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題名 The Development of Telecommunications and Its Impacts on Chinese Economic Growth
作者 Lee, Chun Nan
貢獻者 Huang, Jr Tsung
Lee, Chun Nan
關鍵詞 telecommunications
fixed effect model
panel data
日期 2009
上傳時間 11-Oct-2011 17:06:31 (UTC+8)
摘要 The study examines the development of telecommunications and its impacts on Chinese economic growth since telecommunications has been undergoing dramatic reforms in the 1980s. On November 2001, China was officially the WTO member to open the market for foreign investors. It is obvious that the telecommunications infrastructure development can play a key role in economic growth in China. Furthermore, China has become the world’s single largest telecommunications market since 2002.
In this research, I present evidence that it empirically not only investigates the telecommunications development and its impacts on economic growth, but also tests their relationship with initial economic condition, fixed investment, population growth, foreign direct investment as well as telecommunications infrastructure development using the panel data approach with a dynamic fixed effect model for the span of time from 2003 to 2008. I find that that mobile phone user density to be the new proxy for telecommunications infrastructure in China contributes in a major way to the economic growth. It means that mobile communication systems do have positive impact and effect on the regional economy of China.
It is a crucial determinant as findings indicate a significant and positive correlation between telecommunications development and regional growth in China, after controlling for a number of other factors. Results also show that investment in telecommunications is subject to diminishing returns.
參考文獻 *Barro, R. J. (1991), “Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407-43.
*Barro, R.J., Sala-I-Marin, X., (2004), Economic Growth. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
*Bortolotti, B., D’Souza, J., Fantini, M. and Megginson, W. L. (2002), “Privatization and the Sources of Performance Improvement in the Global Telecommunications Industry,” Telecommunication Policy, 26, 243-268.
*Boylaud, O. and Nicoletti, G. (2000), “Regulation, Market Structure and Performance in Telecommunications,” OECD Economics Department Working Paper No. 237.
*Canning, D. (1999), “Telecommunication and Aggregate Output,” CAER II, Discussion Paper, 56.
*Canning, D. (1999), “Telecommunications Infrastructure, Human Capital, and Economic Growth,” CAER II Discussion Paper, 55.
*Caselli, F., Esquivel, G. and Lefort, F. (1996), “Reopening the Convergence Debate: a New Look at Cross-Country Growth Empirics,” Journal of Economic Growth 1(3), 363-390.
*Contessi, S. (2003), “FDI in the Telecommunication Sectors of Transition and Developing Countries,” 8th Annual Meeting of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association.
*Datta, A. and Agarwal, S. (2004), “Telecommunication and Economic Growth; A panel Data Approach,” Applied Economics, 36 (15), 1649-1654.
*Demurger, S. (2001), “Infrastructure Development and Economic Growth: An Explanation for Regional Disparities in China,” Journal of Comparative Economics, 29, 95-117.
*Ding, L. (2005), Telecommunications Infrastructure and Regional Economic Development in China, Dissertation. School of Public Policy, George Mason University.
*Ding, L. and Haynes, K. E. (2004), “The Role of Telecommunications Infrastructure in Regional Economic Growth of China,” The Telecommunications Policy Research Conference, Washington, D.C..
*Ding, L. and Haynes, K. E. (2006), “The Role of Telecommunications Infrastructure in Regional Economic Growth in China,” Australasian Journal of Regional Studies, 12(3), 281.
*Ding, L. and Haynes, K. E. and Liu, Y. (2008), “Telecommunications Infrastructure and Regional Income Convergence in China: Panel Data Approaches,” The Annals of Regional Science, 42(4), 843-861.
*Enowbi Batuo, M. (2008), “The Role of Telecommunication Infrastructure in the Regional Economic Growth of Africa,” MPRA Paper No. 16741.
*Fink, C., Mattoo, A. and Rathindran, R. (2002), “An Assessment of Telecommunications Reform in Developing Countries,” Policy Research Working Paper Series 2909, The World Bank.
*Gershon, R. A. (2008), Telecommunications and Business Strategy, Routledge.
*Graham, M. and Wada, E. (2001), “Foreign Direct Investment in China: Effects on Growth and Economic Performance,” Institute for International Economics Working Paper No.01-03.
*Harwit, E. (2008), China’s Telecommunications Revolution, New York: Oxford University Press.
*Hu, A. and Zhou, S. (2002), “New Global Gap between the Rich and Poor: the Increasing Digital Divide,” Xinhua Digest, 9, 22-25.
*Islam, N. (1995), “Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(4), 1127-1170.
*Konan, D. E. and Maskus, K. E. (2002), “Quantifying the Impact of Services Liberalization in a Developing Country,” Policy Research Working Paper Series 3193, The World Bank.
*Krairit, D. (2001), Liberalizing Development: Effects of Telecommunication Liberalization in Thailand and the Philippines, Dissertation. Sloan School of Management, Technology and Policy Program, Massachusetts Institute of Technology,.
*Laperrouza, M. (2006), China’s Telecommunication Policy-Making in the Context of Trade and Economic Reform, Dissertation. Department of Information Systems, London School of Economics and Political Science.
*Li, M.Z. and Wang, J. (2003), “China`s Telecommunications Universal Service in a Competitive Environment,” Spatial Inequality of WIDER Project Conference in Asia, United Nations University Center, Tokyo.
*Liang, X. J. and Zhu, Y. N. (1994), Telecommunications in the Pacific Basin, New York: Oxford University Press.
*Liu, T (1988), “Transportation and Communication in National Economy,” Chongqin Press (in Chinese).
*Liu, Y. (2008), Impacts of Telecommunications Infrastructure and Its Spillover Effects on Regional Economic Growth in China, Dissertation. School of Public Policy, George Mason University.
*Loo, P. Y. (2004), “Telecommunications Reforms in China: Towards an Analytical Framework,” Telecommunications Policy, 28, 697-714.
*Maddala, G. S. (1999), “On The Use of Panel Data Methods With Cross-Country Data,” Annales D`Economie et de Statistique, 55/56, 429-449.
*Madden, G. G. and Savage, S. J. (1997), “CEE Telecommunications Investment and Economic Growth,” MPRA Paper 11843.
*Michael, E. B. (2008), “The Role of Telecommunication Infrastructure in the Regional Economic Growth of Africa,” MPRA Paper No. 12431.
*Mody, A. and Wang, F. Y. (1997), “Explaining Industrial Growth in Coastal China: Economic Reform … and What Else?,” The World Bank Economic Review, 11(2), 293-325.
*Noam, K. and Conn, D.A. (1994), Telecommunications in the Pacific Basin: An Evolutionary Approach, New York: Oxford University.
*OECD (2004), Regulatory reform as a tool for bridging the Digital Divide, OECD, Paris.
*Park, N. and Zhou, L. (2005), "Corporatization and Strategic Leadership: A Comparative Study of Telecommunications Liberalization in China and Korea," Annual Meeting of the International Communication Association, New York.
*Pernia, E. M. (1993), “Urbanization, Population Distribution and Economic Development in Asia,“ Economic and Development Resource Center Report No. 58.
*Petrazzini, B. A. and Krishnaswamy, G. (1998), “Socioeconomic Implications of Telecommunications Liberalization: India in the International Context,” The Information Society, 14(1), 3-18.
*Poot, J. (2000), “A Synthesis of Empirical Research on the Impact of Government on Long-Run Growth,” Growth and Change, 31(4), 516-546.
*Rabayah, K. S., Awad, S. and Naser, A. K. (2008), “Palestinian ICT Market Liberalization Economic Analysis and Future. Roadmap,” 16th World Congress on Information and Technology, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
*Röller, L. H. and Waverman, L. (2001), "Telecommunications Infrastructure and Economic Development: A Simultaneous Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, 91(4), 909-923.
*Rossotto, C. M. and Varoudakis, A. and Sekkat, K. (2003), “Opening up Telecommunications to Competition and MENA Integration in the World Economy,” Working Paper No. 33, The World Bank.
*Shahid, M.K., Tang, S.L. and Liu, C.M. (2007), “Competition and Liberalization Policies and Regulations for Telecommunications Industries in China and Pakistan: a Comparative Analysis,” International Journal of Management Science and Engineering Management, 2(4), 268-277.
*Singh, J.P. (1999), Leapfrogging Development? The Political Economy Telecommunication Restructuring, N.Y.: SUNY Press.
*State Statistical Bureau, China Statistical Yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2003–2008.
*Stetsenko, O. (2007), Telecommunication Infrastructure as a Determinant of Worldwide Economic Growth, Thesis. Economics Education and Research Consortium, National University “Kyiv-Mohyla Academy”.
*Tan, Z. (2003), “Telecommunications, Technology and China’s Modernization,” Conference of China’s Emerging Technological Trajectory in the 21st Century, Troy, New York.
*Wallsten, S. J. (1999), “An Empirical Analysis of Competition, Privatization, and Regulation in Africa and Latin America”, World Bank Working Paper No. 2316.
*Wallsten, S. J. (2000), “Telecommunications Privatization in Developing Countries: The Real Effects of Exclusivity Periods,” SIEPR Policy Paper No. 99-21.
*Warren, T. (2001), The Impact on Output of Impediments to Trade and Investment in Telecommunications Services, New York: Routledge.
*Waverman, L., Meschi, M., Fuss, M. (2005), ” The Impact of Telecoms on Economic Growth in Developing Countries,” Vodafone Policy Paper Series No.2.
*Zahra, K., Alam, P. and Mahmood, A. (2009), “Telecommunication Infrastructure Development and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Approach,” 24th Annual General Meeting and Conference of PSDE.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS)
94925001
98
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094925001
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor Huang, Jr Tsungen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Lee, Chun Nanen_US
dc.creator (作者) Lee, Chun Nanen_US
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 11-Oct-2011 17:06:31 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 11-Oct-2011 17:06:31 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-Oct-2011 17:06:31 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0094925001en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/51649-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94925001zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The study examines the development of telecommunications and its impacts on Chinese economic growth since telecommunications has been undergoing dramatic reforms in the 1980s. On November 2001, China was officially the WTO member to open the market for foreign investors. It is obvious that the telecommunications infrastructure development can play a key role in economic growth in China. Furthermore, China has become the world’s single largest telecommunications market since 2002.
In this research, I present evidence that it empirically not only investigates the telecommunications development and its impacts on economic growth, but also tests their relationship with initial economic condition, fixed investment, population growth, foreign direct investment as well as telecommunications infrastructure development using the panel data approach with a dynamic fixed effect model for the span of time from 2003 to 2008. I find that that mobile phone user density to be the new proxy for telecommunications infrastructure in China contributes in a major way to the economic growth. It means that mobile communication systems do have positive impact and effect on the regional economy of China.
It is a crucial determinant as findings indicate a significant and positive correlation between telecommunications development and regional growth in China, after controlling for a number of other factors. Results also show that investment in telecommunications is subject to diminishing returns.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents Chapter 1 Introduction
1.1 Research Background and Propose
1.2 Research Structure and Framework
Chapter 2 Literature
2.1 Theoretical Foundation
2.2 Empirical Literature
Chapter 3 Telecommunications Development in China
3.1 Restructuring Institutes and the China`s Telecommunications Development
3.2 The Evolution of China’s Telecommunications Industry Development
Chapter 4 Methodology Framework and Data Source
4.1 Dynamic Panel Data Approach
4.2 Measurement of Variable and Data Sources
Chapter 5 Empirical Analysis and Results
5.1 Regional Telecommunications Development and Regional Economic Growth
5.2 Empirical Analysis and Results
5.3 Summary
Chapter 6 Conclusions
References
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094925001en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) telecommunicationsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) fixed effect modelen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) panel dataen_US
dc.title (題名) The Development of Telecommunications and Its Impacts on Chinese Economic Growthen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Barro, R. J. (1991), “Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 407-43.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Barro, R.J., Sala-I-Marin, X., (2004), Economic Growth. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Bortolotti, B., D’Souza, J., Fantini, M. and Megginson, W. L. (2002), “Privatization and the Sources of Performance Improvement in the Global Telecommunications Industry,” Telecommunication Policy, 26, 243-268.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Boylaud, O. and Nicoletti, G. (2000), “Regulation, Market Structure and Performance in Telecommunications,” OECD Economics Department Working Paper No. 237.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Canning, D. (1999), “Telecommunication and Aggregate Output,” CAER II, Discussion Paper, 56.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Canning, D. (1999), “Telecommunications Infrastructure, Human Capital, and Economic Growth,” CAER II Discussion Paper, 55.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Caselli, F., Esquivel, G. and Lefort, F. (1996), “Reopening the Convergence Debate: a New Look at Cross-Country Growth Empirics,” Journal of Economic Growth 1(3), 363-390.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Contessi, S. (2003), “FDI in the Telecommunication Sectors of Transition and Developing Countries,” 8th Annual Meeting of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Datta, A. and Agarwal, S. (2004), “Telecommunication and Economic Growth; A panel Data Approach,” Applied Economics, 36 (15), 1649-1654.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Demurger, S. (2001), “Infrastructure Development and Economic Growth: An Explanation for Regional Disparities in China,” Journal of Comparative Economics, 29, 95-117.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Ding, L. (2005), Telecommunications Infrastructure and Regional Economic Development in China, Dissertation. School of Public Policy, George Mason University.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Ding, L. and Haynes, K. E. (2004), “The Role of Telecommunications Infrastructure in Regional Economic Growth of China,” The Telecommunications Policy Research Conference, Washington, D.C..zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Ding, L. and Haynes, K. E. (2006), “The Role of Telecommunications Infrastructure in Regional Economic Growth in China,” Australasian Journal of Regional Studies, 12(3), 281.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Ding, L. and Haynes, K. E. and Liu, Y. (2008), “Telecommunications Infrastructure and Regional Income Convergence in China: Panel Data Approaches,” The Annals of Regional Science, 42(4), 843-861.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Enowbi Batuo, M. (2008), “The Role of Telecommunication Infrastructure in the Regional Economic Growth of Africa,” MPRA Paper No. 16741.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Fink, C., Mattoo, A. and Rathindran, R. (2002), “An Assessment of Telecommunications Reform in Developing Countries,” Policy Research Working Paper Series 2909, The World Bank.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Gershon, R. A. (2008), Telecommunications and Business Strategy, Routledge.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Graham, M. and Wada, E. (2001), “Foreign Direct Investment in China: Effects on Growth and Economic Performance,” Institute for International Economics Working Paper No.01-03.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Harwit, E. (2008), China’s Telecommunications Revolution, New York: Oxford University Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Hu, A. and Zhou, S. (2002), “New Global Gap between the Rich and Poor: the Increasing Digital Divide,” Xinhua Digest, 9, 22-25.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Islam, N. (1995), “Growth Empirics: A Panel Data Approach,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(4), 1127-1170.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Konan, D. E. and Maskus, K. E. (2002), “Quantifying the Impact of Services Liberalization in a Developing Country,” Policy Research Working Paper Series 3193, The World Bank.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Krairit, D. (2001), Liberalizing Development: Effects of Telecommunication Liberalization in Thailand and the Philippines, Dissertation. Sloan School of Management, Technology and Policy Program, Massachusetts Institute of Technology,.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Laperrouza, M. (2006), China’s Telecommunication Policy-Making in the Context of Trade and Economic Reform, Dissertation. Department of Information Systems, London School of Economics and Political Science.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Li, M.Z. and Wang, J. (2003), “China`s Telecommunications Universal Service in a Competitive Environment,” Spatial Inequality of WIDER Project Conference in Asia, United Nations University Center, Tokyo.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Liang, X. J. and Zhu, Y. N. (1994), Telecommunications in the Pacific Basin, New York: Oxford University Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Liu, T (1988), “Transportation and Communication in National Economy,” Chongqin Press (in Chinese).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Liu, Y. (2008), Impacts of Telecommunications Infrastructure and Its Spillover Effects on Regional Economic Growth in China, Dissertation. School of Public Policy, George Mason University.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Loo, P. Y. (2004), “Telecommunications Reforms in China: Towards an Analytical Framework,” Telecommunications Policy, 28, 697-714.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Maddala, G. S. (1999), “On The Use of Panel Data Methods With Cross-Country Data,” Annales D`Economie et de Statistique, 55/56, 429-449.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Madden, G. G. and Savage, S. J. (1997), “CEE Telecommunications Investment and Economic Growth,” MPRA Paper 11843.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Michael, E. B. (2008), “The Role of Telecommunication Infrastructure in the Regional Economic Growth of Africa,” MPRA Paper No. 12431.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Mody, A. and Wang, F. Y. (1997), “Explaining Industrial Growth in Coastal China: Economic Reform … and What Else?,” The World Bank Economic Review, 11(2), 293-325.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Noam, K. and Conn, D.A. (1994), Telecommunications in the Pacific Basin: An Evolutionary Approach, New York: Oxford University.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *OECD (2004), Regulatory reform as a tool for bridging the Digital Divide, OECD, Paris.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Park, N. and Zhou, L. (2005), "Corporatization and Strategic Leadership: A Comparative Study of Telecommunications Liberalization in China and Korea," Annual Meeting of the International Communication Association, New York.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Pernia, E. M. (1993), “Urbanization, Population Distribution and Economic Development in Asia,“ Economic and Development Resource Center Report No. 58.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Petrazzini, B. A. and Krishnaswamy, G. (1998), “Socioeconomic Implications of Telecommunications Liberalization: India in the International Context,” The Information Society, 14(1), 3-18.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Poot, J. (2000), “A Synthesis of Empirical Research on the Impact of Government on Long-Run Growth,” Growth and Change, 31(4), 516-546.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Rabayah, K. S., Awad, S. and Naser, A. K. (2008), “Palestinian ICT Market Liberalization Economic Analysis and Future. Roadmap,” 16th World Congress on Information and Technology, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Röller, L. H. and Waverman, L. (2001), "Telecommunications Infrastructure and Economic Development: A Simultaneous Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, 91(4), 909-923.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Rossotto, C. M. and Varoudakis, A. and Sekkat, K. (2003), “Opening up Telecommunications to Competition and MENA Integration in the World Economy,” Working Paper No. 33, The World Bank.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Shahid, M.K., Tang, S.L. and Liu, C.M. (2007), “Competition and Liberalization Policies and Regulations for Telecommunications Industries in China and Pakistan: a Comparative Analysis,” International Journal of Management Science and Engineering Management, 2(4), 268-277.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Singh, J.P. (1999), Leapfrogging Development? The Political Economy Telecommunication Restructuring, N.Y.: SUNY Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *State Statistical Bureau, China Statistical Yearbook. Beijing: China Statistics Press, 2003–2008.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Stetsenko, O. (2007), Telecommunication Infrastructure as a Determinant of Worldwide Economic Growth, Thesis. Economics Education and Research Consortium, National University “Kyiv-Mohyla Academy”.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Tan, Z. (2003), “Telecommunications, Technology and China’s Modernization,” Conference of China’s Emerging Technological Trajectory in the 21st Century, Troy, New York.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Wallsten, S. J. (1999), “An Empirical Analysis of Competition, Privatization, and Regulation in Africa and Latin America”, World Bank Working Paper No. 2316.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Wallsten, S. J. (2000), “Telecommunications Privatization in Developing Countries: The Real Effects of Exclusivity Periods,” SIEPR Policy Paper No. 99-21.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Warren, T. (2001), The Impact on Output of Impediments to Trade and Investment in Telecommunications Services, New York: Routledge.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Waverman, L., Meschi, M., Fuss, M. (2005), ” The Impact of Telecoms on Economic Growth in Developing Countries,” Vodafone Policy Paper Series No.2.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) *Zahra, K., Alam, P. and Mahmood, A. (2009), “Telecommunication Infrastructure Development and Economic Growth: A Panel Data Approach,” 24th Annual General Meeting and Conference of PSDE.zh_TW