy and internationalization: implications for MNE performance. Strategic Management Journal, 10: 109-119.
18.Hamel, Gary and Prahalad, C.K. (1985). Do you really have a global strategy? Harvard Business Review, 63(4): 139-148.
19.Hennart, J. F. (1988). A transaction costs theory of equity joint ventures, Strategic Management Journal, 9: 361-374.
20.Hughes, J., Logue, D., and Sweeney, R. (1975). Corporate international diversification and market assigned of risk and diversification, Journal of Financial and Quantitative analysis, 10: 627-637.
21.Killing, J. Peter. (1982). How to make a global joint venture work, Harvard Business Review, 60(3): 120-127.
22.Kim, W. C., and Mauborgne, R. A. (1988). Becoming an effective global competitor, Journal of Business Strategy, 9(1): 33-37.
23.Kim, W. C., Hwang P. and Burgers, W. P. (1993). Multinationals’ diversification and the risk-return trade-off, Strategic management Journal, 14: 275-286.
24.Kim, W. C., Hwang P. and Burgers, W. P. (1989). Global diversification strategy and corporate profit performance, Strategic management Journal, 10: 45-57.
25.Knight, F.H. (1921). Risk, Uncertainty, and Profit. Houghton Mifflin; reprint, Chicago: University of Chicago, 1971.
26.Kogut, B. (1985). Designing global strategies: profiting from operating flexibility, Sloan Management Review, 26: 27-38.
27.Kogut, B. (1988). Joint venture: Theoretical and empirical perspectives, Strategic Management Journal, 9: 319-332.
28.Kogut, Bruce and Kulatilaka, Nalin. (1994). Operating flexibility, global manufacturing, and the operating value of a multinational network. Management Science, 40(1): 123-135.
29.Kwok, Chuck C. Y. and Reeb, David M. (2000). Internationalization and firm risk: An upstream-downstream hypothesis, Journal of International Business Studies, 31(4): 611-629.
30.Kwok, Chuck C. Y., Reeb, David M. and Baek, H. Y. (1998). Systematic risk of the multinational corporation, Journal of International Business Studies, 29(2): 263-279.
31.Lane, H.W., and Hildebrand, T. (1990). How to survive in U.S. retail markets, Business Quarterly, 54(3): 62-66.
32.Lee, K. and Kwok, C. (1988). Multinational corporations vs. domestic corporations: international environmental factors and determinants of capital structure. Journal of international business studies, 19:195-217.
33.Lubatkin, M. (1983). Mergers and the performance of acquiring firm. Academy of Management Review, 8(2): 218-225.
34.Madura, Jeff. (1992). International Financial Management, 3rd edition, St. Paul, MN: West Publishing Company.
35.Mahajan, Arvind. (1990). Pricing risk of expropriation, Financial Management, 19:77-86.
36.McConnell, J. J. and Nantell, T. J. (1985). Corporate combinations and common stock returns: the case of joint ventures, Journal of Finance, 40(2): 519-536.
37.Michel, Allen and Shaked, Israel. (1986). Multinational corporations vs. domestic corporations: Financial performance and characteristics, Journal of International Business Studies, 18(3): 89-100.
38.Miller, J.C., and Pras, B. (1980). The effects of multinational and export diversification on the profit stability of US corporations, Southern Economic Journal, 46: 792-805.
39.Miles, R.E., and Snow, C.C. (1978). Organizational Strategy, Structure, and Process. New York: McGraw-Hill.
40.Miller, K. D., and Bromiley, P. (1990). Strategic risk and corporate performance: An analysis of alternative risk measures. Academy of management journal, 33: 756-79.
41.Miller, K. D. (1992). A Framework for integrated risk management in international business, Journal of international business studies, 2: 311-331.
42.Milliken, F. J. (1987). Three types of perceived uncertainty about the environment: State, effect, and response uncertainty. Academy of Management Review, 12: 133-43.
43.Mitchell, W., Shaver J. M., and Yeung B. (1992). Getting there in a global industry: Impacts on performance of changing international presence, Strategic Management Journal, 13: 419-432.
44.Mitchell, W., Shaver J. M., and Yeung, B. (1994). Foreign entrant survival and foreign market share: Canadian companies’ experience in United States medical sector markets. Strategic Management Journal, 15: 555-567.
45.Morck, R. and Yeung, B. (1991). Why investors value multinationality. Journal of Business, 64(2): 165-187.
46.Olusoga, S. A., (1993). Market Concentration Versus Marker Diversification and Internationalization:Implications for MNE Performance, International Marketing Review, 10(2): 40-59.
47.Palepu, K. (1985). Diversification strategy, profit performance, and the entropy measure. Strategic Management Journal, 6: 239-255.
48.Prahalad, C. K. (1976). Strategic choice in diversified MNCs, Harvard Business Review, 54(4): 67-78.
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53.Rugman, A. M. (1979). International diversify and the multinational enterprise. Lexington, MA: Lexington Books.
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56.Zaheer, S. (1995). Overcoming the liability of foreignness, Academy of Management Review, 38(2): 341-363.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營與貿易研究所
89351007
91
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#A2010000436
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 譚丹琪zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 劉少縈zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 劉少縈zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2002en_US
dc.date.accessioned 8-Dec-2010 01:52:14 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 8-Dec-2010 01:52:14 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 8-Dec-2010 01:52:14 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) A2010000436en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/48877-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營與貿易研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 89351007zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 91zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要)   台灣加入WTO後,國際化已經成為不得不然的趨勢,企業國際多角化有的是為了求生存,有的是想降低成本以獲得更高的報酬,公司在海外擴張時雖享有規模經濟、範疇經濟、學習曲線、租稅利益、研發或製造的改進、建立組織優勢的好處,但好處不一定會實現,而且會面臨到不同國家間匯率風險、政治風險、文化差異、法令差異、資訊不對稱以及代理問題,所以企業在國際化時有收益也有成本,究竟國際化會使的公司營運風險上升或下降?是否有干擾變數會影響公司國際多角化與營運風險的關係,這是本研究要探討的主題。
       本研究在相關的文獻探討後,以公司的營運特性以及國際化策略兩個層面,來探討企業國際多角化與風險的關係,並提出6個假設,首先先看公司國際多角化與公司營運風險是否有相關,公司的負債比例和公司的營運風險是否為正向關係,再來看公司的負債比例、研發支出比例、到開發中國家投資比例、國際化涉入程度對公司國際化與營運風險之關係的影響。
       本研究以日本製造業有從事海外擴張活動的廠商為例,來進行實證研究,研究期間為1996年到2000年,去除貿易公司和資料不全的樣本,最後剩下288家廠商,資料分析方法是採回歸分析,以公司的資產報酬的變異作為迴歸分析的依變項,公司國際化程度、負債比例為自變項,而公司的研發支出比例、負債比例、到開發中國家投資的擴張程度、國際化涉入程度會與國際化程度有調節關係,公司規模與公司年齡為控制變數,來探討國際多角化與公司營運風險的關係。
       研究結果顯示公司的負債比例會增加公司的營運風險,這是因為公司的負債比例越高,破產風險越大,公司的營運風險也會增加,而公司的規模和年齡越大,公司的營運風險則越小,公司的負債比例會使得公司國際多角化對營運風險的影響降低,所以當公司的負債比例較多時,可以利用不同國家間匯率、租稅的差異,來達到減少利息支出或是節稅的效果。公司去開發中國家擴張的比例要適中,才能使公司國際化對營運風險的影響降到最小,如此利用彼此景氣循環的不同、產品及要素市場的差異,來增加公司營運彈性以及分散風險。而當企業在負債比例、到開發中國家投資比例為0的情況下,公司國際多角化對營運風險有正向的顯著影響。
zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 謝詞
     目錄
     摘要
     第一章 緒論-----1
       第一節 研究背景和動機-----1
       第二節 研究問題與目的-----3
       第三節 研究流程-----4
     第二章 文獻探討-----5
       第一節 風險-----5
       第二節 企業國際化的好處和成本-----11
       第三節 國際化與風險相關性的實證文獻-----20
     第三章 研究設計與方法-----43
       第一節 研究架構-----43
       第二節 研究假說-----44
       第三節 樣本選擇-----49
       第四節 變數定義與衡量-----50
       第五節 資料分析方法-----53
     第四章 結果與分析-----54
       第一節 樣本基本描述-----54
       第二節 研究變數敘述性統計-----56
       第三節 國際化與風險的實證結果-----59
     第五章 結論與建議-----65
       第一節 研究結論-----65
       第二節 研究貢獻、研究限制及後續研究建議-----68
       第三節 管理意涵-----70
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#A2010000436en_US
dc.title (題名) 企業海外擴張與風險之關聯性研究zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1.于卓民,國際企業:環境與管理,台北:華泰出版社,民國89年9月。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2.王健聰,許溪南,〝台灣多國籍企業財務績效與財務特性之實證研究〞,國立成功大學學報第三十四卷人文社會篇,民國88年,頁143-165。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3.吳青松,國際企業管理:理論與實務,台北:智勝書局,民國88年。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4.曹殿宏,〝國際多角化對企業經營績效的影響研究〞,政治大學國際貿易研究所未出版碩士論文,民國83年6月。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5.陳昭維,〝企業對外投資與系統風險影響之研究〞,國立交通大學科技管理研究所未出版碩士論文,民國86年6月。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6.許勝武,〝美國單國籍與多國籍企業之財務績效、結構暨風險探討〞,國立成功大學會計研究所未出版碩士論文,民國90年6月。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7.廖芳群,〝多國籍與單國籍企業在財務績效暨風險之探討〞,國立成功大學會計研究所未出版碩士論文,民國86年6月。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8.鄭學淵,〝我國上市公司-多國籍與單國籍企業在財務績效暨風險之探討〞,國立成功大學會計研究所未出版碩士論文,民國89年6月。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 英文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1.Agmon, T., and Lessard, D. (1977). Investor recognition of corporate international diversification. Journal of Finance, 32:1049-1055.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2.Amit, R. and Wernerfelt, B. (1990). Why do firms reduce business risk? Academy of Management Review, 33: 520-533.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3.Barkema, H. G., Bell, John H. J. and Pennings, J. M. (1996). Foreign entry, cultural barriers, and learning. Strategic management Journal, 17: 151-161.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4.Bartov, E., Bodnar, G., and Kaul, A. (1996). Exchange rate variability and the riskiness of US multinational firms: evidence from the breakdown of Bretton Woods. Journal of Financial Economics, 42: 105-132.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5.Bane, W. T., and Neubauer, F. (1981). Diversification and the failure of new foreign activities, Strategic Management Journal, 2(3): 219-233.zh_TW
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