Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33652
DC FieldValueLanguage
dc.contributor.advisor李明zh_TW
dc.contributor.author林志峰zh_TW
dc.creator林志峰zh_TW
dc.date2004en_US
dc.date.accessioned2009-09-17T09:47:42Z-
dc.date.available2009-09-17T09:47:42Z-
dc.date.issued2009-09-17T09:47:42Z-
dc.identifierG0089253026en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33652-
dc.description碩士zh_TW
dc.description國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description外交研究所zh_TW
dc.description89253026zh_TW
dc.description93zh_TW
dc.description.abstract  小布希總統及其外交領導團隊執政後,在外交政策取向上,明顯呈現出單邊主義之傾向。小布希政府不僅全力推動彈道飛彈防禦計畫,退出「反彈道飛彈條約」;公開反對「全面禁止核子試爆條約」;並退出「京都議定書」。自此之後,外界探討美國外交政策時,往往將焦點放在單邊主義。因此,單邊主義之定義為何?小布希政府行使單邊主義之動機?以及單邊主義為小布希政府帶來何種影響,為本論文之研究重點。此外,2001年突發的911事件,帶給美國多面向的重大衝擊。在外交政策方面,911事件之影響甚為廣泛且深遠,小布希政府之單邊主義傾向是否有所轉變?為本論文之研究核心。\n  為觀察美國外交政策中,有關單邊主義現象與911事件影響,本論文採「系統分析法」為研究途徑,以內外部因素與決策者個人因素為自變項、單邊主義為因變項、911事件為中介變項,逐一探討這些自變項在911事件影響下,小布希政府單邊主義之傾向是否有所改變。此外,本論文亦分析哪些因素對單邊主義有增強或弱化效果?哪項因素則具有關鍵性影響?\n  從本論文得知:選定之自變項中,屬內部因素之「美國例外論」、「新保守主義」與「官僚政治」具有強烈增強單邊主義之效果;至於「兩黨政治」與「國際體系」則具一般增強效果。另外,屬外部因素之「全球化」與「國際法」對單邊主義具有強烈抑制效果;而「國內民意」則具一般抑制效果。本論文認為影響美國單邊主義外交政策取向之關鍵因素,為小布希總統個人。\n  本論文獲致以下研究結果:一、為單邊、多邊與雙邊主義提供定義與優缺點分析。二、提供美國外交政策的單邊主義發展脈絡。三、分析影響小布希政府單邊主義外交政策取向之來源。四、說明「布希主義」主要內涵。五、證明決策者個人因素對外交決策具關鍵性影響。zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents第一章 緒論………………………………………………………1\n第一節 研究動機、目的與假設………………………………………………1\n第二節 研究途徑與研究方法…………………………………………………6\n第三節 研究範圍與研究限制…………………………………………………13\n第四節 文獻分析………………………………………………………………15\n第五節 章節安排………………………………………………………………21\n\n第二章 小布希政府單邊主義外交政策之內涵與背景…………23\n第一節 單邊主義………………………………………………………………23\n第二節 多邊主義與雙邊主義…………………………………………………27\n第三節 美國外交政策中單邊主義之歷史回顧………………………………33\n第四節 小布希政府實行單邊主義之實例……………………………………42\n第五節 小結……………………………………………………………………52\n\n第三章 911事件前小布希政府之外交政策…………………55\n第一節 911事件前美國面對之環境……………………………………55\n第二節 小布希政府外交政策基調…………………………………………59\n第三節 小布希政府外交領導團隊…………………………………………62\n第四節 911事件之意義與影響…………………………………………77\n第五節 小結…………………………………………………………………81\n\n第四章 911事件後影響美國外交政策之內部因素…………83\n第一節 民意趨勢之轉變……………………………………………………83\n第二節 傳統美國例外論之延續……………………………………………90\n第三節 新保守主義勢力之抬頭……………………………………………97\n第四節 兩黨政治之影響……………………………………………………105\n第五節 小結…………………………………………………………………108\n\n第五章 911事件後影響美國外交政策之外部因素…………111\n第一節 邁向單極、兩極或多極體系………………………………………111\n第二節 全球化或美國化……………………………………………………117\n第三節 國際恐怖主義之威脅…………………………………………………121\n第四節 國際法發展趨勢與全球反恐聯盟…………………………………127\n第五節 小結…………………………………………………………………134\n\n第六章 911事件後小布希政府決策層級之因素 …………………137\n第一節 小布希總統個人學經歷、特質與分析……………………………137\n第二節 內部與外部因素對決策層級之影響………………………………144\n第三節 小布希政府外交政策之調整………………………………………151\n第四節 國際輿論與主要國家對美國領導之評價…………………………160\n第五節 小結…………………………………………………………………168\n\n第七章 結論…………………………………………………………173\n\n圖次\n圖1-1 外交政策的來源、限制與機會………………………………………10\n圖1-2變項關係圖……………………………………………………………11\n圖2-1美國所扮演的世界角色地位在單邊與多邊主義光譜上之分析……53\n圖4-1 大眾在外交政策議題中的分布情況………………………………84\n圖4-2 大眾-媒體-政府三者間的關係…………………………………85\n圖4-3 小布希總統的支持率………………………………………………89\n圖4-4 小布希總統的施政滿意度…………………………………………89\n圖4-5 例外的美國…………………………………………………………95\n圖5-1 1982年至2003年國際恐怖主義攻擊事件統計………………123\n圖6-1 決策者的意象……………………………………………………150\n表次\n表3-1 911事件後最具優先性的美國外交政策目標……………………80\n表4-1美國民眾對小布希政府進攻伊拉克的支持率………………………90\n表4-2宗教在美國人生活中所扮演的角色…………………………………97\n表5-1 16世紀至20世紀領導國家的主要權力資源…………………112\n表5-2 1990年主要國家的權力資源趨勢…………………………………114\n表5-3 2003年世界前15大軍費支出國家……………………………120\n表5-4 1998至2003年美國公民在國際恐怖攻擊中的傷亡統計……125\n表5-5涉及防治恐怖主義的主要國際條約………………………………128\n表6-1 20世紀以來美國總統的個性分類………………………………141\n表6-2 內外部因素對小布希政府單邊主義外交政策取向之影響…………149\n表6-3美國民眾對發動伊拉克戰爭的支持率………………………………157\n表6-4支持美國對伊拉克戰爭的政黨傾向差異…………………………157\n表6-5 布希主義的發展過程…………………………………………………159\n表6-6 歐美國家對小布希總統的觀點………………………………………161\n表6-7 歐美國家對小布希總統主要政策的看法……………………………162\n表6-8 美國與歐洲主要國家對阿富汗戰爭的支持率………………………164\n表6-9 美國與主要國家的民眾對伊拉克戰爭支持度……………………165\n表6-10主要國家對美國的印象……………………………………………165\n表6-11 聯合國在攻伊議題後的重要性……………………………………166\n表6-12 歐洲國家對美國產生負面印象之因素……………………………167\n\n參考書目………………………………………………………………179zh_TW
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dc.source.urihttp://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0089253026en_US
dc.subject小布希zh_TW
dc.subject美國外交政策zh_TW
dc.subject單邊主義zh_TW
dc.subject911事件zh_TW
dc.title911事件對小布希政府外交政策取向之影響zh_TW
dc.typethesisen
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