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題名 管理當局盈餘預測與SOX 302、SOX404關係之研究
Management earnings forecasts and SOX302、SOX404
作者 吳俊濱
貢獻者 金成隆
吳俊濱
關鍵詞 盈餘預測
沙氏法302條款
沙氏法404條款
內部控制
Earnings forecasts
SOX302
SOX404
Internal control
日期 2010
上傳時間 29-Sep-2011 16:39:03 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究旨在探討沙氏法302條款(Sarbanes-Oxley Act Section 302,以下簡稱SOX302)、沙氏法404條款(Sarbanes-Oxley Act Section 404,以下簡稱SOX404)與管理當局盈餘預測之關聯性,係美國S&P500之公司為研究對象,研究期間為2002年至2009年,主要檢測:(1)相對於SOX 404而言,在SOX 302規範下揭露無內部控制缺失之公司,其管理當局盈餘預測準確度是否會較低。(2)在SOX 404之規範下揭露有內部控制缺失之公司,公司層級的內部控制缺失相較於會計層級的內部控制缺失,是否會導致管理當局盈餘預測準確度較低。

本研究之實證結果顯示:(1)在無內部控制缺失情況下,相對於SOX 404而言,在SOX 302規範下,管理當局盈餘預測準確度會較低。(2)在SOX 404之規範下揭露有內部控制缺失之公司,公司層級的內部控制缺失相較於會計層級的內部控制缺失,會導致管理當局盈餘預測準確度較低。
The main purpose of this thesis is to investigate the relation among SOX302, SOX404 and the accuracy of management earnings forecasts. Using a sample of S&P listed companies during the period 2002-2009, I address the following issues: (1) whether companies with effective internal controls under SOX302 have lower earnings forecast accuracy, compared with those under SOX404; (2) in the SOX404 context, whether companies with firm-level material weaknesses have lower earnings forecasts accuracy, compared with those with account-specific material weaknesses.

As predicted, my empirical results show that: (1) compared with those under SOX404, companies with effective internal controls under SOX302 have lower earnings forecasts accuracy; (2) compared with those that disclosed account-specific material weaknesses under SOX404, the companies with firm-level material weaknesses have lower earnings forecasts accuracy.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
會計研究所
98353029
99
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098353029
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 金成隆zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 吳俊濱zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 吳俊濱zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2010en_US
dc.date.accessioned 29-Sep-2011 16:39:03 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 29-Sep-2011 16:39:03 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 29-Sep-2011 16:39:03 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0098353029en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/50782-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 會計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98353029zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 99zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究旨在探討沙氏法302條款(Sarbanes-Oxley Act Section 302,以下簡稱SOX302)、沙氏法404條款(Sarbanes-Oxley Act Section 404,以下簡稱SOX404)與管理當局盈餘預測之關聯性,係美國S&P500之公司為研究對象,研究期間為2002年至2009年,主要檢測:(1)相對於SOX 404而言,在SOX 302規範下揭露無內部控制缺失之公司,其管理當局盈餘預測準確度是否會較低。(2)在SOX 404之規範下揭露有內部控制缺失之公司,公司層級的內部控制缺失相較於會計層級的內部控制缺失,是否會導致管理當局盈餘預測準確度較低。

本研究之實證結果顯示:(1)在無內部控制缺失情況下,相對於SOX 404而言,在SOX 302規範下,管理當局盈餘預測準確度會較低。(2)在SOX 404之規範下揭露有內部控制缺失之公司,公司層級的內部控制缺失相較於會計層級的內部控制缺失,會導致管理當局盈餘預測準確度較低。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The main purpose of this thesis is to investigate the relation among SOX302, SOX404 and the accuracy of management earnings forecasts. Using a sample of S&P listed companies during the period 2002-2009, I address the following issues: (1) whether companies with effective internal controls under SOX302 have lower earnings forecast accuracy, compared with those under SOX404; (2) in the SOX404 context, whether companies with firm-level material weaknesses have lower earnings forecasts accuracy, compared with those with account-specific material weaknesses.

As predicted, my empirical results show that: (1) compared with those under SOX404, companies with effective internal controls under SOX302 have lower earnings forecasts accuracy; (2) compared with those that disclosed account-specific material weaknesses under SOX404, the companies with firm-level material weaknesses have lower earnings forecasts accuracy.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第壹章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 研究問題 3
第三節 研究架構 5
第貳章 文獻探討 6
第一節 影響管理當局預測準確度之因素 6
第二節 內部控制制度-SOX 302與SOX 404 11
第參章 研究設計 18
第一節 研究假說 18
第二節 研究方法 20
第三節 變數衡量 22
第四節 樣本選取及資料來源 28
第肆章 實證結果與分析 30
第一節 敘述性統計 30
第二節 單變量分析 42
第三節 管理當局盈餘預測準確度與SOX302、SOX404之關係 46
第四節 管理當局盈餘預測準確度與內部控制缺失之關係 48
第伍章 敏感性分析與額外測試 50
第一節 敏感性分析 50
第二節 額外測試 52
第陸章 結論與建議 55
第一節 結論 55
第二節 研究貢獻 56
第三節 研究限制與建議 57
參考文獻 58
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098353029en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 盈餘預測zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 沙氏法302條款zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 沙氏法404條款zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 內部控制zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Earnings forecastsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) SOX302en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) SOX404en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Internal controlen_US
dc.title (題名) 管理當局盈餘預測與SOX 302、SOX404關係之研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Management earnings forecasts and SOX302、SOX404en_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 朱正雄,2004,代理成本對自願性盈餘預測影響之研究,國立中山大學企業管理學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 余俊憲,2003,財務分析師預測準確度和預測行為之研究,國防管理學院國防財務資源學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳慧嫻,2004,自願性揭露盈餘預測準確度之研究,東吳大學企業管理學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 呂雅莉,2008,公司揭露重大內部控制缺失與盈餘管理之關聯性,國立台灣大學會計學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 宋義德,1996,管理當局自願性財務預測準確性與資訊內涵之研究,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李奇峰,2003,股利資訊、財務預測與公司未來盈餘之研究,銘傳大學國際企業學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李建然,2000,影響台灣上市公司自願性盈餘預測行為因素之研究,會計評論,第32期(4月):49-79。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李衛民,2001,我國IPO公司盈利預測實證研究,上海財經大學碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 官月緞與郭子緯,2006,會計師任期與審計品質認知,2006當前會計理論與zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 實務研討會論文集:223-253。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林育如,2008,沙賓法案與內部控制之成本與效益探討,國立中興大學會計學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林達榮與李家琪,2002,可轉換公司債之財務預測誤差決定因素探討,台灣管理學刊,第2卷第1期(8月):149-174。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 范玥琪,1998,財務預測誤差之決定因素,國立彰化師範大學商業教育學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 徐惠慈,1986,企業揭露盈餘預測資訊與會計師核閱之可行性研究,東吳大學會計學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 翁慈青,2010,內部控制報告書對資訊精確度與市場流動性之影響,國立政治大學會計學系博士論文。zh_TW
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