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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33625
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dc.contributor.advisor林永芳zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisorLin, Yung Fangen_US
dc.contributor.author王正廷zh_TW
dc.contributor.authorWang, Cheng Tingen_US
dc.creator王正廷zh_TW
dc.creatorWang, Cheng Tingen_US
dc.date2007en_US
dc.date.accessioned2009-09-17T09:43:33Z-
dc.date.available2009-09-17T09:43:33Z-
dc.date.issued2009-09-17T09:43:33Z-
dc.identifierG0094263005en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33625-
dc.description碩士zh_TW
dc.description國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description俄羅斯研究所zh_TW
dc.description94263005zh_TW
dc.description96zh_TW
dc.description.abstract本文目的在於探討喬治亞、烏克蘭與吉爾吉斯等三國，其政權替換的經過。政權替換為什麼會發生？這三個國家政權替換發生的情況有何不同？而反對勢力又是如何出現？一些共同的成功因素在個別國家有無程度上的不同？經由文獻回顧，作者指出這一波政權替換發生的主要因素：選舉競爭性的來源、反對勢力與政權正當性危機的出現、外國影響與獲得資訊能力。\n\n本文認為這三個國家在面臨不同的背景條件與政治環境之下，透過選舉的舉行，使各個國家出現不同的反對勢力起源，形成對當權者的挑戰。而選舉舞弊造成統治者的正當性危機，加上在不同程度的資訊獲得能力影響下的群眾示威，導致政權危在旦夕。最後，示威群眾的策略與統治者的個人決斷，促成了政權替換。zh_TW
dc.description.abstractThe purpose of this study is to explore the process of regime change in Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan. Why did regime change happen? What are the differences between these three cases? How did the opposition emerge? Did the common factors of successful regime change have varied degree in each country? Through a literature review, the author points out the main factors of this wave of regime change: the source of election competitiveness, the emergence of opposition vis-à-vis the regime legitimacy crisis, and foreign influence of information accessibility.\n\nThe thesis argues that the elections held in these three countries with different backgrounds and political environments contributed to various origins of opposition forces against the authorities. Electoral frauds led to the crisis of regime legitimacy. In addition, under the influence of different level of information accessibility, public demonstration put the ruling regime into an imminent crisis. Finally, the strategies of mass protest and the incumbents’ decisions resulted in regime change.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents第一章 緒論..................................................................................................................1\n第一節 研究動機與目的......................................................................................2\n第二節 研究範圍、研究途徑與研究方法、研究限制..........................................3\n第三節 文獻述評................................................................................................12\n第四節 研究架構與章節安排............................................................................20\n\n第二章 政治競爭：選舉與政治環境..........................................................................29\n第一節 喬治亞的競爭選舉................................................................................29\n第二節 烏克蘭的競爭選舉................................................................................36\n第三節 吉爾吉斯的競爭選舉............................................................................46\n第四節 小結........................................................................................................52\n\n第三章 政治競爭性的改變與政權替換....................................................................54\n第一節 喬治亞：多數執政黨的分裂..................................................................54第二節 烏克蘭：議會政黨光譜的兩極化..........................................................62\n第三節 吉爾吉斯：地方氏族勢力的反撲..........................................................72\n第四節 小結........................................................................................................77\n\n第四章 群眾動員：選舉舞弊與獲得資訊能力..........................................................79\n第一節 選舉舞弊與媒體環境............................................................................79\n第二節 獨立媒體的角色....................................................................................84\n第三節 外國影響的作用....................................................................................89\n第四節 小結........................................................................................................96\n\n第五章 結論................................................................................................................99\n第一節 研究發現................................................................................................99\n第二節 未來研究議題......................................................................................103\n\n參考文獻....................................................................................................................108zh_TW
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dc.language.isoen_US-
dc.source.urihttp://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094263005en_US
dc.subject政權替換zh_TW
dc.subject競爭選舉zh_TW
dc.subject喬治亞zh_TW
dc.subject烏克蘭zh_TW
dc.subject吉爾吉斯zh_TW
dc.subjectregime changeen_US
dc.subjectcompetitive electionen_US
dc.subjectGeorgiaen_US
dc.subjectUkraineen_US
dc.subjectKyrgyzstanen_US
dc.title喬治亞(2003)、烏克蘭(2004)與吉爾吉斯(2005)政權替換之研究zh_TW
dc.titleA Study of Regime Change in Georgia(2003), Ukraine(2004) and Kyrgyzstan(2005)en_US
dc.typethesisen
dc.relation.reference一、專書zh_TW
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dc.relation.referenceHale, Henry E., “Democracy or autocracy on the march? The colored revolutions aszh_TW
dc.relation.referencenormal dynamics of patronal presidentialism.\", Communist and Post-Communistzh_TW
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dc.relation.referenceKlid, Bohdan, “Rock, Pop and Politics in Ukraine`s 2004 Presidential Campaign and Orange Revolution”, Journal of Communist Studies and Transition Politics, Vol. 23, No.1 (March 2007), pp. 118-137.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceKulikova, Svetlana V., and Perlmutter, David D., “Blogging Down the Dictator? : Thezh_TW
dc.relation.referenceKyrgyz Revolution and Samizdat Websites”, International Communication Gazette,zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceVol. 69, No. 1 (2007), pp. 29-50.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceKuzio, Taras, “Civil society, youth and societal mobilization in democratic revolutions”, Communist and Post-Communist Studies, Vol. 39, No. 3 (Sep. 2006), pp. 365-386.zh_TW
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dc.relation.referenceCountries: Comparative Perspectives on the Fourth Wave”, Demokratizatsiya, Vol. 16, No. 1 (Winter 2008), pp. 97-109.zh_TW
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dc.relation.referenceLevitsky, Steve and Way, Lucan A., “International Linkage and Democratization”, Journal of Democracy, Vol. 16, Iss. 3 (July 2005), pp. 20-34.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceLevitsky, Steve and Way, Lucan A., “Linkage and Leverage: How Do International Factors Change Domestic Balances of Power?”, in Andres Schedler, eds., Electoral Authoritarianism: The Dynamics of Unfree Competition (Boulder, Colo. : L. Rienner Publishers, 2006), ch. 12.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceLevitsky, Steve and Way, Lucan A., “The Rise of Competitive Authoritarianism”, Journal of Democracy, Vol. 13, No. 2 (April 2002), pp. 51-65.zh_TW
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dc.relation.referenceMcFaul, Michael, “Transitions From Postcommunsim”, Journal of Democracy, Vol.12, Iss. 3 (July 2005) , pp. 5-19.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceMcFaul, Michael, “Ukraine Imports Democracy: External Influences on the Orange Revolution”, International Security, Vol. 32, No. 2 (Fall 2007), pp. 45–83.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceMitchell, Lincoln, “Georgia"s Rose Revolution”, Current History, Vol. 103, No. 675 (Oct. 2004), pp. 342-348.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceNikolayenko, Olena, “The Revolt of Post- Soviet Generation: Youth Movement in Serbia, Georgia, and Ukraine”, Comparative Politics, Vol. 39, No. 2 (Jan. 007), pp. 169-188.zh_TW
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dc.relation.referencePapava, Vladimer, “The Political Economy of Georgia"s Rose Revolution”, Orbis, Vol. 50, Iss. 4 (Fall 2006), pp. 657-667.zh_TW
dc.relation.referencePetric, Boris-Mathieu, “Post-Soviet Kyrgyzstan or the birth of a globalized protectorate”, Central Asian Survey, Vol. 24, No. 3(Sep. 2005), pp.319-332.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceRustow, Dankwart A., “Transition to Democracy: Toward a Dynamic Model”, Comparative Politics, Vol. 2, No. 3 (April 1970), pp. 337-363.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceRadnitz, Scott, “What Really Happened in Kyrgyzstan?”, Journal of Democracy, Vol. 17, No. 2 ( April 2006), pp. 132-146.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceSlider, Darrell, “Recent Election in Georgia: At Long Last, Stability?”, Demokratizatsiya, Vol. 8, No. 4 (Fall 2000), pp. 517-532.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceTucker, Joshua A., “Enough! Electoral Fraud, Collective Action Problems, and the Post-Communist Colored Revolutions”, Perspectives on Politics, Vol. 5, No. 3 (Sep. 2007), pp. 535-551.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceTudoroiu, Theodor, “Rose, Orange, and Tulip- The failed post-Sovietzh_TW
dc.relation.referencerevolutions”, Communist and Post-Communist Studies, Vol. 40, Iss. 2 (Sep. 2007), pp. 315-342.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceWay, Lucan A., “Kuchma"s failed authoritarianism”, Journal of Democracy, Vol. 16, No. 2 (April 2005), p. 131-145.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceWay, Lucan A. and Levitsky, Steven, \"Linkage , Leverage, and the Post-Communistzh_TW
dc.relation.referenceDivide\", East European Politics and Societies, Vol. 21, No.1 (2007), pp. 48-66.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceWhitmore, Sarah, “Faction institutionalization and parliamentary development in Ukraine”, Journal of Communist Studies and Transition Politics, Vol. 19, No. 4 (Dec. 2003), pp. 41-64.zh_TW
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dc.relation.reference三、網路資料zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceBRAMA：< http://www.brama.com/>.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference”7/10/94 Presidential Election Results in Ukraine”, BRAMA,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference<http://www.brama.com/ua-gov/el-94pre.html>.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceCivil Georgia：< http://www.civil.ge/ >.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference“Zhvania Criticizes President`s Decision”, Civil Georgia,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference<http://www.civil.ge/eng/article.php?id=204>.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference“Saakashvili Runs for MP”, Civil Georgia,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference<http://www.civil.ge/eng/article.php?id=222> (20 Sep. 2001).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference“Tbilisi Police Chief Refuses to Obey Shevardnadze"s Orders”, Civil Georgia,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference< http://www.civil.ge/eng_/article.php?id=5618> (23 Nov. 2003).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference“National Movement Leads in Parallel Vote Tabulation Results”, Civil Georgia,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference< http://www.civil.ge/eng_/article.php?id=5380> (3 Nov. 2003).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference“CEC Announced Final Results of Elections”, Civil Georgia,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference<http://www.civil.ge/eng/article_elections.php?id=5571> (20 Nov. 2003).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference“National Movement Leads Exit Polls”, Civil Georgia,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference<http://www. civil.ge/eng_/article.php?id=5374> (2 Nov. 2003).zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceCentral Election Commission of Ukraine：<http://www.cvk.gov.ua/>.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceCenter on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law：<http://cddrl.stanford.edu/>.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceChannel 5：<http://5.ua/>.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceCouncil of Europe：< http://www.coe.int/ >.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceElectionGuide：<http://www.electionguide.org/index.php>.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceFreedom House：< http://www.freedomhouse.org/ >.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference“Press Freedom 2006: Kyrgyzstan”, Freedom House,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference<http://www.freedomhouse.org/template.cfm?page=251&country=6996&year=2006>.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceHaran, Olexiy, “Nations in Transit 2004: Ukraine”, Freedom House, pp. 1-19.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference<http://unpan1.un.org/intradoc/groups/public/documents/nispacee/unpan017053.pdf>.zh_TW
dc.relation.referenceNodia, Ghia “Nation in Transit 2001: Georgia”, Freedom House, pp.184-195, <http://unpan1.un.org/intradoc/groups/public/documents/nispacee/unpan008108.pdf>.zh_TW
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