學術產出-學位論文
Article View/Open
Publication Export
-
題名 台灣認同與總統大選結果的關係
Relations between Taiwan Identity Tendency And the Outcome of Presidential elections作者 簡翊如
Jean, Yi-zu貢獻者 李福鐘
簡翊如
Jean, Yi-zu關鍵詞 台灣意識
國家認同
台灣總統大選
Taiwan identity
National identity
Presidential elections日期 2017 上傳時間 28-Aug-2017 12:00:59 (UTC+8) 摘要 此研究旨在分析不斷上漲的台灣意識如何影響台灣的總統大選。台灣意識受五零年代以來海內外台灣獨立運動啟發，八零年代後期的民主化使愈來愈多的民眾認為自己是台灣人，其中年輕世代的台灣認同比例為最高。成為主流的台灣意識不只助長台獨意識，更促使政黨調整其兩岸政策。若將國家認同作為台人統獨態度的影響因素，認同議題便是國家層級的政治議題，此議題會進一步影響政黨的發展與決策。作為一民主國家，民意總展現在每次的選舉中，過去二十年來台灣意識對投票結果具有一定的影響力。然而2008年及2012年的總統選舉中，台灣意識的影響力漸弱，甚至不被作為主要選舉策略，此乃因台灣意識已高度內化，而為求選票最大化，政黨在此議題上須採相同立場。2016年總統選舉投票日前發生的「周子瑜」事件鼓舞年輕世代在感覺到主權受威脅後自發性地參與投票，並將選票投給台灣意識較高的民主進步黨，證明台灣意識依舊是影響選民投票的因素。
The purpose of this thesis is to analyze the impacts on the Presidential elections brought up by the growing Taiwan identity. The trend was inspired by Taiwan independence movements at home and abroad since the 1950’s. After the democratization in the late 1980’s, more and more citizens have identified themselves as Taiwanese, the trend has not only fueled the pro-independence movements, but also encouraged the political parties to adjust their cross-strait policies. If we see national identity as a variable in building unification/independence attitude, the identity issue will be a political topic at the state level which further affects development and policies of political parties. As a democracy, public opinion has been reflected in every Presidential election, and the national identity issue played an important role in the past Presidential elections. However, in 2008 and 2012, Taiwan identity was not a major strategy since it was already highly internalized and parties had to stand on the same position regarding this issue to maximize the votes. The Chou, Tzu-yu incident encouraged young people to vote when the sovereignty crisis was raised, and they voted the Democratic Progressive Party, the party with stronger Taiwan identity. The voting preference showed that Taiwan identity was still a factor influencing the Presidential elections.參考文獻 Books/ArticlesAbdelal, Rawi, Herrera, Yoshiko, Johnston, Alastair, & Mcdermott, Rose, “Identity as a Variable”, Perspectives on Politics, 2006Coleman, Stephen, “A test for conformity in voting behavior”, Program Evaluation Division of Minnesota Office of the Legislative Auditor (OLA). November 1997Copper, John F., “Taiwan`s 2000 Presidential and Vice Presidential election: Consolidating Democracy and Creating a New Era of Politics”, Maryland Series in Cotemporary Asian Studies, 2000, http://digitalcommons.law.umaryland.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1156&context=mscasGeertz, Clifford, The Interpretation of Cultures, New York, Basic Books, Inc., Publishers, 1973Huang, Shiow-duan, “Taiwan’s Election and Democratization Study, 2002-2004(III): The Presidential election, 2004 (TEDS 2004P)”, Taiwan’s Election and Democratization Study, 2004Kengm Shu, Chen, Lu-huei, and Huang, Kuan-po, “Sense, Sensitivity, and Sophistication in Shaping the Future of Cross-strait Relations”, Issues & Studies, 2006Lash, Scott, & Featherstone, Mike, Recognition and difference: politics, identity, multiculture, California: SAGE Publications, 2002Lewis-Beck, Michael S., & Stegmaier, Mary, “Economic Determinants of Electoral Outcomes”, Annual Review of Political Science, June 2000Lewis-Beck, Michzol S., Economic and Elections: The Major Western Democracies, Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1988Li, Hsiao-feng, “From mastering people to people as masters”, Wu San Lien Foundation for Taiwanese Historical Materials, 2001, http://www.twcenter.org.tw/thematic_series/history_class/tw_window/e02_20010521 Muyard, Frank, “Taiwan Elections 2008: Ma Ying-jeou’s Victory and the KMT’s Return to Power”, China Perspectives, 2008Sears, David O., & Valentino, Nicholas A., “Politics Matters: Political Events as Catalysts for Pre-adult Socialization”, The American Political Science Review, 1997 Smith, Anthony D., “National Identity and the Idea of European Unity”, Royal Institute of International Affairs, 1992Smith, Rogers M., “Identities, Interests, and the Future of Political Science”, Perspectives on Politics, 2004.Valentino, Nicholas A., & Sears, David O., “Event-driven Political Communication and the Pre-adult Socialization of Partisanship Political Behavior”, Political Behavior, 1998Wachman, Alan M., Taiwan: national identity and democratization, New York: M.E. Sharpe, 1994Wu, Naiteh, Political Competition Framed by the China Factor? –Looking beyond the 2012 Presidential election”, Taiwan and The ‘China Impact’: Challenges and Opportunities, New York, Routledge, 2015Yen, Chen-shen, “Taiwan’s presidential election: a referendum on the 1992 Consensus”, East Asia Forum, February 14th, 2012, http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2012/02/14/taiwan-s-presidential-election-a-referendum-on-the-1992-consensus/〈家目錄 夏季號〉, 台南市家庭教育中心, 2016 http://www.family.tn.edu.tw/UserFiles/File/fa8/ifamily/2016-Summer-OK.pdf〈台灣前途決議文〉, 民進黨, May 9th, 1999陳佳宏, 《海外台獨運動史》, 台北, 前衛出版社, 1998陳隆志, 《台灣的獨立與建國》, 台北, 月旦出版社股份有限公司, 1993陳陸輝, 耿曙, 王德育,〈兩岸關係與2008年台灣總統大選:認同 利益 威脅與選民投票取向〉, 陳陸輝等(主編) ,《2008年總統選舉—論二次政黨輪替之關鍵選舉》, 台北：五南出版社, 2009陳明成, 〈陳芳明現象及其國族認同研究〉, 碩士論文, 國立成功大學歷史學系, 2002陳銘城, 《海外台獨運動四十年》, 台北, 自立晚報設文化出版社, 1992陳牧民, 〈台灣國家認同研究的現況與展望〉, 施正鋒 主編,《國家認同之文化論述》台北,翰盧圖書出版公司, 2006陳儀深, 〈台獨主張的起源與流變〉, 《台灣史研究》第十七卷第二期, 中央研究院台灣史研究所, 2011黃昭堂, 《台灣那想那利斯文》, 台北, 前衛出版社, 1998黃志呈, 《在台灣演變中的中國人認同》, 台北, 致知學術出版, 2015江宜樺, 〈自由民主體制下的國家認同〉, 台灣社會研究季刊社, 1997江宜樺, 《自由主義、民族主義與國家認同》, 台北, 揚智文化事業股份有限公司, 1998江宜樺,《民族主義與民主政治》,台北, 國立臺灣大學, 2003閰小駿, 《政治認同理論：我們是誰？》, 當代政治學十講, 香港, 香港中文大學, 2016李筱峰,《臺灣史 100 件大事（下）戰後篇》,台北, 玉山社出版公司, 1999劉明浩, 〈不同省籍民眾國家認同的持續與變遷〉, 碩士論文, 國立政治大學東亞研究所, 2005劉文斌, 〈台灣國家認同變遷下的兩岸關係〉, 博士論文, 國立政治大學中山人文社會科學研究所, 2003鈕則勳, 〈總統候選人之競選傳播策略--以公元二OOO年我國總統大選為例〉, 博士論文, 國立政治大學政治學系, 2001彭明敏, 《自由的滋味》, 台北, 桂冠出版社, 1990邱泰淵, 〈美中台三邊關係(1996-2005)之研究:從台灣總統選舉因素分析〉, 碩士論文, 國立政治大學東亞研究所, 2005邵宗海, 唐玉禮, 〈台灣地區的族群差異意識與政治參與〉, 會議論文, 政治大學國家發展研究所, 2004盛杏湲, 〈統獨議題與台灣選民的投票行為:一九九0年代的分析〉, 政治大學 選舉研究中心, 2002施正鋒, 《國家認同之文化論述》, 台北, 台灣國際研究學會(翰蘆), 2006施正鋒, 《台灣人的民族認同》，台北：前衛出版社，2000施正鋒, 《台灣政治建構》, 臺北市, 前衛出版社, 1999吳乃德,〈省籍意識、政治支持和國家認同〉, 張茂桂等著《族群關係與國家認同》, 台北, 業強出版社, 2013 吳威麒, 〈由社會建構論詮釋陳水扁執政時期台美關係的身分認同與戰略分歧-以兩次總統大選公民投票為例〉, 碩士論文, 國立政治大學外交研究所, 2012 蕭高彥, 〈國家認同、民族主義與憲政民主：當代政治哲學的發展與反思〉, 台灣社會研究季刊社, 1997 蕭新煌,《新台灣人的心:國家認同的新圖像》, 台北, 新自然主義, 2002蕭展正, 《馬英九蔡英文經典宣傳大解密：台灣2012總統大選 雙英對決實錄》, 台北, 華品文創, 2012小笠原欣幸, 〈2012 年台灣總統選舉：選戰過程與決定性因素〉, IDE-JETRO 亞洲經濟研究院, 2012余莓莓, 〈從民進黨、國民黨報紙競選廣告看台灣意識vs.中國意識之發展與變遷─1996年vs. 2000年vs. 2004年總統大選〉, 台灣師範大學政治學研究所, 2006詹嘉雯, 〈中壢事件與台灣政治轉型〉, 碩士論文, 國立中央大學歷史研究所碩士在職專班, 2007鄭夙芬, 〈族群認同與總統選舉投票抉擇〉, 政治大學 選舉研究中心, 2009WebsiteAn election battle for the identity of Taiwan, BBC, January 1st, 2016, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-35192142China`s "Bottom Line" on Taiwan Issue, Embassy of The People’s Republic of China in the United States of America, http://www.china-embassy.org/eng/zt/999999999/t36726.htmELECTIONS: Singer’s ‘forced apology’ angers nation, Taipei Times, January 17th, 2016, http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2016/01/17/2003637387Laskai, Lorand C., Taiwan’s Ruling Party Just Booted Its Own Sarah Palin Off the Ticket, Foreign Policy, October 19th, 2015, http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/10/19/china-taiwan-election-kmt-dpp-democracy-hung-mainland/Lien, Soong hold dramatic rally, Taipei Times, Mar 14th, 2004, http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2004/03/14/2003102366Mo, Yan-chih and Shih, Hsiu-chuan, “Defend Taiwan’s Sovereignty, Says Ma,” Taipei Times, March 15th, 2008, http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2008/03/15/2003405597Narrowing, Economist, November 19th, 2011, http://www.economist.com/node/21538792Rice reiterates U.S. opposition to "referendum" on Taiwan`s UN membership, Xinhua Agency, February 26th, 2008, http://www.china-embassy.org/eng/zt/twwt/t410157.htmTaiwan Nominated to the U.S. Visa Waiver Program, American Institute in Taiwan, December 22nd, 2011, https://www.ait.org.tw/en/pressrelease-pr1170.htmlTaiwan’s Changing Political Landscape: The KMT’s Landslide Defeat in the Nine-in-One Elections, The Brookings Institution, November 8th, 2014, https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/taiwans-changing-political-landscape-the-kmts-landslide-defeat-in-the-nine-in-one-elections/Taiwan`s KMT party ditches Hung Hsiu-chu as candidate, BBC News, October 17th, 2015, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-34559238Two million rally for peace, Taipei Times, Feb 29th, 2004, http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2004/02/29/20031005332017《天下》國情調查Ⅰ：39歲，民意的斷裂點, 政治社會, 天下雜誌第614期, Jan 3rd, 2017 http://www.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5080204228「牽手護台灣」引國際媒體關注, TVBS, Feb 29th, 2004, http://news.tvbs.com.tw/other/380857一個中國的原則與台灣問題, 中華人民共和國國務院台灣事務辦公室, 國務院新聞辦公室, 北京, 2002 http://www.gov.cn/gongbao/content/2000/content_60035.htm一國兩區與統獨、國族認同民調, TVBS民意調查中心, March 26th-27th, 2012, http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201203/0fwcy3m9v1.pdf〈十年政綱-兩岸篇〉, 民主進步黨, 2011 http://iing10.blogspot.tw/2011/08/blog-post_21.html中共中央台灣工作辦事處http://www.gwytb.gov.cn/中華民國行政院大陸委員會http://www.mac.gov.tw/cp.aspx?n=137E9643D91946C0&s=5EA80A306BC956F5太陽花學運後呈現的統獨意識變化, 新台灣智庫, August 26th, 2014, http://www.braintrust.tw/article_detail/1964手牽手護台灣 兩百萬人破台紀錄, 蘋果日報, Feb 29th, 2004, http://www.appledaily.com.tw/appledaily/article/headline/20040229/747784/加強溝通 民進黨成立新住民委員會, 中央通訊社, January 25th, 2017, http://www.cna.com.tw/news/aipl/201701250284-1.aspx台辦發言人就蔡英文公布「十年政綱」答記者問, 中華人民共和國中央人民政府, August 24th, 2011, http://www.gov.cn/jrzg/2011-08/24/content_1932049.htm台灣民心動態調查、國家認同與統獨, 台灣指標民調, 2015, http://www.tisr.com.tw/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/TISR_TMBS_201502.pdf台灣民眾臺灣人/中國人認同趨勢分佈(1992年06月~2016年12月) , 政治大學選舉研究中心, 2016 http://esc.nccu.edu.tw/app/news.php?Sn=166#台灣智庫：年輕人投票率74.5％ 補刀終結國民黨, 自由時報, Jan 21st, 2016 http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/1579950立委質疑:宋鎮遠買上億元興票 哪來的錢?, 中國時報, Dec 10th, 1999, http://forums.chinatimes.com/report/vote2000/soong/88121005.htm刑法第一百條修正案, 台灣大百科全書, 文化部, http://nrch.culture.tw/twpedia.aspx?id=3893李永枝：如何應對馬英九新中間主義路線, 南窗風, May, 2007, http://www.nfcmag.com/article/315.html李雪莉、簡永達, 中國人或台灣人？你我都曾遇到的身分認同難題, 報導者, January 29th, 2016, https://www.twreporter.org/a/identity-twstory李筱峰, 〈美麗島事件的回顧與省思〉, 美麗島座談會發言稿, 1999, http://taup.yam.org.tw/announce/9912/991208-d.htm李登輝：我要開始大聲挺連戰了, 中國時報, August 24th, 1999, http://forums.chinatimes.com/report/vote2000/lien/88082401.htm李遠哲在扁營晚會現聲影, 中時電子報, March 18th, 2000, http://forums.chinatimes.com/report/vote2000/main/89031859.htm周子瑜事件持續發酵 兩岸三地反應強烈, BBC中文網, January 16th, 2016, http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/china/2016/01/160116_taiwan_chou_tzu_yu周子瑜被指台獨 JYP聲明：她支持一中, 中央通訊社,January 15th,2016, http://www.cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/201601150007-1.aspx服貿協議 民眾「八成」不知 本報民調：二成三民眾贊成 四成六反對, 自由時報, March 13th, 2014, http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/761732美前駐台官員表態肯定九二共識, BBC中文網, January 13th, 2012, http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/world/2012/01/120113_taiwan_election.shtml美首度明確表明「反對」台獨公投, TVBS, December 2nd, 2003, http://news.tvbs.com.tw/other/391995翁履中, 從理論看選戰：選舉研究的回顧, 菜市場政治學, January 13th, 2015, http://whogovernstw.org/2015/01/10/dennisweng1/馬︰台灣前途 台灣人說了算, 自由時報, March 15th, 2008, http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/paper/196049馬英九：中華民國是國家，台灣是家園, 今日新聞, October 12th,2011, http://www.nownews.com/n/2011/10/12/474655馬英九：兩岸洽簽和平協議有前提, BBC中文網, October 17th, 2011, http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/chinese_news/2011/10/111017_ma_agreement.shtml馬英九改口 坦承曾有綠卡, 自由時報, January 29th, 2008, http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/185779馬英九稱兩岸和平協議將先經公投, BBC中文網, October 20th, 2011, http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/chinese_news/2011/10/111020_taiwan_maying-jeou.shtml馬英九競選辦公室五月底開始運作 金溥聰任執行長, 今日新聞, May 4th, 2011, https://m.nownews.com/news/530680馬錫會與國族認同民調, TVBS民意調查中心, October 24th-28th, 2013, http://other.tvbs.com.tw/export/sites/tvbs/file/other/poll-center/20131106112520608.pdf第11任總統(副總統)選舉 候選人得票數, 中央選舉委員會, http://db.cec.gov.tw/histQuery.jsp?voteCode=20040301P1A1&qryType=ctks教育部印發通知放寬台灣高中畢業生憑學測成績申請大陸高校標準, 中華人民共和國外交部, July 4th, 2017, http://www.moe.gov.cn/jyb_xwfb/gzdt_gzdt/s5987/201707/t20170704_308514.html國民黨全代會通過提名洪秀柱競選總統, BBC中文網, July 19th, 2015, http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/china/2015/07/150719_taiwan_election_kmt國民黨成立4族群委員會 洪秀柱要重建社會信心, 今日新聞, August 1st, 2016, http://www.nownews.com/n/2016/08/01/2189400陳水扁提出新憲公投時間表, BBC中文網, November 11th, 2003, http://news.bbc.co.uk/chinese/trad/hi/newsid_3260000/newsid_3260500/3260567.stm陳水扁總統競選指揮中心國家藍圖委員會, 〈跨世紀中國政策白皮書〉, 中華民國行政院大陸委員會, http://www.mac.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=68311&ctNode=6621&mp=1陸對台交流 鎖定一代一線, 中時電子報, May 24th, 2017, https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E9%99%B8%E5%B0%8D%E5%8F%B0%E4%BA%A4%E6%B5%81-%E9%8E%96%E5%AE%9A-%E4%BB%A3-%E7%B7%9A-215008355.html凱道集會》林飛帆：馬總統，請接受人民指揮！, 自由時報, March 30th, 2014, http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/978654最新總統民調, 連宋43%, 扁呂36%, TVBS, Mar 1st, 2004, http://news.tvbs.com.tw/other/380727蔡英文：「台灣共識」就是我們要走的路, 民主進步黨, September 18th, 2011, http://www.dpp.org.tw/news_content.php?sn=5365蔡英文：中華民國就是台灣, 中央通訊社, October 8th, 2011http://www.cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/201110080060-1.aspx蔡英文於CSIS演說：台灣迎向挑戰—打造亞洲新價值的典範, 民主進步黨, June 4th, 2015, http://www.dpp.org.tw/news_content.php?sn=7911謝批馬一中市場 誓言守護台灣, 自由時報, March 18th, 2008 http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/196836藍打經濟牌 攻克南台灣, 自由時報, March 23, 2008 Times, March 15th, 2008, http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/paper/198200 描述 碩士
國立政治大學
亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS)
104926005資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0104926005 資料類型 thesis dc.contributor.advisor 李福鐘 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) 簡翊如 zh_TW dc.contributor.author (Authors) Jean, Yi-zu en_US dc.creator (作者) 簡翊如 zh_TW dc.creator (作者) Jean, Yi-zu en_US dc.date (日期) 2017 en_US dc.date.accessioned 28-Aug-2017 12:00:59 (UTC+8) - dc.date.available 28-Aug-2017 12:00:59 (UTC+8) - dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 28-Aug-2017 12:00:59 (UTC+8) - dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0104926005 en_US dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/112259 - dc.description (描述) 碩士 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學 zh_TW dc.description (描述) 亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS) zh_TW dc.description (描述) 104926005 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) 此研究旨在分析不斷上漲的台灣意識如何影響台灣的總統大選。台灣意識受五零年代以來海內外台灣獨立運動啟發，八零年代後期的民主化使愈來愈多的民眾認為自己是台灣人，其中年輕世代的台灣認同比例為最高。成為主流的台灣意識不只助長台獨意識，更促使政黨調整其兩岸政策。若將國家認同作為台人統獨態度的影響因素，認同議題便是國家層級的政治議題，此議題會進一步影響政黨的發展與決策。作為一民主國家，民意總展現在每次的選舉中，過去二十年來台灣意識對投票結果具有一定的影響力。然而2008年及2012年的總統選舉中，台灣意識的影響力漸弱，甚至不被作為主要選舉策略，此乃因台灣意識已高度內化，而為求選票最大化，政黨在此議題上須採相同立場。2016年總統選舉投票日前發生的「周子瑜」事件鼓舞年輕世代在感覺到主權受威脅後自發性地參與投票，並將選票投給台灣意識較高的民主進步黨，證明台灣意識依舊是影響選民投票的因素。 zh_TW dc.description.abstract (摘要) The purpose of this thesis is to analyze the impacts on the Presidential elections brought up by the growing Taiwan identity. The trend was inspired by Taiwan independence movements at home and abroad since the 1950’s. After the democratization in the late 1980’s, more and more citizens have identified themselves as Taiwanese, the trend has not only fueled the pro-independence movements, but also encouraged the political parties to adjust their cross-strait policies. If we see national identity as a variable in building unification/independence attitude, the identity issue will be a political topic at the state level which further affects development and policies of political parties. As a democracy, public opinion has been reflected in every Presidential election, and the national identity issue played an important role in the past Presidential elections. However, in 2008 and 2012, Taiwan identity was not a major strategy since it was already highly internalized and parties had to stand on the same position regarding this issue to maximize the votes. The Chou, Tzu-yu incident encouraged young people to vote when the sovereignty crisis was raised, and they voted the Democratic Progressive Party, the party with stronger Taiwan identity. The voting preference showed that Taiwan identity was still a factor influencing the Presidential elections. en_US dc.description.tableofcontents Chapter 1 – Introduction 11.1 Purpose 21.2 Research Question 31.4 Expected Contribution 71.5 Literature Review 71.6 Methods 111.6.1 List of interviewees 121.7 Thesis Structure 12Chapter 2 – Theoretical Framework 142.1 Definition of identity 142.1.1 Understanding of National Identity 162.1.2 Event-driven socialization 172.3 Constructivism in Taiwan identity 18Chapter 3 – Political Events and data cross-analysis 203.1 Development of Taiwan Identity 203.2 Presidential elections from 1996 to 2016 243.2.1 First Presidential election in 1996 253.2.2 Second Presidential election in 2000 - First party rotation 263.2.3 Third Presidential election in 2004 313.2.4 Fourth Presidential election in 2008 343.2.5 Fifth Presidential election in 2012 383.2.6 Fifth Presidential election in 2016 43Chapter 4 – Interview analysis 524.1 Mr. Lin, Cho-shui, master theoretician of the TIM 524.2 Mr. Chang, Jung-kung, former deputy Secretary General of the KMT 544.3 Ms. Ho Meng-hua, deputy Director of the Youth Affairs Division of the DPP 574.4 Mr. Lin, Choung-sheng, deputy Director of Department of China Affairs, DPP 58Chapter 5 – Conclusion 605.1 The implication of the growing Taiwan Identity 605.2 Impact on future cross-strait policies brought by the Growing Taiwan Identity 645.3 Beijing’s reaction toward the growing Taiwan Identity 67VI. Reference 74 zh_TW dc.format.extent 2370972 bytes - dc.format.mimetype application/pdf - dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0104926005 en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) 台灣意識 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 國家認同 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) 台灣總統大選 zh_TW dc.subject (關鍵詞) Taiwan identity en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) National identity en_US dc.subject (關鍵詞) Presidential elections en_US dc.title (題名) 台灣認同與總統大選結果的關係 zh_TW dc.title (題名) Relations between Taiwan Identity Tendency And the Outcome of Presidential elections en_US dc.type (資料類型) thesis en_US dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Books/ArticlesAbdelal, Rawi, Herrera, Yoshiko, Johnston, Alastair, & Mcdermott, Rose, “Identity as a Variable”, Perspectives on Politics, 2006Coleman, Stephen, “A test for conformity in voting behavior”, Program Evaluation Division of Minnesota Office of the Legislative Auditor (OLA). November 1997Copper, John F., “Taiwan`s 2000 Presidential and Vice Presidential election: Consolidating Democracy and Creating a New Era of Politics”, Maryland Series in Cotemporary Asian Studies, 2000, http://digitalcommons.law.umaryland.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1156&context=mscasGeertz, Clifford, The Interpretation of Cultures, New York, Basic Books, Inc., Publishers, 1973Huang, Shiow-duan, “Taiwan’s Election and Democratization Study, 2002-2004(III): The Presidential election, 2004 (TEDS 2004P)”, Taiwan’s Election and Democratization Study, 2004Kengm Shu, Chen, Lu-huei, and Huang, Kuan-po, “Sense, Sensitivity, and Sophistication in Shaping the Future of Cross-strait Relations”, Issues & Studies, 2006Lash, Scott, & Featherstone, Mike, Recognition and difference: politics, identity, multiculture, California: SAGE Publications, 2002Lewis-Beck, Michael S., & Stegmaier, Mary, “Economic Determinants of Electoral Outcomes”, Annual Review of Political Science, June 2000Lewis-Beck, Michzol S., Economic and Elections: The Major Western Democracies, Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1988Li, Hsiao-feng, “From mastering people to people as masters”, Wu San Lien Foundation for Taiwanese Historical Materials, 2001, http://www.twcenter.org.tw/thematic_series/history_class/tw_window/e02_20010521 Muyard, Frank, “Taiwan Elections 2008: Ma Ying-jeou’s Victory and the KMT’s Return to Power”, China Perspectives, 2008Sears, David O., & Valentino, Nicholas A., “Politics Matters: Political Events as Catalysts for Pre-adult Socialization”, The American Political Science Review, 1997 Smith, Anthony D., “National Identity and the Idea of European Unity”, Royal Institute of International Affairs, 1992Smith, Rogers M., “Identities, Interests, and the Future of Political Science”, Perspectives on Politics, 2004.Valentino, Nicholas A., & Sears, David O., “Event-driven Political Communication and the Pre-adult Socialization of Partisanship Political Behavior”, Political Behavior, 1998Wachman, Alan M., Taiwan: national identity and democratization, New York: M.E. Sharpe, 1994Wu, Naiteh, Political Competition Framed by the China Factor? –Looking beyond the 2012 Presidential election”, Taiwan and The ‘China Impact’: Challenges and Opportunities, New York, Routledge, 2015Yen, Chen-shen, “Taiwan’s presidential election: a referendum on the 1992 Consensus”, East Asia Forum, February 14th, 2012, http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2012/02/14/taiwan-s-presidential-election-a-referendum-on-the-1992-consensus/〈家目錄 夏季號〉, 台南市家庭教育中心, 2016 http://www.family.tn.edu.tw/UserFiles/File/fa8/ifamily/2016-Summer-OK.pdf〈台灣前途決議文〉, 民進黨, May 9th, 1999陳佳宏, 《海外台獨運動史》, 台北, 前衛出版社, 1998陳隆志, 《台灣的獨立與建國》, 台北, 月旦出版社股份有限公司, 1993陳陸輝, 耿曙, 王德育,〈兩岸關係與2008年台灣總統大選:認同 利益 威脅與選民投票取向〉, 陳陸輝等(主編) ,《2008年總統選舉—論二次政黨輪替之關鍵選舉》, 台北：五南出版社, 2009陳明成, 〈陳芳明現象及其國族認同研究〉, 碩士論文, 國立成功大學歷史學系, 2002陳銘城, 《海外台獨運動四十年》, 台北, 自立晚報設文化出版社, 1992陳牧民, 〈台灣國家認同研究的現況與展望〉, 施正鋒 主編,《國家認同之文化論述》台北,翰盧圖書出版公司, 2006陳儀深, 〈台獨主張的起源與流變〉, 《台灣史研究》第十七卷第二期, 中央研究院台灣史研究所, 2011黃昭堂, 《台灣那想那利斯文》, 台北, 前衛出版社, 1998黃志呈, 《在台灣演變中的中國人認同》, 台北, 致知學術出版, 2015江宜樺, 〈自由民主體制下的國家認同〉, 台灣社會研究季刊社, 1997江宜樺, 《自由主義、民族主義與國家認同》, 台北, 揚智文化事業股份有限公司, 1998江宜樺,《民族主義與民主政治》,台北, 國立臺灣大學, 2003閰小駿, 《政治認同理論：我們是誰？》, 當代政治學十講, 香港, 香港中文大學, 2016李筱峰,《臺灣史 100 件大事（下）戰後篇》,台北, 玉山社出版公司, 1999劉明浩, 〈不同省籍民眾國家認同的持續與變遷〉, 碩士論文, 國立政治大學東亞研究所, 2005劉文斌, 〈台灣國家認同變遷下的兩岸關係〉, 博士論文, 國立政治大學中山人文社會科學研究所, 2003鈕則勳, 〈總統候選人之競選傳播策略--以公元二OOO年我國總統大選為例〉, 博士論文, 國立政治大學政治學系, 2001彭明敏, 《自由的滋味》, 台北, 桂冠出版社, 1990邱泰淵, 〈美中台三邊關係(1996-2005)之研究:從台灣總統選舉因素分析〉, 碩士論文, 國立政治大學東亞研究所, 2005邵宗海, 唐玉禮, 〈台灣地區的族群差異意識與政治參與〉, 會議論文, 政治大學國家發展研究所, 2004盛杏湲, 〈統獨議題與台灣選民的投票行為:一九九0年代的分析〉, 政治大學 選舉研究中心, 2002施正鋒, 《國家認同之文化論述》, 台北, 台灣國際研究學會(翰蘆), 2006施正鋒, 《台灣人的民族認同》，台北：前衛出版社，2000施正鋒, 《台灣政治建構》, 臺北市, 前衛出版社, 1999吳乃德,〈省籍意識、政治支持和國家認同〉, 張茂桂等著《族群關係與國家認同》, 台北, 業強出版社, 2013 吳威麒, 〈由社會建構論詮釋陳水扁執政時期台美關係的身分認同與戰略分歧-以兩次總統大選公民投票為例〉, 碩士論文, 國立政治大學外交研究所, 2012 蕭高彥, 〈國家認同、民族主義與憲政民主：當代政治哲學的發展與反思〉, 台灣社會研究季刊社, 1997 蕭新煌,《新台灣人的心:國家認同的新圖像》, 台北, 新自然主義, 2002蕭展正, 《馬英九蔡英文經典宣傳大解密：台灣2012總統大選 雙英對決實錄》, 台北, 華品文創, 2012小笠原欣幸, 〈2012 年台灣總統選舉：選戰過程與決定性因素〉, IDE-JETRO 亞洲經濟研究院, 2012余莓莓, 〈從民進黨、國民黨報紙競選廣告看台灣意識vs.中國意識之發展與變遷─1996年vs. 2000年vs. 2004年總統大選〉, 台灣師範大學政治學研究所, 2006詹嘉雯, 〈中壢事件與台灣政治轉型〉, 碩士論文, 國立中央大學歷史研究所碩士在職專班, 2007鄭夙芬, 〈族群認同與總統選舉投票抉擇〉, 政治大學 選舉研究中心, 2009WebsiteAn election battle for the identity of Taiwan, BBC, January 1st, 2016, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-35192142China`s "Bottom Line" on Taiwan Issue, Embassy of The People’s Republic of China in the United States of America, http://www.china-embassy.org/eng/zt/999999999/t36726.htmELECTIONS: Singer’s ‘forced apology’ angers nation, Taipei Times, January 17th, 2016, http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2016/01/17/2003637387Laskai, Lorand C., Taiwan’s Ruling Party Just Booted Its Own Sarah Palin Off the Ticket, Foreign Policy, October 19th, 2015, http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/10/19/china-taiwan-election-kmt-dpp-democracy-hung-mainland/Lien, Soong hold dramatic rally, Taipei Times, Mar 14th, 2004, http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2004/03/14/2003102366Mo, Yan-chih and Shih, Hsiu-chuan, “Defend Taiwan’s Sovereignty, Says Ma,” Taipei Times, March 15th, 2008, http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2008/03/15/2003405597Narrowing, Economist, November 19th, 2011, http://www.economist.com/node/21538792Rice reiterates U.S. opposition to "referendum" on Taiwan`s UN membership, Xinhua Agency, February 26th, 2008, http://www.china-embassy.org/eng/zt/twwt/t410157.htmTaiwan Nominated to the U.S. Visa Waiver Program, American Institute in Taiwan, December 22nd, 2011, https://www.ait.org.tw/en/pressrelease-pr1170.htmlTaiwan’s Changing Political Landscape: The KMT’s Landslide Defeat in the Nine-in-One Elections, The Brookings Institution, November 8th, 2014, https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/taiwans-changing-political-landscape-the-kmts-landslide-defeat-in-the-nine-in-one-elections/Taiwan`s KMT party ditches Hung Hsiu-chu as candidate, BBC News, October 17th, 2015, http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-34559238Two million rally for peace, Taipei Times, Feb 29th, 2004, http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/archives/2004/02/29/20031005332017《天下》國情調查Ⅰ：39歲，民意的斷裂點, 政治社會, 天下雜誌第614期, Jan 3rd, 2017 http://www.cw.com.tw/article/article.action?id=5080204228「牽手護台灣」引國際媒體關注, TVBS, Feb 29th, 2004, http://news.tvbs.com.tw/other/380857一個中國的原則與台灣問題, 中華人民共和國國務院台灣事務辦公室, 國務院新聞辦公室, 北京, 2002 http://www.gov.cn/gongbao/content/2000/content_60035.htm一國兩區與統獨、國族認同民調, TVBS民意調查中心, March 26th-27th, 2012, http://www1.tvbs.com.tw/FILE_DB/PCH/201203/0fwcy3m9v1.pdf〈十年政綱-兩岸篇〉, 民主進步黨, 2011 http://iing10.blogspot.tw/2011/08/blog-post_21.html中共中央台灣工作辦事處http://www.gwytb.gov.cn/中華民國行政院大陸委員會http://www.mac.gov.tw/cp.aspx?n=137E9643D91946C0&s=5EA80A306BC956F5太陽花學運後呈現的統獨意識變化, 新台灣智庫, August 26th, 2014, http://www.braintrust.tw/article_detail/1964手牽手護台灣 兩百萬人破台紀錄, 蘋果日報, Feb 29th, 2004, http://www.appledaily.com.tw/appledaily/article/headline/20040229/747784/加強溝通 民進黨成立新住民委員會, 中央通訊社, January 25th, 2017, http://www.cna.com.tw/news/aipl/201701250284-1.aspx台辦發言人就蔡英文公布「十年政綱」答記者問, 中華人民共和國中央人民政府, August 24th, 2011, http://www.gov.cn/jrzg/2011-08/24/content_1932049.htm台灣民心動態調查、國家認同與統獨, 台灣指標民調, 2015, http://www.tisr.com.tw/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/TISR_TMBS_201502.pdf台灣民眾臺灣人/中國人認同趨勢分佈(1992年06月~2016年12月) , 政治大學選舉研究中心, 2016 http://esc.nccu.edu.tw/app/news.php?Sn=166#台灣智庫：年輕人投票率74.5％ 補刀終結國民黨, 自由時報, Jan 21st, 2016 http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/1579950立委質疑:宋鎮遠買上億元興票 哪來的錢?, 中國時報, Dec 10th, 1999, http://forums.chinatimes.com/report/vote2000/soong/88121005.htm刑法第一百條修正案, 台灣大百科全書, 文化部, http://nrch.culture.tw/twpedia.aspx?id=3893李永枝：如何應對馬英九新中間主義路線, 南窗風, May, 2007, http://www.nfcmag.com/article/315.html李雪莉、簡永達, 中國人或台灣人？你我都曾遇到的身分認同難題, 報導者, January 29th, 2016, https://www.twreporter.org/a/identity-twstory李筱峰, 〈美麗島事件的回顧與省思〉, 美麗島座談會發言稿, 1999, http://taup.yam.org.tw/announce/9912/991208-d.htm李登輝：我要開始大聲挺連戰了, 中國時報, August 24th, 1999, http://forums.chinatimes.com/report/vote2000/lien/88082401.htm李遠哲在扁營晚會現聲影, 中時電子報, March 18th, 2000, http://forums.chinatimes.com/report/vote2000/main/89031859.htm周子瑜事件持續發酵 兩岸三地反應強烈, BBC中文網, January 16th, 2016, http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/china/2016/01/160116_taiwan_chou_tzu_yu周子瑜被指台獨 JYP聲明：她支持一中, 中央通訊社,January 15th,2016, http://www.cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/201601150007-1.aspx服貿協議 民眾「八成」不知 本報民調：二成三民眾贊成 四成六反對, 自由時報, March 13th, 2014, http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/761732美前駐台官員表態肯定九二共識, BBC中文網, January 13th, 2012, http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/world/2012/01/120113_taiwan_election.shtml美首度明確表明「反對」台獨公投, TVBS, December 2nd, 2003, http://news.tvbs.com.tw/other/391995翁履中, 從理論看選戰：選舉研究的回顧, 菜市場政治學, January 13th, 2015, http://whogovernstw.org/2015/01/10/dennisweng1/馬︰台灣前途 台灣人說了算, 自由時報, March 15th, 2008, http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/paper/196049馬英九：中華民國是國家，台灣是家園, 今日新聞, October 12th,2011, http://www.nownews.com/n/2011/10/12/474655馬英九：兩岸洽簽和平協議有前提, BBC中文網, October 17th, 2011, http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/chinese_news/2011/10/111017_ma_agreement.shtml馬英九改口 坦承曾有綠卡, 自由時報, January 29th, 2008, http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/185779馬英九稱兩岸和平協議將先經公投, BBC中文網, October 20th, 2011, http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/chinese_news/2011/10/111020_taiwan_maying-jeou.shtml馬英九競選辦公室五月底開始運作 金溥聰任執行長, 今日新聞, May 4th, 2011, https://m.nownews.com/news/530680馬錫會與國族認同民調, TVBS民意調查中心, October 24th-28th, 2013, http://other.tvbs.com.tw/export/sites/tvbs/file/other/poll-center/20131106112520608.pdf第11任總統(副總統)選舉 候選人得票數, 中央選舉委員會, http://db.cec.gov.tw/histQuery.jsp?voteCode=20040301P1A1&qryType=ctks教育部印發通知放寬台灣高中畢業生憑學測成績申請大陸高校標準, 中華人民共和國外交部, July 4th, 2017, http://www.moe.gov.cn/jyb_xwfb/gzdt_gzdt/s5987/201707/t20170704_308514.html國民黨全代會通過提名洪秀柱競選總統, BBC中文網, July 19th, 2015, http://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/china/2015/07/150719_taiwan_election_kmt國民黨成立4族群委員會 洪秀柱要重建社會信心, 今日新聞, August 1st, 2016, http://www.nownews.com/n/2016/08/01/2189400陳水扁提出新憲公投時間表, BBC中文網, November 11th, 2003, http://news.bbc.co.uk/chinese/trad/hi/newsid_3260000/newsid_3260500/3260567.stm陳水扁總統競選指揮中心國家藍圖委員會, 〈跨世紀中國政策白皮書〉, 中華民國行政院大陸委員會, http://www.mac.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=68311&ctNode=6621&mp=1陸對台交流 鎖定一代一線, 中時電子報, May 24th, 2017, https://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E9%99%B8%E5%B0%8D%E5%8F%B0%E4%BA%A4%E6%B5%81-%E9%8E%96%E5%AE%9A-%E4%BB%A3-%E7%B7%9A-215008355.html凱道集會》林飛帆：馬總統，請接受人民指揮！, 自由時報, March 30th, 2014, http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/breakingnews/978654最新總統民調, 連宋43%, 扁呂36%, TVBS, Mar 1st, 2004, http://news.tvbs.com.tw/other/380727蔡英文：「台灣共識」就是我們要走的路, 民主進步黨, September 18th, 2011, http://www.dpp.org.tw/news_content.php?sn=5365蔡英文：中華民國就是台灣, 中央通訊社, October 8th, 2011http://www.cna.com.tw/news/firstnews/201110080060-1.aspx蔡英文於CSIS演說：台灣迎向挑戰—打造亞洲新價值的典範, 民主進步黨, June 4th, 2015, http://www.dpp.org.tw/news_content.php?sn=7911謝批馬一中市場 誓言守護台灣, 自由時報, March 18th, 2008 http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/196836藍打經濟牌 攻克南台灣, 自由時報, March 23, 2008 Times, March 15th, 2008, http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/paper/198200 zh_TW
