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題名 On the distribution of life insurance reserves in a stochastic mortality interest rate and surrender rate enviroment
其他題名 隨機死亡,利率,與解約率下人壽保險準備金之機率分配
作者 蔡政憲;詹志清;陳威光
關鍵詞 Early Surrender; Life Insurance Reserves; Interest Rate Risk; Parameter Estimation risk
提前解約 ; 壽險準備金 ; 利率風險 ; 參數估計風險
日期 2003-07
上傳時間 14-Nov-2008 12:34:04 (UTC+8)
摘要 The risk management of reserves is critical to the solvency of a life insurance company. The literature has shown that the right to surrender the life insurance policy for the cash value could be an important determinant to the risk of reserves. In this paper, we use simulation to incorporate the risk of early surrender into the estimation for the reserve distribution. We find that the mortality risk is immaterial. Stochastic interest rates as well as uncertain parameters in the interest rate model significantly increase the mean and the risk of reserves. On the other hand, early surrender reduces the expected value and the risk of reserves due to the surrender charge and the surrenders happened in the low interest rate era. Early surrender therefore could benefit the life insurance company.
關聯 證券市場發展季刊, 15(2), 1-30
資料類型 article
dc.creator (作者) 蔡政憲;詹志清;陳威光zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2003-07en_US
dc.date.accessioned 14-Nov-2008 12:34:04 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 14-Nov-2008 12:34:04 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 14-Nov-2008 12:34:04 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/7486-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The risk management of reserves is critical to the solvency of a life insurance company. The literature has shown that the right to surrender the life insurance policy for the cash value could be an important determinant to the risk of reserves. In this paper, we use simulation to incorporate the risk of early surrender into the estimation for the reserve distribution. We find that the mortality risk is immaterial. Stochastic interest rates as well as uncertain parameters in the interest rate model significantly increase the mean and the risk of reserves. On the other hand, early surrender reduces the expected value and the risk of reserves due to the surrender charge and the surrenders happened in the low interest rate era. Early surrender therefore could benefit the life insurance company.-
dc.format application/en_US
dc.language enen_US
dc.language en-USen_US
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) 證券市場發展季刊, 15(2), 1-30en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Early Surrender; Life Insurance Reserves; Interest Rate Risk; Parameter Estimation risk-
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 提前解約 ; 壽險準備金 ; 利率風險 ; 參數估計風險-
dc.title (題名) On the distribution of life insurance reserves in a stochastic mortality interest rate and surrender rate enviromenten_US
dc.title.alternative (其他題名) 隨機死亡,利率,與解約率下人壽保險準備金之機率分配-
dc.type (資料類型) articleen