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題名 中國中東介入政策的評估：權力轉移現象的浮現?
Assessing China`s Engagement in the Middle East: Emerging Power Transition?作者 松柔霓
Oren, Roni貢獻者 楊昊
Yang, Alan Hao
松柔霓
Oren, Roni關鍵詞 中國
中東
美國
權力轉移理論
超越
均勢
經濟
安全
能源
China
Middle East
United States
Power transition theory
overtaking
parity
economy
military
energy日期 2015 上傳時間 1-Oct-2015 14:13:02 (UTC+8) 摘要 本研究主要探討中國如何介入中東地區，並且檢視其多重戰略操作現況，其中包括了安全議題、能源議題、以及經貿議題。透過中國藉由上述議題介入中東事務的發展，本研究期望能呈現中國的中東外交政策及其未來發展趨勢。本研究以中國與美國兩強是否會在中東地區發生權力轉移的可能作為研究問題，有鑑於此，本研究以AFK Organski的權力轉移理論作為全文的概念化基礎，並且重新檢視權力轉移理論在近年來的發展與實踐。就此，本研究將回應下列幾個問題:中國的中東外交政策之主要戰略目的為何?此一政策在中國全方位外交政策中的權重與定位為何?中國與中東國家的交往及雙邊關係中，所具備的優勢與劣勢為何?從結構層次來說，中國與美國在中東是否將達到權力平衡的局面?最後，中國是否滿意現階段自身在中東的地位以及中東地緣政治本身的現況?又或者中國傾向改變中東現狀，並且有意取代美國。本研究透過對上述問題的重新檢視，發現如果中國在中東所介入的勢力與議題越廣泛，並且以挑戰美國霸權為前提全力推進中國的中東介入政策，這意味著中東的現狀與規則將會被調整與改變，進而產生權力轉移的情況。不過，中國現階段並未有意、有能力挑戰美國在中東的戰略地位，因為這將使得中國與美國的結構性矛盾導向衝突。
This study aims at examining the different aspects of China’s involvement in the Middle East: security, energy and economy, in the context of its evolving foreign policy and changing international status. The main question of the research is whether a power transition between the US and China is possible in the region of the Middle East. Hence. The power transition theory developed by AFK Organski in the 1950s is the basis of this research. The main question is answered by several secondary questions: What is China`s foreign policy in the Middle East, and how does it combine into its overall foreign policy; What are the strong points as opposed to the weak points of China`s relations with Middle Eastern countries; Is China on the course of achieving parity with the US in the region of Middle East? 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國立政治大學
資訊管理研究所
102926020資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1029260201 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 楊昊 zh_TW dc.contributor.advisor Yang, Alan Hao en_US dc.contributor.author (Authors) 松柔霓 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Oren, Roni en_US dc.creator (作者) 松柔霓 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Oren, Roni en_US dc.date (日期) 2015 en_US dc.date.accessioned 1-Oct-2015 14:13:02 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 1-Oct-2015 14:13:02 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Oct-2015 14:13:02 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G1029260201 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/78730 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 資訊管理研究所 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 102926020 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究主要探討中國如何介入中東地區，並且檢視其多重戰略操作現況，其中包括了安全議題、能源議題、以及經貿議題。透過中國藉由上述議題介入中東事務的發展，本研究期望能呈現中國的中東外交政策及其未來發展趨勢。本研究以中國與美國兩強是否會在中東地區發生權力轉移的可能作為研究問題，有鑑於此，本研究以AFK Organski的權力轉移理論作為全文的概念化基礎，並且重新檢視權力轉移理論在近年來的發展與實踐。就此，本研究將回應下列幾個問題:中國的中東外交政策之主要戰略目的為何?此一政策在中國全方位外交政策中的權重與定位為何?中國與中東國家的交往及雙邊關係中，所具備的優勢與劣勢為何?從結構層次來說，中國與美國在中東是否將達到權力平衡的局面?最後，中國是否滿意現階段自身在中東的地位以及中東地緣政治本身的現況?又或者中國傾向改變中東現狀，並且有意取代美國。本研究透過對上述問題的重新檢視，發現如果中國在中東所介入的勢力與議題越廣泛，並且以挑戰美國霸權為前提全力推進中國的中東介入政策，這意味著中東的現狀與規則將會被調整與改變，進而產生權力轉移的情況。不過，中國現階段並未有意、有能力挑戰美國在中東的戰略地位，因為這將使得中國與美國的結構性矛盾導向衝突。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study aims at examining the different aspects of China’s involvement in the Middle East: security, energy and economy, in the context of its evolving foreign policy and changing international status. The main question of the research is whether a power transition between the US and China is possible in the region of the Middle East. Hence. The power transition theory developed by AFK Organski in the 1950s is the basis of this research. The main question is answered by several secondary questions: What is China`s foreign policy in the Middle East, and how does it combine into its overall foreign policy; What are the strong points as opposed to the weak points of China`s relations with Middle Eastern countries; Is China on the course of achieving parity with the US in the region of Middle East? And the last one, is China satisfied with its current role in the Middle East and the regional existing order, or it would like to alter it in order for it to be able to replace the US as the hegemonic power in the area. If China is indeed becoming more powerful in the area and is challenging the American hegemony, the transformation of the current order and accepted rules of the games in the region could be changed to accommodate China’s needs, and this might lead to tension between China and the US or even conflicts. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents Chapter 1 Introduction 11.1 Background 11.2 Purpose of Research 21.3 Research Questions 5 1.4 Framework 61.4.1 Independent Variables 7 1.4.2 Dependent Variables 91.4.3 Intermediate Variable 11 1.5 Methodology 121.5.1 Scope 131.5.2 Limits and Challenges 14 1.5.3 Chapter Layout 16Chapter 2 Literature Review 172.1 Power Transition Theory 172.1.1 Development of Power Transition Theory 172.1.2 Application of Power Transition Theory to the Rise of China 222.2 China`s Foreign Relations 1949-2015 242.2.1 Foreign Policy in the Revolutionary Era 1949-1976 242.2.2 Reform and Opening up Starting in Late 1970s 252.2.3 International Organizations and Regional Mechanisms 27 2.2.4 New Foreign Policy Initiatives 2012-2015 292.3 China- Middle East Relations 332.3.1 Marginal Influence and Attempts in Spreading Ideology 34 2.3.2 Expansion of Diplomatic Relations 352.3.3 Deeper Involvement through Arms Sales and Economic Incentives 362.3.4 Energy and Economic Interests Drive China to the Middle East 372.3.5 From Non-intervention to Increasing Involvement 38Chapter 3 Military and Security Involvement 413.1 China 413.1.1 Military Strategy 413.1.2 One Belt One Road Initiative 443.1.3 Chinese Participation in International Military Missions 45 3.1.4 Naval Capabilities 47 3.1.5 Arms Sales 503.1.6 The ISIL Crisis 52 3.2 The US 533.2.1 Arms Sales 533.2.2 Military Campaigns 563.2.3 Routine Military Presence 593.3 Local Reactions to Military & Security External Involvement 63 3.4 Conclusion 69Chapter 4 Energy and Economy Involvement 73 4.1 China 734.1.1 Oil and Natural Gas 734.1.2 Trade and Investment 794.2 The US 854.2.1 Oil and Natural Gas 854.2.2 Trade and Investment 874.3 Local Reactions to Energy & Economy External Involvement 934.4 Conclusion 100Chapter 5 Research Findings and Future Scenario 1025.1 Research Findings1025.2 Future Scenario 109Bibliography 114Appendix Questions asked during the conducted interviews 132 zh_TW dc.format.extent 2381202 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G1029260201 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中國 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中東 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 美國 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 權力轉移理論 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 超越 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 均勢 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 經濟 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 安全 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 能源 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) China en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Middle East en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) United States en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Power transition theory en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) overtaking en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) parity en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) economy en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) military en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) energy en_US dc.title (題名) 中國中東介入政策的評估：權力轉移現象的浮現? zh_TW dc.title (題名) Assessing China`s Engagement in the Middle East: Emerging Power Transition? en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) n.d. 2015 Index of U.S. Military Strength /Middle East. 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