學術產出-Periodical Articles

Article View/Open

Publication Export

Google ScholarTM

政大圖書館

Citation Infomation

題名 Estimation of Taiwan’s binary monetary policy reaction function
作者 Shen, Chung-Hua
沈中華
貢獻者 金融系
關鍵詞 Money, Policy, Taiwan, Narratives, Algorithms
日期 2002
上傳時間 23-Mar-2015 18:20:28 (UTC+8)
摘要 This paper proposes a probit regression with autocorrelated errors (PAR) to estimate the reaction function of monetary policy in Taiwan using newly constructed binary monetary indicators. We develop a practical sampling scheme via the Gibbs sampling algorithm with data augmentation to make posterior inference of the binary monetary policy reaction function. In contrast to the conventional approach, our method avoids the problem of multiple integrals by directly drawing values of latent variables from the relevant full conditional density along with all the other parameters. Empirical results show that the monetary authority responds to macroeconomic conditions asymmetrically. Specifically, in the high-inflation regime, a contractionary monetary policy is implemented to reduce the inflation rate. Once inflation is under control, that is, in the low-inflation regime, attention is paid to stimulating the growth of the economy.
關聯 Journal of Economic Studies , 29(3), 222-239
資料類型 article
DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/01443580210433598
dc.contributor 金融系
dc.creator (作者) Shen, Chung-Hua
dc.creator (作者) 沈中華zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2002
dc.date.accessioned 23-Mar-2015 18:20:28 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 23-Mar-2015 18:20:28 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 23-Mar-2015 18:20:28 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/73966-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper proposes a probit regression with autocorrelated errors (PAR) to estimate the reaction function of monetary policy in Taiwan using newly constructed binary monetary indicators. We develop a practical sampling scheme via the Gibbs sampling algorithm with data augmentation to make posterior inference of the binary monetary policy reaction function. In contrast to the conventional approach, our method avoids the problem of multiple integrals by directly drawing values of latent variables from the relevant full conditional density along with all the other parameters. Empirical results show that the monetary authority responds to macroeconomic conditions asymmetrically. Specifically, in the high-inflation regime, a contractionary monetary policy is implemented to reduce the inflation rate. Once inflation is under control, that is, in the low-inflation regime, attention is paid to stimulating the growth of the economy.
dc.format.extent 128 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.relation (關聯) Journal of Economic Studies , 29(3), 222-239
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Money, Policy, Taiwan, Narratives, Algorithms
dc.title (題名) Estimation of Taiwan’s binary monetary policy reaction function
dc.type (資料類型) articleen
dc.identifier.doi (DOI) 10.1108/01443580210433598-
dc.doi.uri (DOI) http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/01443580210433598-