dc.contributor.advisor | 王國樑 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.advisor | Wang,kuo liang | en_US |
dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 陳勇安 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.author (Authors) | Chen,yong an | en_US |
dc.creator (作者) | 陳勇安 | zh_TW |
dc.creator (作者) | Chen,yong an | en_US |
dc.date (日期) | 2009 | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 9-Dec-2010 14:49:32 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.available | 9-Dec-2010 14:49:32 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 9-Dec-2010 14:49:32 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0097258011 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri (URI) | http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/49962 | - |
dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 經濟學系 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 97258011 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 98 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 本文目的為探討影響東亞九個經濟體(台灣、香港、韓國、中國、及東南亞國協五國─印尼、馬來西亞、菲律賓、新加坡、泰國)在國際旅遊觀光市場之相對競爭力的因素及利用國際旅遊觀光統計資料,透過三階段最小平方法(3SLS)及迴歸分析,分別針對東亞九個經濟體,探究相對價格、匯率及供給面變數,對其主要來源國家觀光客─美國、日本做實證分析。實證結果發現:(1) 如果旅遊目的為商務或探親,或者是以觀光團型態旅遊,則國際觀光客對於相對價格變動並不敏感。(2) 如果大部分在目的地國家的旅遊支出是以來源國家貨幣計價,則國際觀光客對於匯率變動並不敏感。(3) 供給面因素的確對經濟體之國際旅遊觀光市場佔有率具有決定性影響,然而其影響視來源國與各目的地國家之相關性而定。 | zh_TW |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 章節 頁次 第一章 緒論 1 第一節 研究動機與目的 1 第二節 研究內容 3 第三節 研究方法 4 第四節 章節安排 6第二章 理論模型 8第三章 資料說明與實證模型 12 第一節 樣本 12 第二節 變數 12 第三節 實證模型 15 第四節 預期實證結果 16第四章 實證結果 18 第一節 美國市場實證結果 18 第二節 日本市場實證結果 20第五章 結論 23參考文獻 25表格 實證結果 表1~表2 28圖次 圖1~圖7 30 | zh_TW |
dc.format.extent | 424487 bytes | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097258011 | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 國際旅遊 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 相對競爭力 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 三階段最小平方法 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Intrernational Tourism | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Relative Competitiveness | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 3SLS | en_US |
dc.title (題名) | 1987~2007年東亞國際旅遊競爭力研究 | zh_TW |
dc.title (題名) | A Study of International Tourism Competitiveness of East Asian Economies of 1987~2007 | en_US |
dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Artus, J. R. (1972). An Econometric Analysis of International Travel, International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, 19(3), 579-614. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Chu, F. L. (1993). Elasticities of Substitution in Pacific Rim Tourism, mimeo. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Crouch, G. I. (1992). Effects of Income and Price on International Tourism, Annuals of Tourism Research, 19, 643-64. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Crouch, G. I. and Shaw, R. N. (1990). Determinants of International Tourist Flows: Findings form 30 Years of Empirical Research, in The Tourism connection: Linking Research and Marketing, Proceedings of the 21st Annual conference of the Travel and tourism Research Association, 45-60. TTRA, Salt Lake City, UT. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Deaton, A. and Muellbauer, J. (1980). An Almost Ideal Demand System, American Economic Review, 70, 312-26. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | De Mello, M. M. and Fortuna, N. (2005). Testing Alternative Dynamic Systems for Modelling Tourism Demand, Tourism Economics , 11, 517-537. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Eadington. W. R. and Redman, M. (1991). Economics and Tourism, Annuals of Tourism Research, 18, 41-56. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Hitchcock, M., King V. T. and Parnwell, M. J. G. (1993). Tourism in South-East Asia, Routledge, London and New York. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Li, G., Wong, K. F., Song, H., and Wiitt, S. F. (2006). Tourism Demand Forecasting: A Time Varying Parameter Error Correction Model. Journal of Travel Research, 45:175-185 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Martin, C. A. and Witt, S. F. (1987). Tourism Forecasting Models: Choice of Appropriate Variable to Represent Tourists’ cost of Living, Tourism Management, 8, 223-45. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Moshirian, F. (1993). Determinants of International Trade Flows in Travel and Passenger Services, The Economic Record, 69(206), 239-52. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | O’Hagan, J. W. and Harrison, M. J. (1984). Market Shares of U.S. Tourist Expenditures in Europe: An Econometric Analysis, Applied Economics, 16(6), 9119-31. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Pindyck, R. S. and Rubinfeld, D. L. (1981). Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts, 2nd edition, McGraw-Hill Book Company, New York. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Shareef, R., and McAleer, M. (2005). Modelling international tourism demand and volatility in small island tourism economies. International Journal of Tourism Research, 7(6), 313-333. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Song, H., Witt, S. F., and Jensen. T. C. (2003). Modelling and Forecasting the Demand for Hong Kong Tourism, International Journal of Hospitality Management, 22(2):435–451. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Truett, D. B. and Truett, L. J. (1987). The Response of Tourism to International Economic Conditions: Greece, Mexico and Spain, The Journal of Developing Areas, 21(2), 177-90. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Tsai, P. L., and Wang, K. L. (1998). Competitiveness of international tourism in Taiwan: US versus Japanese visitors, Applied Economics, 30, 631-641. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Turner, L. W., and Witt, S. F. (2001). Factors influencing demand for international tourism: tourism demand analysis using structured modelling, Revisited. Tourism Economics, 7, 21-38. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Varian, H. R. (1992). Microeconomic Analysis, 3rd edition, W. W. Norton, New York. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Wang, K. L., and Wu, C. S. (2002). A Study of Competitiveness of International Tourism in the Southeast Asian Region, in Takatoshi Ito and Anne O. Krueger, eds., Services in the Asia Pacific Region, Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 315-340. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | White, K. J. (1985). An International Travel Demand Model: US Travel to Western Europe, Annuals of Tourism Research, 12(4), 529-45. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | WTO, Yearbook of Tourism Statistics, 2009, World Tourism Organization, Madrid, Spain. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | WTO, (2001), East Asia & Pacific Tourism 2020 Vision, World Tourism Organization, Madrid, Spain. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Eilat, Y., and L. Einav, (2004). Determinants of international tourism: a three dimensional panel data analysis. Applied Economics, 36, 1315-1327. | zh_TW |